XRD

Radix · native · gru_s7

token id: #955
symbol: XRD
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,138

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

68.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1179

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0247

actual -0.0502

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.00020255	0.000191025	-5.69%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-21	oos	0.00020935	0.000196075	-6.34%	–	pending	–	–	-0.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.00020335	0.000189832	-6.65%	–	pending	–	–	-0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.0001597	0.000154414	-3.31%	–	pending	–	–	-0.76
2026-10-18	oos	0.0001555	0.000152273	-2.08%	–	pending	–	–	-0.75
2026-10-17	oos	0.000145	0.00014446	-0.37%	–	pending	–	–	-0.77
2026-10-16	oos	0.000202	0.000199545	-1.22%	–	pending	–	–	-0.80
2026-10-15	oos	0.0002698	0.000262223	-2.81%	0.00020255	-24.93%	0.2359	✓	-0.89
2026-10-14	oos	0.0003023	0.000290546	-3.89%	0.00020935	-30.75%	0.3017	✓	-0.88
2026-10-13	oos	0.000314	0.000300417	-4.33%	0.00020335	-35.24%	0.3920	✓	-0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.0003316	0.000314604	-5.13%	0.0001597	-51.84%	0.6770	✓	-0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.0003167	0.000301694	-4.74%	0.0001555	-50.90%	0.6793	✓	-0.82
2026-10-10	oos	0.000315	0.000300057	-4.74%	0.000145	-53.97%	0.7412	✓	-0.75
2026-10-09	oos	0.0003063	0.000292716	-4.43%	0.000202	-34.05%	0.3806	✓	-0.76
2026-10-08	oos	0.0003161	0.000301265	-4.69%	0.0002698	-14.65%	0.1064	✓	-0.75
2026-10-07	oos	0.0003327	0.000315344	-5.22%	0.0003023	-9.14%	0.0585	✓	-0.78
2026-10-06	oos	0.0003347	0.000318164	-4.94%	0.000314	-6.18%	0.0361	✓	-0.79
2026-10-05	oos	0.0003482	0.000330423	-5.11%	0.0003316	-4.77%	0.0351	✓	-0.81
2026-10-04	oos	0.00035815	0.00034075	-4.86%	0.0003167	-11.57%	0.1002	✓	-0.81
2026-10-03	oos	0.0003558	0.000336231	-5.50%	0.000315	-11.47%	0.0833	✓	-0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.0003674	0.00034662	-5.66%	0.0003063	-16.63%	0.1430	✓	-0.82
2026-10-01	oos	0.0003791	0.000358148	-5.53%	0.0003161	-16.62%	0.1560	✓	-0.82
2026-09-30	oos	0.0003794	0.000355896	-6.19%	0.0003327	-12.31%	0.0702	✓	-0.83
2026-09-29	oos	0.0004078	0.000384067	-5.82%	0.0003347	-17.93%	0.1192	✓	-0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.00041535	0.000390412	-6.00%	0.0003482	-16.17%	0.0934	✓	-0.78
2026-09-27	oos	0.0004422	0.000418629	-5.33%	0.00035815	-19.01%	0.1373	✓	-0.78
2026-09-26	oos	0.000458	0.000433829	-5.28%	0.0003558	-22.31%	0.1953	✓	-0.79
2026-09-25	oos	0.00043745	0.000411978	-5.82%	0.0003674	-16.01%	0.1107	✓	-0.79
2026-09-24	oos	0.0004705	0.000445763	-5.26%	0.0003791	-19.43%	0.1576	✓	-0.80
2026-09-23	oos	0.0004971	0.000471645	-5.12%	0.0003794	-23.68%	0.2255	✓	-0.80
2026-09-22	oos	0.00052705	0.000504441	-4.29%	0.0004078	-22.63%	0.2375	✓	-0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.0004693	0.00044847	-4.44%	0.00041535	-11.50%	0.1048	✓	-0.76
2026-09-20	oos	0.0005461	0.000510695	-6.48%	0.0004422	-19.03%	0.1230	✓	-0.53
2026-09-19	oos	0.0005252	0.000491353	-6.44%	0.000458	-12.80%	0.0503	✓	-0.52
2026-09-18	oos	0.0005677	0.000530636	-6.53%	0.00043745	-22.94%	0.1738	✓	-0.49
2026-09-17	oos	0.0005761	0.000529177	-8.14%	0.0004705	-18.33%	0.0654	✓	-0.52
2026-09-16	oos	0.0005034	0.00046472	-7.68%	0.0004971	-1.25%	0.1209	✗	-0.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.00055565	0.000510446	-8.14%	0.00052705	-5.15%	0.0993	✗	-0.51
2026-09-14	oos	0.00050485	0.000466778	-7.54%	0.0004693	-7.04%	0.0471	✓	-0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.0004931	0.000456437	-7.44%	0.0005461	+10.75%	0.2027	✗	-0.42
2026-09-12	oos	0.00051075	0.000471701	-7.65%	0.0005252	+2.83%	0.1288	✗	-0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.0004845	0.000450157	-7.09%	0.0005677	+17.17%	0.2516	✗	-0.42
2026-09-10	oos	0.00049	0.000454914	-7.16%	0.0005761	+17.57%	0.2352	✗	-0.41
