CTR

Citrea · Base · gru_s8

token id: #590
symbol: CTR
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x11030f79109269d796fd0fb956d6244e502757f7
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-26
predictions: 423

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

134

of 141 predictions shown

direction hit

43.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0994

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0211

actual -0.0148

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.015367	0.014779	-3.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-21	oos	0.0152	0.014616	-3.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.15
2026-10-20	oos	0.017857	0.016778	-6.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-19	oos	0.017291	0.016171	-6.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-18	oos	0.013308	0.01303	-2.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-17	oos	0.013303	0.013006	-2.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-16	oos	0.013935	0.01356	-2.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-15	oos	0.013058	0.012745	-2.40%	0.015367	+17.68%	0.1794	✗	0.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.013763	0.013366	-2.89%	0.0152	+10.44%	0.1193	✗	0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.014573	0.014051	-3.58%	0.017857	+22.54%	0.2403	✗	0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.013765	0.01328	-3.52%	0.017291	+25.61%	0.2636	✗	0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.012887	0.012592	-2.29%	0.013308	+3.27%	0.0622	✗	0.34
2026-10-10	oos	0.012848	0.012549	-2.33%	0.013303	+3.55%	0.0646	✗	0.33
2026-10-09	oos	0.012519	0.012249	-2.16%	0.013935	+11.31%	0.1332	✗	0.34
2026-10-08	oos	0.012738	0.012435	-2.37%	0.013058	+2.52%	0.0470	✗	0.36
2026-10-07	oos	0.012589	0.012295	-2.33%	0.013763	+9.33%	0.1210	✗	0.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.012659	0.01237	-2.28%	0.014573	+15.12%	0.1751	✗	0.39
2026-10-05	oos	0.012707	0.012412	-2.32%	0.013765	+8.33%	0.1237	✗	0.42
2026-10-04	oos	0.012899	0.012596	-2.35%	0.012887	-0.09%	0.0383	✗	0.47
2026-10-03	oos	0.012956	0.012593	-2.80%	0.012848	-0.83%	0.0303	✗	0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.011884	0.01163	-2.14%	0.012519	+5.34%	0.0846	✗	0.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.012313	0.01202	-2.38%	0.012738	+3.45%	0.0756	✗	0.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.012909	0.012529	-2.94%	0.012589	-2.48%	0.0063	✓	0.47
2026-09-29	oos	0.012601	0.012236	-2.90%	0.012659	+0.46%	0.0247	✓	0.42
2026-09-28	oos	0.012023	0.011695	-2.73%	0.012707	+5.69%	0.0708	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.012241	0.011894	-2.83%	0.012899	+5.38%	0.0702	✗	0.45
2026-09-26	oos	0.012434	0.012064	-2.98%	0.012956	+4.19%	0.0695	✗	0.47
2026-09-25	oos	0.011831	0.011521	-2.62%	0.011884	+0.45%	0.0288	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.012256	0.011919	-2.75%	0.012313	+0.46%	0.0300	✗	0.45
2026-09-23	oos	0.01249	0.012077	-3.31%	0.012909	+3.35%	0.0710	✗	0.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.01223	0.011913	-2.59%	0.012601	+3.03%	0.0697	✗	0.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.011974	0.011671	-2.53%	0.012023	+0.41%	0.0490	✗	0.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.011331	0.011023	-2.72%	0.012241	+8.03%	0.0861	✗	0.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.011508	0.011185	-2.81%	0.012434	+8.05%	0.0874	✗	0.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.011775	0.011413	-3.08%	0.011831	+0.48%	0.0164	✓	0.50
2026-09-17	oos	0.011548	0.011165	-3.31%	0.012256	+6.13%	0.0399	✗	0.53
2026-09-16	oos	0.011539	0.011144	-3.43%	0.01249	+8.24%	0.0591	✗	0.54
2026-09-15	oos	0.012138	0.011528	-5.02%	0.01223	+0.75%	0.0238	✓	0.63
2026-09-14	oos	0.010906	0.01061	-2.71%	0.011974	+9.79%	0.0444	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.010455	0.010122	-3.18%	0.011331	+8.39%	0.0716	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	0.00994	0.009773	-1.68%	0.011508	+15.79%	0.1257	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.009771	0.009623	-1.52%	0.011775	+20.51%	0.1670	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.009272	0.009159	-1.22%	0.011548	+24.55%	0.2336	✗	0.73
