XRD

Radix · native · gru_s7

token id: #955
symbol: XRD
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,135

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

68.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2642

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0491

actual -0.1628

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00018625	0.000175143	-5.96%	–	pending	–	–	-0.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.00020335	0.000191798	-5.68%	–	pending	–	–	-0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.0001597	0.000150814	-5.56%	–	pending	–	–	-0.76
2026-10-18	oos	0.0001555	0.00014423	-7.25%	–	pending	–	–	-0.75
2026-10-17	oos	0.000145	0.00012985	-10.45%	–	pending	–	–	-0.77
2026-10-16	oos	0.000202	0.000192551	-4.68%	–	pending	–	–	-0.80
2026-10-15	oos	0.0002698	0.000256037	-5.10%	–	pending	–	–	-0.89
2026-10-14	oos	0.0003023	0.000283047	-6.37%	–	pending	–	–	-0.88
2026-10-13	oos	0.000314	0.000291842	-7.06%	–	pending	–	–	-0.91
2026-10-12	oos	0.0003316	0.000305699	-7.81%	–	pending	–	–	-0.90
2026-10-11	oos	0.0003167	0.00029291	-7.51%	–	pending	–	–	-0.82
2026-10-10	oos	0.000315	0.000290981	-7.63%	–	pending	–	–	-0.75
2026-10-09	oos	0.0003063	0.000283637	-7.40%	–	pending	–	–	-0.76
2026-10-08	oos	0.0003161	0.000291132	-7.90%	–	pending	–	–	-0.75
2026-10-07	oos	0.0003327	0.000302029	-9.22%	–	pending	–	–	-0.78
2026-10-06	oos	0.0003347	0.000301607	-9.89%	–	pending	–	–	-0.79
2026-10-05	oos	0.0003482	0.000311008	-10.68%	–	pending	–	–	-0.81
2026-10-04	oos	0.00035815	0.000318175	-11.16%	–	pending	–	–	-0.81
2026-10-03	oos	0.0003558	0.000314338	-11.65%	–	pending	–	–	-0.83
2026-10-02	oos	0.0003674	0.00032183	-12.40%	–	pending	–	–	-0.82
2026-10-01	oos	0.0003791	0.000329657	-13.04%	–	pending	–	–	-0.82
2026-09-30	oos	0.0003794	0.000328289	-13.47%	–	pending	–	–	-0.83
2026-09-29	oos	0.0004078	0.000350572	-14.03%	–	pending	–	–	-0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.00041535	0.000355287	-14.46%	–	pending	–	–	-0.78
2026-09-27	oos	0.0004422	0.000377815	-14.56%	–	pending	–	–	-0.78
2026-09-26	oos	0.000458	0.000390533	-14.73%	–	pending	–	–	-0.79
2026-09-25	oos	0.00043745	0.000370838	-15.23%	–	pending	–	–	-0.79
2026-09-24	oos	0.0004705	0.000399645	-15.06%	–	pending	–	–	-0.80
2026-09-23	oos	0.0004971	0.000422465	-15.01%	–	pending	–	–	-0.80
2026-09-22	oos	0.00052705	0.000450826	-14.46%	–	pending	–	–	-0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.0004693	0.000400219	-14.72%	0.00018625	-60.31%	0.7999	✓	-0.76
2026-09-20	oos	0.0005461	0.000458459	-16.05%	0.00020335	-62.76%	0.8015	✓	-0.53
2026-09-19	oos	0.0005252	0.000440127	-16.20%	0.0001597	-69.59%	1.0099	✓	-0.52
2026-09-18	oos	0.0005677	0.000473892	-16.52%	0.0001555	-72.61%	1.1075	✓	-0.49
2026-09-17	oos	0.0005761	0.000480578	-16.58%	0.000145	-74.83%	1.1650	✓	-0.52
2026-09-16	oos	0.0005034	0.000428569	-14.87%	0.000202	-59.87%	0.7167	✓	-0.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.00055565	0.000467058	-15.94%	0.0002698	-51.44%	0.5063	✓	-0.51
2026-09-14	oos	0.00050485	0.000429344	-14.96%	0.0003023	-40.12%	0.3335	✓	-0.41
2026-09-13	oos	0.0004931	0.000426475	-13.51%	0.000314	-36.32%	0.2728	✓	-0.42
2026-09-12	oos	0.00051075	0.000438891	-14.07%	0.0003316	-35.08%	0.2563	✓	-0.43
2026-09-11	oos	0.0004845	0.000425081	-12.26%	0.0003167	-34.63%	0.2604	✓	-0.42
2026-09-10	oos	0.00049	0.000431456	-11.95%	0.000315	-35.71%	0.2819	✓	-0.41
2026-09-09	oos	0.0004695	0.000417156	-11.15%	0.0003063	-34.76%	0.2890	✓	-0.38
2026-09-08	oos	0.0004796	0.000425445	-11.29%	0.0003161	-34.09%	0.2826	✓	-0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.0004335	0.00038903	-10.26%	0.0003327	-23.25%	0.1399	✓	-0.32
2026-09-06	oos	0.0004823	0.000428387	-11.18%	0.0003347	-30.60%	0.2218	✓	-0.40
2026-09-05	oos	0.0004722	0.000423385	-10.34%	0.0003482	-26.26%	0.1662	✓	-0.41
2026-09-04	oos	0.0005019	0.00045692	-8.96%	0.00035815	-28.64%	0.2136	✓	-0.36
