BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · gru_s8
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 153
Track record at +7d
assessed
44
of 51 predictions shown
direction hit
31.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2716
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0289
actual +0.2213
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 1.6621 | 1.587 | -4.52% | – | pending | – | – | -1.63 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 1.6423 | 1.5736 | -4.19% | – | pending | – | – | -1.63 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 1.952 | -4.46% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.8807 | -4.36% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.2997 | -4.78% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.3081 | -5.34% | – | pending | – | – | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.8361 | -4.76% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.7396 | -4.24% | 1.6621 | -8.51% | 0.0079 | ✓ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.2524 | -5.38% | 1.6423 | -31.00% | 0.2743 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 1.9718 | -5.58% | 2.0432 | -2.16% | 0.0330 | ✓ | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.6631 | -4.94% | 1.9664 | +12.39% | 0.1693 | ✗ | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.5499 | -4.66% | 2.4152 | +48.56% | 0.4142 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.514 | -4.43% | 2.4383 | +53.91% | 0.4493 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.5022 | -4.64% | 1.9279 | +22.38% | 0.2309 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.3329 | -4.30% | 1.8166 | +30.43% | 0.3176 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.2451 | -4.04% | 2.3803 | +83.45% | 0.6169 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.1684 | -3.72% | 2.0884 | +72.09% | 0.5374 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.1874 | -3.75% | 1.7495 | +41.82% | 0.3153 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.1973 | -3.90% | 1.6258 | +30.50% | 0.2545 | ✗ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 1.0007 | -3.56% | 1.5842 | +52.66% | 0.4206 | ✗ | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.3249 | -4.10% | 1.5753 | +14.02% | 0.1320 | ✗ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.3605 | -4.07% | 1.3928 | -1.80% | 0.0439 | ✓ | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.2756 | -4.01% | 1.2975 | -2.36% | 0.0109 | ✓ | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.329 | -4.30% | 1.2135 | -12.62% | 0.0495 | ✓ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.0766 | -3.81% | 1.2336 | +10.23% | 0.1864 | ✗ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.1748 | -3.76% | 1.2458 | +2.06% | 0.1061 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.970215 | -3.13% | 1.0377 | +3.61% | 0.0748 | ✗ | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.2501 | -4.96% | 1.3815 | +5.03% | 0.1094 | ✗ | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.924156 | -3.17% | 1.4183 | +48.61% | 0.4383 | ✗ | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 0.997058 | -3.93% | 1.329 | +28.05% | 0.2693 | ✗ | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.872596 | -2.81% | 1.3887 | +54.68% | 0.4948 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.780746 | -2.49% | 1.1192 | +39.78% | 0.3970 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.719371 | -3.71% | 1.2207 | +63.40% | 0.4889 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.578903 | -1.93% | 1.0015 | +69.67% | 0.5097 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.615493 | -2.33% | 1.3154 | +108.72% | 0.7204 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.694222 | -3.57% | 0.9544 | +32.57% | 0.2182 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.722068 | -3.75% | 1.0378 | +38.34% | 0.2601 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.67913 | -3.68% | 0.8978 | +27.34% | 0.1477 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.57211 | -1.80% | 0.8007 | +37.44% | 0.2339 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.699338 | -4.78% | 0.74705 | +1.72% | 0.0108 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.541118 | -1.67% | 0.5903 | +7.27% | 0.0369 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.503776 | -0.99% | 0.6302 | +23.86% | 0.1775 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.494112 | -1.19% | 0.7199 | +43.97% | 0.3788 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.452657 | +0.35% | 0.7502 | +66.30% | 0.5329 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.440753 | +0.69% | 0.70505 | +61.06% | 0.5070 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.455024 | +0.88% | 0.5826 | +29.17% | 0.2588 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.453097 | +1.27% | 0.73445 | +64.16% | 0.5281 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.457552 | +1.18% | 0.5503 | +21.69% | 0.2173 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.461556 | +1.10% | 0.5088 | +11.44% | 0.1289 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.460013 | +1.24% | 0.50005 | +10.05% | 0.1434 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.490105 | +0.10% | 0.4511 | -7.86% | 0.0955 | ✗ | 1.00 |