2026-09-09	oos	0.01026	0.010088	-1.68%	0.011539	+12.47%	0.1529	✗	0.67
2026-09-08	oos	0.010186	0.01003	-1.53%	0.012138	+19.17%	0.2163	✗	0.69
2026-09-07	oos	0.010375	0.010217	-1.52%	0.010906	+5.12%	0.0737	✗	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00945	0.009404	-0.49%	0.010455	+10.63%	0.1380	✗	0.71
2026-09-05	oos	0.009865	0.009784	-0.82%	0.00994	+0.76%	0.0394	✗	0.72
2026-09-04	oos	0.009869	0.009789	-0.81%	0.009771	-0.99%	0.0191	✗	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.010077	0.010013	-0.64%	0.009272	-7.99%	0.0380	✓	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.010039	0.009888	-1.51%	0.01026	+2.20%	0.0254	✗	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.00967	0.009541	-1.33%	0.010186	+5.33%	0.0528	✗	0.93
2026-08-31	oos	0.009508	0.009407	-1.07%	0.010375	+9.11%	0.0919	✗	0.90
2026-08-30	oos	0.009343	0.009231	-1.20%	0.00945	+1.15%	0.0068	✓	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.009572	0.009454	-1.24%	0.009865	+3.06%	0.0249	✗	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.009431	0.009299	-1.40%	0.009869	+4.64%	0.0395	✗	0.86
2026-08-27	oos	0.009239	0.009163	-0.83%	0.010077	+9.07%	0.0841	✗	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.009325	0.009221	-1.11%	0.010039	+7.66%	0.1049	✗	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.008563	0.008498	-0.75%	0.00967	+12.93%	0.1416	✗	0.86
2026-08-24	oos	0.008554	0.008498	-0.66%	0.009508	+11.15%	0.1174	✗	0.96
2026-08-23	oos	0.007924	0.007883	-0.52%	0.009343	+17.91%	0.1707	✗	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.008046	0.007994	-0.65%	0.009572	+18.97%	0.1660	✗	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.00872	0.00865	-0.80%	0.009431	+8.15%	0.0921	✗	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	0.008193	0.008083	-1.35%	0.009239	+12.77%	0.0484	✗	0.90
2026-08-19	oos	0.008446	0.008285	-1.91%	0.009325	+10.41%	0.0146	✓	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	0.008435	0.008248	-2.22%	0.008563	+1.51%	0.1889	✓	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.008381	0.008198	-2.19%	0.008554	+2.07%	0.1938	✓	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.008785	0.008563	-2.52%	0.007924	-9.80%	0.3411	✓	1.24
2026-08-15	oos	0.008704	0.008492	-2.44%	0.008046	-7.56%	0.3031	✓	1.24
2026-08-14	oos	0.008496	0.008292	-2.40%	0.00872	+2.64%	0.2193	✓	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	0.008806	0.008567	-2.71%	0.008193	-6.96%	0.2181	✓	1.23
2026-08-12	oos	0.00827	0.008067	-2.45%	0.008446	+2.13%	0.0629	✓	1.23
2026-08-11	oos	0.00837	0.008125	-2.92%	0.008435	+0.78%	0.0154	✓	1.23
2026-08-10	oos	0.00778	0.00764	-1.80%	0.008381	+7.72%	0.0817	✗	1.24
2026-08-09	oos	0.0081	0.007943	-1.94%	0.008785	+8.46%	0.1396	✗	1.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.00833	0.008152	-2.14%	0.008704	+4.49%	0.1019	✗	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.00791	0.007751	-2.00%	0.008496	+7.41%	0.1285	✗	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.00782	0.007655	-2.11%	0.008806	+12.60%	0.1561	✗	1.22
2026-08-05	oos	0.0077	0.007546	-2.00%	0.00827	+7.40%	0.1145	✗	1.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.007285	0.007153	-1.81%	0.00837	+14.89%	0.1669	✗	1.20
2026-08-03	oos	0.007235	0.007105	-1.80%	0.00778	+7.53%	0.0824	✗	1.20
2026-08-02	oos	0.00739	0.007251	-1.89%	0.0081	+9.61%	0.0855	✗	1.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.00733	0.007197	-1.82%	0.00833	+13.64%	0.1060	✗	1.20
2026-07-31	oos	0.00747	0.007335	-1.81%	0.00791	+5.89%	0.0367	✗	1.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.00749	0.007352	-1.85%	0.00782	+4.41%	0.0705	✗	1.25
2026-07-29	oos	0.00744	0.007305	-1.82%	0.0077	+3.49%	0.0390	✗	1.24
2026-07-28	oos	0.007265	0.007148	-1.62%	0.007285	+0.28%	0.0151	✓	1.24
2026-07-27	oos	0.007205	0.007092	-1.56%	0.007235	+0.42%	0.0244	✗	1.24
2026-07-26	oos	0.007935	0.007777	-1.99%	0.00739	-6.87%	0.0171	✓	1.19
2026-07-25	oos	0.00816	0.007987	-2.12%	0.00733	-10.17%	0.0565	✓	1.21
2026-07-24	oos	0.00766	0.007521	-1.81%	0.00747	-2.48%	0.0169	✓	1.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.007535	0.007402	-1.77%	0.00749	-0.60%	0.0181	✗	1.22
2026-07-22	oos	0.008285	0.008108	-2.14%	0.00744	-10.20%	0.0460	✓	1.18
2026-07-21	oos	0.008235	0.008059	-2.14%	0.007265	-11.78%	0.0550	✓	1.19