2026-09-03	oos	0.00048295	0.000441151	-8.65%	0.0003558	-26.33%	0.2008	✓	-0.34
2026-09-02	oos	0.0005701	0.000546279	-4.18%	0.0003674	-35.56%	0.3912	✓	-0.06
2026-09-01	oos	0.0005914	0.000571653	-3.34%	0.0003791	-35.90%	0.4043	✓	-0.07
2026-08-31	oos	0.0006227	0.000612752	-1.60%	0.0003794	-39.07%	0.4707	✓	-0.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.0008295	0.000838987	+1.14%	0.0004078	-50.84%	0.7200	✗	-0.02
2026-08-29	oos	0.0008672	0.000879962	+1.47%	0.00041535	-52.10%	0.7508	✗	0.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.0008723	0.000883408	+1.27%	0.0004422	-49.31%	0.6920	✗	-0.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.0008124	0.000830106	+2.18%	0.000458	-43.62%	0.5975	✗	0.06
2026-08-26	oos	0.0008192	0.000832899	+1.67%	0.00043745	-46.60%	0.6475	✗	0.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.0009036	0.000919452	+1.75%	0.0004705	-47.93%	0.6757	✗	0.08
2026-08-24	oos	0.0009272	0.000948286	+2.27%	0.0004971	-46.39%	0.6520	✗	0.09
2026-08-23	oos	0.0008831	0.000896642	+1.53%	0.00052705	-40.32%	0.5368	✗	0.05
2026-08-22	oos	0.0007908	0.000795201	+0.56%	0.0004693	-40.66%	0.5317	✗	0.04
2026-08-21	oos	0.0009212	0.000938003	+1.82%	0.0005461	-40.72%	0.5401	✗	-0.02
2026-08-20	oos	0.000924	0.000909049	-1.62%	0.0005252	-43.16%	0.5439	✓	-0.04
2026-08-19	oos	0.0009664	0.000929168	-3.85%	0.0005677	-41.26%	0.4970	✓	0.03
2026-08-18	oos	0.00104	0.000977727	-5.94%	0.0005761	-44.58%	0.5638	✓	0.21
2026-08-17	oos	0.0008909	0.000838981	-5.83%	0.0005034	-43.50%	0.5384	✓	0.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.0009265	0.000871294	-5.96%	0.00055565	-40.03%	0.4881	✓	0.21
2026-08-15	oos	0.0009606	0.000903991	-5.89%	0.00050485	-47.44%	0.6270	✓	0.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.0009194	0.000866241	-5.78%	0.0004931	-46.37%	0.6042	✓	0.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.0009389	0.000885897	-5.65%	0.00051075	-45.60%	0.5916	✓	0.21
2026-08-12	oos	0.0009805	0.000924697	-5.69%	0.0004845	-50.59%	0.6889	✓	0.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.0009268	0.000874582	-5.63%	0.00049	-47.13%	0.6172	✓	0.20
2026-08-10	oos	0.0009081	0.000857138	-5.61%	0.0004695	-48.30%	0.6449	✓	0.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.0009197	0.000869182	-5.49%	0.0004796	-47.85%	0.6341	✓	0.21
2026-08-08	oos	0.0009326	0.00088196	-5.43%	0.0004335	-53.52%	0.7512	✓	0.21
2026-08-07	oos	0.000926	0.000875374	-5.47%	0.0004823	-47.92%	0.6384	✓	0.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.0009132	0.000860898	-5.73%	0.0004722	-48.29%	0.6430	✓	0.20
2026-08-05	oos	0.0009628	0.000909588	-5.53%	0.0005019	-47.87%	0.6343	✓	0.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.0009463	0.000893456	-5.58%	0.00048295	-48.96%	0.6601	✓	0.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.0009816	0.000926196	-5.64%	0.0005701	-41.92%	0.5258	✓	0.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.0009839	0.000928348	-5.65%	0.0005914	-39.89%	0.4905	✓	0.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.0009494	0.000895309	-5.70%	0.0006227	-34.41%	0.4068	✓	0.19
2026-07-31	oos	0.0009641	0.000910633	-5.55%	0.0008295	-13.96%	0.1347	✓	0.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.0009621	0.000913195	-5.08%	0.0008672	-9.86%	0.0908	✓	0.21
2026-07-29	oos	0.0009642	0.000915382	-5.06%	0.0008723	-9.53%	0.0885	✓	0.20
2026-07-28	oos	0.000978	0.00093066	-4.84%	0.0008124	-16.93%	0.1820	✓	0.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.0009945	0.000948161	-4.66%	0.0008192	-17.63%	0.1901	✓	0.20
2026-07-26	oos	0.001022	0.000978333	-4.27%	0.0009036	-11.59%	0.1162	✓	0.20
2026-07-25	oos	0.0009924	0.000952582	-4.01%	0.0009272	-6.57%	0.0664	✓	0.19
2026-07-24	oos	0.001111	0.001057	-4.79%	0.0008831	-20.48%	0.2220	✓	0.22
2026-07-23	oos	0.000826	0.00079787	-3.41%	0.0007908	-4.26%	0.0686	✓	0.35
2026-07-22	oos	0.0008296	0.00080154	-3.38%	0.0009212	+11.04%	0.0805	✗	0.35