2026-09-09	oos	0.0004695	0.000438861	-6.53%	0.0005034	+7.22%	0.1268	✗	-0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.0004796	0.000448622	-6.46%	0.00055565	+15.86%	0.2007	✗	-0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.0004335	0.000411286	-5.12%	0.00050485	+16.46%	0.2012	✗	-0.32
2026-09-06	oos	0.0004823	0.000460738	-4.47%	0.0004931	+2.24%	0.0500	✗	-0.40
2026-09-05	oos	0.0004722	0.000455873	-3.46%	0.00051075	+8.16%	0.1003	✗	-0.41
2026-09-04	oos	0.0005019	0.000491224	-2.13%	0.0004845	-3.47%	0.0252	✓	-0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.00048295	0.00047947	-0.72%	0.00049	+1.46%	0.0013	✓	-0.34
2026-09-02	oos	0.0005701	0.000577199	+1.25%	0.0004695	-17.65%	0.2057	✗	-0.06
2026-09-01	oos	0.0005914	0.000602344	+1.85%	0.0004796	-18.90%	0.2269	✗	-0.07
2026-08-31	oos	0.0006227	0.000637949	+2.45%	0.0004335	-30.38%	0.3854	✗	-0.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.0008295	0.000856509	+3.26%	0.0004823	-41.86%	0.5736	✗	-0.02
2026-08-29	oos	0.0008672	0.000894438	+3.14%	0.0004722	-45.55%	0.6388	✗	0.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.0008723	0.000896318	+2.75%	0.0005019	-42.46%	0.5799	✗	-0.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.0008124	0.000836959	+3.02%	0.00048295	-40.55%	0.5505	✗	0.06
2026-08-26	oos	0.0008192	0.000840252	+2.57%	0.0005701	-30.41%	0.3866	✗	0.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.0009036	0.00092163	+2.00%	0.0005914	-34.55%	0.4425	✗	0.08
2026-08-24	oos	0.0009272	0.000943621	+1.77%	0.0006227	-32.84%	0.4152	✗	0.09
2026-08-23	oos	0.0008831	0.000896962	+1.57%	0.0008295	-6.07%	0.0781	✗	0.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.0007908	0.000804244	+1.70%	0.0008672	+9.66%	0.0748	✓	0.04
2026-08-21	oos	0.0009212	0.000933513	+1.34%	0.0008723	-5.31%	0.0680	✗	-0.02
2026-08-20	oos	0.000924	0.000925987	+0.21%	0.0008124	-12.08%	0.1267	✗	-0.04
2026-08-19	oos	0.0009664	0.000954905	-1.19%	0.0008192	-15.23%	0.1569	✓	0.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00104	0.001007	-3.16%	0.0009036	-13.07%	0.1488	✓	0.21
2026-08-17	oos	0.0008909	0.000872752	-2.04%	0.0009272	+4.07%	0.0268	✗	0.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.0009265	0.000903574	-2.47%	0.0008831	-4.68%	0.0670	✓	0.21
2026-08-15	oos	0.0009606	0.000934858	-2.68%	0.0007908	-17.68%	0.2088	✓	0.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.0009194	0.000897518	-2.38%	0.0009212	+0.20%	0.0188	✓	0.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.0009389	0.00091608	-2.43%	0.000924	-1.59%	0.0205	✓	0.21
2026-08-12	oos	0.0009805	0.000953473	-2.76%	0.0009664	-1.44%	0.0057	✓	0.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.0009268	0.00090487	-2.37%	0.00104	+12.16%	0.1351	✗	0.20
2026-08-10	oos	0.0009081	0.000888586	-2.15%	0.0008909	-1.89%	0.0007	✓	0.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.0009197	0.00090129	-2.00%	0.0009265	+0.74%	0.0341	✗	0.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.0009326	0.000913687	-2.03%	0.0009606	+3.00%	0.0562	✗	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.000926	0.000907807	-1.96%	0.0009194	-0.71%	0.0186	✓	0.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.0009132	0.000895527	-1.94%	0.0009389	+2.81%	0.0499	✗	0.20
2026-08-05	oos	0.0009628	0.000942225	-2.14%	0.0009805	+1.84%	0.0433	✗	0.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.0009463	0.000926417	-2.10%	0.0009268	-2.06%	0.0019	✓	0.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.0009816	0.000957907	-2.41%	0.0009081	-7.49%	0.0548	✓	0.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.0009839	0.000959598	-2.47%	0.0009197	-6.53%	0.0467	✓	0.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.0009494	0.000927276	-2.33%	0.0009326	-1.77%	0.0008	✓	0.19
2026-07-31	oos	0.0009641	0.000940757	-2.42%	0.000926	-3.95%	0.0221	✓	0.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.0009621	0.000942898	-2.00%	0.0009132	-5.08%	0.0305	✓	0.21
2026-07-29	oos	0.0009642	0.000943773	-2.12%	0.0009628	-0.15%	0.0177	✓	0.20
