DARK

Darkwoods · Robinhood · gru_s8

token id: #795
symbol: DARK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xdc45b71d7203c2e8baafc43a19bca0eb993bb54e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 456

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

149

of 152 predictions shown

direction hit

63.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0994

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0064

actual -0.0378

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.001307	0.001294	-0.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-20	oos	0.000949	0.000937906	-1.17%	0.001307	+37.72%	0.3348	✗	1.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.001397	0.001384	-0.93%	0.000949	-32.07%	0.3907	✓	1.00
2026-10-18	oos	0.001845	0.00183	-0.79%	0.001397	-24.26%	0.2679	✓	1.00
2026-10-17	oos	0.002037	0.002021	-0.80%	0.001845	-9.45%	0.0989	✓	1.00
2025-08-04	oos	0.002796	0.002774	-0.80%	–	pending	–	–	3.62
2025-08-03	oos	0.00239	0.002378	-0.47%	0.002796	+17.03%	0.1369	✗	3.45
2025-08-02	oos	0.002305	0.002296	-0.41%	0.00239	+3.67%	0.0106	✓	3.43
2025-08-01	oos	0.002374	0.002363	-0.46%	0.002305	-2.91%	0.0038	✓	3.37
2025-07-31	oos	0.002516	0.002504	-0.48%	0.002374	-5.64%	0.0246	✗	3.55
2025-07-30	oos	0.002592	0.00258	-0.47%	0.002516	-2.93%	0.0393	✗	3.63
2025-07-29	oos	0.00286	0.002844	-0.56%	0.002592	-9.37%	0.0899	✓	3.37
2025-07-28	oos	0.003153	0.003132	-0.67%	0.00286	-9.29%	0.0869	✓	3.38
2025-07-27	oos	0.003054	0.003035	-0.62%	0.003153	+3.24%	0.0785	✗	3.44
2025-07-26	oos	0.002947	0.002929	-0.61%	0.003054	+3.63%	0.0003	✓	3.34
2025-07-25	oos	0.003035	0.003015	-0.66%	0.002947	-2.90%	0.0324	✓	3.37
2025-07-24	oos	0.003066	0.003045	-0.68%	0.003035	-1.01%	0.0183	✗	3.35
2025-07-23	oos	0.003233	0.003208	-0.76%	0.003066	-5.17%	0.0340	✓	3.29
2025-07-22	oos	0.003309	0.003282	-0.83%	0.003233	-2.30%	0.0189	✗	3.32
2025-07-21	oos	0.003192	0.003163	-0.90%	0.003309	+3.67%	0.0276	✓	3.32
2025-07-20	oos	0.002797	0.002776	-0.74%	0.003192	+14.12%	0.1352	✗	4.40
2025-07-19	oos	0.002741	0.002722	-0.69%	0.002797	+2.04%	0.0477	✗	4.02
2025-07-18	oos	0.002851	0.00283	-0.73%	0.002741	-3.86%	0.0282	✓	4.05
2025-07-17	oos	0.002938	0.002915	-0.78%	0.002851	-2.96%	0.0206	✗	4.07
2025-07-16	oos	0.002999	0.002973	-0.87%	0.002938	-2.03%	0.0319	✓	4.02
2025-07-15	oos	0.002946	0.002921	-0.84%	0.002999	+1.80%	0.0043	✓	4.02
2025-07-14	oos	0.002694	0.002677	-0.64%	0.002946	+9.35%	0.1691	✗	4.17
2025-07-13	oos	0.002897	0.002875	-0.76%	0.002694	-7.01%	0.0906	✓	4.18
2025-07-12	oos	0.003098	0.003071	-0.88%	0.002897	-6.49%	0.1172	✓	4.21
2025-07-11	oos	0.003358	0.003321	-1.10%	0.003098	-7.74%	0.0656	✓	4.20
2025-07-10	oos	0.003002	0.002975	-0.90%	0.003358	+11.86%	0.0658	✗	4.17
2025-07-09	oos	0.002724	0.002706	-0.67%	0.003002	+10.21%	0.0723	✓	4.22
2025-07-08	oos	0.002578	0.002564	-0.53%	0.002724	+5.66%	0.0285	✓	4.21
