ARGUS
Argus · Arc · gru_s8
- token id
- #702
- symbol
- ARGUS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Arc
- address
- 0xece5ca8bf9220718e5727754026757512212cb3c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +7d
assessed
20
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
80.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3018
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0181
actual -0.3160
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.008324 | 0.008035 | -3.47% | – | pending | – | – | -1.71 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.007332 | 0.0072 | -1.81% | – | pending | – | – | -1.65 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006858 | 0.006825 | -0.48% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.005716 | 0.005724 | +0.14% | – | pending | – | – | -1.68 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.006867 | 0.006896 | +0.42% | – | pending | – | – | -1.61 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007663 | 0.007688 | +0.33% | – | pending | – | – | -1.64 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0087 | 0.008678 | -0.25% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00865 | 0.008672 | +0.26% | 0.008324 | -3.77% | 0.0548 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.007515 | 0.00756 | +0.60% | 0.007332 | -2.43% | 0.0286 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.008765 | +0.86% | 0.006858 | -21.08% | 0.2465 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0111 | 0.010998 | -0.92% | 0.005716 | -48.51% | 0.6344 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01066 | 0.010635 | -0.24% | 0.006867 | -35.58% | 0.4188 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.01258 | 0.012386 | -1.54% | 0.007663 | -39.09% | 0.4675 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0136 | 0.013311 | -2.13% | 0.0087 | -36.03% | 0.4305 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013664 | -2.47% | 0.00865 | -38.26% | 0.4365 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01355 | 0.013268 | -2.08% | 0.007515 | -44.54% | 0.5396 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.01396 | 0.013664 | -2.12% | 0.00869 | -37.75% | 0.4047 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.014315 | 0.014022 | -2.04% | 0.0111 | -22.46% | 0.2005 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01333 | 0.013073 | -1.93% | 0.01066 | -20.03% | 0.1822 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01549 | 0.01512 | -2.39% | 0.01258 | -18.79% | 0.1605 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014235 | 0.013929 | -2.15% | 0.0136 | -4.46% | 0.0140 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.01404 | 0.013708 | -2.37% | 0.01401 | -0.21% | 0.0252 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.01468 | 0.014351 | -2.24% | 0.01355 | -7.70% | 0.0799 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.01919 | 0.018717 | -2.46% | 0.01396 | -27.25% | 0.3203 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0215 | 0.020916 | -2.71% | 0.014315 | -33.42% | 0.4031 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.02402 | 0.023176 | -3.52% | 0.01333 | -44.50% | 0.5569 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024755 | 0.023721 | -4.18% | 0.01549 | -37.43% | 0.4310 | ✓ | 1.00 |