2026-07-28	oos	0.000978	0.000956675	-2.18%	0.0009463	-3.24%	0.0115	✓	0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.0009945	0.000971178	-2.35%	0.0009816	-1.30%	0.0114	✓	0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.001022	0.000998977	-2.25%	0.0009839	-3.73%	0.0095	✓	0.20
2026-07-25	oos	0.0009924	0.00096861	-2.40%	0.0009494	-4.33%	0.0154	✓	0.19
2026-07-24	oos	0.001111	0.00106	-4.51%	0.0009641	-13.19%	0.0910	✓	0.22
2026-07-23	oos	0.000826	0.000818847	-0.87%	0.0009621	+16.48%	0.1630	✗	0.35
2026-07-22	oos	0.0008296	0.000824932	-0.56%	0.0009642	+16.22%	0.1676	✗	0.35
2026-07-21	oos	0.0008107	0.00080863	-0.26%	0.000978	+20.64%	0.2045	✗	0.35
2026-07-20	oos	0.0008331	0.000827827	-0.63%	0.0009945	+19.37%	0.1922	✗	0.37
2026-07-19	oos	0.0008441	0.00083739	-0.79%	0.001022	+21.08%	0.1954	✗	0.38
2026-07-18	oos	0.0008624	0.00085467	-0.90%	0.0009924	+15.07%	0.1522	✗	0.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0008939	0.000881465	-1.39%	0.001111	+24.24%	0.2300	✗	0.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0008759	0.000864402	-1.31%	0.000826	-5.70%	0.0529	✓	0.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.0008642	0.000855307	-1.03%	0.0008296	-4.00%	0.0396	✓	0.43
2026-07-14	oos	0.0008509	0.000843462	-0.87%	0.0008107	-4.72%	0.0497	✓	0.43
2026-07-13	oos	0.0008453	0.000833696	-1.37%	0.0008331	-1.44%	0.0216	✓	0.45
2026-07-12	oos	0.0009251	0.000909839	-1.65%	0.0008441	-8.76%	0.0808	✓	0.39
2026-07-11	oos	0.0008567	0.000846892	-1.14%	0.0008624	+0.67%	0.0113	✓	0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.0008899	0.000878573	-1.27%	0.0008939	+0.45%	0.0188	✗	0.42
2026-07-09	oos	0.0009105	0.000896044	-1.59%	0.0008759	-3.80%	0.0268	✓	0.43
2026-07-08	oos	0.0009185	0.000901648	-1.83%	0.0008642	-5.91%	0.0586	✓	0.42
2026-07-07	oos	0.0009017	0.000887889	-1.53%	0.0008509	-5.63%	0.0535	✓	0.42
2026-07-06	oos	0.0009111	0.000897472	-1.50%	0.0008453	-7.22%	0.0482	✓	0.42
2026-07-05	oos	0.0009322	0.000915687	-1.77%	0.0009251	-0.76%	0.0093	✓	0.36
2026-07-04	oos	0.0008982	0.000884047	-1.58%	0.0008567	-4.62%	0.0352	✓	0.35
2026-07-03	oos	0.0008806	0.000867416	-1.50%	0.0008899	+1.06%	0.0164	✗	0.36
2026-07-02	oos	0.0008928	0.000877783	-1.68%	0.0009105	+1.98%	0.0266	✗	0.37
2026-07-01	oos	0.0008892	0.000872936	-1.83%	0.0009185	+3.30%	0.0370	✗	0.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.0008508	0.000837563	-1.56%	0.0009017	+5.98%	0.0469	✗	0.34
2026-06-29	oos	0.000859	0.000847384	-1.35%	0.0009111	+6.07%	0.0512	✗	0.34
2026-06-28	oos	0.0008715	0.000859264	-1.40%	0.0009322	+6.97%	0.0570	✗	0.37
2026-06-27	oos	0.0008652	0.000854757	-1.21%	0.0008982	+3.81%	0.0311	✗	0.36
2026-06-26	oos	0.0008949	0.000883397	-1.29%	0.0008806	-1.60%	0.0182	✓	0.37
2026-06-25	oos	0.0009166	0.000904442	-1.33%	0.0008928	-2.60%	0.0238	✓	0.37
2026-06-24	oos	0.000945	0.000932629	-1.31%	0.0008892	-5.90%	0.0404	✓	0.43
2026-06-23	oos	0.000973	0.000960907	-1.24%	0.0008508	-12.56%	0.0919	✓	0.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.001058	0.001042	-1.50%	0.000859	-18.81%	0.1692	✓	0.39
2026-06-21	oos	0.001066	0.001049	-1.62%	0.0008715	-18.25%	0.1607	✓	0.40
2026-06-20	oos	0.001112	0.001092	-1.78%	0.0008652	-22.19%	0.2065	✓	0.38
2026-06-19	oos	0.001094	0.001074	-1.81%	0.0008949	-18.20%	0.1606	✓	0.39
2026-06-18	oos	0.001102	0.00108	-1.96%	0.0009166	-16.82%	0.1446	✓	0.38
2026-06-17	oos	0.00109	0.001071	-1.78%	0.000945	-13.30%	0.1043	✓	0.37
2026-06-16	oos	0.001106	0.001086	-1.79%	0.000973	-12.03%	0.0931	✓	0.37
2026-06-15	oos	0.001121	0.0011	-1.87%	0.001058	-5.62%	0.0253	✓	0.38
2026-06-14	oos	0.001115	0.001094	-1.92%	0.001066	-4.39%	0.0110	✓	0.38
2026-06-13	oos	0.001128	0.001104	-2.14%	0.001112	-1.42%	0.0085	✓	0.38
2026-06-12	oos	0.001102	0.001079	-2.10%	0.001094	-0.73%	0.0143	✓	0.38
2026-06-11	oos	0.001113	0.001088	-2.24%	0.001102	-0.99%	0.0168	✓	0.38
2026-06-10	oos	0.001112	0.001085	-2.41%	0.00109	-1.98%	0.0141	✓	0.39
2026-06-09	oos	0.001126	0.001096	-2.70%	0.001106	-1.82%	0.0150	✓	0.39
2026-06-08	oos	0.001097	0.001069	-2.57%	0.001121	+2.19%	0.0271	✗	0.41
2026-06-07	oos	0.001059	0.001034	-2.33%	0.001115	+5.29%	0.0606	✗	0.39
2026-06-06	oos	0.001037	0.001015	-2.15%	0.001128	+8.78%	0.0835	✗	0.39
