UPROBINHOOD

? · · gru_s7

token id: #949
symbol: UPROBINHOOD
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-11
predictions: 189

Track record at +1d

assessed

62

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

64.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1475

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0100

actual +0.0133

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.276795	0.274054	-0.99%	–	pending	–	–	2.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.277585	0.274432	-1.14%	0.276795	-0.28%	0.0154	✗	2.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.24885	0.24659	-0.91%	0.277585	+11.55%	0.0874	✗	2.32
2026-10-18	oos	0.21966	0.218408	-0.57%	0.24885	+13.29%	0.1353	✗	2.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.23107	0.229714	-0.59%	0.21966	-4.94%	0.0628	✓	2.35
2026-10-16	oos	0.28208	0.278876	-1.14%	0.23107	-18.08%	0.1847	✓	2.32
2026-10-15	oos	0.279945	0.276729	-1.15%	0.28208	+0.76%	0.0370	✗	2.33
2026-10-14	oos	0.27437	0.271513	-1.04%	0.279945	+2.03%	0.0147	✗	2.33
2026-10-13	oos	0.297375	0.291488	-1.98%	0.27437	-7.74%	0.0174	✓	2.31
2026-10-12	oos	0.198445	0.199432	+0.50%	0.297375	+49.85%	0.3639	✓	2.16
2026-10-11	oos	0.23632	0.236379	+0.02%	0.198445	-16.03%	0.1267	✗	2.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.20848	0.209699	+0.58%	0.23632	+13.35%	0.1007	✓	2.04
2026-10-09	oos	0.20578	0.207168	+0.67%	0.20848	+1.31%	0.0027	✓	2.04
2026-10-08	oos	0.19801	0.199507	+0.76%	0.20578	+3.92%	0.0099	✓	2.03
2026-10-07	oos	0.22919	0.230495	+0.57%	0.19801	-13.60%	0.1143	✗	1.96
2026-10-06	oos	0.24363	0.244584	+0.39%	0.22919	-5.93%	0.0123	✗	1.96
2026-10-05	oos	0.266405	0.266918	+0.19%	0.24363	-8.55%	0.0865	✗	1.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.28781	0.2875	-0.11%	0.266405	-7.44%	0.0593	✓	1.92
2026-10-03	oos	0.290305	0.290307	+0.00%	0.28781	-0.86%	0.0486	✗	1.94
2026-10-02	oos	0.27341	0.273984	+0.21%	0.290305	+6.18%	0.0524	✓	1.95
2026-10-01	oos	0.29989	0.299664	-0.08%	0.27341	-8.83%	0.0839	✓	1.92
2026-09-30	oos	0.40591	0.400024	-1.45%	0.29989	-26.12%	0.3194	✓	2.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.39374	0.388068	-1.44%	0.40591	+3.09%	0.0470	✗	2.05
2026-09-28	oos	0.291185	0.291574	+0.13%	0.39374	+35.22%	0.2959	✓	2.08
2026-09-27	oos	0.31507	0.314475	-0.19%	0.291185	-7.58%	0.0523	✓	2.06
2026-09-26	oos	0.36447	0.361748	-0.75%	0.31507	-13.55%	0.1392	✓	2.03
2026-09-25	oos	0.33586	0.334342	-0.45%	0.36447	+8.52%	0.0785	✗	2.04
2026-09-24	oos	0.33996	0.338077	-0.55%	0.33586	-1.21%	0.0005	✓	2.04
2026-09-23	oos	0.39528	0.391349	-0.99%	0.33996	-14.00%	0.1409	✓	2.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.482965	0.474821	-1.69%	0.39528	-18.16%	0.1441	✓	1.84
2026-09-21	oos	0.55709	0.544887	-2.19%	0.482965	-13.31%	0.1125	✓	1.78
2026-09-20	oos	0.46212	0.456413	-1.23%	0.55709	+20.55%	0.0959	✗	1.60
2026-09-19	oos	0.485615	0.478862	-1.39%	0.46212	-4.84%	0.0342	✓	1.58
2026-09-18	oos	0.58476	0.569818	-2.56%	0.485615	-16.95%	0.1668	✓	1.56
2026-09-17	oos	0.47322	0.468591	-0.98%	0.58476	+23.57%	0.1488	✗	1.26
2026-09-16	oos	0.37378	0.374117	+0.09%	0.47322	+26.60%	0.2315	✓	1.29
2026-09-15	oos	0.318955	0.319654	+0.22%	0.37378	+17.19%	0.1470	✓	1.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.37084	0.370497	-0.09%	0.318955	-13.99%	0.1145	✓	1.05
2026-09-13	oos	0.379015	0.378381	-0.17%	0.37084	-2.16%	0.0392	✓	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.353985	0.352546	-0.41%	0.379015	+7.07%	0.0791	✗	1.12
2026-09-11	oos	0.382085	0.379715	-0.62%	0.353985	-7.35%	0.0709	✓	1.10
2026-09-10	oos	0.396465	0.393261	-0.81%	0.382085	-3.63%	0.0385	✓	1.11
2026-09-09	oos	0.41882	0.414303	-1.08%	0.396465	-5.34%	0.0214	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.50196	0.4957	-1.25%	0.41882	-16.56%	0.1664	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.55791	0.550345	-1.36%	0.50196	-10.03%	0.0839	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.679235	0.668952	-1.51%	0.55791	-17.86%	0.1659	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.790295	0.773421	-2.14%	0.679235	-14.05%	0.1362	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.63101	0.621409	-1.52%	0.790295	+25.24%	0.2385	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.76968	0.754489	-1.97%	0.63101	-18.02%	0.1590	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.838135	0.817418	-2.47%	0.76968	-8.17%	0.1101	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.87428	0.8449	-3.36%	0.838135	-4.13%	0.0069	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.91438	0.871052	-4.74%	0.87428	-4.39%	0.0186	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.52462	0.50594	-3.56%	0.91438	+74.29%	0.5803	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.32435	0.317759	-2.03%	0.52462	+61.75%	0.5087	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.24126	0.238198	-1.27%	0.32435	+34.44%	0.3037	✗	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.26469	0.260975	-1.40%	0.24126	-8.85%	0.0477	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.37223	0.358341	-3.73%	0.26469	-28.89%	0.3186	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.15754	0.156077	-0.93%	0.37223	+136.28%	0.8628	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.19865	0.194716	-1.98%	0.15754	-20.69%	0.2061	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.1409	0.139569	-0.94%	0.19865	+40.99%	0.3370	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.0851	0.084501	-0.70%	0.1409	+65.57%	0.5026	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.1107	0.110199	-0.45%	0.0851	-23.13%	0.2421	✓	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.1054	0.104621	-0.74%	0.1107	+5.03%	0.0138	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.