DARK
Darkwoods · Robinhood · gru_s8
- token id
- #795
- symbol
- DARK
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xdc45b71d7203c2e8baafc43a19bca0eb993bb54e
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2023-11-23
- predictions
- 459
Track record at +7d
assessed
133
of 153 predictions shown
direction hit
74.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2077
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0367
actual -0.2049
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.001118 | 0.001011 | -9.59% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.001118 | 0.001017 | -9.07% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.000949 | 0.000837652 | -11.73% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.001397 | 0.001281 | -8.27% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.001845 | 0.001724 | -6.51% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.002037 | 0.001912 | -6.13% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2025-08-04 | oos | 0.002796 | 0.002717 | -2.85% | – | pending | – | – | 3.62 |
| 2025-08-03 | oos | 0.00239 | 0.002348 | -1.73% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2025-08-02 | oos | 0.002305 | 0.00227 | -1.51% | – | pending | – | – | 3.43 |
| 2025-08-01 | oos | 0.002374 | 0.002332 | -1.78% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-31 | oos | 0.002516 | 0.002471 | -1.78% | – | pending | – | – | 3.55 |
| 2025-07-30 | oos | 0.002592 | 0.002548 | -1.71% | – | pending | – | – | 3.63 |
| 2025-07-29 | oos | 0.00286 | 0.002807 | -1.86% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-28 | oos | 0.003153 | 0.003091 | -1.97% | 0.002796 | -11.31% | 0.0126 | ✓ | 3.38 |
| 2025-07-27 | oos | 0.003054 | 0.003005 | -1.60% | 0.00239 | -21.76% | 0.0748 | ✓ | 3.44 |
| 2025-07-26 | oos | 0.002947 | 0.002894 | -1.80% | 0.002305 | -21.78% | 0.0702 | ✓ | 3.34 |
| 2025-07-25 | oos | 0.003035 | 0.002974 | -2.02% | 0.002374 | -21.78% | 0.0973 | ✓ | 3.37 |
| 2025-07-24 | oos | 0.003066 | 0.003005 | -1.99% | 0.002516 | -17.94% | 0.1022 | ✓ | 3.35 |
| 2025-07-23 | oos | 0.003233 | 0.003165 | -2.11% | 0.002592 | -19.83% | 0.1724 | ✓ | 3.29 |
| 2025-07-22 | oos | 0.003309 | 0.00324 | -2.08% | 0.00286 | -13.57% | 0.0664 | ✓ | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-21 | oos | 0.003192 | 0.003116 | -2.37% | 0.003153 | -1.22% | 0.0064 | ✓ | 3.32 |
| 2025-07-20 | oos | 0.002797 | 0.002735 | -2.22% | 0.003054 | +9.19% | 0.0303 | ✗ | 4.40 |
| 2025-07-19 | oos | 0.002741 | 0.002684 | -2.10% | 0.002947 | +7.52% | 0.0918 | ✗ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-18 | oos | 0.002851 | 0.002788 | -2.19% | 0.003035 | +6.45% | 0.0981 | ✗ | 4.05 |
| 2025-07-17 | oos | 0.002938 | 0.002876 | -2.11% | 0.003066 | +4.36% | 0.0940 | ✗ | 4.07 |
| 2025-07-16 | oos | 0.002999 | 0.00293 | -2.29% | 0.003233 | +7.80% | 0.0939 | ✗ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-15 | oos | 0.002946 | 0.002878 | -2.31% | 0.003309 | +12.32% | 0.0637 | ✗ | 4.02 |
| 2025-07-14 | oos | 0.002694 | 0.002647 | -1.74% | 0.003192 | +18.49% | 0.2728 | ✗ | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-13 | oos | 0.002897 | 0.002839 | -2.00% | 0.002797 | -3.45% | 0.0493 | ✗ | 4.18 |
| 2025-07-12 | oos | 0.003098 | 0.003018 | -2.58% | 0.002741 | -11.52% | 0.1121 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-11 | oos | 0.003358 | 0.003246 | -3.34% | 0.002851 | -15.10% | 0.1454 | ✓ | 4.20 |