2026-06-05	oos	0.00103	0.001008	-2.14%	0.001102	+6.99%	0.0726	✗	0.41
2026-06-04	oos	0.001084	0.001053	-2.85%	0.001113	+2.68%	0.0567	✗	0.38
2026-06-03	oos	0.001055	0.001027	-2.68%	0.001112	+5.40%	0.0976	✗	0.43
2026-06-02	oos	0.001015	0.000990097	-2.45%	0.001126	+10.99%	0.1689	✗	0.51
2026-06-01	oos	0.00104	0.001013	-2.63%	0.001097	+5.48%	0.1513	✗	0.58
2026-05-31	oos	0.00108	0.001049	-2.84%	0.001059	-1.94%	0.0967	✗	0.58
2026-05-30	oos	0.00107	0.00104	-2.77%	0.001037	-3.08%	0.1079	✗	0.58
2026-05-29	oos	0.001088	0.001056	-2.90%	0.00103	-5.33%	0.0912	✗	0.63
2026-05-28	oos	0.001084	0.001052	-2.92%	0.001084	+0.00%	0.1208	✗	0.64
2026-05-27	oos	0.00112	0.001084	-3.18%	0.001055	-5.80%	0.0603	✗	0.59
2026-05-26	oos	0.001162	0.00112	-3.60%	0.001015	-12.65%	0.0241	✓	0.58
2026-05-25	oos	0.001116	0.001082	-3.09%	0.00104	-6.81%	0.0146	✓	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.001018	0.000996093	-2.15%	0.00108	+6.09%	0.1121	✗	0.69
2026-05-23	oos	0.001016	0.000995854	-1.98%	0.00107	+5.31%	0.0992	✗	0.72
2026-05-22	oos	0.001064	0.00104	-2.22%	0.001088	+2.26%	0.0649	✗	0.72
2026-05-21	oos	0.001073	0.001053	-1.89%	0.001084	+1.03%	0.0679	✗	0.72
2026-05-20	oos	0.001081	0.001062	-1.76%	0.00112	+3.61%	0.0837	✗	0.73
2026-05-19	oos	0.001127	0.001105	-1.99%	0.001162	+3.11%	0.0599	✗	0.74
2026-05-18	oos	0.001148	0.001125	-1.97%	0.001116	-2.79%	0.0113	✓	0.73
2026-05-17	oos	0.001148	0.001128	-1.78%	0.001018	-11.32%	0.0985	✓	0.68
2026-05-16	oos	0.001173	0.001153	-1.70%	0.001016	-13.38%	0.1139	✓	0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.001194	0.001176	-1.53%	0.001064	-10.89%	0.0679	✓	0.68
2026-05-14	oos	0.00121	0.001199	-0.94%	0.001073	-11.32%	0.0812	✓	0.66
2026-05-13	oos	0.001223	0.001206	-1.43%	0.001081	-11.61%	0.0940	✓	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.001247	0.001232	-1.17%	0.001127	-9.62%	0.0587	✓	0.65
2026-05-11	oos	0.00125	0.001241	-0.73%	0.001148	-8.16%	0.0363	✓	0.69
2026-05-10	oos	0.001246	0.001241	-0.44%	0.001148	-7.87%	0.0364	✓	0.68
2026-05-09	oos	0.001259	0.001249	-0.81%	0.001173	-6.83%	0.0404	✓	0.69
2026-05-08	oos	0.001245	0.001236	-0.70%	0.001194	-4.10%	0.0251	✓	0.69
2026-05-07	oos	0.001261	0.001253	-0.67%	0.00121	-4.04%	0.0435	✓	0.67
2026-05-06	oos	0.001284	0.001281	-0.24%	0.001223	-4.75%	0.0232	✓	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	0.001274	0.001272	-0.14%	0.001247	-2.12%	0.0150	✓	0.96
2026-05-04	oos	0.001287	0.001283	-0.30%	0.00125	-2.87%	0.0496	✓	1.01
2026-05-03	oos	0.001263	0.001259	-0.35%	0.001246	-1.35%	0.0549	✓	0.99
2026-05-02	oos	0.001264	0.001261	-0.22%	0.001259	-0.40%	0.0267	✓	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.00126	0.001258	-0.16%	0.001245	-1.19%	0.0355	✓	1.02
2026-04-30	oos	0.001261	0.001253	-0.63%	0.001261	+0.00%	0.0476	✓	1.14
2026-04-29	oos	0.001279	0.001269	-0.81%	0.001284	+0.39%	0.0705	✓	1.14
2026-04-28	oos	0.001283	0.001274	-0.68%	0.001274	-0.70%	0.0626	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.001329	0.001321	-0.57%	0.001287	-3.16%	0.0603	✓	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.001364	0.001361	-0.24%	0.001263	-7.40%	0.0729	✓	1.10
2026-04-25	oos	0.001351	0.001344	-0.54%	0.001264	-6.44%	0.0756	✓	1.10
2026-04-24	oos	0.001327	0.001322	-0.40%	0.00126	-5.05%	0.0593	✓	1.16
2026-04-23	oos	0.001293	0.001294	+0.11%	0.001261	-2.47%	0.0036	✓	1.16
2026-04-22	oos	0.00129	0.001291	+0.06%	0.001279	-0.85%	0.0279	✓	1.16
2026-04-21	oos	0.001283	0.001273	-0.76%	0.001283	+0.00%	0.0081	✗	1.18
2026-04-20	oos	0.001286	0.001273	-1.00%	0.001329	+3.34%	0.0191	✗	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.001294	0.00127	-1.83%	0.001364	+5.41%	0.0025	✓	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.001285	0.001271	-1.12%	0.001351	+5.14%	0.0343	✗	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.001322	0.001311	-0.84%	0.001327	+0.38%	0.0072	✓	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.001241	0.001225	-1.30%	0.001293	+4.19%	0.0109	✓	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.001251	0.001232	-1.50%	0.00129	+3.12%	0.0011	✓	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.001239	0.001217	-1.74%	0.001283	+3.55%	0.0220	✗	1.05