2026-07-21	oos	0.0008107	0.000782797	-3.44%	0.000924	+13.98%	0.1332	✗	0.35
2026-07-20	oos	0.0008331	0.000804349	-3.45%	0.0009664	+16.00%	0.1608	✗	0.37
2026-07-19	oos	0.0008441	0.000815213	-3.42%	0.00104	+23.15%	0.2430	✗	0.38
2026-07-18	oos	0.0008624	0.000833912	-3.30%	0.0008909	+3.30%	0.0679	✗	0.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.0008939	0.000865605	-3.17%	0.0009265	+3.65%	0.0741	✗	0.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.0008759	0.000848217	-3.16%	0.0009606	+9.67%	0.1289	✗	0.38
2026-07-15	oos	0.0008642	0.00083639	-3.22%	0.0009194	+6.39%	0.1065	✗	0.43
2026-07-14	oos	0.0008509	0.000823211	-3.25%	0.0009389	+10.34%	0.1421	✗	0.43
2026-07-13	oos	0.0008453	0.000821901	-2.77%	0.0009805	+15.99%	0.1682	✗	0.45
2026-07-12	oos	0.0009251	0.000896704	-3.07%	0.0009268	+0.18%	0.0343	✗	0.39
2026-07-11	oos	0.0008567	0.00083029	-3.08%	0.0009081	+6.00%	0.0886	✗	0.43
2026-07-10	oos	0.0008899	0.000862704	-3.06%	0.0009197	+3.35%	0.0593	✗	0.42
2026-07-09	oos	0.0009105	0.000884864	-2.82%	0.0009326	+2.43%	0.0409	✗	0.43
2026-07-08	oos	0.0009185	0.000894818	-2.58%	0.000926	+0.82%	0.0169	✓	0.42
2026-07-07	oos	0.0009017	0.000877961	-2.63%	0.0009132	+1.28%	0.0331	✗	0.42
2026-07-06	oos	0.0009111	0.00088705	-2.64%	0.0009628	+5.67%	0.0780	✗	0.42
2026-07-05	oos	0.0009322	0.00090889	-2.50%	0.0009463	+1.51%	0.0377	✗	0.36
2026-07-04	oos	0.0008982	0.000877195	-2.34%	0.0009816	+9.29%	0.1104	✗	0.35
2026-07-03	oos	0.0008806	0.000861361	-2.18%	0.0009839	+11.73%	0.1274	✗	0.36
2026-07-02	oos	0.0008928	0.000874094	-2.10%	0.0009494	+6.34%	0.0750	✗	0.37
2026-07-01	oos	0.0008892	0.000872941	-1.83%	0.0009641	+8.42%	0.0819	✗	0.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.0008508	0.000838934	-1.39%	0.0009621	+13.08%	0.1026	✗	0.34
2026-06-29	oos	0.000859	0.000842603	-1.91%	0.0009642	+12.25%	0.1141	✗	0.34
2026-06-28	oos	0.0008715	0.00085569	-1.81%	0.000978	+12.22%	0.1076	✗	0.37
2026-06-27	oos	0.0008652	0.000847872	-2.00%	0.0009945	+14.94%	0.1375	✗	0.36
2026-06-26	oos	0.0008949	0.000875283	-2.19%	0.001022	+14.20%	0.1237	✗	0.37
2026-06-25	oos	0.0009166	0.000895845	-2.26%	0.0009924	+8.27%	0.0750	✗	0.37
2026-06-24	oos	0.000945	0.000919601	-2.69%	0.001111	+17.52%	0.1673	✗	0.43
2026-06-23	oos	0.000973	0.000941516	-3.24%	0.000826	-15.11%	0.1474	✓	0.44
2026-06-22	oos	0.001058	0.001019	-3.70%	0.0008296	-21.59%	0.2184	✓	0.39
2026-06-21	oos	0.001066	0.001029	-3.47%	0.0008107	-23.95%	0.2586	✓	0.40
2026-06-20	oos	0.001112	0.00107	-3.79%	0.0008331	-25.08%	0.2560	✓	0.38
2026-06-19	oos	0.001094	0.001055	-3.55%	0.0008441	-22.84%	0.2305	✓	0.39
2026-06-18	oos	0.001102	0.001063	-3.52%	0.0008624	-21.74%	0.2209	✓	0.38
2026-06-17	oos	0.00109	0.001048	-3.88%	0.0008939	-17.99%	0.1556	✓	0.37
2026-06-16	oos	0.001106	0.001059	-4.21%	0.0008759	-20.80%	0.1798	✓	0.37
2026-06-15	oos	0.001121	0.001072	-4.41%	0.0008642	-22.91%	0.2060	✓	0.38
2026-06-14	oos	0.001115	0.001067	-4.30%	0.0008509	-23.69%	0.2222	✓	0.38
2026-06-13	oos	0.001128	0.001081	-4.16%	0.0008453	-25.06%	0.2330	✓	0.38
2026-06-12	oos	0.001102	0.00106	-3.85%	0.0009251	-16.05%	0.1370	✓	0.38
2026-06-11	oos	0.001113	0.00107	-3.90%	0.0008567	-23.03%	0.2232	✓	0.38
2026-06-10	oos	0.001112	0.001074	-3.46%	0.0008899	-19.97%	0.2042	✓	0.39
2026-06-09	oos	0.001126	0.001085	-3.66%	0.0009105	-19.17%	0.1848	✓	0.39
2026-06-08	oos	0.001097	0.001056	-3.78%	0.0009185	-16.27%	0.1336	✓	0.41
2026-06-07	oos	0.001059	0.001021	-3.59%	0.0009017	-14.85%	0.1243	✓	0.39
2026-06-06	oos	0.001037	0.001008	-2.81%	0.0009111	-12.14%	0.1207	✓	0.39
2026-06-05	oos	0.00103	0.001001	-2.80%	0.0009322	-9.50%	0.0882	✓	0.41
2026-06-04	oos	0.001084	0.00104	-4.04%	0.0008982	-17.14%	0.1425	✓	0.38
2026-06-03	oos	0.001055	0.001013	-3.94%	0.0008806	-16.53%	0.1301	✓	0.43
2026-06-02	oos	0.001015	0.000969511	-4.48%	0.0008928	-12.04%	0.0409	✓	0.51
2026-06-01	oos	0.00104	0.000981576	-5.62%	0.0008892	-14.50%	0.0016	✓	0.58