| 2025-07-10 | oos | 0.003002 | 0.00291 | -3.05% | 0.002938 | -2.13% | 0.1055 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-07-09 | oos | 0.002724 | 0.002652 | -2.65% | 0.002999 | +10.10% | 0.1485 | ✓ | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-08 | oos | 0.002578 | 0.00252 | -2.25% | 0.002946 | +14.27% | 0.1717 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-07 | oos | 0.002644 | 0.002585 | -2.24% | 0.002694 | +1.89% | 0.3871 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-06 | oos | 0.002814 | 0.002732 | -2.91% | 0.002897 | +2.95% | 0.3081 | ✓ | 4.22 |
| 2025-07-05 | oos | 0.002657 | 0.002602 | -2.06% | 0.003098 | +16.60% | 0.1696 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-04 | oos | 0.002586 | 0.00254 | -1.76% | 0.003358 | +29.85% | 0.0776 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-07-03 | oos | 0.002754 | 0.002693 | -2.20% | 0.003002 | +9.01% | 0.1322 | ✓ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-02 | oos | 0.002885 | 0.002818 | -2.32% | 0.002724 | -5.58% | 0.1263 | ✓ | 4.24 |
| 2025-07-01 | oos | 0.002573 | 0.00256 | -0.51% | 0.002578 | +0.19% | 0.1202 | ✓ | 4.21 |
| 2025-06-30 | oos | 0.003278 | 0.003179 | -3.03% | 0.002644 | -19.34% | 0.2260 | ✓ | 4.11 |
| 2025-06-29 | oos | 0.003167 | 0.003087 | -2.54% | 0.002814 | -11.15% | 0.1245 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-28 | oos | 0.002957 | 0.00292 | -1.26% | 0.002657 | -10.15% | 0.1289 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-27 | oos | 0.003523 | 0.003416 | -3.05% | 0.002586 | -26.60% | 0.3137 | ✓ | 4.16 |
| 2025-06-26 | oos | 0.004013 | 0.003827 | -4.64% | 0.002754 | -31.37% | 0.4285 | ✓ | 4.15 |
| 2025-06-25 | oos | 0.004036 | 0.003851 | -4.59% | 0.002885 | -28.52% | 0.3461 | ✓ | 4.17 |
| 2025-06-24 | oos | 0.004267 | 0.004054 | -4.98% | 0.002573 | -39.70% | 0.4377 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-23 | oos | 0.004368 | 0.00415 | -4.98% | 0.003278 | -24.95% | 0.3050 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2025-06-22 | oos | 0.004004 | 0.003906 | -2.45% | 0.003167 | -20.90% | 0.5117 | ✓ | 4.28 |
| 2025-06-21 | oos | 0.003983 | 0.003891 | -2.30% | 0.002957 | -25.76% | 0.4898 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-20 | oos | 0.004445 | 0.004273 | -3.87% | 0.003523 | -20.74% | 0.3492 | ✓ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-19 | oos | 0.004911 | 0.00464 | -5.51% | 0.004013 | -18.29% | 0.2417 | ✓ | 4.33 |
| 2025-06-18 | oos | 0.005086 | 0.004782 | -5.98% | 0.004036 | -20.64% | 0.2711 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-17 | oos | 0.005041 | 0.004764 | -5.49% | 0.004267 | -15.35% | 0.1741 | ✓ | 4.34 |
| 2025-06-16 | oos | 0.005281 | 0.004934 | -6.57% | 0.004368 | -17.29% | 0.0618 | ✓ | 4.45 |
| 2025-06-15 | oos | 0.005917 | 0.005443 | -8.01% | 0.004004 | -32.33% | 0.1066 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-14 | oos | 0.006217 | 0.005675 | -8.71% | 0.003983 | -35.93% | 0.2109 | ✓ | 4.50 |
| 2025-06-13 | oos | 0.005012 | 0.004808 | -4.08% | 0.004445 | -11.31% | 0.0455 | ✗ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-12 | oos | 0.005304 | 0.005067 | -4.47% | 0.004911 | -7.41% | 0.0150 | ✓ | 4.64 |
| 2025-06-11 | oos | 0.006633 | 0.006008 | -9.43% | 0.005086 | -23.32% | 0.0060 | ✓ | 4.57 |
| 2025-06-10 | oos | 0.005894 | 0.005494 | -6.78% | 0.005041 | -14.47% | 0.1696 | ✗ | 4.81 |