2026-04-13	oos	0.001228	0.001208	-1.67%	0.001286	+4.72%	0.0429	✗	1.06
2026-04-12	oos	0.001177	0.001146	-2.65%	0.001294	+9.94%	0.0770	✗	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.001182	0.001159	-1.97%	0.001285	+8.71%	0.0657	✗	1.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.001197	0.001172	-2.08%	0.001322	+10.44%	0.0625	✗	1.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.001235	0.001201	-2.75%	0.001241	+0.49%	0.0162	✓	1.07
2026-04-08	oos	0.001253	0.001213	-3.17%	0.001251	-0.16%	0.0247	✓	1.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.001268	0.001228	-3.18%	0.001239	-2.29%	0.0242	✓	1.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.001317	0.001257	-4.59%	0.001228	-6.76%	0.1106	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.00122	0.001172	-3.94%	0.001177	-3.52%	0.0237	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.001182	0.001138	-3.73%	0.001182	+0.00%	0.0531	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.001184	0.00114	-3.68%	0.001197	+1.10%	0.0468	✓	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.001167	0.001128	-3.35%	0.001235	+5.83%	0.0129	✓	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.001171	0.001136	-3.02%	0.001253	+7.00%	0.0513	✗	1.10
2026-03-31	oos	0.001203	0.001169	-2.80%	0.001268	+5.40%	0.0231	✓	1.10
2026-03-30	oos	0.001169	0.001145	-2.07%	0.001317	+12.66%	0.1059	✗	1.10
2026-03-29	oos	0.001191	0.001171	-1.70%	0.00122	+2.43%	0.0084	✓	1.10
2026-03-28	oos	0.001246	0.001226	-1.60%	0.001182	-5.14%	0.0525	✓	1.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.001333	0.00131	-1.76%	0.001184	-11.18%	0.1108	✓	1.10
2026-03-26	oos	0.001458	0.001431	-1.85%	0.001167	-19.96%	0.1741	✓	1.08
2026-03-25	oos	0.001511	0.001491	-1.34%	0.001171	-22.50%	0.1920	✓	1.08
2026-03-24	oos	0.001523	0.001504	-1.26%	0.001203	-21.01%	0.1871	✓	1.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.00154	0.001524	-1.06%	0.001169	-24.09%	0.1998	✓	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.001521	0.0015	-1.37%	0.001191	-21.70%	0.1996	✓	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.001581	0.001559	-1.41%	0.001246	-21.19%	0.1817	✓	1.10
2026-03-20	oos	0.001576	0.001559	-1.06%	0.001333	-15.42%	0.0897	✓	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.001769	0.001739	-1.69%	0.001458	-17.58%	0.1577	✓	1.13
2026-03-18	oos	0.001782	0.001756	-1.46%	0.001511	-15.21%	0.1511	✓	1.13
2026-03-17	oos	0.001847	0.001823	-1.30%	0.001523	-17.54%	0.1264	✓	1.14
2026-03-16	oos	0.001867	0.001844	-1.22%	0.00154	-17.51%	0.1181	✓	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.001867	0.001841	-1.42%	0.001521	-18.53%	0.1114	✓	1.12
2026-03-14	oos	0.001847	0.001819	-1.52%	0.001581	-14.40%	0.1029	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.001851	0.001822	-1.56%	0.001576	-14.86%	0.1380	✓	1.12
2026-03-12	oos	0.001816	0.001789	-1.49%	0.001769	-2.59%	0.0014	✓	1.12
2026-03-11	oos	0.001821	0.001793	-1.54%	0.001782	-2.14%	0.0225	✓	1.12
2026-03-10	oos	0.001806	0.001778	-1.54%	0.001847	+2.27%	0.0238	✓	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.00188	0.001845	-1.85%	0.001867	-0.69%	0.0911	✓	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.001837	0.001801	-1.95%	0.001867	+1.63%	0.0769	✓	1.14
2026-03-07	oos	0.001939	0.001899	-2.07%	0.001847	-4.74%	0.0927	✓	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.001938	0.001899	-1.99%	0.001851	-4.49%	0.0717	✓	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.002083	0.002039	-2.11%	0.001816	-12.82%	0.1103	✓	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.002165	0.002117	-2.21%	0.001821	-15.89%	0.1127	✓	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.002077	0.002031	-2.23%	0.001806	-13.05%	0.1435	✓	1.12
2026-03-02	oos	0.002231	0.002174	-2.53%	0.00188	-15.73%	0.1393	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.002204	0.002145	-2.66%	0.001837	-16.65%	0.1585	✓	1.07
2026-02-28	oos	0.002497	0.002408	-3.55%	0.001939	-22.35%	0.2214	✓	1.04
