CTR

Citrea · Base · gru_s8

token id: #590
symbol: CTR
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x11030f79109269d796fd0fb956d6244e502757f7
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-26
predictions: 420

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

110

of 140 predictions shown

direction hit

58.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2097

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0546

actual -0.0614

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.018489	0.016511	-10.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-10-20	oos	0.017857	0.015954	-10.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-19	oos	0.017291	0.01544	-10.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-18	oos	0.013308	0.012583	-5.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-17	oos	0.013303	0.012531	-5.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-16	oos	0.013935	0.013	-6.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-15	oos	0.013058	0.012254	-6.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.013763	0.012805	-6.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.014573	0.013462	-7.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.013765	0.012756	-7.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.012887	0.01216	-5.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-10	oos	0.012848	0.012119	-5.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2026-10-09	oos	0.012519	0.011834	-5.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-08	oos	0.012738	0.011992	-5.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.36
2026-10-07	oos	0.012589	0.011866	-5.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.012659	0.011986	-5.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.39
2026-10-05	oos	0.012707	0.012035	-5.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-04	oos	0.012899	0.012246	-5.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-03	oos	0.012956	0.012206	-5.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.011884	0.011278	-5.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.012313	0.011644	-5.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.012909	0.01207	-6.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-09-29	oos	0.012601	0.011782	-6.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-09-28	oos	0.012023	0.011278	-6.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.012241	0.011511	-5.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-26	oos	0.012434	0.011659	-6.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-09-25	oos	0.011831	0.011148	-5.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.012256	0.011544	-5.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-23	oos	0.01249	0.01171	-6.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.01223	0.011587	-5.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.011974	0.011365	-5.08%	0.018489	+54.41%	0.5107	✗	0.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.011331	0.010645	-6.05%	0.017857	+57.59%	0.5071	✗	0.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.011508	0.010804	-6.12%	0.017291	+50.24%	0.4667	✗	0.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.011775	0.011001	-6.57%	0.013308	+13.02%	0.1834	✗	0.50
2026-09-17	oos	0.011548	0.010675	-7.56%	0.013303	+15.20%	0.1861	✗	0.53
2026-09-16	oos	0.011539	0.01065	-7.70%	0.013935	+20.76%	0.2324	✗	0.54
2026-09-15	oos	0.012138	0.011005	-9.33%	0.013058	+7.58%	0.1187	✗	0.63
2026-09-14	oos	0.010906	0.010273	-5.80%	0.013763	+26.20%	0.2607	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.010455	0.009824	-6.03%	0.014573	+39.39%	0.3354	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	0.00994	0.009484	-4.59%	0.013765	+38.49%	0.3301	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.009771	0.009356	-4.25%	0.012887	+31.89%	0.2597	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.009272	0.008917	-3.82%	0.012848	+38.58%	0.3069	✗	0.73
2026-09-09	oos	0.01026	0.009844	-4.06%	0.012519	+22.02%	0.2050	✗	0.67
2026-09-08	oos	0.010186	0.009794	-3.84%	0.012738	+25.06%	0.2349	✗	0.69