2025-07-07	oos	0.002644	0.002631	-0.49%	0.002578	-2.50%	0.0470	✓	4.21
2025-07-06	oos	0.002814	0.002797	-0.62%	0.002644	-6.04%	0.0193	✓	4.22
2025-07-05	oos	0.002657	0.002645	-0.44%	0.002814	+5.91%	0.0243	✗	4.21
2025-07-04	oos	0.002586	0.002578	-0.33%	0.002657	+2.75%	0.0219	✗	4.21
2025-07-03	oos	0.002754	0.002743	-0.41%	0.002586	-6.10%	0.0035	✓	4.24
2025-07-02	oos	0.002885	0.002873	-0.43%	0.002754	-4.54%	0.0709	✓	4.24
2025-07-01	oos	0.002573	0.00257	-0.11%	0.002885	+12.13%	0.0089	✓	4.21
2025-06-30	oos	0.003278	0.003261	-0.52%	0.002573	-21.51%	0.1805	✓	4.11
2025-06-29	oos	0.003167	0.003153	-0.43%	0.003278	+3.50%	0.0859	✗	4.19
2025-06-28	oos	0.002957	0.002952	-0.17%	0.003167	+7.10%	0.0303	✗	4.17
2025-06-27	oos	0.003523	0.003509	-0.40%	0.002957	-16.07%	0.1804	✓	4.16
2025-06-26	oos	0.004013	0.003986	-0.67%	0.003523	-12.21%	0.1267	✓	4.15
2025-06-25	oos	0.004036	0.00401	-0.63%	0.004013	-0.57%	0.0150	✗	4.17
2025-06-24	oos	0.004267	0.004236	-0.72%	0.004036	-5.41%	0.0978	✓	4.19
2025-06-23	oos	0.004368	0.004337	-0.70%	0.004267	-2.31%	0.0449	✓	4.19
2025-06-22	oos	0.004004	0.003993	-0.27%	0.004368	+9.09%	0.0936	✓	4.28
2025-06-21	oos	0.003983	0.003974	-0.22%	0.004004	+0.53%	0.0572	✗	4.34
2025-06-20	oos	0.004445	0.004426	-0.43%	0.003983	-10.39%	0.0567	✓	4.33
2025-06-19	oos	0.004911	0.004877	-0.69%	0.004445	-9.49%	0.0363	✓	4.33
2025-06-18	oos	0.005086	0.005048	-0.74%	0.004911	-3.44%	0.0175	✓	4.34
2025-06-17	oos	0.005041	0.005008	-0.65%	0.005086	+0.89%	0.0020	✓	4.34
2025-06-16	oos	0.005281	0.005239	-0.80%	0.005041	-4.54%	0.0568	✗	4.45
2025-06-15	oos	0.005917	0.005854	-1.06%	0.005281	-10.75%	0.1562	✓	4.50
2025-06-14	oos	0.006217	0.006141	-1.23%	0.005917	-4.83%	0.0428	✓	4.50
2025-06-13	oos	0.005012	0.004991	-0.41%	0.006217	+24.04%	0.2480	✗	4.64
2025-06-12	oos	0.005304	0.005279	-0.47%	0.005012	-5.51%	0.0692	✓	4.64
2025-06-11	oos	0.006633	0.006552	-1.23%	0.005304	-20.04%	0.0857	✓	4.57
2025-06-10	oos	0.005894	0.005852	-0.71%	0.006633	+12.54%	0.1969	✗	4.81
2025-06-09	oos	0.006098	0.006055	-0.71%	0.005894	-3.35%	0.0269	✓	4.82
2025-06-08	oos	0.005929	0.005907	-0.37%	0.006098	+2.85%	0.1801	✓	5.07
2025-06-07	oos	0.005997	0.00598	-0.28%	0.005929	-1.13%	0.0165	✓	5.07
2025-06-06	oos	0.005891	0.005886	-0.09%	0.005997	+1.80%	0.0402	✓	5.07
2025-06-05	oos	0.005238	0.005252	+0.26%	0.005891	+12.47%	0.0230	✗	5.02
2025-06-04	oos	0.00631	0.006311	+0.01%	0.005238	-16.99%	0.0297	✗	5.07
2025-06-03	oos	0.00767	0.00764	-0.40%	0.00631	-17.73%	0.1582	✓	5.00
2025-06-02	oos	0.007135	0.007129	-0.09%	0.00767	+7.50%	0.0952	✗	5.09
2025-06-01	oos	0.007398	0.007393	-0.07%	0.007135	-3.56%	0.0455	✓	5.09
2025-05-31	oos	0.006696	0.00671	+0.21%	0.007398	+10.48%	0.0470	✓	5.05
2025-05-30	oos	0.006587	0.006607	+0.31%	0.006696	+1.65%	0.0163	✗	5.05
2025-05-29	oos	0.007919	0.007931	+0.15%	0.006587	-16.82%	0.1124	✗	4.98
2025-05-28	oos	0.00946	0.009429	-0.33%	0.007919	-16.29%	0.0700	✓	4.96