| 2025-06-09 | oos | 0.006098 | 0.005686 | -6.76% | 0.005281 | -13.40% | 0.0791 | ✗ | 4.82 |
| 2025-06-08 | oos | 0.005929 | 0.00571 | -3.69% | 0.005917 | -0.20% | 0.0444 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-07 | oos | 0.005997 | 0.005821 | -2.94% | 0.006217 | +3.67% | 0.0732 | ✗ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-06 | oos | 0.005891 | 0.005806 | -1.44% | 0.005012 | -14.92% | 0.2297 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-05 | oos | 0.005238 | 0.005292 | +1.03% | 0.005304 | +1.26% | 0.1988 | ✗ | 5.02 |
| 2025-06-04 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006257 | -0.84% | 0.006633 | +5.12% | 0.1278 | ✓ | 5.07 |
| 2025-06-03 | oos | 0.00767 | 0.00741 | -3.39% | 0.005894 | -23.16% | 0.4537 | ✓ | 5.00 |
| 2025-06-02 | oos | 0.007135 | 0.007023 | -1.57% | 0.006098 | -14.53% | 0.3481 | ✓ | 5.09 |
| 2025-06-01 | oos | 0.007398 | 0.007297 | -1.36% | 0.005929 | -19.86% | 0.2118 | ✓ | 5.09 |
| 2025-05-31 | oos | 0.006696 | 0.006753 | +0.86% | 0.005997 | -10.44% | 0.1655 | ✗ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-30 | oos | 0.006587 | 0.006705 | +1.79% | 0.005891 | -10.57% | 0.1471 | ✗ | 5.05 |
| 2025-05-29 | oos | 0.007919 | 0.007936 | +0.22% | 0.005238 | -33.86% | 0.2228 | ✗ | 4.98 |
| 2025-05-28 | oos | 0.00946 | 0.009086 | -3.96% | 0.00631 | -33.30% | 0.2215 | ✓ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-27 | oos | 0.010931 | 0.010018 | -8.35% | 0.00767 | -29.83% | 0.1049 | ✓ | 4.92 |
| 2025-05-26 | oos | 0.01142 | 0.010356 | -9.32% | 0.007135 | -37.52% | 0.2089 | ✓ | 4.95 |
| 2025-05-25 | oos | 0.011277 | 0.010262 | -9.00% | 0.007398 | -34.40% | 0.1724 | ✓ | 4.96 |
| 2025-05-24 | oos | 0.012084 | 0.010889 | -9.89% | 0.006696 | -44.59% | 0.3385 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-23 | oos | 0.012392 | 0.011152 | -10.01% | 0.006587 | -46.84% | 0.3709 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-22 | oos | 0.015393 | 0.013948 | -9.39% | 0.007919 | -48.55% | 0.2737 | ✓ | 5.16 |
| 2025-05-21 | oos | 0.012423 | 0.011248 | -9.46% | 0.00946 | -23.85% | 0.0867 | ✓ | 4.99 |
| 2025-05-20 | oos | 0.011758 | 0.010843 | -7.78% | 0.010931 | -7.03% | 0.0891 | ✓ | 5.01 |
| 2025-05-19 | oos | 0.012125 | 0.011184 | -7.76% | 0.01142 | -5.81% | 0.1587 | ✓ | 5.02 |
| 2025-05-18 | oos | 0.011663 | 0.010878 | -6.73% | 0.011277 | -3.31% | 0.0888 | ✓ | 5.22 |
| 2025-05-17 | oos | 0.011383 | 0.010882 | -4.41% | 0.012084 | +6.16% | 0.1319 | ✓ | 5.39 |
| 2025-05-16 | oos | 0.011643 | 0.011095 | -4.71% | 0.012392 | +6.43% | 0.0743 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-15 | oos | 0.012234 | 0.01154 | -5.68% | 0.015393 | +25.82% | 0.2144 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-14 | oos | 0.013635 | 0.01258 | -7.74% | 0.012423 | -8.89% | 0.0703 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-13 | oos | 0.016633 | 0.014997 | -9.84% | 0.011758 | -29.31% | 0.2694 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-12 | oos | 0.018853 | 0.016894 | -10.39% | 0.012125 | -35.69% | 0.3587 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-11 | oos | 0.017499 | 0.015761 | -9.93% | 0.011663 | -33.35% | 0.3233 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-10 | oos | 0.016775 | 0.015186 | -9.47% | 0.011383 | -32.14% | 0.2723 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-09 | in | 0.01342 | 0.012566 | -6.37% | 0.011643 | -13.24% | 0.0812 