2026-05-31	oos	0.00108	0.001016	-5.91%	0.0008508	-21.22%	0.0444	✓	0.58
2026-05-30	oos	0.00107	0.001008	-5.83%	0.000859	-19.72%	0.0419	✓	0.58
2026-05-29	oos	0.001088	0.001025	-5.78%	0.0008715	-19.90%	0.0294	✓	0.63
2026-05-28	oos	0.001084	0.001022	-5.71%	0.0008652	-20.18%	0.0352	✓	0.64
2026-05-27	oos	0.00112	0.001056	-5.75%	0.0008949	-20.10%	0.0389	✓	0.59
2026-05-26	oos	0.001162	0.001095	-5.75%	0.0009166	-21.12%	0.0397	✓	0.58
2026-05-25	oos	0.001116	0.001057	-5.31%	0.000945	-15.32%	0.0472	✓	0.67
2026-05-24	oos	0.001018	0.000967002	-5.01%	0.000973	-4.42%	0.1486	✗	0.69
2026-05-23	oos	0.001016	0.000965796	-4.94%	0.001058	+4.13%	0.2208	✗	0.72
2026-05-22	oos	0.001064	0.001011	-4.99%	0.001066	+0.19%	0.1803	✗	0.72
2026-05-21	oos	0.001073	0.001023	-4.67%	0.001112	+3.63%	0.2198	✗	0.72
2026-05-20	oos	0.001081	0.001032	-4.51%	0.001094	+1.20%	0.2043	✗	0.73
2026-05-19	oos	0.001127	0.001076	-4.56%	0.001102	-2.22%	0.1725	✗	0.74
2026-05-18	oos	0.001148	0.001097	-4.45%	0.00109	-5.05%	0.1240	✗	0.73
2026-05-17	oos	0.001148	0.001099	-4.25%	0.001106	-3.66%	0.1182	✗	0.68
2026-05-16	oos	0.001173	0.001126	-3.98%	0.001121	-4.43%	0.1060	✗	0.67
2026-05-15	oos	0.001194	0.001151	-3.61%	0.001115	-6.62%	0.0944	✗	0.68
2026-05-14	oos	0.00121	0.001178	-2.67%	0.001128	-6.78%	0.1093	✗	0.66
2026-05-13	oos	0.001223	0.001183	-3.24%	0.001102	-9.89%	0.0722	✗	0.65
2026-05-12	oos	0.001247	0.001213	-2.73%	0.001113	-10.75%	0.0671	✗	0.65
2026-05-11	oos	0.00125	0.001224	-2.09%	0.001112	-11.04%	0.1003	✗	0.69
2026-05-10	oos	0.001246	0.001225	-1.70%	0.001126	-9.59%	0.1128	✗	0.68
2026-05-09	oos	0.001259	0.00123	-2.28%	0.001097	-12.87%	0.0559	✗	0.69
2026-05-08	oos	0.001245	0.001216	-2.33%	0.001059	-14.94%	0.0242	✗	0.69
2026-05-07	oos	0.001261	0.001232	-2.32%	0.001037	-17.76%	0.0119	✓	0.67
2026-05-06	oos	0.001284	0.001265	-1.48%	0.00103	-19.78%	0.0437	✗	0.86
2026-05-05	oos	0.001274	0.001254	-1.59%	0.001084	-14.91%	0.0826	✗	0.96
2026-05-04	oos	0.001287	0.001262	-1.96%	0.001055	-18.03%	0.0441	✗	1.01
2026-05-03	oos	0.001263	0.001231	-2.50%	0.001015	-19.64%	0.0306	✓	0.99
2026-05-02	oos	0.001264	0.001233	-2.49%	0.00104	-17.72%	0.0708	✓	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.00126	0.001227	-2.62%	0.00108	-14.29%	0.0650	✓	1.02
2026-04-30	oos	0.001261	0.001217	-3.51%	0.00107	-15.15%	0.0900	✓	1.14
2026-04-29	oos	0.001279	0.001232	-3.68%	0.001088	-14.93%	0.0878	✓	1.14
2026-04-28	oos	0.001283	0.001236	-3.63%	0.001084	-15.51%	0.0915	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.001329	0.001288	-3.08%	0.00112	-15.73%	0.0968	✓	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.001364	0.001336	-2.07%	0.001162	-14.81%	0.0986	✓	1.10
2026-04-25	oos	0.001351	0.001314	-2.74%	0.001116	-17.39%	0.1576	✓	1.10
2026-04-24	oos	0.001327	0.001293	-2.54%	0.001018	-23.29%	0.2321	✓	1.16
2026-04-23	oos	0.001293	0.00127	-1.81%	0.001016	-21.42%	0.1984	✓	1.16
2026-04-22	oos	0.00129	0.001265	-1.92%	0.001064	-17.52%	0.1315	✓	1.16
2026-04-21	oos	0.001283	0.001239	-3.43%	0.001073	-16.37%	0.1621	✓	1.18
2026-04-20	oos	0.001286	0.001237	-3.83%	0.001081	-15.94%	0.1601	✓	1.22
2026-04-19	oos	0.001294	0.001233	-4.72%	0.001127	-12.91%	0.1320	✓	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.001285	0.001236	-3.85%	0.001148	-10.66%	0.0906	✓	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.001322	0.001284	-2.88%	0.001148	-13.16%	0.1162	✓	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.001241	0.001188	-4.28%	0.001173	-5.48%	0.0535	✓	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.001251	0.001198	-4.26%	0.001194	-4.56%	0.0616	✓	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.001239	0.001185	-4.34%	0.00121	-2.34%	0.0732	✓	1.05
2026-04-13	oos	0.001228	0.001178	-4.10%	0.001223	-0.41%	0.0292	✓	1.06