2026-09-07	oos	0.010375	0.010016	-3.45%	0.012589	+21.34%	0.1914	✗	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00945	0.009293	-1.67%	0.012659	+33.96%	0.2644	✗	0.71
2026-09-05	oos	0.009865	0.00966	-2.08%	0.012707	+28.81%	0.2226	✗	0.72
2026-09-04	oos	0.009869	0.009661	-2.11%	0.012899	+30.70%	0.2341	✗	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.010077	0.00994	-1.36%	0.012956	+28.57%	0.2378	✗	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.010039	0.009705	-3.32%	0.011884	+18.38%	0.1204	✗	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.00967	0.009392	-2.88%	0.012313	+27.33%	0.1852	✗	0.93
2026-08-31	oos	0.009508	0.009303	-2.16%	0.012909	+35.76%	0.2724	✗	0.90
2026-08-30	oos	0.009343	0.009124	-2.34%	0.012601	+34.87%	0.2565	✗	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.009572	0.009384	-1.97%	0.012023	+25.60%	0.1915	✗	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.009431	0.00925	-1.92%	0.012241	+29.80%	0.2100	✗	0.86
2026-08-27	oos	0.009239	0.009191	-0.52%	0.012434	+34.59%	0.2570	✗	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.009325	0.00926	-0.70%	0.011831	+26.87%	0.1888	✗	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.008563	0.008563	+0.00%	0.012256	+43.14%	0.2970	✓	0.86
2026-08-24	oos	0.008554	0.008565	+0.13%	0.01249	+46.01%	0.3136	✓	0.96
2026-08-23	oos	0.007924	0.007933	+0.12%	0.01223	+54.33%	0.3361	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.008046	0.008041	-0.06%	0.011974	+48.82%	0.2886	✗	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.00872	0.008689	-0.35%	0.011331	+29.95%	0.2330	✗	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	0.008193	0.007983	-2.57%	0.011508	+40.47%	0.2698	✗	0.90
2026-08-19	oos	0.008446	0.008073	-4.42%	0.011775	+39.42%	0.2212	✗	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	0.008435	0.007957	-5.66%	0.011548	+36.91%	0.1788	✗	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.008381	0.007911	-5.61%	0.011539	+37.68%	0.1837	✗	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.008785	0.008226	-6.36%	0.012138	+38.17%	0.1602	✗	1.24
2026-08-15	oos	0.008704	0.008159	-6.26%	0.010906	+25.30%	0.0231	✓	1.24
2026-08-14	oos	0.008496	0.007975	-6.13%	0.010455	+23.05%	0.0255	✓	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	0.008806	0.008231	-6.52%	0.00994	+12.88%	0.0546	✓	1.23
2026-08-12	oos	0.00827	0.00778	-5.92%	0.009771	+18.15%	0.0134	✓	1.23
2026-08-11	oos	0.00837	0.007844	-6.29%	0.009272	+10.77%	0.0610	✓	1.23
2026-08-10	oos	0.00778	0.0074	-4.88%	0.01026	+31.88%	0.0757	✗	1.24
2026-08-09	oos	0.0081	0.007693	-5.02%	0.010186	+25.75%	0.0461	✓	1.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.00833	0.007886	-5.33%	0.010375	+24.54%	0.0307	✓	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.00791	0.007508	-5.09%	0.00945	+19.47%	0.0319	✓	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.00782	0.00741	-5.25%	0.009865	+26.15%	0.0210	✓	1.22
2026-08-05	oos	0.0077	0.007306	-5.12%	0.009869	+28.17%	0.0435	✓	1.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.007285	0.006921	-5.00%	0.010077	+38.33%	0.0893	✗	1.20
2026-08-03	oos	0.007235	0.006872	-5.02%	0.010039	+38.76%	0.1423	✗	1.20
2026-08-02	oos	0.00739	0.007006	-5.20%	0.00967	+30.85%	0.0847	✗	1.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.00733	0.006949	-5.19%	0.009508	+29.72%	0.0447	✓	1.20
2026-07-31	oos	0.00747	0.007093	-5.05%	0.009343	+25.07%	0.0215	✓	1.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.00749	0.007126	-4.86%	0.009572	+27.80%	0.0588	✗	1.25
2026-07-29	oos	0.00744	0.007072	-4.94%	0.009431	+26.76%	0.0421	✓	1.24
2026-07-28	oos	0.007265	0.006932	-4.58%	0.009239	+27.17%	0.0033	✓	1.24
2026-07-27	oos	0.007205	0.006874	-4.60%	0.009325	+29.42%	0.0384	✓	1.24
2026-07-26	oos	0.007935	0.007526	-5.15%	0.008563	+7.91%	0.0890	✓	1.19
2026-07-25	oos	0.00816	0.007713	-5.48%	0.008554	+4.83%	0.1463	✓	1.21
2026-07-24	oos	0.00766	0.007282	-4.93%	0.007924	+3.45%	0.1464	✓	1.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.007535	0.007177	-4.75%	0.008046	+6.78%	0.0924	✓	1.22
2026-07-22	oos	0.008285	0.007838	-5.40%	0.00872	+5.25%	0.0946	✓	1.18
2026-07-21	oos	0.008235	0.007798	-5.30%	0.008193	-0.51%	0.0614	✓	1.19
2026-07-20	oos	0.00835	0.007882	-5.61%	0.008446	+1.15%	0.0046	✓	1.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.008165	0.007714	-5.52%	0.008435	+3.31%	0.0894	✗	1.20
