CSPR

Casper Network · native · gru_s8

token id: #586
symbol: CSPR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-21
predictions: 252

Track record at +7d

assessed

77

of 84 predictions shown

direction hit

61.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0924

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0283

actual -0.0015

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002257	0.002227	-1.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.002253	0.002226	-1.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-19	oos	0.002189	0.002165	-1.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	0.002275	0.002248	-1.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-17	oos	0.002348	0.002317	-1.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-16	oos	0.002345	0.002315	-1.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-15	oos	0.002311	0.002284	-1.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-14	oos	0.002449	0.002415	-1.39%	0.002257	-7.85%	0.0756	✓	0.57
2026-10-13	oos	0.00249	0.002455	-1.41%	0.002253	-9.52%	0.0848	✓	0.56
2026-10-12	oos	0.002435	0.0024	-1.45%	0.002189	-10.10%	0.0924	✓	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.002483	0.002449	-1.37%	0.002275	-8.36%	0.0624	✓	0.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.002443	0.00241	-1.35%	0.002348	-3.87%	0.0157	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.002498	0.00246	-1.49%	0.002345	-6.12%	0.0410	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.002343	0.002319	-1.04%	0.002311	-1.36%	0.0061	✓	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.002432	0.002405	-1.10%	0.002449	+0.71%	0.0290	✗	0.52
2026-10-06	oos	0.002499	0.00247	-1.17%	0.00249	-0.37%	0.0226	✗	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.002604	0.002571	-1.26%	0.002435	-6.48%	0.0306	✓	0.50
2026-10-04	oos	0.00258	0.00255	-1.17%	0.002483	-3.79%	0.0103	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.002571	0.002538	-1.25%	0.002443	-4.96%	0.0273	✓	0.51
2026-10-02	oos	0.002537	0.002509	-1.12%	0.002498	-1.56%	0.0074	✓	0.51
2026-10-01	oos	0.002563	0.002533	-1.15%	0.002343	-8.56%	0.0589	✓	0.50
2026-09-30	oos	0.002648	0.002609	-1.46%	0.002432	-8.16%	0.0686	✓	0.52
2026-09-29	oos	0.002717	0.002679	-1.38%	0.002499	-8.02%	0.0813	✓	0.52
2026-09-28	oos	0.002731	0.002691	-1.48%	0.002604	-4.67%	0.0468	✓	0.52
2026-09-27	oos	0.00279	0.002759	-1.12%	0.00258	-7.53%	0.0790	✓	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.002743	0.002715	-1.01%	0.002571	-6.28%	0.0567	✓	0.51
2026-09-25	oos	0.002707	0.002683	-0.89%	0.002537	-6.26%	0.0581	✓	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.002674	0.002652	-0.83%	0.002563	-4.18%	0.0371	✓	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.00273	0.002702	-1.04%	0.002648	-3.03%	0.0154	✓	0.50
2026-09-22	oos	0.002788	0.002758	-1.09%	0.002717	-2.55%	0.0001	✓	0.49
2026-09-21	oos	0.002786	0.002758	-1.00%	0.002731	-1.95%	0.0084	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.002651	0.00263	-0.81%	0.00279	+5.25%	0.0408	✗	0.46
2026-09-19	oos	0.00285	0.002808	-1.47%	0.002743	-3.76%	0.0408	✓	0.45
2026-09-18	oos	0.002697	0.002673	-0.88%	0.002707	+0.37%	0.0050	✓	0.45
2026-09-17	oos	0.002583	0.002586	+0.09%	0.002674	+3.52%	0.0091	✗	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.002491	0.002506	+0.60%	0.00273	+9.61%	0.0419	✓	0.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.002579	0.002584	+0.20%	0.002788	+8.13%	0.0187	✓	0.44
2026-09-14	oos	0.00289	0.002849	-1.40%	0.002786	-3.60%	0.0494	✓	0.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.002902	0.002867	-1.20%	0.002651	-8.63%	0.0933	✓	0.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.003038	0.002986	-1.72%	0.00285	-6.20%	0.0593	✓	0.25
2026-09-11	oos	0.002933	0.002894	-1.33%	0.002697	-8.05%	0.0824	✓	0.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.002973	0.00293	-1.45%	0.002583	-13.11%	0.1253	✓	0.26
