AVL
Avalon · Ethereum · gru_s8
- token id
- #696
- symbol
- AVL
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-27
- predictions
- 141
Track record at +30d
assessed
17
of 47 predictions shown
direction hit
82.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0638
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0214
actual -0.0629
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.019479 | 0.019205 | -1.40% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.019693 | 0.019451 | -1.23% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.020678 | 0.020236 | -2.14% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.019445 | 0.019208 | -1.22% | – | pending | – | – | 1.18 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.020546 | 0.020129 | -2.03% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.022173 | 0.021392 | -3.53% | – | pending | – | – | 1.19 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.020543 | 0.020014 | -2.58% | – | pending | – | – | 1.23 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.018647 | 0.018529 | -0.63% | – | pending | – | – | 1.20 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.019376 | 0.019255 | -0.62% | – | pending | – | – | 1.19 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.018817 | 0.018741 | -0.40% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.020663 | 0.020395 | -1.29% | – | pending | – | – | 1.09 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.022471 | 0.021864 | -2.70% | – | pending | – | – | 1.14 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.019944 | 0.019774 | -0.85% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.019933 | 0.019726 | -1.04% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.022334 | 0.021844 | -2.19% | – | pending | – | – | 1.01 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.02175 | 0.021448 | -1.39% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.022515 | 0.022089 | -1.89% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.022884 | 0.022439 | -1.95% | – | pending | – | – | 1.11 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.022833 | 0.022375 | -2.01% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.022786 | 0.022295 | -2.15% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.022953 | 0.022606 | -1.51% | – | pending | – | – | 1.13 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.023642 | 0.023123 | -2.19% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.022532 | 0.02222 | -1.39% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.021848 | 0.021578 | -1.24% | – | pending | – | – | 1.17 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.024924 | 0.024231 | -2.78% | – | pending | – | – | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.025513 | 0.024675 | -3.29% | – | pending | – | – | 1.07 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024789 | 0.023988 | -3.23% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.024097 | 0.023442 | -2.72% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.023279 | 0.022706 | -2.46% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.024603 | 0.024045 | -2.27% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.023323 | 0.022924 | -1.71% | 0.019479 | -16.48% | 0.1168 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.021137 | 0.020394 | -3.51% | 0.019693 | -6.83% | 0.0567 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.021371 | 0.020661 | -3.32% | 0.020678 | -3.24% | 0.0065 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.0216 | 0.020917 | -3.16% | 0.019445 | -9.98% | 0.0869 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.020413 | 0.019601 | -3.98% | 0.020546 | +0.65% | 0.0167 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.020576 | 0.019756 | -3.99% | 0.022173 | +7.76% | 0.0475 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.021305 | 0.020342 | -4.52% | 0.020543 | -3.57% | 0.0731 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.020442 | 0.019778 | -3.25% | 0.018647 | -8.78% | 0.1013 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.020262 | 0.019584 | -3.35% | 0.019376 | -4.38% | 0.0896 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.021569 | 0.020689 | -4.08% | 0.018817 | -12.76% | 0.1512 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.020448 | 0.019941 | -2.48% | 0.020663 | +1.05% | 0.0449 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.018637 | 0.018268 | -1.98% | 0.022471 | +20.57% | 0.1270 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.02012 | 0.019842 | -1.38% | 0.019944 | -0.88% | 0.0479 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.020503 | 0.020376 | -0.62% | 0.019933 | -2.78% | 0.0625 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.020774 | 0.020888 | +0.55% | 0.022334 | +7.51% | 0.0154 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.020602 | 0.021055 | +2.20% | 0.02175 | +5.57% | 0.0302 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.020591 | 0.021196 | +2.94% | 0.022515 | +9.34% | 0.0111 | ✓ | 1.00 |