2025-05-27	oos	0.010931	0.010828	-0.95%	0.00946	-13.46%	0.0824	✓	4.92
2025-05-26	oos	0.01142	0.011289	-1.15%	0.010931	-4.28%	0.0102	✓	4.95
2025-05-25	oos	0.011277	0.011161	-1.03%	0.01142	+1.27%	0.0041	✓	4.96
2025-05-24	oos	0.012084	0.011933	-1.25%	0.011277	-6.68%	0.1142	✓	4.99
2025-05-23	oos	0.012392	0.012228	-1.32%	0.012084	-2.49%	0.0334	✓	4.99
2025-05-22	oos	0.015393	0.015079	-2.04%	0.012392	-19.50%	0.0109	✓	5.16
2025-05-21	oos	0.012423	0.012258	-1.32%	0.015393	+23.91%	0.1364	✗	4.99
2025-05-20	oos	0.011758	0.011657	-0.86%	0.012423	+5.66%	0.0667	✓	5.01
2025-05-19	oos	0.012125	0.012018	-0.88%	0.011758	-3.03%	0.0818	✓	5.02
2025-05-18	oos	0.011663	0.011581	-0.70%	0.012125	+3.96%	0.0881	✗	5.22
2025-05-17	oos	0.011383	0.011336	-0.41%	0.011663	+2.46%	0.1419	✓	5.39
2025-05-16	oos	0.011643	0.011591	-0.45%	0.011383	-2.23%	0.0148	✓	1.00
2025-05-15	oos	0.012234	0.012163	-0.58%	0.011643	-4.83%	0.0409	✓	1.00
2025-05-14	oos	0.013635	0.013512	-0.90%	0.012234	-10.28%	0.1017	✓	1.00
2025-05-13	oos	0.016633	0.016386	-1.49%	0.013635	-18.02%	0.1781	✓	1.00
2025-05-12	oos	0.018853	0.018528	-1.72%	0.016633	-11.78%	0.1207	✓	1.00
2025-05-11	oos	0.017499	0.017215	-1.62%	0.018853	+7.74%	0.1038	✗	1.00
2025-05-10	oos	0.016775	0.016498	-1.65%	0.017499	+4.32%	0.0654	✗	1.00
2025-05-09	oos	0.01342	0.013314	-0.79%	0.016775	+25.00%	0.2134	✗	1.00
2025-05-08	in	0.015819	0.015627	-1.21%	0.01342	-15.17%	0.1497	✓	1.00
2025-05-07	in	0.011052	0.010983	-0.62%	0.015819	+43.13%	0.3030	✗	1.00
2025-05-06	in	0.01415	0.014072	-0.55%	0.011052	-21.89%	0.2439	✓	1.00
2025-05-05	in	0.015996	0.015896	-0.62%	0.01415	-11.54%	0.1384	✓	1.00
2025-05-04	in	0.017052	0.016942	-0.64%	0.015996	-6.19%	0.0624	✓	1.00
2025-05-03	in	0.01703	0.016917	-0.66%	0.017052	+0.13%	0.0247	✗	1.00
2025-05-02	in	0.023187	0.022962	-0.97%	0.01703	-26.55%	0.2878	✓	1.00
2025-05-01	in	0.0163	0.016195	-0.64%	0.023187	+42.25%	0.3547	✗	1.00
2025-04-30	in	0.02036	0.020238	-0.60%	0.0163	-19.94%	0.2410	✓	1.00
2025-04-29	in	0.024322	0.024191	-0.54%	0.02036	-16.29%	0.1715	✓	1.00
2025-04-28	in	0.025719	0.025583	-0.53%	0.024322	-5.43%	0.0424	✓	1.00
2025-04-27	in	0.030589	0.030347	-0.79%	0.025719	-15.92%	0.1788	✓	1.00
2025-04-26	in	0.03442	0.033996	-1.23%	0.030589	-11.13%	0.0962	✓	1.00
2024-01-16	in	0.000009	0.000008962	-0.42%	–	pending	–	–	-1.27
2024-01-15	in	0.0000157	0.000015746	+0.29%	0.000009	-42.68%	0.5430	✗	-1.09
2024-01-14	in	0.0000149	0.000014957	+0.38%	0.0000157	+5.37%	0.0698	✓	-1.13
2024-01-13	in	0.00001622	0.000016274	+0.33%	0.0000149	-8.14%	0.1210	✗	-1.21
2024-01-12	in	0.0000257	0.000025575	-0.48%	0.00001622	-36.89%	0.4535	✓	-1.23
2024-01-11	in	0.00002504	0.000024866	-0.69%	0.0000257	+2.64%	0.0801	✓	-1.41
2024-01-10	in	0.00002673	0.000026493	-0.89%	0.00002504	-6.32%	0.0664	✓	-1.44
2024-01-09	in	0.00003347	0.000033156	-0.94%	0.00002673	-20.14%	0.1993	✓	-1.38