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-08 | in | 0.015819 | 0.014659 | -7.33% | 0.012234 | -22.66% | 0.1860 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-07 | in | 0.011052 | 0.010438 | -5.56% | 0.013635 | +23.37% | 0.2025 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-06 | in | 0.01415 | 0.01359 | -3.95% | 0.016633 | +17.55% | 0.1294 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-05 | in | 0.015996 | 0.015309 | -4.29% | 0.018853 | +17.86% | 0.1265 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-04 | in | 0.017052 | 0.016323 | -4.27% | 0.017499 | +2.62% | 0.0300 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-03 | in | 0.01703 | 0.016276 | -4.43% | 0.016775 | -1.50% | 0.0591 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-02 | in | 0.023187 | 0.022302 | -3.82% | 0.01342 | -42.12% | 0.5685 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-05-01 | in | 0.0163 | 0.015385 | -5.61% | 0.015819 | -2.95% | 0.0396 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-30 | in | 0.02036 | 0.019367 | -4.88% | 0.011052 | -45.72% | 0.5910 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-29 | in | 0.024322 | 0.023407 | -3.76% | 0.01415 | -41.82% | 0.5302 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-28 | in | 0.025719 | 0.02481 | -3.54% | 0.015996 | -37.80% | 0.4356 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-27 | in | 0.030589 | 0.029434 | -3.78% | 0.017052 | -44.25% | 0.5511 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2025-04-26 | in | 0.03442 | 0.032932 | -4.32% | 0.01703 | -50.52% | 0.6720 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2024-01-16 | in | 0.000009 | 0.000008437 | -6.25% | – | pending | – | – | -1.27 |
| 2024-01-15 | in | 0.0000157 | 0.000016083 | +2.44% | – | pending | – | – | -1.09 |
| 2024-01-14 | in | 0.0000149 | 0.000015343 | +2.98% | – | pending | – | – | -1.13 |
| 2024-01-13 | in | 0.00001622 | 0.00001656 | +2.09% | – | pending | – | – | -1.21 |
| 2024-01-12 | in | 0.0000257 | 0.000025025 | -2.63% | – | pending | – | – | -1.23 |
| 2024-01-11 | in | 0.00002504 | 0.000023922 | -4.46% | – | pending | – | – | -1.41 |
| 2024-01-10 | in | 0.00002673 | 0.000025224 | -5.64% | – | pending | – | – | -1.44 |
| 2024-01-09 | in | 0.00003347 | 0.00003152 | -5.83% | 0.000009 | -73.11% | 1.3463 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2024-01-08 | in | 0.00002866 | 0.000027157 | -5.25% | 0.0000157 | -45.22% | 0.6752 | ✓ | -1.26 |
| 2024-01-07 | in | 0.00002885 | 0.000027766 | -3.76% | 0.0000149 | -48.35% | 0.7020 | ✓ | -1.51 |
| 2024-01-06 | in | 0.00003261 | 0.000030829 | -5.46% | 0.00001622 | -50.26% | 0.6830 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-05 | in | 0.0000316 | 0.000030049 | -4.91% | 0.0000257 | -18.67% | 0.2058 | ✓ | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-04 | in | 0.000032 | 0.000030562 | -4.49% | 0.00002504 | -21.75% | 0.1270 | ✓ | -1.52 |
| 2024-01-03 | in | 0.00003349 | 0.000032242 | -3.73% | 0.00002673 | -20.19% | 0.0568 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2024-01-02 | in | 0.0000337 | 0.000032239 | -4.33% | 0.00003347 | -0.68% | 0.0813 | ✗ | -1.73 |
| 2024-01-01 | in | 0.00003166 | 0.000030599 | -3.35% | 0.00002866 | -9.48% | 0.0439 | ✗ | -1.80 |
| 2023-12-31 | in | 0.00003167 | 0.000031084 | -1.85% | 0.00002885 | -8.90% | 0.0031 | ✓ | -2.01 |
| 2023-12-30 | in | 0.00003168 | 0.000031208 | -1.49% | 0.00003261 | +2.94% | 0.1306 | ✗ | -2.02 |
