TREAD
Tread.fi · Ethereum · gru_s7
- token id
- #929
- symbol
- TREAD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +7d
assessed
20
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
60.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1294
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0702
actual -0.0097
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.87515 | 0.83791 | -4.26% | – | pending | – | – | -0.26 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.89125 | 0.853562 | -4.23% | – | pending | – | – | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.8999 | 0.863543 | -4.04% | – | pending | – | – | -0.24 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.83765 | 0.813688 | -2.86% | – | pending | – | – | -0.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.8799 | 0.849531 | -3.45% | – | pending | – | – | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.8869 | 0.853997 | -3.71% | – | pending | – | – | -0.20 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.0433 | 0.988333 | -5.27% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 1.03 | 0.974607 | -5.38% | 0.87515 | -15.03% | 0.1214 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 1.0138 | 0.956404 | -5.66% | 0.89125 | -12.09% | 0.0686 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.98725 | 0.930775 | -5.72% | 0.8999 | -8.85% | 0.0349 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.0868 | 1.0185 | -6.28% | 0.83765 | -22.92% | 0.1753 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.1368 | 1.0596 | -6.79% | 0.8799 | -22.60% | 0.1672 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.0573 | 0.987965 | -6.55% | 0.8869 | -16.11% | 0.0952 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.0358 | 0.966712 | -6.67% | 1.0433 | +0.72% | 0.0710 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.0859 | 1.0125 | -6.77% | 1.03 | -5.15% | 0.0379 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.1432 | 1.067 | -6.66% | 1.0138 | -11.32% | 0.0222 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.1146 | 1.0397 | -6.72% | 0.98725 | -11.43% | 0.0039 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.1689 | 1.0897 | -6.78% | 1.0868 | -7.03% | 0.0306 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.2022 | 1.1035 | -8.21% | 1.1368 | -5.44% | 0.0516 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.84095 | 0.786462 | -6.48% | 1.0573 | +25.72% | 0.3194 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.8528 | 0.798282 | -6.39% | 1.0358 | +21.46% | 0.2984 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.87815 | 0.820636 | -6.55% | 1.0859 | +23.66% | 0.2835 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.0047 | 0.93421 | -7.02% | 1.1432 | +13.78% | 0.1794 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1383 | 1.0452 | -8.18% | 1.1146 | -2.09% | 0.0372 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.0855 | 0.988024 | -8.98% | 1.1689 | +7.69% | 0.1442 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.9022 | 0.841272 | -6.75% | 1.2022 | +33.25% | 0.3531 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.8192 | 0.762769 | -6.89% | 0.84095 | +2.66% | 0.0927 | ✗ | 1.00 |