2026-09-09	oos	0.003018	0.002968	-1.66%	0.002491	-17.47%	0.1687	✓	0.24
2026-09-08	oos	0.002894	0.002856	-1.31%	0.002579	-10.88%	0.0929	✓	0.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.002854	0.002818	-1.25%	0.00289	+1.25%	0.0279	✗	0.25
2026-09-06	oos	0.002809	0.002777	-1.11%	0.002902	+3.31%	0.0553	✗	0.26
2026-09-05	oos	0.002845	0.002804	-1.43%	0.003038	+6.79%	0.0886	✗	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.002662	0.002628	-1.26%	0.002933	+10.19%	0.1180	✗	0.26
2026-09-03	oos	0.002657	0.002624	-1.22%	0.002973	+11.91%	0.1404	✗	0.26
2026-09-02	oos	0.002679	0.002617	-2.32%	0.003018	+12.66%	0.1384	✗	0.34
2026-09-01	oos	0.002757	0.002688	-2.50%	0.002894	+4.95%	0.0691	✗	0.33
2026-08-31	oos	0.002768	0.002699	-2.49%	0.002854	+3.10%	0.0536	✗	0.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.002631	0.00255	-3.07%	0.002809	+6.75%	0.0862	✗	0.30
2026-08-29	oos	0.00288	0.002771	-3.80%	0.002845	-1.22%	0.0217	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.002962	0.002846	-3.93%	0.002662	-10.15%	0.0725	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.002917	0.002821	-3.31%	0.002657	-8.94%	0.0631	✓	0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.002761	0.002653	-3.89%	0.002679	-2.95%	0.0149	✓	0.23
2026-08-25	oos	0.003037	0.002891	-4.83%	0.002757	-9.23%	0.0438	✓	0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.002855	0.002745	-3.85%	0.002768	-3.04%	0.0099	✓	0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.00248	0.002412	-2.74%	0.002631	+6.10%	0.0872	✗	0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.002637	0.002552	-3.22%	0.00288	+9.21%	0.1177	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.002832	0.002732	-3.52%	0.002962	+4.60%	0.0814	✗	0.09
2026-08-20	oos	0.002643	0.002529	-4.34%	0.002917	+10.37%	0.1595	✗	-0.17
2026-08-19	oos	0.002541	0.002415	-4.97%	0.002761	+8.62%	0.0023	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.002767	0.002582	-6.68%	0.003037	+9.77%	0.0316	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.003116	0.002859	-8.24%	0.002855	-8.38%	0.2044	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.002687	0.002488	-7.40%	0.00248	-7.70%	0.2159	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.002798	0.002581	-7.76%	0.002637	-5.74%	0.1794	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.002543	0.00237	-6.80%	0.002832	+11.36%	0.0401	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.002369	0.002224	-6.13%	0.002643	+11.58%	0.0321	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.002229	0.002102	-5.70%	0.002541	+14.00%	0.1009	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.0022	0.002075	-5.68%	0.002767	+25.79%	0.2699	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.002055	0.001948	-5.19%	0.003116	+51.64%	0.4608	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.001954	0.00187	-4.30%	0.002687	+37.51%	0.3940	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.001931	0.001847	-4.32%	0.002798	+44.91%	0.4447	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.002011	0.001909	-5.09%	0.002543	+26.43%	0.3168	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.001839	0.001762	-4.17%	0.002369	+28.84%	0.3092	✗	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.00184	0.001764	-4.14%	0.002229	+21.14%	0.2527	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.001926	0.001834	-4.80%	0.0022	+14.21%	0.1902	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.001892	0.001802	-4.75%	0.002055	+8.63%	0.1245	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.001897	0.001804	-4.91%	0.001954	+2.98%	0.0587	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.00193	0.001822	-5.58%	0.001931	+0.06%	0.0244	✓	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.00186	0.001763	-5.24%	0.002011	+8.13%	0.0996	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.001836	0.001725	-6.06%	0.001839	+0.13%	0.0709	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.