2024-01-08	in	0.00002866	0.000028439	-0.77%	0.00003347	+16.78%	0.1393	✗	-1.26
2024-01-07	in	0.00002885	0.000028633	-0.75%	0.00002866	-0.66%	0.1022	✗	-1.51
2024-01-06	in	0.00003261	0.000032268	-1.05%	0.00002885	-11.53%	0.1134	✓	-1.54
2024-01-05	in	0.0000316	0.000031252	-1.10%	0.00003261	+3.20%	0.0358	✗	-1.52
2024-01-04	in	0.000032	0.000031721	-0.87%	0.0000316	-1.25%	0.0041	✓	-1.52
2024-01-03	in	0.00003349	0.000033208	-0.84%	0.000032	-4.45%	0.0099	✗	-1.54
2024-01-02	in	0.0000337	0.000033407	-0.87%	0.00003349	-0.62%	0.0808	✓	-1.73
2024-01-01	in	0.00003166	0.000031443	-0.69%	0.0000337	+6.44%	0.0996	✗	-1.80
2023-12-31	in	0.00003167	0.000031521	-0.47%	0.00003166	-0.03%	0.0944	✗	-2.01
2023-12-30	in	0.00003168	0.000031545	-0.43%	0.00003167	-0.03%	0.0110	✗	-2.02
2023-12-29	in	0.00003798	0.00003766	-0.84%	0.00003168	-16.59%	0.1692	✓	-2.03
2023-12-28	in	0.0000381	0.00003778	-0.84%	0.00003798	-0.31%	0.0198	✓	-2.05
2023-12-27	in	0.00002929	0.000029176	-0.39%	0.0000381	+30.08%	0.2316	✗	-1.70
2023-12-26	in	0.00003903	0.00003876	-0.69%	0.00002929	-24.96%	0.2483	✓	-1.43
2023-12-25	in	0.00004557	0.000045313	-0.56%	0.00003903	-14.35%	0.1939	✓	-1.79
2023-12-24	in	0.00005145	0.00005109	-0.70%	0.00004557	-11.43%	0.0918	✓	-1.73
2023-12-23	in	0.00004727	0.000046957	-0.66%	0.00005145	+8.84%	0.0647	✗	-1.65
2023-12-22	in	0.00003765	0.000037399	-0.67%	0.00004727	+25.55%	0.2408	✗	1.00
2023-12-21	in	0.00004179	0.000041547	-0.58%	0.00003765	-9.91%	0.1016	✓	1.00
2023-12-20	in	0.00004502	0.0000448	-0.49%	0.00004179	-7.17%	0.0741	✓	1.00
2023-12-19	in	0.00005	0.000049732	-0.54%	0.00004502	-9.96%	0.1323	✓	1.00
2023-12-18	in	0.000056	0.000055705	-0.53%	0.00005	-10.71%	0.0990	✓	1.00
2023-12-17	in	0.00005097	0.000050659	-0.61%	0.000056	+9.87%	0.0693	✗	1.00
2023-12-16	in	0.000045	0.000044712	-0.64%	0.00005097	+13.27%	0.1522	✗	1.00
2023-12-15	in	0.00004838	0.000047931	-0.93%	0.000045	-6.99%	0.0703	✓	1.00
2023-12-14	in	0.00004328	0.00004312	-0.37%	0.00004838	+11.78%	0.1409	✗	1.00
2023-12-13	in	0.00004588	0.000045722	-0.34%	0.00004328	-5.67%	0.0582	✓	1.00
2023-12-12	in	0.00006089	0.000060621	-0.44%	0.00004588	-24.65%	0.3120	✓	1.00
2023-12-11	in	0.00006109	0.000060787	-0.50%	0.00006089	-0.33%	0.0043	✓	1.00
2023-12-10	in	0.00006163	0.000061405	-0.37%	0.00006109	-0.88%	0.0552	✗	1.00
2023-12-09	in	0.00005702	0.000056802	-0.38%	0.00006163	+8.08%	0.0800	✗	1.00
2023-12-08	in	0.00005751	0.000057343	-0.29%	0.00005702	-0.85%	0.0050	✗	1.00
2023-12-07	in	0.00006009	0.000059855	-0.39%	0.00005751	-4.29%	0.0608	✓	1.00
2023-12-06	in	0.0000579	0.00005773	-0.29%	0.00006009	+3.78%	0.0512	✗	1.00
2023-12-05	in	0.00005568	0.000055541	-0.25%	0.0000579	+3.99%	0.0489	✗	1.00
2023-12-04	in	0.00006001	0.000059788	-0.37%	0.00005568	-7.22%	0.1199	✓	1.00
2023-12-03	in	0.00006997	0.000069553	-0.60%	0.00006001	-14.23%	0.1964	✓	1.00
2023-12-02	in	0.00006388	0.000063545	-0.52%	0.00006997	+9.53%	0.0836	✗	1.00