AVL

Avalon · Ethereum · gru_s8

token id: #696
symbol: AVL
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x5c8d0c48810fd37a0a824d074ee290e64f7a8fa2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

65.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0410

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0024

actual -0.0020

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.019479	0.019435	-0.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-20	oos	0.019693	0.019659	-0.17%	0.019479	-1.08%	0.0059	✓	1.13
2026-10-19	oos	0.020678	0.020594	-0.41%	0.019693	-4.77%	0.0604	✓	1.17
2026-10-18	oos	0.019445	0.019407	-0.19%	0.020678	+6.34%	0.0659	✗	1.18
2026-10-17	oos	0.020546	0.020498	-0.23%	0.019445	-5.36%	0.0619	✓	1.20
2026-10-16	oos	0.022173	0.022036	-0.62%	0.020546	-7.34%	0.0683	✓	1.19
2026-10-15	oos	0.020543	0.020411	-0.65%	0.022173	+7.93%	0.0922	✗	1.23
2026-10-14	oos	0.018647	0.01866	+0.07%	0.020543	+10.17%	0.0880	✓	1.20
2026-10-13	oos	0.019376	0.019383	+0.04%	0.018647	-3.76%	0.0165	✗	1.19
2026-10-12	oos	0.018817	0.018839	+0.12%	0.019376	+2.97%	0.0087	✓	1.17
2026-10-11	oos	0.020663	0.020643	-0.09%	0.018817	-8.93%	0.0670	✓	1.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.022471	0.022381	-0.40%	0.020663	-8.05%	0.0903	✓	1.14
2026-10-09	oos	0.019944	0.019961	+0.09%	0.022471	+12.67%	0.1135	✓	1.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.019933	0.019954	+0.10%	0.019944	+0.05%	0.0120	✗	1.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.022334	0.022304	-0.13%	0.019933	-10.75%	0.0930	✓	1.01
2026-10-06	oos	0.02175	0.021723	-0.12%	0.022334	+2.68%	0.0576	✗	1.11
2026-10-05	oos	0.022515	0.02247	-0.20%	0.02175	-3.40%	0.0299	✓	1.11
2026-10-04	oos	0.022884	0.022829	-0.24%	0.022515	-1.61%	0.0041	✓	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.022833	0.022783	-0.22%	0.022884	+0.22%	0.0188	✓	1.13
2026-10-02	oos	0.022786	0.022734	-0.22%	0.022833	+0.21%	0.0012	✓	1.13
2026-10-01	oos	0.022953	0.022916	-0.16%	0.022786	-0.73%	0.0011	✓	1.13
2026-09-30	oos	0.023642	0.02359	-0.22%	0.022953	-2.92%	0.0453	✓	1.17
2026-09-29	oos	0.022532	0.022503	-0.13%	0.023642	+4.93%	0.0505	✗	1.17
2026-09-28	oos	0.021848	0.021825	-0.10%	0.022532	+3.13%	0.0293	✗	1.17
2026-09-27	oos	0.024924	0.024839	-0.34%	0.021848	-12.34%	0.1155	✓	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.025513	0.025404	-0.43%	0.024924	-2.31%	0.0197	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.024789	0.024684	-0.42%	0.025513	+2.92%	0.0292	✗	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.024097	0.024004	-0.38%	0.024789	+2.87%	0.0356	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.023279	0.023195	-0.36%	0.024097	+3.51%	0.0381	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.024603	0.024494	-0.44%	0.023279	-5.38%	0.0295	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.023323	0.023229	-0.40%	0.024603	+5.49%	0.0620	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.021137	0.021039	-0.46%	0.023323	+10.34%	0.0382	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.021371	0.021273	-0.46%	0.021137	-1.09%	0.0055	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.0216	0.021507	-0.43%	0.021371	-1.06%	0.0108	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.020413	0.020345	-0.33%	0.0216	+5.81%	0.0023	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.020576	0.020508	-0.33%	0.020413	-0.79%	0.0073	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.021305	0.021213	-0.43%	0.020576	-3.42%	0.0379	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.020442	0.020371	-0.35%	0.021305	+4.22%	0.0785	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.020262	0.02018	-0.41%	0.020442	+0.89%	0.0048	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.021569	0.021381	-0.87%	0.020262	-6.06%	0.0477	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.020448	0.020397	-0.24%	0.021569	+5.48%	0.0551	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.018637	0.018644	+0.04%	0.020448	+9.71%	0.0836	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.02012	0.020105	-0.07%	0.018637	-7.37%	0.0533	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.020503	0.020497	-0.03%	0.02012	-1.87%	0.0164	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.020774	0.020781	+0.03%	0.020503	-1.30%	0.0053	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.020602	0.020626	+0.11%	0.020774	+0.83%	0.0228	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.020591	0.020621	+0.14%	0.020602	+0.05%	0.0072	✗	1.00