2026-07-20	oos	0.00835	0.008161	-2.26%	0.007205	-13.71%	0.0960	✓	1.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.008165	0.007987	-2.17%	0.007935	-2.82%	0.0188	✓	1.20
2026-07-18	oos	0.00831	0.008111	-2.40%	0.00816	-1.81%	0.0154	✓	1.20
2026-07-17	oos	0.007805	0.00766	-1.85%	0.00766	-1.86%	0.0035	✓	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.00805	0.007894	-1.94%	0.007535	-6.40%	0.0696	✓	1.16
2026-07-15	oos	0.00832	0.008142	-2.14%	0.008285	-0.42%	0.0069	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.008335	0.008153	-2.19%	0.008235	-1.20%	0.0169	✓	1.16
2026-07-13	oos	0.00812	0.007975	-1.79%	0.00835	+2.83%	0.0088	✓	1.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.00811	0.007953	-1.94%	0.008165	+0.68%	0.0084	✓	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.00844	0.008262	-2.11%	0.00831	-1.54%	0.0138	✓	1.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.00916	0.008923	-2.59%	0.007805	-14.79%	0.1293	✓	1.22
2026-07-09	oos	0.008405	0.008247	-1.88%	0.00805	-4.22%	0.0349	✓	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008443	-1.77%	0.00832	-3.20%	0.0604	✓	1.17
2026-07-07	oos	0.00918	0.008973	-2.25%	0.008335	-9.20%	0.1037	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.01039	0.010127	-2.53%	0.00812	-21.85%	0.1902	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.01091	0.010622	-2.64%	0.00811	-25.66%	0.2727	✓	1.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.01107	0.010775	-2.66%	0.00844	-23.76%	0.2567	✓	1.15
2026-07-03	oos	0.01067	0.010402	-2.51%	0.00916	-14.15%	0.1558	✓	1.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.01102	0.010739	-2.55%	0.008405	-23.73%	0.2770	✓	1.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.01197	0.011606	-3.04%	0.008595	-28.20%	0.3514	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.01117	0.010917	-2.27%	0.00918	-17.82%	0.2749	✓	1.29
2026-06-29	oos	0.01143	0.011143	-2.51%	0.01039	-9.10%	0.1513	✓	1.31
2026-06-28	oos	0.010725	0.010511	-1.99%	0.01091	+1.72%	0.0460	✓	1.25
2026-06-27	oos	0.01078	0.010566	-1.98%	0.01107	+2.69%	0.0173	✓	1.25
2026-06-26	oos	0.01009	0.009944	-1.45%	0.01067	+5.75%	0.0206	✗	1.21
2026-06-25	oos	0.01044	0.010268	-1.65%	0.01102	+5.56%	0.0343	✗	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.0103	0.010151	-1.44%	0.01197	+16.21%	0.1817	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.011325	0.011048	-2.45%	0.01117	-1.37%	0.0790	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.01124	0.010946	-2.62%	0.01143	+1.69%	0.1043	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.01069	0.010487	-1.90%	0.010725	+0.33%	0.0838	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.01125	0.010981	-2.39%	0.01078	-4.18%	0.0506	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.01065	0.010475	-1.64%	0.01009	-5.26%	0.0188	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.010465	0.010331	-1.28%	0.01044	-0.24%	0.0623	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.01182	0.011556	-2.23%	0.0103	-12.86%	0.0599	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.01149	0.011238	-2.20%	0.011325	-1.44%	0.0541	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.0121	0.011805	-2.44%	0.01124	-7.11%	0.0133	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.01255	0.012244	-2.44%	0.01069	-14.82%	0.0974	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.012475	0.012209	-2.13%	0.01125	-9.82%	0.0786	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.012795	0.012539	-2.00%	0.01065	-16.76%	0.1623	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.01296	0.012699	-2.01%	0.010465	-19.25%	0.1827	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0125	0.012321	-1.43%	0.01182	-5.44%	0.0892	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.01515	0.014739	-2.71%	0.01149	-24.16%	0.3108	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01411	0.013848	-1.85%	0.0121	-14.25%	0.1847	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.01453	0.014242	-1.98%	0.01255	-13.63%	0.1638	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.01496	0.01471	-1.67%	0.012475	-16.61%	0.2220	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.01366	0.013494	-1.21%	0.012795	-6.33%	0.0935	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.01688	0.016472	-2.42%	0.01296	-23.22%	0.2360	✓	1.00