ALIGN
Aligned · Ethereum · gru_s8
- token id
- #369
- symbol
- ALIGN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x50614cc8e44f7814549c223aa31db9296e58057c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-20
- predictions
- 162
Track record at +7d
assessed
47
of 54 predictions shown
direction hit
70.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1199
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0066
actual -0.1189
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004775 | 0.004688 | -1.83% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004405 | 0.004353 | -1.18% | – | pending | – | – | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004435 | 0.004382 | -1.20% | – | pending | – | – | -0.64 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004845 | 0.004761 | -1.73% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004885 | 0.004806 | -1.62% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005015 | 0.004924 | -1.82% | – | pending | – | – | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.004595 | 0.004562 | -0.72% | – | pending | – | – | -0.61 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00456 | 0.004533 | -0.58% | 0.004775 | +4.71% | 0.0605 | ✗ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004635 | 0.004605 | -0.65% | 0.004405 | -4.96% | 0.0456 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004785 | 0.004751 | -0.71% | 0.004435 | -7.31% | 0.0681 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004985 | 0.004939 | -0.93% | 0.004845 | -2.81% | 0.0325 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00511 | 0.005058 | -1.01% | 0.004885 | -4.40% | 0.0472 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005055 | 0.005004 | -1.02% | 0.005015 | -0.79% | 0.0062 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00526 | 0.005191 | -1.31% | 0.004595 | -12.64% | 0.1185 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00572 | 0.005628 | -1.61% | 0.00456 | -20.28% | 0.2256 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00581 | 0.005731 | -1.35% | 0.004635 | -20.22% | 0.2339 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005875 | 0.005789 | -1.46% | 0.004785 | -18.55% | 0.2260 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005995 | 0.005896 | -1.65% | 0.004985 | -16.85% | 0.1926 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006145 | 0.006025 | -1.96% | 0.00511 | -16.84% | 0.1812 | ✓ | -0.76 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00596 | 0.00585 | -1.84% | 0.005055 | -15.18% | 0.1638 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.005915 | 0.005804 | -1.87% | 0.00526 | -11.07% | 0.1266 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00622 | 0.006092 | -2.06% | 0.00572 | -8.04% | 0.0655 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006171 | -2.20% | 0.00581 | -7.92% | 0.0438 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006435 | 0.006278 | -2.43% | 0.005875 | -8.70% | 0.0466 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.00635 | -2.61% | 0.005995 | -8.05% | 0.0401 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.006415 | 0.006253 | -2.52% | 0.006145 | -4.21% | 0.0147 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.006405 | 0.00624 | -2.58% | 0.00596 | -6.95% | 0.0424 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006334 | -2.86% | 0.005915 | -9.28% | 0.0645 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.00623 | 0.006075 | -2.49% | 0.00622 | -0.16% | 0.0168 | ✓ | -0.70 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006599 | -3.38% | 0.00631 | -7.61% | 0.0689 | ✓ | -0.80 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.00686 | 0.006608 | -3.67% | 0.006435 | -6.20% | 0.0556 | ✓ | -0.79 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.0068 | 0.006586 | -3.15% | 0.00652 | -4.12% | 0.0357 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00702 | 0.006796 | -3.19% | 0.006415 | -8.62% | 0.0135 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.006925 | 0.00673 | -2.82% | 0.006405 | -7.51% | 0.0885 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006729 | -1.48% | 0.00652 | -4.54% | 0.1316 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00675 | 0.006676 | -1.10% | 0.00623 | -7.70% | 0.1718 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.007965 | 0.00764 | -4.07% | 0.00683 | -14.25% | 0.2435 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.005885 | 0.006092 | +3.52% | 0.00686 | +16.57% | 0.0164 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006125 | 0.006366 | +3.93% | 0.0068 | +11.02% | 0.0108 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.006325 | 0.006563 | +3.75% | 0.00702 | +10.99% | 0.0173 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006635 | 0.006863 | +3.44% | 0.006925 | +4.37% | 0.0375 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00694 | 0.00716 | +3.17% | 0.00683 | -1.59% | 0.0448 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.00705 | 0.007245 | +2.76% | 0.00675 | -4.26% | 0.0430 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.00798 | 0.008088 | +1.35% | 0.007965 | -0.19% | 0.0219 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.00801 | 0.008141 | +1.64% | 0.005885 | -26.53% | 0.3129 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.007945 | 0.008071 | +1.58% | 0.006125 | -22.91% | 0.2308 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.008195 | 0.008304 | +1.33% | 0.006325 | -22.82% | 0.2395 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.00829 | 0.008416 | +1.52% | 0.006635 | -19.96% | 0.2063 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0083 | 0.008398 | +1.18% | 0.00694 | -16.39% | 0.1308 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00927 | 0.009322 | +0.56% | 0.00705 | -23.95% | 0.2919 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.009765 | 0.009797 | +0.32% | 0.00798 | -18.28% | 0.2186 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.010555 | 0.010551 | -0.04% | 0.00801 | -24.11% | 0.2822 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01074 | 0.010757 | +0.15% | 0.007945 | -26.02% | 0.3368 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01105 | 0.011095 | +0.41% | 0.008195 | -25.84% | 0.3232 | ✗ | 1.00 |