2026-02-27	oos	0.002439	0.002349	-3.68%	0.001938	-20.54%	0.2274	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.002328	0.002251	-3.32%	0.002083	-10.52%	0.1295	✓	1.06
2026-02-25	oos	0.002335	0.002251	-3.60%	0.002165	-7.28%	0.1097	✓	1.06
2026-02-24	oos	0.002177	0.002104	-3.37%	0.002077	-4.59%	0.0804	✓	1.05
2026-02-23	oos	0.002412	0.002303	-4.51%	0.002231	-7.50%	0.0980	✓	1.05
2026-02-22	oos	0.002574	0.002431	-5.56%	0.002204	-14.37%	0.0694	✓	1.03
2026-02-21	oos	0.002421	0.00226	-6.64%	0.002497	+3.14%	0.1148	✗	1.04
2026-02-20	oos	0.001841	0.001785	-3.04%	0.002439	+32.48%	0.3445	✗	1.02
2026-02-19	oos	0.001773	0.001723	-2.80%	0.002328	+31.30%	0.2930	✗	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.001751	0.001703	-2.75%	0.002335	+33.35%	0.2919	✗	1.02
2026-02-17	oos	0.00175	0.001701	-2.80%	0.002177	+24.40%	0.2978	✗	0.99
2026-02-16	oos	0.001592	0.00156	-2.04%	0.002412	+51.51%	0.5014	✗	1.03
2026-02-15	oos	0.001589	0.001561	-1.77%	0.002574	+61.99%	0.5179	✗	1.03
2026-02-14	oos	0.001649	0.001619	-1.83%	0.002421	+46.82%	0.4300	✗	1.03
2026-02-13	oos	0.001779	0.001744	-1.94%	0.001841	+3.49%	0.0666	✗	1.05
2026-02-12	oos	0.001795	0.001769	-1.45%	0.001773	-1.23%	0.0101	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.001831	0.001805	-1.43%	0.001751	-4.37%	0.0207	✓	1.06
2026-02-10	oos	0.001973	0.001934	-1.98%	0.00175	-11.30%	0.0799	✓	1.02
2026-02-09	oos	0.001987	0.001947	-2.00%	0.001592	-19.88%	0.1831	✓	1.02
2026-02-08	oos	0.002049	0.002008	-2.01%	0.001589	-22.45%	0.2120	✓	1.03
2026-02-07	oos	0.002075	0.002038	-1.80%	0.001649	-20.53%	0.2196	✓	1.03
2026-02-06	oos	0.002049	0.002013	-1.78%	0.001779	-13.18%	0.0978	✓	1.04
2026-02-05	oos	0.001734	0.001742	+0.48%	0.001795	+3.52%	0.0209	✗	0.96
2026-02-04	oos	0.00209	0.002046	-2.11%	0.001831	-12.39%	0.0424	✓	0.80
2026-02-03	oos	0.002422	0.00234	-3.38%	0.001973	-18.54%	0.1035	✓	0.71
2026-02-02	oos	0.002443	0.002348	-3.87%	0.001987	-18.67%	0.0863	✓	0.70
2026-02-01	oos	0.002262	0.002183	-3.50%	0.002049	-9.42%	0.0021	✓	0.68
2026-01-31	oos	0.002444	0.002346	-4.00%	0.002075	-15.10%	0.0380	✓	0.67
2026-01-30	oos	0.003058	0.002906	-4.96%	0.002049	-33.00%	0.2847	✓	0.37
2026-01-29	oos	0.003029	0.002867	-5.36%	0.001734	-42.75%	0.3925	✓	0.37
2026-01-28	oos	0.002869	0.002699	-5.93%	0.00209	-27.15%	0.1611	✓	0.47
2026-01-27	oos	0.002586	0.002428	-6.11%	0.002422	-6.34%	0.0749	✗	0.47
2026-01-26	oos	0.00193	0.001835	-4.94%	0.002443	+26.58%	0.3284	✗	0.37
2026-01-25	oos	0.001933	0.00184	-4.81%	0.002262	+17.02%	0.2503	✗	0.37
2026-01-24	oos	0.002423	0.002298	-5.15%	0.002444	+0.87%	0.0887	✗	0.22
2026-01-23	oos	0.002557	0.002414	-5.60%	0.003058	+19.59%	0.2502	✗	0.22
2026-01-22	oos	0.003032	0.002725	-10.11%	0.003029	-0.10%	0.1185	✗	0.23
2026-01-21	oos	0.002176	0.002012	-7.53%	0.002869	+31.85%	0.3552	✗	0.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.001638	0.001539	-6.02%	0.002586	+57.88%	0.5177	✗	0.11
2026-01-19	oos	0.001274	0.001235	-3.02%	0.00193	+51.49%	0.4670	✗	0.44
2026-01-18	oos	0.001241	0.001209	-2.58%	0.001933	+55.76%	0.5063	✗	0.47
2026-01-17	oos	0.00121	0.001185	-2.07%	0.002423	+100.25%	0.7474	✗	0.49
2026-01-16	oos	0.00125	0.001222	-2.21%	0.002557	+104.56%	0.7714	✗	0.51
2026-01-15	oos	0.001251	0.001223	-2.26%	0.003032	+142.37%	0.9423	✗	0.52
2026-01-14	oos	0.001151	0.001137	-1.25%	0.002176	+89.05%	0.6904	✗	0.50
2026-01-13	oos	0.001087	0.001076	-1.04%	0.001638	+50.69%	0.4618	✗	0.54
2026-01-12	oos	0.001073	0.001058	-1.44%	0.001274	+18.73%	0.1779	✗	0.55
2026-01-11	oos	0.001053	0.001041	-1.18%	0.001241	+17.85%	0.1594	✗	0.56
2026-01-10	oos	0.001064	0.001054	-0.94%	0.00121	+13.72%	0.1094	✗	0.56
2026-01-09	oos	0.001297	0.001284	-1.02%	0.00125	-3.62%	0.0584	✓	0.59
2026-01-08	oos	0.001428	0.00141	-1.28%	0.001251	-12.39%	0.1503	✓	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.001443	0.001425	-1.23%	0.001151	-20.24%	0.2635	✓	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	0.001483	0.00147	-0.90%	0.001087	-26.70%	0.3160	✓	0.82
2026-01-05	oos	0.00148	0.001468	-0.83%	0.001073	-27.50%	0.2894	✓	0.82
