UPROBINHOOD

? · · gru_s7

token id: #949
symbol: UPROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-11
predictions: 189

Track record at +7d

assessed

56

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

69.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4402

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0389

actual +0.0621

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.276795	0.265354	-4.13%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.277585	0.26545	-4.37%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.24885	0.238864	-4.01%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-18	oos	0.21966	0.21218	-3.41%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.23107	0.223231	-3.39%	–	pending	–	–	2.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.28208	0.269113	-4.60%	–	pending	–	–	2.32
2026-10-15	oos	0.279945	0.266818	-4.69%	–	pending	–	–	2.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.27437	0.262529	-4.32%	0.276795	+0.88%	0.0208	✓	2.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.297375	0.279719	-5.94%	0.277585	-6.65%	0.0031	✓	2.31
2026-10-12	oos	0.198445	0.200911	+1.24%	0.24885	+25.40%	0.2115	✓	2.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.23632	0.234447	-0.79%	0.21966	-7.05%	0.0236	✓	2.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.20848	0.212015	+1.70%	0.23107	+10.84%	0.1240	✓	2.04
2026-10-09	oos	0.20578	0.210268	+2.18%	0.28208	+37.08%	0.3198	✓	2.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.19801	0.203199	+2.62%	0.279945	+41.38%	0.3097	✓	2.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.22919	0.232821	+1.58%	0.27437	+19.71%	0.2048	✓	1.96
2026-10-06	oos	0.24363	0.245117	+0.61%	0.297375	+22.06%	0.2501	✓	1.96
2026-10-05	oos	0.266405	0.265448	-0.36%	0.198445	-25.51%	0.1978	✓	1.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.28781	0.283066	-1.65%	0.23632	-17.89%	0.1166	✓	1.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.290305	0.287162	-1.08%	0.20848	-28.19%	0.2778	✓	1.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.27341	0.2728	-0.22%	0.20578	-24.74%	0.2362	✓	1.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.29989	0.295183	-1.57%	0.19801	-33.97%	0.3265	✓	1.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.40591	0.382727	-5.71%	0.22919	-43.54%	0.5059	✓	2.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.39374	0.372442	-5.41%	0.24363	-38.12%	0.4704	✓	2.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.291185	0.289749	-0.49%	0.266405	-8.51%	0.1405	✓	2.08
2026-09-27	oos	0.31507	0.308849	-1.97%	0.28781	-8.65%	0.1198	✓	2.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.36447	0.349538	-4.10%	0.290305	-20.35%	0.1935	✓	2.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.33586	0.324787	-3.30%	0.27341	-18.59%	0.1821	✓	2.04
2026-09-24	oos	0.33996	0.326376	-4.00%	0.29989	-11.79%	0.0958	✓	2.04
2026-09-23	oos	0.39528	0.373152	-5.60%	0.40591	+2.69%	0.1038	✗	2.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.482965	0.447515	-7.34%	0.39374	-18.47%	0.0726	✓	1.84
2026-09-21	oos	0.55709	0.513398	-7.84%	0.291185	-47.73%	0.5015	✓	1.78
2026-09-20	oos	0.46212	0.435683	-5.72%	0.31507	-31.82%	0.3878	✓	1.60
2026-09-19	oos	0.485615	0.456247	-6.05%	0.36447	-24.95%	0.2853	✓	1.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.58476	0.538315	-7.94%	0.33586	-42.56%	0.5328	✓	1.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.47322	0.455941	-3.65%	0.33996	-28.16%	0.4199	✓	1.26
2026-09-16	oos	0.37378	0.373007	-0.21%	0.39528	+5.75%	0.0744	✓	1.29
2026-09-15	oos	0.318955	0.319401	+0.14%	0.482965	+51.42%	0.2465	✓	1.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.37084	0.366795	-1.09%	0.55709	+50.22%	0.3108	✗	1.05
2026-09-13	oos	0.379015	0.374012	-1.32%	0.46212	+21.93%	0.1522	✗	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.353985	0.34447	-2.69%	0.485615	+37.19%	0.2871	✗	1.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.382085	0.368245	-3.62%	0.58476	+53.04%	0.4114	✗	1.10
2026-09-10	oos	0.396465	0.378276	-4.59%	0.47322	+19.36%	0.2267	✗	1.11
2026-09-09	oos	0.41882	0.393557	-6.03%	0.37378	-10.75%	0.0239	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.50196	0.470667	-6.23%	0.318955	-36.46%	0.3519	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.55791	0.522663	-6.32%	0.37084	-33.53%	0.3315	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.679235	0.638403	-6.01%	0.379015	-44.20%	0.4763	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.790295	0.738027	-6.61%	0.353985	-55.21%	0.7020	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.63101	0.593569	-5.93%	0.382085	-39.45%	0.4091	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.76968	0.720865	-6.34%	0.396465	-48.49%	0.5379	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.838135	0.776227	-7.39%	0.41882	-50.03%	0.6296	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.87428	0.799551	-8.55%	0.50196	-42.59%	0.4790	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.91438	0.821303	-10.18%	0.55791	-38.98%	0.3934	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.52462	0.482354	-8.06%	0.679235	+29.47%	0.3084	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.32435	0.307562	-5.18%	0.790295	+143.66%	0.9235	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.24126	0.231274	-4.14%	0.63101	+161.55%	0.9804	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.26469	0.254454	-3.87%	0.76968	+190.79%	1.0946	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.37223	0.344978	-7.32%	0.838135	+125.17%	0.9097	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.15754	0.152328	-3.31%	0.87428	+454.96%	1.7618	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.19865	0.190039	-4.33%	0.91438	+360.30%	1.5763	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.1409	0.136693	-2.99%	0.52462	+272.33%	1.3458	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0851	0.080537	-5.36%	0.32435	+281.14%	1.3779	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.1107	0.107309	-3.06%	0.24126	+117.94%	0.8164	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.1054	0.099938	-5.18%	0.26469	+151.13%	0.8792	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.