BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · gru_s8
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 153
Track record at +30d
assessed
21
of 51 predictions shown
direction hit
23.8%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
1.0466
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0361
actual +1.0104
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 1.6621 | 1.4817 | -10.85% | – | pending | – | – | -1.63 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 1.6423 | 1.4701 | -10.49% | – | pending | – | – | -1.63 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 1.8364 | -10.12% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.7647 | -10.26% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.1678 | -10.24% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.1803 | -10.58% | – | pending | – | – | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.7285 | -10.34% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.6333 | -10.09% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.1327 | -10.40% | – | pending | – | – | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 1.8717 | -10.38% | – | pending | – | – | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.5701 | -10.26% | – | pending | – | – | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.4664 | -9.80% | – | pending | – | – | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.4301 | -9.72% | – | pending | – | – | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.4191 | -9.92% | – | pending | – | – | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.2559 | -9.83% | – | pending | – | – | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.1755 | -9.41% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.1059 | -8.86% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.1266 | -8.67% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.1395 | -8.54% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 0.942771 | -9.15% | – | pending | – | – | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.2573 | -8.99% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.2951 | -8.69% | – | pending | – | – | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.2135 | -8.69% | – | pending | – | – | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.2681 | -8.69% | – | pending | – | – | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.0274 | -8.20% | – | pending | – | – | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.1244 | -7.89% | – | pending | – | – | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.928217 | -7.32% | – | pending | – | – | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.2056 | -8.34% | – | pending | – | – | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.890229 | -6.72% | – | pending | – | – | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 0.963287 | -7.18% | – | pending | – | – | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.847584 | -5.59% | 1.6621 | +85.12% | 0.6967 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.765838 | -4.35% | 1.6423 | +105.11% | 0.7930 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.695581 | -6.89% | 2.0432 | +173.50% | 1.0559 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.559954 | -5.14% | 1.9664 | +233.12% | 1.2487 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.59367 | -5.80% | 2.4152 | +283.24% | 1.3893 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.662149 | -8.02% | 2.4383 | +238.69% | 1.2397 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.690689 | -7.93% | 1.9279 | +156.98% | 0.9585 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.650606 | -7.72% | 1.8166 | +157.66% | 0.9438 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.556277 | -4.52% | 2.3803 | +308.57% | 1.4113 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.6777 | -7.73% | 2.0884 | +184.34% | 1.0466 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.527048 | -4.23% | 1.7495 | +217.93% | 1.1435 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.491354 | -3.43% | 1.6258 | +219.53% | 1.1161 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.483024 | -3.40% | 1.5842 | +216.81% | 1.1078 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.443283 | -1.73% | 1.5753 | +249.20% | 1.2150 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.431801 | -1.36% | 1.3928 | +218.17% | 1.1306 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.449397 | -0.37% | 1.2975 | +187.67% | 1.0088 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.449476 | +0.46% | 1.2135 | +171.23% | 0.9305 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.454789 | +0.57% | 1.2336 | +172.81% | 0.9264 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.461103 | +1.00% | 1.2458 | +172.87% | 0.9116 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.466821 | +2.73% | 1.0377 | +128.37% | 0.7569 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.489911 | +0.06% | 1.3815 | +182.17% | 0.9477 | ✓ | 1.00 |