2026-01-04	oos	0.001512	0.001492	-1.35%	0.001053	-30.36%	0.3424	✓	0.84
2026-01-03	oos	0.001512	0.001489	-1.50%	0.001064	-29.63%	0.3342	✓	0.85
2026-01-02	oos	0.001513	0.001489	-1.60%	0.001297	-14.28%	0.1430	✓	0.83
2026-01-01	oos	0.001499	0.001474	-1.70%	0.001428	-4.74%	0.0525	✓	0.83
2025-12-31	oos	0.001491	0.001464	-1.82%	0.001443	-3.22%	0.0488	✓	0.81
2025-12-30	oos	0.001499	0.001474	-1.70%	0.001483	-1.07%	0.0417	✓	0.82
2025-12-29	oos	0.001531	0.0015	-2.02%	0.00148	-3.33%	0.0763	✓	0.84
2025-12-28	oos	0.001553	0.001521	-2.04%	0.001512	-2.64%	0.0401	✓	0.84
2025-12-27	oos	0.001548	0.001517	-2.03%	0.001512	-2.33%	0.0291	✓	0.83
2025-12-26	oos	0.001508	0.00148	-1.85%	0.001513	+0.33%	0.0029	✓	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	0.001517	0.001489	-1.85%	0.001499	-1.19%	0.0080	✓	0.83
2025-12-24	oos	0.001545	0.001516	-1.90%	0.001491	-3.50%	0.0154	✓	0.83
2025-12-23	oos	0.001502	0.001478	-1.63%	0.001499	-0.20%	0.0053	✓	0.83
2025-12-22	oos	0.001524	0.001501	-1.51%	0.001531	+0.46%	0.0334	✗	0.83
2025-12-21	oos	0.001562	0.001537	-1.61%	0.001553	-0.58%	0.0176	✗	0.83
2025-12-20	oos	0.001551	0.001528	-1.51%	0.001548	-0.19%	0.0181	✗	0.83
2025-12-19	oos	0.001527	0.001507	-1.28%	0.001508	-1.24%	0.0079	✓	0.83
2025-12-18	oos	0.001466	0.00145	-1.07%	0.001517	+3.48%	0.0291	✗	0.80
2025-12-17	oos	0.001591	0.001568	-1.42%	0.001545	-2.89%	0.0278	✓	0.79
2025-12-16	oos	0.001571	0.001554	-1.09%	0.001502	-4.39%	0.0301	✓	0.80
2025-12-15	oos	0.001705	0.001676	-1.68%	0.001524	-10.62%	0.1157	✓	0.84
2025-12-14	oos	0.001763	0.001733	-1.71%	0.001562	-11.40%	0.1082	✓	0.82
2025-12-13	oos	0.001776	0.001749	-1.52%	0.001551	-12.67%	0.1025	✓	0.82
2025-12-12	oos	0.001747	0.001723	-1.36%	0.001527	-12.59%	0.1010	✓	0.81
2025-12-11	oos	0.001774	0.001754	-1.14%	0.001466	-17.36%	0.1141	✓	0.82
2025-12-10	oos	0.001811	0.001789	-1.24%	0.001591	-12.15%	0.0637	✓	0.82
2025-12-09	oos	0.001847	0.001824	-1.27%	0.001571	-14.94%	0.1062	✓	0.80
2025-12-08	oos	0.001859	0.001832	-1.43%	0.001705	-8.28%	0.0337	✓	0.80
2025-12-07	oos	0.001868	0.001841	-1.46%	0.001763	-5.62%	0.0233	✓	0.80
2025-12-06	oos	0.001905	0.001875	-1.60%	0.001776	-6.77%	0.0630	✓	0.82
2025-12-05	oos	0.001952	0.001919	-1.71%	0.001747	-10.50%	0.1024	✓	0.83
2025-12-04	oos	0.00194	0.001913	-1.39%	0.001774	-8.56%	0.0796	✓	0.85
2025-12-03	oos	0.001898	0.001876	-1.15%	0.001811	-4.58%	0.0221	✓	0.87
2025-12-02	oos	0.002113	0.002075	-1.82%	0.001847	-12.59%	0.1303	✓	0.94
2025-12-01	oos	0.002023	0.001987	-1.80%	0.001859	-8.11%	0.1134	✓	0.95
2025-11-30	oos	0.002087	0.00205	-1.76%	0.001868	-10.49%	0.0935	✓	0.95
2025-11-29	oos	0.002052	0.002019	-1.59%	0.001905	-7.16%	0.0420	✓	0.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.002104	0.002068	-1.72%	0.001952	-7.22%	0.0413	✓	0.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.002156	0.002115	-1.89%	0.00194	-10.02%	0.0945	✓	0.94
2025-11-26	oos	0.002243	0.002191	-2.30%	0.001898	-15.38%	0.1733	✓	0.91
2025-11-25	oos	0.002127	0.002083	-2.07%	0.002113	-0.66%	0.0241	✓	0.86
2025-11-24	oos	0.002113	0.002071	-2.00%	0.002023	-4.26%	0.0036	✓	0.87
2025-11-23	oos	0.002067	0.002029	-1.83%	0.002087	+0.97%	0.0074	✓	0.88
2025-11-22	oos	0.002052	0.002017	-1.71%	0.002052	+0.00%	0.0450	✓	0.89
2025-11-21	oos	0.002028	0.001997	-1.53%	0.002104	+3.75%	0.0070	✓	0.89
2025-11-20	oos	0.002114	0.002076	-1.79%	0.002156	+1.99%	0.0099	✓	0.89
2025-11-19	oos	0.00213	0.002092	-1.78%	0.002243	+5.31%	0.0808	✗	1.02
2025-11-18	oos	0.002379	0.002321	-2.42%	0.002127	-10.59%	0.0258	✓	0.99
2025-11-17	oos	0.002376	0.002317	-2.49%	0.002113	-11.07%	0.0498	✓	0.99
2025-11-16	oos	0.002515	0.002441	-2.94%	0.002067	-17.81%	0.0846	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.002504	0.00243	-2.94%	0.002052	-18.05%	0.0468	✓	1.01
2025-11-14	oos	0.002495	0.002417	-3.13%	0.002028	-18.72%	0.0687	✓	1.01
2025-11-13	oos	0.002549	0.002465	-3.29%	0.002114	-17.07%	0.0026	✓	1.07
2025-11-12	oos	0.002376	0.002316	-2.54%	0.00213	-10.35%	0.0354	✗	1.13
2025-11-11	oos	0.002356	0.002299	-2.40%	0.002379	+0.98%	0.1514	✗	1.14