2026-04-12	oos	0.001177	0.001119	-4.95%	0.001247	+5.95%	0.0269	✓	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.001182	0.001128	-4.54%	0.00125	+5.75%	0.0161	✓	1.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.001197	0.001144	-4.45%	0.001246	+4.09%	0.0401	✓	1.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.001235	0.001176	-4.80%	0.001259	+1.94%	0.0558	✓	1.07
2026-04-08	oos	0.001253	0.001191	-4.98%	0.001245	-0.64%	0.0849	✓	1.08
2026-04-07	oos	0.001268	0.001205	-4.96%	0.001261	-0.55%	0.0693	✓	1.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.001317	0.00124	-5.83%	0.001284	-2.51%	0.1537	✓	1.12
2026-04-05	oos	0.00122	0.001157	-5.18%	0.001274	+4.43%	0.0819	✓	1.12
2026-04-04	oos	0.001182	0.001127	-4.64%	0.001287	+8.88%	0.0562	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.001184	0.00113	-4.53%	0.001263	+6.67%	0.0651	✓	1.10
2026-04-02	oos	0.001167	0.001118	-4.20%	0.001264	+8.31%	0.0559	✓	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.001171	0.001121	-4.27%	0.00126	+7.60%	0.0358	✓	1.10
2026-03-31	oos	0.001203	0.001154	-4.10%	0.001261	+4.82%	0.0342	✓	1.10
2026-03-30	oos	0.001169	0.001131	-3.21%	0.001279	+9.41%	0.0167	✓	1.10
2026-03-29	oos	0.001191	0.001158	-2.80%	0.001283	+7.72%	0.0571	✓	1.10
2026-03-28	oos	0.001246	0.001211	-2.83%	0.001329	+6.66%	0.0756	✓	1.10
2026-03-27	oos	0.001333	0.001293	-2.97%	0.001364	+2.33%	0.1338	✓	1.10
2026-03-26	oos	0.001458	0.001405	-3.61%	0.001351	-7.34%	0.1705	✓	1.08
2026-03-25	oos	0.001511	0.001454	-3.78%	0.001327	-12.18%	0.1807	✓	1.08
2026-03-24	oos	0.001523	0.00147	-3.50%	0.001293	-15.10%	0.2410	✓	1.08
2026-03-23	oos	0.00154	0.001489	-3.33%	0.00129	-16.23%	0.2500	✓	1.08
2026-03-22	oos	0.001521	0.001479	-2.74%	0.001283	-15.65%	0.2730	✓	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.001581	0.001531	-3.18%	0.001286	-18.66%	0.2801	✓	1.10
2026-03-20	oos	0.001576	0.001518	-3.68%	0.001294	-17.89%	0.2107	✓	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.001769	0.001713	-3.16%	0.001285	-27.36%	0.3775	✓	1.13
2026-03-18	oos	0.001782	0.001723	-3.31%	0.001322	-25.81%	0.3540	✓	1.13
2026-03-17	oos	0.001847	0.001781	-3.56%	0.001241	-32.81%	0.3801	✓	1.14
2026-03-16	oos	0.001867	0.001798	-3.72%	0.001251	-32.99%	0.3617	✓	1.13
2026-03-15	oos	0.001867	0.001803	-3.45%	0.001239	-33.64%	0.3954	✓	1.12
2026-03-14	oos	0.001847	0.001783	-3.44%	0.001228	-33.51%	0.4229	✓	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.001851	0.001784	-3.60%	0.001177	-36.41%	0.4131	✓	1.12
2026-03-12	oos	0.001816	0.001746	-3.84%	0.001182	-34.91%	0.4302	✓	1.12
2026-03-11	oos	0.001821	0.001747	-4.04%	0.001197	-34.27%	0.4220	✓	1.12
2026-03-10	oos	0.001806	0.001726	-4.43%	0.001235	-31.62%	0.3637	✓	1.12
2026-03-09	oos	0.00188	0.001798	-4.38%	0.001253	-33.35%	0.4044	✓	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.001837	0.001757	-4.34%	0.001268	-30.97%	0.4246	✓	1.14
2026-03-07	oos	0.001939	0.00185	-4.60%	0.001317	-32.08%	0.3663	✓	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.001938	0.001844	-4.84%	0.00122	-37.05%	0.4279	✓	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.002083	0.001979	-4.97%	0.001182	-43.25%	0.4578	✓	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.002165	0.002056	-5.05%	0.001184	-45.31%	0.4620	✓	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.002077	0.001974	-4.96%	0.001167	-43.81%	0.5019	✓	1.12
2026-03-02	oos	0.002231	0.002119	-5.03%	0.001171	-47.51%	0.5819	✓	1.06
2026-03-01	oos	0.002204	0.002095	-4.95%	0.001203	-45.42%	0.5940	✓	1.07
2026-02-28	oos	0.002497	0.002357	-5.61%	0.001169	-53.18%	0.6976	✓	1.04
2026-02-27	oos	0.002439	0.0023	-5.69%	0.001191	-51.17%	0.6597	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.002328	0.002202	-5.39%	0.001246	-46.48%	0.5511	✓	1.06
2026-02-25	oos	0.002335	0.002205	-5.56%	0.001333	-42.91%	0.4775	✓	1.06
2026-02-24	oos	0.002177	0.002065	-5.16%	0.001458	-33.03%	0.4222	✓	1.05
2026-02-23	oos	0.002412	0.002261	-6.25%	0.001511	-37.35%	0.5062	✓	1.05
2026-02-22	oos	0.002574	0.002394	-6.99%	0.001523	-40.83%	0.4959	✓	1.03
