AVL

Avalon · Ethereum · gru_s8

token id: #696
symbol: AVL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

72.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0611

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0047

actual -0.0063

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.019479	0.019369	-0.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-20	oos	0.019693	0.019594	-0.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.020678	0.020447	-1.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-18	oos	0.019445	0.01936	-0.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-17	oos	0.020546	0.020403	-0.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-16	oos	0.022173	0.021783	-1.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.020543	0.020249	-1.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.018647	0.018765	+0.63%	0.019479	+4.46%	0.0208	✓	1.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.019376	0.019456	+0.41%	0.019693	+1.64%	0.0145	✓	1.19
2026-10-12	oos	0.018817	0.018962	+0.77%	0.020678	+9.89%	0.0853	✓	1.17
2026-10-11	oos	0.020663	0.020646	-0.08%	0.019445	-5.89%	0.0379	✓	1.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.022471	0.022252	-0.97%	0.020546	-8.56%	0.0586	✓	1.14
2026-10-09	oos	0.019944	0.020091	+0.74%	0.022173	+11.18%	0.1128	✓	1.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.019933	0.020093	+0.80%	0.020543	+3.06%	0.0163	✓	1.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.022334	0.022282	-0.23%	0.018647	-16.51%	0.1572	✓	1.01
2026-10-06	oos	0.02175	0.021731	-0.09%	0.019376	-10.92%	0.0825	✓	1.11
2026-10-05	oos	0.022515	0.022432	-0.37%	0.018817	-16.42%	0.1227	✓	1.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.022884	0.022769	-0.51%	0.020663	-9.71%	0.0602	✓	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.022833	0.022725	-0.47%	0.022471	-1.59%	0.0133	✗	1.13
2026-10-02	oos	0.022786	0.02267	-0.51%	0.019944	-12.47%	0.1017	✓	1.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.022953	0.022879	-0.32%	0.019933	-13.15%	0.0951	✓	1.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.023642	0.023494	-0.62%	0.022334	-5.53%	0.0467	✓	1.17
2026-09-29	oos	0.022532	0.022477	-0.25%	0.02175	-3.47%	0.0592	✓	1.17
2026-09-28	oos	0.021848	0.021818	-0.14%	0.022515	+3.05%	0.0003	✓	1.17
2026-09-27	oos	0.024924	0.024657	-1.07%	0.022884	-8.18%	0.1002	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.025513	0.02516	-1.38%	0.022833	-10.50%	0.1011	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.024789	0.024453	-1.36%	0.022786	-8.08%	0.0755	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.024097	0.023813	-1.18%	0.022953	-4.75%	0.0423	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.023279	0.02303	-1.07%	0.023642	+1.56%	0.0360	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.024603	0.024305	-1.21%	0.022532	-8.42%	0.0456	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.023323	0.023092	-0.99%	0.021848	-6.32%	0.0184	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.021137	0.020827	-1.47%	0.024924	+17.92%	0.1397	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.021371	0.021056	-1.47%	0.025513	+19.38%	0.1536	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0216	0.021286	-1.45%	0.024789	+14.76%	0.1133	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.020413	0.020154	-1.27%	0.024097	+18.05%	0.0786	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.020576	0.020313	-1.28%	0.023279	+13.14%	0.0336	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.021305	0.020963	-1.61%	0.024603	+15.48%	0.0287	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.020442	0.020203	-1.17%	0.023323	+14.09%	0.0413	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.020262	0.020014	-1.23%	0.021137	+4.32%	0.0006	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.021569	0.021099	-2.18%	0.021371	-0.92%	0.0374	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.020448	0.020355	-0.45%	0.0216	+5.64%	0.0129	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.018637	0.018756	+0.64%	0.020413	+9.53%	0.0871	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.02012	0.020162	+0.21%	0.020576	+2.26%	0.0480	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.020503	0.020583	+0.39%	0.021305	+3.91%	0.0717	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.020774	0.020919	+0.70%	0.020442	-1.60%	0.0114	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.020602	0.020846	+1.18%	0.020262	-1.65%	0.0167	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.020591	0.020881	+1.40%	0.021569	+4.75%	0.0651	✓	1.00