2025-11-10	oos	0.002432	0.002373	-2.44%	0.002376	-2.30%	0.1622	✗	1.15
2025-11-09	oos	0.002446	0.002382	-2.63%	0.002515	+2.82%	0.1762	✗	1.15
2025-11-08	oos	0.002341	0.002283	-2.49%	0.002504	+6.96%	0.1696	✗	1.13
2025-11-07	oos	0.002353	0.002294	-2.52%	0.002495	+6.03%	0.1849	✗	1.13
2025-11-06	oos	0.002295	0.002239	-2.46%	0.002549	+11.07%	0.1486	✗	1.13
2025-11-05	oos	0.002319	0.002265	-2.34%	0.002376	+2.46%	0.0729	✗	1.15
2025-11-04	oos	0.002346	0.002287	-2.52%	0.002356	+0.43%	0.0122	✓	1.16
2025-11-03	oos	0.002457	0.002393	-2.58%	0.002432	-1.02%	0.0227	✓	1.24
2025-11-02	oos	0.002561	0.002493	-2.67%	0.002446	-4.49%	0.0500	✗	1.27
2025-11-01	oos	0.002578	0.002505	-2.84%	0.002341	-9.19%	0.0254	✓	1.27
2025-10-31	oos	0.002536	0.002464	-2.82%	0.002353	-7.22%	0.0277	✓	1.25
2025-10-30	oos	0.002497	0.002426	-2.83%	0.002295	-8.09%	0.0278	✓	1.25
2025-10-29	oos	0.002563	0.002486	-3.02%	0.002319	-9.52%	0.0013	✓	1.23
2025-10-28	oos	0.002543	0.00247	-2.88%	0.002346	-7.75%	0.0903	✗	1.33
2025-10-27	oos	0.002559	0.002485	-2.89%	0.002457	-3.99%	0.0797	✗	1.33
2025-10-26	oos	0.002568	0.002493	-2.92%	0.002561	-0.27%	0.0750	✗	1.35
2025-10-25	oos	0.002539	0.002463	-3.00%	0.002578	+1.54%	0.0654	✗	1.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.002591	0.00251	-3.12%	0.002536	-2.12%	0.0287	✓	1.37
2025-10-23	oos	0.002651	0.00256	-3.43%	0.002497	-5.81%	0.0022	✓	1.38
2025-10-22	oos	0.002551	0.002472	-3.11%	0.002563	+0.47%	0.0060	✓	1.35
2025-10-21	oos	0.002615	0.002528	-3.32%	0.002543	-2.75%	0.0494	✓	1.34
2025-10-20	oos	0.00277	0.002661	-3.94%	0.002559	-7.62%	0.0810	✓	1.34
2025-10-19	oos	0.002754	0.002643	-4.01%	0.002568	-6.75%	0.0970	✓	1.29
2025-10-18	oos	0.002603	0.002516	-3.35%	0.002539	-2.46%	0.0422	✓	1.26
2025-10-17	oos	0.002569	0.002488	-3.15%	0.002591	+0.86%	0.0119	✓	1.25
2025-10-16	oos	0.002321	0.002277	-1.91%	0.002651	+14.22%	0.1289	✗	1.33
2025-10-15	oos	0.002618	0.00255	-2.61%	0.002551	-2.56%	0.0385	✗	1.29
2025-10-14	oos	0.002755	0.002677	-2.82%	0.002615	-5.08%	0.0314	✗	1.29
2025-10-13	oos	0.002869	0.002788	-2.83%	0.00277	-3.45%	0.0493	✗	1.34
2025-10-12	oos	0.002876	0.002794	-2.86%	0.002754	-4.24%	0.0611	✗	1.32
2025-10-11	oos	0.002775	0.002696	-2.86%	0.002603	-6.20%	0.0085	✓	1.33
2025-10-10	oos	0.003127	0.003029	-3.15%	0.002569	-17.84%	0.0861	✓	1.32
2025-10-09	oos	0.003705	0.003598	-2.90%	0.002321	-37.35%	0.3114	✓	1.08
2025-10-08	oos	0.003611	0.003517	-2.60%	0.002618	-27.50%	0.1691	✓	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.003554	0.003447	-3.01%	0.002755	-22.48%	0.1367	✓	1.23
2025-10-06	oos	0.003636	0.003543	-2.55%	0.002869	-21.09%	0.1126	✓	1.25
2025-10-05	oos	0.003542	0.003444	-2.77%	0.002876	-18.80%	0.0928	✓	1.23
2025-10-04	oos	0.003741	0.003628	-3.03%	0.002775	-25.82%	0.1437	✓	1.24
2025-10-03	oos	0.003873	0.003752	-3.13%	0.003127	-19.26%	0.0841	✓	1.24
2025-10-02	oos	0.003979	0.003836	-3.59%	0.003705	-6.89%	0.0461	✓	1.26
2025-10-01	oos	0.003908	0.003755	-3.91%	0.003611	-7.60%	0.0867	✓	1.23
2025-09-30	oos	0.003781	0.003622	-4.20%	0.003554	-6.00%	0.0953	✓	1.23
2025-09-29	oos	0.003783	0.003625	-4.18%	0.003636	-3.89%	0.1090	✓	1.29
2025-09-28	oos	0.003796	0.00364	-4.10%	0.003542	-6.69%	0.1535	✓	1.31
2025-09-27	oos	0.003756	0.003611	-3.87%	0.003741	-0.40%	0.1096	✓	1.32
2025-09-26	oos	0.003832	0.003685	-3.83%	0.003873	+1.07%	0.0933	✓	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.003836	0.003695	-3.68%	0.003979	+3.73%	0.0581	✓	1.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.004035	0.003879	-3.86%	0.003908	-3.15%	0.0540	✓	1.34
2025-09-23	oos	0.004111	0.003953	-3.83%	0.003781	-8.03%	0.0690	✓	1.35
2025-09-22	oos	0.004131	0.003973	-3.82%	0.003783	-8.42%	0.0684	✓	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.004291	0.004137	-3.59%	0.003796	-11.54%	0.0487	✓	1.38
2025-09-20	oos	0.004227	0.004074	-3.62%	0.003756	-11.14%	0.0057	✓	1.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.004577	0.004427	-3.27%	0.003832	-16.28%	0.0728	✓	1.35
2025-09-18	oos	0.004589	0.004447	-3.10%	0.003836	-16.41%	0.0492	✓	1.38

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.