2026-02-21	oos	0.002421	0.002246	-7.21%	0.00154	-36.39%	0.4211	✓	1.04
2026-02-20	oos	0.001841	0.001761	-4.35%	0.001521	-17.38%	0.1443	✓	1.02
2026-02-19	oos	0.001773	0.001702	-4.01%	0.001581	-10.83%	0.1027	✓	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.001751	0.001683	-3.88%	0.001576	-9.99%	0.1264	✓	1.02
2026-02-17	oos	0.00175	0.001678	-4.12%	0.001769	+1.09%	0.0176	✓	0.99
2026-02-16	oos	0.001592	0.001532	-3.78%	0.001782	+11.93%	0.1162	✗	1.03
2026-02-15	oos	0.001589	0.00153	-3.72%	0.001847	+16.24%	0.1142	✗	1.03
2026-02-14	oos	0.001649	0.00158	-4.21%	0.001867	+13.22%	0.0943	✗	1.03
2026-02-13	oos	0.001779	0.0017	-4.41%	0.001867	+4.95%	0.0338	✓	1.05
2026-02-12	oos	0.001795	0.001726	-3.83%	0.001847	+2.90%	0.0113	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.001831	0.001755	-4.13%	0.001851	+1.09%	0.0070	✓	1.06
2026-02-10	oos	0.001973	0.001871	-5.17%	0.001816	-7.96%	0.0553	✓	1.02
2026-02-09	oos	0.001987	0.001877	-5.54%	0.001821	-8.35%	0.0318	✓	1.02
2026-02-08	oos	0.002049	0.00193	-5.82%	0.001806	-11.86%	0.0616	✓	1.03
2026-02-07	oos	0.002075	0.001957	-5.67%	0.00188	-9.40%	0.0281	✓	1.03
2026-02-06	oos	0.002049	0.001928	-5.90%	0.001837	-10.35%	0.0210	✓	1.04
2026-02-05	oos	0.001734	0.001682	-3.02%	0.001939	+11.82%	0.0767	✗	0.96
2026-02-04	oos	0.00209	0.001945	-6.94%	0.001938	-7.27%	0.0521	✓	0.80
2026-02-03	oos	0.002422	0.002214	-8.60%	0.002083	-14.00%	0.0148	✓	0.71
2026-02-02	oos	0.002443	0.00221	-9.53%	0.002165	-11.38%	0.0348	✓	0.70
2026-02-01	oos	0.002262	0.002057	-9.06%	0.002077	-8.18%	0.0899	✓	0.68
2026-01-31	oos	0.002444	0.002207	-9.71%	0.002231	-8.72%	0.0997	✓	0.67
2026-01-30	oos	0.003058	0.002711	-11.36%	0.002204	-27.93%	0.1163	✓	0.37
2026-01-29	oos	0.003029	0.002672	-11.77%	0.002497	-17.56%	0.0184	✓	0.37
2026-01-28	oos	0.002869	0.002525	-12.01%	0.002439	-14.99%	0.1087	✓	0.47
2026-01-27	oos	0.002586	0.002282	-11.77%	0.002328	-9.98%	0.1514	✗	0.47
2026-01-26	oos	0.00193	0.001735	-10.10%	0.002335	+20.98%	0.3923	✗	0.37
2026-01-25	oos	0.001933	0.001741	-9.91%	0.002177	+12.62%	0.3344	✗	0.37
2026-01-24	oos	0.002423	0.00216	-10.85%	0.002412	-0.45%	0.1803	✗	0.22
2026-01-23	oos	0.002557	0.002267	-11.34%	0.002574	+0.66%	0.1885	✗	0.22
2026-01-22	oos	0.003032	0.00258	-14.92%	0.002421	-20.15%	0.0012	✓	0.23
2026-01-21	oos	0.002176	0.001936	-11.02%	0.001841	-15.40%	0.0011	✓	0.19
2026-01-20	oos	0.001638	0.001515	-7.52%	0.001773	+8.24%	0.1871	✗	0.11
2026-01-19	oos	0.001274	0.001208	-5.17%	0.001751	+37.44%	0.5169	✗	0.44
2026-01-18	oos	0.001241	0.001181	-4.84%	0.00175	+41.02%	0.5476	✗	0.47
2026-01-17	oos	0.00121	0.001154	-4.61%	0.001592	+31.57%	0.4797	✗	0.49
2026-01-16	oos	0.00125	0.001197	-4.25%	0.001589	+27.12%	0.4513	✗	0.51
2026-01-15	oos	0.001251	0.001199	-4.14%	0.001649	+31.81%	0.4806	✗	0.52
2026-01-14	oos	0.001151	0.001102	-4.26%	0.001779	+54.56%	0.6512	✗	0.50
2026-01-13	oos	0.001087	0.001028	-5.44%	0.001795	+65.13%	0.7531	✗	0.54
2026-01-12	oos	0.001073	0.001008	-6.03%	0.001831	+70.64%	0.7674	✗	0.55
2026-01-11	oos	0.001053	0.000982229	-6.72%	0.001973	+87.37%	0.8533	✗	0.56
2026-01-10	oos	0.001064	0.00099296	-6.68%	0.001987	+86.75%	0.8364	✗	0.56
2026-01-09	oos	0.001297	0.001235	-4.80%	0.002049	+57.98%	0.6561	✗	0.59
2026-01-08	oos	0.001428	0.001369	-4.11%	0.002075	+45.31%	0.5883	✗	0.63
2026-01-07	oos	0.001443	0.001386	-3.93%	0.002049	+42.00%	0.6037	✗	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	0.001483	0.001432	-3.43%	0.001734	+16.93%	0.5182	✗	0.82
2026-01-05	oos	0.00148	0.001431	-3.34%	0.00209	+41.22%	0.5855	✗	0.82
2026-01-04	oos	0.001512	0.00146	-3.41%	0.002422	+60.19%	0.6657	✗	0.84
2026-01-03	oos	0.001512	0.001462	-3.33%	0.002443	+61.57%	0.6336	✗	0.85
2026-01-02	oos	0.001513	0.001464	-3.23%	0.002262	+49.50%	0.5657	✗	0.83
2026-01-01	oos	0.001499	0.001454	-3.03%	0.002444	+63.04%	0.6196	✗	0.83
2025-12-31	oos	0.001491	0.00145	-2.73%	0.003058	+105.10%	0.7782	✗	0.81
2025-12-30	oos	0.001499	0.001459	-2.69%	0.003029	+102.07%	0.7677	✗	0.82