| 2023-12-29 | in | 0.00003798 | 0.000036872 | -2.92% | 0.0000316 | -16.80% | 0.0544 | ✓ | -2.03 |
| 2023-12-28 | in | 0.0000381 | 0.000037012 | -2.86% | 0.000032 | -16.01% | 0.0693 | ✓ | -2.05 |
| 2023-12-27 | in | 0.00002929 | 0.000029069 | -0.76% | 0.00003349 | +14.34% | 0.1175 | ✗ | -1.70 |
| 2023-12-26 | in | 0.00003903 | 0.000038214 | -2.09% | 0.0000337 | -13.66% | 0.0456 | ✓ | -1.43 |
| 2023-12-25 | in | 0.00004557 | 0.00004472 | -1.87% | 0.00003166 | -30.52% | 0.3197 | ✓ | -1.79 |
| 2023-12-24 | in | 0.00005145 | 0.000050327 | -2.18% | 0.00003167 | -38.45% | 0.4931 | ✓ | -1.73 |
| 2023-12-23 | in | 0.00004727 | 0.000046476 | -1.68% | 0.00003168 | -32.98% | 0.4442 | ✓ | -1.65 |
| 2023-12-22 | in | 0.00003765 | 0.000037023 | -1.67% | 0.00003798 | +0.88% | 0.0709 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-21 | in | 0.00004179 | 0.000041196 | -1.42% | 0.0000381 | -8.83% | 0.0482 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-20 | in | 0.00004502 | 0.000044552 | -1.04% | 0.00002929 | -34.94% | 0.4148 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-19 | in | 0.00005 | 0.000049351 | -1.30% | 0.00003903 | -21.94% | 0.2405 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-18 | in | 0.000056 | 0.000055482 | -0.93% | 0.00004557 | -18.62% | 0.2186 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-17 | in | 0.00005097 | 0.000050359 | -1.20% | 0.00005145 | +0.94% | 0.0183 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-16 | in | 0.000045 | 0.000044683 | -0.70% | 0.00004727 | +5.04% | 0.0216 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-15 | in | 0.00004838 | 0.000047857 | -1.08% | 0.00003765 | -22.18% | 0.2883 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-14 | in | 0.00004328 | 0.000043147 | -0.31% | 0.00004179 | -3.44% | 0.0515 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-13 | in | 0.00004588 | 0.00004557 | -0.68% | 0.00004502 | -1.87% | 0.0304 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-12 | in | 0.00006089 | 0.000060305 | -0.96% | 0.00005 | -17.88% | 0.2062 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-11 | in | 0.00006109 | 0.000060506 | -0.96% | 0.000056 | -8.33% | 0.1113 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-10 | in | 0.00006163 | 0.000061634 | +0.01% | 0.00005097 | -17.30% | 0.1326 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-09 | in | 0.00005702 | 0.000056964 | -0.10% | 0.000045 | -21.08% | 0.2012 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-08 | in | 0.00005751 | 0.000057949 | +0.76% | 0.00004838 | -15.88% | 0.1280 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-07 | in | 0.00006009 | 0.000060516 | +0.71% | 0.00004328 | -27.97% | 0.3293 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-06 | in | 0.0000579 | 0.000058188 | +0.50% | 0.00004588 | -20.76% | 0.2174 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-05 | in | 0.00005568 | 0.000055678 | -0.00% | 0.00006089 | +9.36% | 0.1504 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-04 | in | 0.00006001 | 0.000059572 | -0.73% | 0.00006109 | +1.80% | 0.0434 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-03 | in | 0.00006997 | 0.000069229 | -1.06% | 0.00006163 | -11.92% | 0.2073 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2023-12-02 | in | 0.00006388 | 0.000062882 | -1.56% | 0.00005702 | -10.74% | 0.2000 | ✓ | 1.00 |