TREAD
Tread.fi · Ethereum · gru_s7
- token id
- #929
- symbol
- TREAD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +1d
assessed
26
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
57.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0656
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0142
actual +0.0039
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.87515 | 0.868043 | -0.81% | – | pending | – | – | -0.26 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.89125 | 0.883934 | -0.82% | 0.87515 | -1.81% | 0.0108 | ✓ | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.8999 | 0.892652 | -0.81% | 0.89125 | -0.96% | 0.0017 | ✓ | -0.24 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.83765 | 0.833739 | -0.47% | 0.8999 | +7.43% | 0.0759 | ✗ | -0.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.8799 | 0.874481 | -0.62% | 0.83765 | -4.80% | 0.0416 | ✓ | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.8869 | 0.881164 | -0.65% | 0.8799 | -0.79% | 0.0017 | ✓ | -0.20 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.0433 | 1.0318 | -1.10% | 0.8869 | -14.99% | 0.1437 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 1.03 | 1.0183 | -1.14% | 1.0433 | +1.29% | 0.0175 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 1.0138 | 1.0019 | -1.18% | 1.03 | +1.60% | 0.0463 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.98725 | 0.975921 | -1.15% | 1.0138 | +2.69% | 0.0216 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.0868 | 1.072 | -1.36% | 0.98725 | -9.16% | 0.0589 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.1368 | 1.1175 | -1.70% | 1.0868 | -4.40% | 0.0371 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.0573 | 1.0424 | -1.40% | 1.1368 | +7.52% | 0.0823 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.0358 | 1.0218 | -1.35% | 1.0573 | +2.07% | 0.0237 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.0859 | 1.0707 | -1.40% | 1.0358 | -4.62% | 0.0140 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.1432 | 1.1263 | -1.47% | 1.0859 | -5.00% | 0.0097 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.1146 | 1.0978 | -1.51% | 1.1432 | +2.56% | 0.0429 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.1689 | 1.1501 | -1.61% | 1.1146 | -4.65% | 0.0225 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.2022 | 1.1721 | -2.50% | 1.1689 | -2.77% | 0.0233 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.84095 | 0.830631 | -1.23% | 1.2022 | +42.96% | 0.3669 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.8528 | 0.842592 | -1.20% | 0.84095 | -1.39% | 0.0021 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.87815 | 0.86734 | -1.23% | 0.8528 | -2.89% | 0.0323 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.0047 | 0.989194 | -1.54% | 0.87815 | -12.60% | 0.1181 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1383 | 1.1137 | -2.16% | 1.0047 | -11.74% | 0.1052 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.0855 | 1.0526 | -3.03% | 1.1383 | +4.87% | 0.0903 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.9022 | 0.88621 | -1.77% | 1.0855 | +20.32% | 0.2023 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.8192 | 0.801564 | -2.15% | 0.9022 | +10.13% | 0.1144 | ✗ | 1.00 |