2025-12-29	oos	0.001531	0.001493	-2.49%	0.002869	+87.39%	0.6337	✗	0.84
2025-12-28	oos	0.001553	0.001515	-2.47%	0.002586	+66.52%	0.5232	✗	0.84
2025-12-27	oos	0.001548	0.001512	-2.35%	0.00193	+24.68%	0.2401	✗	0.83
2025-12-26	oos	0.001508	0.001476	-2.10%	0.001933	+28.18%	0.2765	✗	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	0.001517	0.001487	-1.95%	0.002423	+59.72%	0.4700	✗	0.83
2025-12-24	oos	0.001545	0.001515	-1.94%	0.002557	+65.50%	0.5060	✗	0.83
2025-12-23	oos	0.001502	0.001475	-1.80%	0.003032	+101.86%	0.7014	✗	0.83
2025-12-22	oos	0.001524	0.001494	-1.98%	0.002176	+42.78%	0.3687	✗	0.83
2025-12-21	oos	0.001562	0.00153	-2.04%	0.001638	+4.87%	0.0712	✗	0.83
2025-12-20	oos	0.001551	0.00152	-2.03%	0.001274	-17.86%	0.2151	✓	0.83
2025-12-19	oos	0.001527	0.001496	-2.04%	0.001241	-18.73%	0.2372	✓	0.83
2025-12-18	oos	0.001466	0.001444	-1.49%	0.00121	-17.46%	0.2626	✓	0.80
2025-12-17	oos	0.001591	0.001562	-1.80%	0.00125	-21.43%	0.3040	✓	0.79
2025-12-16	oos	0.001571	0.001535	-2.29%	0.001251	-20.37%	0.2720	✓	0.80
2025-12-15	oos	0.001705	0.00167	-2.03%	0.001151	-32.49%	0.4687	✓	0.84
2025-12-14	oos	0.001763	0.001719	-2.48%	0.001087	-38.34%	0.5228	✓	0.82
2025-12-13	oos	0.001776	0.001724	-2.94%	0.001073	-39.58%	0.4825	✓	0.82
2025-12-12	oos	0.001747	0.001695	-2.97%	0.001053	-39.73%	0.4815	✓	0.81
2025-12-11	oos	0.001774	0.001714	-3.39%	0.001064	-40.02%	0.4573	✓	0.82
2025-12-10	oos	0.001811	0.001751	-3.29%	0.001297	-28.38%	0.2868	✓	0.82
2025-12-09	oos	0.001847	0.001787	-3.24%	0.001428	-22.69%	0.2099	✓	0.80
2025-12-08	oos	0.001859	0.001808	-2.75%	0.001443	-22.38%	0.2310	✓	0.80
2025-12-07	oos	0.001868	0.001819	-2.61%	0.001483	-20.61%	0.2331	✓	0.80
2025-12-06	oos	0.001905	0.001859	-2.40%	0.00148	-22.31%	0.2692	✓	0.82
2025-12-05	oos	0.001952	0.001905	-2.38%	0.001512	-22.54%	0.2511	✓	0.83
2025-12-04	oos	0.00194	0.001886	-2.80%	0.001512	-22.06%	0.2069	✓	0.85
2025-12-03	oos	0.001898	0.001846	-2.74%	0.001513	-20.28%	0.1659	✓	0.87
2025-12-02	oos	0.002113	0.002059	-2.57%	0.001499	-29.06%	0.2903	✓	0.94
2025-12-01	oos	0.002023	0.001989	-1.69%	0.001491	-26.30%	0.3014	✓	0.95
2025-11-30	oos	0.002087	0.00204	-2.24%	0.001499	-28.17%	0.2873	✓	0.95
2025-11-29	oos	0.002052	0.002007	-2.18%	0.001531	-25.39%	0.2315	✓	0.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.002104	0.002058	-2.20%	0.001553	-26.19%	0.2495	✓	0.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.002156	0.002106	-2.32%	0.001548	-28.20%	0.2709	✓	0.94
2025-11-26	oos	0.002243	0.002188	-2.46%	0.001508	-32.77%	0.3396	✓	0.91
2025-11-25	oos	0.002127	0.002089	-1.78%	0.001517	-28.68%	0.3185	✓	0.86
2025-11-24	oos	0.002113	0.002072	-1.93%	0.001545	-26.88%	0.2872	✓	0.87
2025-11-23	oos	0.002067	0.002034	-1.60%	0.001502	-27.33%	0.3095	✓	0.88
2025-11-22	oos	0.002052	0.002027	-1.22%	0.001524	-25.73%	0.3250	✓	0.89
2025-11-21	oos	0.002028	0.002004	-1.18%	0.001562	-22.98%	0.2860	✓	0.89
2025-11-20	oos	0.002114	0.002079	-1.64%	0.001551	-26.63%	0.3113	✓	0.89
2025-11-19	oos	0.00213	0.002075	-2.57%	0.001527	-28.31%	0.2684	✓	1.02
2025-11-18	oos	0.002379	0.002299	-3.38%	0.001466	-38.38%	0.3665	✓	0.99
2025-11-17	oos	0.002376	0.0023	-3.18%	0.001591	-33.04%	0.3030	✓	0.99
2025-11-16	oos	0.002515	0.002418	-3.84%	0.001571	-37.53%	0.3617	✓	1.00
2025-11-15	oos	0.002504	0.002405	-3.95%	0.001705	-31.91%	0.2422	✓	1.01
2025-11-14	oos	0.002495	0.002404	-3.65%	0.001763	-29.34%	0.2397	✓	1.01
2025-11-13	oos	0.002549	0.002436	-4.42%	0.001776	-30.33%	0.2103	✓	1.07
2025-11-12	oos	0.002376	0.002273	-4.32%	0.001747	-26.47%	0.1298	✓	1.13
2025-11-11	oos	0.002356	0.002252	-4.41%	0.001774	-24.70%	0.1166	✓	1.14
2025-11-10	oos	0.002432	0.002316	-4.79%	0.001811	-25.53%	0.0841	✓	1.15
2025-11-09	oos	0.002446	0.002332	-4.68%	0.001847	-24.49%	0.0928	✓	1.15
2025-11-08	oos	0.002341	0.00224	-4.31%	0.001859	-20.59%	0.0500	✓	1.13
2025-11-07	oos	0.002353	0.002245	-4.57%	0.001868	-20.61%	0.0329	✓	1.13