2026-07-18	oos	0.00831	0.007832	-5.75%	0.008381	+0.85%	0.0736	✗	1.20
2026-07-17	oos	0.007805	0.007398	-5.21%	0.008785	+12.56%	0.1911	✗	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.00805	0.00761	-5.46%	0.008704	+8.12%	0.1481	✗	1.16
2026-07-15	oos	0.00832	0.007847	-5.68%	0.008496	+2.12%	0.1111	✗	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.008335	0.007855	-5.76%	0.008806	+5.64%	0.1425	✗	1.16
2026-07-13	oos	0.00812	0.007684	-5.37%	0.00827	+1.85%	0.0519	✓	1.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.00811	0.007657	-5.59%	0.00837	+3.21%	0.0930	✗	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.00844	0.007945	-5.86%	0.00778	-7.82%	0.0237	✓	1.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.00916	0.008566	-6.48%	0.0081	-11.57%	0.0696	✓	1.22
2026-07-09	oos	0.008405	0.00792	-5.77%	0.00833	-0.89%	0.0195	✓	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008103	-5.72%	0.00791	-7.97%	0.0731	✓	1.17
2026-07-07	oos	0.00918	0.008604	-6.27%	0.00782	-14.81%	0.1126	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.01039	0.009691	-6.73%	0.0077	-25.89%	0.2404	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.01091	0.010161	-6.87%	0.007285	-33.23%	0.3410	✓	1.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.01107	0.010299	-6.97%	0.007235	-34.64%	0.3600	✓	1.15
2026-07-03	oos	0.01067	0.00994	-6.84%	0.00739	-30.74%	0.3139	✓	1.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.01102	0.010259	-6.91%	0.00733	-33.48%	0.3604	✓	1.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.01197	0.011067	-7.55%	0.00747	-37.59%	0.4570	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.01117	0.010421	-6.71%	0.00749	-32.95%	0.4600	✓	1.29
2026-06-29	oos	0.01143	0.010613	-7.15%	0.00744	-34.91%	0.4344	✓	1.31
2026-06-28	oos	0.010725	0.009998	-6.78%	0.007265	-32.26%	0.4077	✓	1.25
2026-06-27	oos	0.01078	0.010027	-6.98%	0.007205	-33.16%	0.4064	✓	1.25
2026-06-26	oos	0.01009	0.00942	-6.64%	0.007935	-21.36%	0.2750	✓	1.21
2026-06-25	oos	0.01044	0.009723	-6.86%	0.00816	-21.84%	0.2670	✓	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.0103	0.009585	-6.94%	0.00766	-25.63%	0.2738	✓	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.011325	0.010446	-7.76%	0.007535	-33.47%	0.3644	✓	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.01124	0.01034	-8.01%	0.008285	-26.29%	0.2544	✓	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.01069	0.009887	-7.51%	0.008235	-22.97%	0.2334	✓	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.01125	0.01037	-7.82%	0.00835	-25.78%	0.2319	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.01065	0.009868	-7.34%	0.008165	-23.33%	0.2083	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.010465	0.009732	-7.00%	0.00831	-20.59%	0.1880	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.01182	0.010945	-7.40%	0.007805	-33.97%	0.3295	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.01149	0.010646	-7.35%	0.00805	-29.94%	0.2510	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.0121	0.011211	-7.34%	0.00832	-31.24%	0.2744	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.01255	0.011643	-7.23%	0.008335	-33.59%	0.3232	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.012475	0.011603	-6.99%	0.00812	-34.91%	0.3228	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.012795	0.011933	-6.73%	0.00811	-36.62%	0.3894	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.01296	0.012087	-6.73%	0.00844	-34.88%	0.3625	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0125	0.011717	-6.26%	0.00916	-26.72%	0.2889	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.01515	0.014038	-7.34%	0.008405	-44.52%	0.5368	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01411	0.013161	-6.72%	0.008595	-39.09%	0.4129	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.01453	0.013536	-6.84%	0.00918	-36.82%	0.3886	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.01496	0.013968	-6.63%	0.01039	-30.55%	0.3464	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.01366	0.012771	-6.51%	0.01091	-20.13%	0.1985	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.01688	0.015598	-7.59%	0.01107	-34.42%	0.3316	✓	1.00