ARGUS
Argus · Arc · gru_s8
- token id
- #702
- symbol
- ARGUS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Arc
- address
- 0xece5ca8bf9220718e5727754026757512212cb3c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +1d
assessed
26
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
65.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0980
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0028
actual -0.0397
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.008324 | 0.008271 | -0.63% | – | pending | – | – | -1.71 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.007332 | 0.007314 | -0.25% | 0.008324 | +13.52% | 0.1245 | ✗ | -1.65 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006858 | 0.006859 | +0.01% | 0.007332 | +6.92% | 0.0903 | ✓ | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.005716 | 0.005726 | +0.18% | 0.006858 | +19.99% | 0.1770 | ✓ | -1.68 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.006867 | 0.00688 | +0.20% | 0.005716 | -16.77% | 0.1732 | ✗ | -1.61 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007663 | 0.007676 | +0.17% | 0.006867 | -10.39% | 0.1138 | ✗ | -1.64 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0087 | 0.008704 | +0.05% | 0.007663 | -11.92% | 0.1198 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00865 | 0.008662 | +0.14% | 0.0087 | +0.58% | 0.0024 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.007515 | 0.007534 | +0.25% | 0.00865 | +15.10% | 0.1568 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.008714 | +0.27% | 0.007515 | -13.52% | 0.1645 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0111 | 0.011088 | -0.11% | 0.00869 | -21.71% | 0.2203 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01066 | 0.010665 | +0.04% | 0.0111 | +4.13% | 0.0308 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.01258 | 0.012547 | -0.26% | 0.01066 | -15.26% | 0.1674 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0136 | 0.013544 | -0.41% | 0.01258 | -7.50% | 0.0842 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013936 | -0.53% | 0.0136 | -2.93% | 0.0052 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01355 | 0.013491 | -0.44% | 0.01401 | +3.39% | 0.0646 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.01396 | 0.013897 | -0.45% | 0.01355 | -2.94% | 0.0228 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.014315 | 0.014251 | -0.45% | 0.01396 | -2.48% | 0.0118 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01333 | 0.013282 | -0.36% | 0.014315 | +7.39% | 0.0543 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01549 | 0.015408 | -0.53% | 0.01333 | -13.94% | 0.1477 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014235 | 0.014174 | -0.43% | 0.01549 | +8.82% | 0.0928 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.01404 | 0.013978 | -0.44% | 0.014235 | +1.39% | 0.0028 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.01468 | 0.01462 | -0.41% | 0.01404 | -4.36% | 0.0395 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.01919 | 0.01909 | -0.52% | 0.01468 | -23.50% | 0.2648 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0215 | 0.021358 | -0.66% | 0.01919 | -10.74% | 0.0951 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.02402 | 0.02379 | -0.96% | 0.0215 | -10.49% | 0.1018 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024755 | 0.024432 | -1.30% | 0.02402 | -2.97% | 0.0209 | ✓ | 1.00 |