2025-11-06	oos	0.002295	0.0022	-4.16%	0.001905	-16.99%	0.0015	✓	1.13
2025-11-05	oos	0.002319	0.00221	-4.70%	0.001952	-15.83%	0.0486	✗	1.15
2025-11-04	oos	0.002346	0.002245	-4.32%	0.00194	-17.31%	0.0332	✓	1.16
2025-11-03	oos	0.002457	0.002327	-5.28%	0.001898	-22.75%	0.0413	✓	1.24
2025-11-02	oos	0.002561	0.002418	-5.58%	0.002113	-17.49%	0.1079	✗	1.27
2025-11-01	oos	0.002578	0.002434	-5.60%	0.002023	-21.53%	0.1244	✗	1.27
2025-10-31	oos	0.002536	0.002396	-5.53%	0.002087	-17.71%	0.1034	✗	1.25
2025-10-30	oos	0.002497	0.002362	-5.40%	0.002052	-17.82%	0.0784	✗	1.25
2025-10-29	oos	0.002563	0.00242	-5.56%	0.002104	-17.91%	0.0939	✗	1.23
2025-10-28	oos	0.002543	0.002399	-5.66%	0.002156	-15.22%	0.1748	✗	1.33
2025-10-27	oos	0.002559	0.002414	-5.65%	0.002243	-12.35%	0.2357	✗	1.33
2025-10-26	oos	0.002568	0.002424	-5.62%	0.002127	-17.17%	0.2360	✗	1.35
2025-10-25	oos	0.002539	0.0024	-5.48%	0.002113	-16.78%	0.1911	✗	1.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.002591	0.002456	-5.20%	0.002067	-20.22%	0.1649	✗	1.37
2025-10-23	oos	0.002651	0.002511	-5.29%	0.002052	-22.60%	0.1596	✗	1.38
2025-10-22	oos	0.002551	0.002431	-4.69%	0.002028	-20.50%	0.1350	✗	1.35
2025-10-21	oos	0.002615	0.002489	-4.81%	0.002114	-19.16%	0.1390	✗	1.34
2025-10-20	oos	0.00277	0.00262	-5.40%	0.00213	-23.10%	0.0469	✓	1.34
2025-10-19	oos	0.002754	0.002614	-5.07%	0.002379	-13.62%	0.1082	✗	1.29
2025-10-18	oos	0.002603	0.002495	-4.15%	0.002376	-8.72%	0.1425	✗	1.26
2025-10-17	oos	0.002569	0.002474	-3.70%	0.002515	-2.10%	0.1692	✗	1.25
2025-10-16	oos	0.002321	0.00225	-3.07%	0.002504	+7.88%	0.2723	✗	1.33
2025-10-15	oos	0.002618	0.0025	-4.49%	0.002495	-4.70%	0.2027	✗	1.29
2025-10-14	oos	0.002755	0.002604	-5.47%	0.002549	-7.48%	0.1421	✗	1.29
2025-10-13	oos	0.002869	0.002686	-6.39%	0.002376	-17.18%	0.0456	✓	1.34
2025-10-12	oos	0.002876	0.002689	-6.51%	0.002356	-18.08%	0.0141	✓	1.32
2025-10-11	oos	0.002775	0.002625	-5.40%	0.002432	-12.36%	0.0176	✓	1.33
2025-10-10	oos	0.003127	0.00293	-6.31%	0.002446	-21.78%	0.0798	✓	1.32
2025-10-09	oos	0.003705	0.003476	-6.17%	0.002341	-36.82%	0.2080	✓	1.08
2025-10-08	oos	0.003611	0.003372	-6.62%	0.002353	-34.84%	0.1509	✓	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.003554	0.003291	-7.39%	0.002295	-35.42%	0.1378	✓	1.23
2025-10-06	oos	0.003636	0.003379	-7.08%	0.002319	-36.22%	0.1474	✓	1.25
2025-10-05	oos	0.003542	0.003277	-7.48%	0.002346	-33.77%	0.0917	✓	1.23
2025-10-04	oos	0.003741	0.003465	-7.37%	0.002457	-34.32%	0.1717	✓	1.24
2025-10-03	oos	0.003873	0.003592	-7.27%	0.002561	-33.88%	0.2131	✓	1.24
2025-10-02	oos	0.003979	0.003685	-7.39%	0.002578	-35.21%	0.2420	✓	1.26
2025-10-01	oos	0.003908	0.0036	-7.87%	0.002536	-35.11%	0.2524	✓	1.23
2025-09-30	oos	0.003781	0.003488	-7.74%	0.002497	-33.96%	0.2709	✓	1.23
2025-09-29	oos	0.003783	0.003481	-7.98%	0.002563	-32.25%	0.2562	✓	1.29
2025-09-28	oos	0.003796	0.003511	-7.51%	0.002543	-33.01%	0.3308	✓	1.31
2025-09-27	oos	0.003756	0.003502	-6.76%	0.002559	-31.87%	0.3655	✓	1.32
2025-09-26	oos	0.003832	0.003566	-6.95%	0.002568	-32.99%	0.3851	✓	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.003836	0.00357	-6.93%	0.002539	-33.81%	0.3720	✓	1.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.004035	0.00369	-8.55%	0.002591	-35.79%	0.3260	✓	1.34
2025-09-23	oos	0.004111	0.003766	-8.39%	0.002651	-35.51%	0.3280	✓	1.35
2025-09-22	oos	0.004131	0.003761	-8.96%	0.002551	-38.25%	0.3249	✓	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.004291	0.003887	-9.41%	0.002615	-39.06%	0.3113	✓	1.38
2025-09-20	oos	0.004227	0.003804	-10.01%	0.00277	-34.47%	0.2529	✓	1.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.004577	0.004174	-8.81%	0.002754	-39.83%	0.3314	✓	1.35
2025-09-18	oos	0.004589	0.004175	-9.03%	0.002603	-43.28%	0.3505	✓	1.38
2025-09-17	oos	0.004752	0.004344	-8.59%	0.002569	-45.94%	0.4046	✓	1.34

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.