CSPR

Casper Network · native · gru_s8

token id: #586
symbol: CSPR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-21
predictions: 252

Track record at +30d

assessed

54

of 84 predictions shown

direction hit

64.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1368

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0726

actual -0.0477

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002257	0.002197	-2.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.002253	0.002201	-2.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-19	oos	0.002189	0.002135	-2.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	0.002275	0.002215	-2.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-17	oos	0.002348	0.00228	-2.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-16	oos	0.002345	0.002278	-2.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-15	oos	0.002311	0.00225	-2.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-14	oos	0.002449	0.002374	-3.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-13	oos	0.00249	0.002418	-2.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-12	oos	0.002435	0.002359	-3.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.002483	0.002412	-2.84%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.002443	0.00237	-3.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.002498	0.002419	-3.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.002343	0.002276	-2.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.002432	0.002363	-2.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-06	oos	0.002499	0.002437	-2.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.002604	0.002533	-2.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-04	oos	0.00258	0.002519	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.002571	0.002496	-2.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-02	oos	0.002537	0.002467	-2.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-01	oos	0.002563	0.002493	-2.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-09-30	oos	0.002648	0.002556	-3.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-29	oos	0.002717	0.002623	-3.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-28	oos	0.002731	0.002632	-3.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-27	oos	0.00279	0.002706	-3.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.002743	0.002663	-2.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-25	oos	0.002707	0.002633	-2.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.002674	0.002606	-2.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.00273	0.00265	-2.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-09-22	oos	0.002788	0.002713	-2.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.49
2026-09-21	oos	0.002786	0.002721	-2.31%	0.002257	-18.99%	0.1647	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.002651	0.002559	-3.48%	0.002253	-15.02%	0.1375	✓	0.46
2026-09-19	oos	0.00285	0.002731	-4.19%	0.002189	-23.18%	0.2242	✓	0.45
2026-09-18	oos	0.002697	0.002602	-3.50%	0.002275	-15.64%	0.1406	✓	0.45
2026-09-17	oos	0.002583	0.002486	-3.78%	0.002348	-9.10%	0.0841	✓	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.002491	0.002409	-3.29%	0.002345	-5.87%	0.0560	✓	0.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.002579	0.002482	-3.73%	0.002311	-10.37%	0.1077	✓	0.44
2026-09-14	oos	0.00289	0.002752	-4.76%	0.002449	-15.25%	0.1278	✓	0.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.002902	0.002768	-4.59%	0.00249	-14.19%	0.1277	✓	0.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.003038	0.002885	-5.04%	0.002435	-19.85%	0.1839	✓	0.25
2026-09-11	oos	0.002933	0.002802	-4.46%	0.002483	-15.35%	0.1415	✓	0.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.002973	0.002836	-4.62%	0.002443	-17.83%	0.1701	✓	0.26
2026-09-09	oos	0.003018	0.002883	-4.48%	0.002498	-17.25%	0.1560	✓	0.24
2026-09-08	oos	0.002894	0.002781	-3.91%	0.002343	-19.02%	0.1811	✓	0.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.002854	0.002751	-3.62%	0.002432	-14.80%	0.1361	✓	0.25
2026-09-06	oos	0.002809	0.002723	-3.04%	0.002499	-11.02%	0.1019	✓	0.26
2026-09-05	oos	0.002845	0.002746	-3.49%	0.002604	-8.48%	0.0715	✓	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.002662	0.002578	-3.15%	0.00258	-3.05%	0.0207	✓	0.26
2026-09-03	oos	0.002657	0.002587	-2.62%	0.002571	-3.24%	0.0173	✓	0.26
2026-09-02	oos	0.002679	0.002546	-4.97%	0.002537	-5.29%	0.0338	✓	0.34
2026-09-01	oos	0.002757	0.00262	-4.97%	0.002563	-7.05%	0.0526	✓	0.33
2026-08-31	oos	0.002768	0.002642	-4.57%	0.002648	-4.36%	0.0175	✓	0.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.002631	0.002483	-5.62%	0.002717	+3.27%	0.0675	✗	0.30
2026-08-29	oos	0.00288	0.002688	-6.67%	0.002731	-5.17%	0.0004	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.002962	0.002765	-6.66%	0.00279	-5.80%	0.0105	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.002917	0.002786	-4.52%	0.002743	-5.98%	0.0284	✓	0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.002761	0.002643	-4.26%	0.002707	-1.95%	0.0093	✓	0.23
2026-08-25	oos	0.003037	0.00287	-5.52%	0.002674	-11.95%	0.0881	✓	0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.002855	0.002732	-4.31%	0.00273	-4.36%	0.0187	✓	0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.00248	0.002387	-3.73%	0.002788	+12.44%	0.1357	✗	0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.002637	0.002515	-4.64%	0.002786	+5.62%	0.0777	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.002832	0.00271	-4.31%	0.002651	-6.39%	0.0253	✓	0.09
2026-08-20	oos	0.002643	0.002456	-7.08%	0.00285	+7.81%	0.1673	✗	-0.17
2026-08-19	oos	0.002541	0.002305	-9.32%	0.002697	+6.10%	0.0026	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.002767	0.002391	-13.61%	0.002583	-6.64%	0.0883	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.003116	0.002631	-15.58%	0.002491	-20.06%	0.2208	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.002687	0.00229	-14.76%	0.002579	-4.02%	0.0660	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.002798	0.002376	-15.08%	0.00289	+3.28%	0.0198	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.002543	0.002198	-13.58%	0.002902	+14.10%	0.0794	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.002369	0.002078	-12.30%	0.003038	+28.25%	0.1827	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.002229	0.001974	-11.47%	0.002933	+31.55%	0.1992	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.0022	0.001952	-11.26%	0.002973	+35.15%	0.2345	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.002055	0.001846	-10.17%	0.003018	+46.88%	0.2888	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.001954	0.001786	-8.59%	0.002894	+48.11%	0.2922	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.001931	0.001766	-8.52%	0.002854	+47.82%	0.2823	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.002011	0.00182	-9.52%	0.002809	+39.63%	0.2204	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.001839	0.001684	-8.40%	0.002845	+54.73%	0.3073	✗	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.00184	0.001688	-8.29%	0.002662	+44.63%	0.2458	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.001926	0.001743	-9.52%	0.002657	+37.93%	0.1836	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.001892	0.001708	-9.70%	0.002679	+41.63%	0.2527	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.001897	0.001709	-9.91%	0.002757	+45.33%	0.2803	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.00193	0.001716	-11.07%	0.002768	+43.46%	0.2538	✗	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.00186	0.001667	-10.40%	0.002631	+41.44%	0.2444	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.001836	0.001663	-9.46%	0.00288	+56.85%	0.3598	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.