ALIGN
Aligned · Ethereum · gru_s8
- token id
- #369
- symbol
- ALIGN
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x50614cc8e44f7814549c223aa31db9296e58057c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-20
- predictions
- 162
Track record at +1d
assessed
53
of 54 predictions shown
direction hit
60.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0446
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0023
actual -0.0158
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.004775 | 0.004737 | -0.79% | – | pending | – | – | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.004405 | 0.004386 | -0.43% | 0.004775 | +8.40% | 0.0831 | ✗ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.004435 | 0.004416 | -0.44% | 0.004405 | -0.68% | 0.0062 | ✗ | -0.64 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.004845 | 0.004811 | -0.69% | 0.004435 | -8.46% | 0.0828 | ✓ | -0.65 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.004885 | 0.004856 | -0.60% | 0.004845 | -0.82% | 0.0028 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.005015 | 0.004979 | -0.71% | 0.004885 | -2.59% | 0.0201 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.004595 | 0.004587 | -0.17% | 0.005015 | +9.14% | 0.0844 | ✗ | -0.61 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00456 | 0.004554 | -0.13% | 0.004595 | +0.77% | 0.0132 | ✗ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004635 | 0.004629 | -0.14% | 0.00456 | -1.62% | 0.0266 | ✓ | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004785 | 0.004777 | -0.16% | 0.004635 | -3.13% | 0.0199 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.004985 | 0.004974 | -0.22% | 0.004785 | -4.01% | 0.0542 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.00511 | 0.005098 | -0.24% | 0.004985 | -2.45% | 0.0163 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.005055 | 0.005041 | -0.28% | 0.00511 | +1.09% | 0.0166 | ✗ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.00526 | 0.005239 | -0.41% | 0.005055 | -3.90% | 0.0288 | ✓ | -0.66 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.00572 | 0.005695 | -0.43% | 0.00526 | -8.04% | 0.0935 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.00581 | 0.005793 | -0.29% | 0.00572 | -1.55% | 0.0327 | ✓ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005875 | 0.005856 | -0.32% | 0.00581 | -1.11% | 0.0098 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005995 | 0.005973 | -0.37% | 0.005875 | -2.00% | 0.0230 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.006145 | 0.006117 | -0.46% | 0.005995 | -2.44% | 0.0045 | ✓ | -0.76 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.00596 | 0.005935 | -0.42% | 0.006145 | +3.10% | 0.0369 | ✗ | -0.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.005915 | 0.00589 | -0.42% | 0.00596 | +0.76% | 0.0088 | ✗ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.00622 | 0.006191 | -0.46% | 0.005915 | -4.90% | 0.0344 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.00631 | 0.006279 | -0.50% | 0.00622 | -1.43% | 0.0101 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.006435 | 0.006399 | -0.56% | 0.00631 | -1.94% | 0.0124 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006482 | -0.59% | 0.006435 | -1.30% | 0.0160 | ✓ | -0.73 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.006415 | 0.00638 | -0.54% | 0.00652 | +1.64% | 0.0221 | ✗ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.006405 | 0.00637 | -0.55% | 0.006415 | +0.16% | 0.0099 | ✗ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.00652 | 0.006478 | -0.65% | 0.006405 | -1.76% | 0.0138 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.00623 | 0.006197 | -0.52% | 0.00652 | +4.65% | 0.0508 | ✗ | -0.70 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006777 | -0.77% | 0.00623 | -8.78% | 0.1013 | ✓ | -0.80 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.00686 | 0.006801 | -0.85% | 0.00683 | -0.44% | 0.0006 | ✓ | -0.79 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.0068 | 0.006754 | -0.68% | 0.00686 | +0.88% | 0.0900 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.00702 | 0.006976 | -0.63% | 0.0068 | -3.13% | 0.0265 | ✓ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.006925 | 0.006886 | -0.56% | 0.00702 | +1.37% | 0.0148 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.00683 | 0.006812 | -0.26% | 0.006925 | +1.39% | 0.0412 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.00675 | 0.006734 | -0.24% | 0.00683 | +1.19% | 0.0115 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.007965 | 0.007851 | -1.43% | 0.00675 | -15.25% | 0.1586 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.005885 | 0.005922 | +0.64% | 0.007965 | +35.34% | 0.3300 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.006125 | 0.006169 | +0.72% | 0.005885 | -3.92% | 0.0649 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.006325 | 0.006369 | +0.70% | 0.006125 | -3.16% | 0.0331 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.006635 | 0.006678 | +0.65% | 0.006325 | -4.67% | 0.0550 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00694 | 0.006982 | +0.60% | 0.006635 | -4.39% | 0.0597 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.00705 | 0.007087 | +0.53% | 0.00694 | -1.56% | 0.0015 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.00798 | 0.008001 | +0.27% | 0.00705 | -11.65% | 0.1245 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.00801 | 0.008035 | +0.32% | 0.00798 | -0.37% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.007945 | 0.007967 | +0.28% | 0.00801 | +0.82% | 0.0210 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.008195 | 0.008214 | +0.24% | 0.007945 | -3.05% | 0.0397 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.00829 | 0.008312 | +0.27% | 0.008195 | -1.15% | 0.0162 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.0083 | 0.008316 | +0.19% | 0.00829 | -0.12% | 0.0166 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.00927 | 0.009276 | +0.06% | 0.0083 | -10.46% | 0.1610 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.009765 | 0.009765 | -0.00% | 0.00927 | -5.07% | 0.0508 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.010555 | 0.010543 | -0.12% | 0.009765 | -7.48% | 0.0617 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.01074 | 0.010732 | -0.07% | 0.010555 | -1.72% | 0.0281 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.01105 | 0.011046 | -0.04% | 0.01074 | -2.81% | 0.0208 | ✓ | 1.00 |