PROLOGUE
Prologue · Robinhood · gru_s7
- token id
- #747
- symbol
- PROLOGUE
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0xb9972ca7188e511174947e3936a5315ac7073277
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-30
- predictions
- 135
Track record at +7d
assessed
38
of 45 predictions shown
direction hit
68.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2783
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0526
actual -0.2077
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.001203 | 0.001033 | -14.06% | – | pending | – | – | 3.15 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.001207 | 0.001026 | -14.98% | – | pending | – | – | 3.15 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.001988 | 0.001959 | -1.46% | – | pending | – | – | 3.49 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.003266 | 0.003175 | -2.78% | – | pending | – | – | 3.86 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.003638 | 0.003514 | -3.39% | – | pending | – | – | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.003952 | 0.003814 | -3.49% | – | pending | – | – | 3.88 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.004829 | 0.004573 | -5.30% | – | pending | – | – | 3.85 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.005071 | 0.004774 | -5.86% | 0.001203 | -76.29% | 1.4756 | ✓ | 3.85 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.004854 | 0.00461 | -5.02% | 0.001207 | -75.14% | 1.4545 | ✓ | 3.84 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.004327 | 0.004162 | -3.81% | 0.001988 | -54.06% | 0.7308 | ✓ | 4.08 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.004935 | 0.004728 | -4.19% | 0.003266 | -33.82% | 0.3749 | ✓ | 4.25 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.005705 | 0.005334 | -6.52% | 0.003638 | -36.25% | 0.2982 | ✓ | 4.19 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.004834 | 0.004651 | -3.77% | 0.003952 | -18.24% | 0.0861 | ✓ | 4.13 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.004975 | 0.0048 | -3.52% | 0.004829 | -2.92% | 0.0587 | ✗ | 4.13 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.005437 | 0.005227 | -3.86% | 0.005071 | -6.74% | 0.0525 | ✓ | 4.20 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.005456 | 0.005207 | -4.55% | 0.004854 | -11.03% | 0.0193 | ✓ | 4.32 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.005941 | 0.005613 | -5.53% | 0.004327 | -27.17% | 0.1327 | ✓ | 4.41 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.005721 | 0.005405 | -5.53% | 0.004935 | -13.74% | 0.1211 | ✗ | 4.43 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.005961 | 0.005628 | -5.59% | 0.005705 | -4.29% | 0.1614 | ✗ | 4.44 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.005959 | 0.00561 | -5.86% | 0.004834 | -18.89% | 0.0498 | ✓ | 4.54 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.006944 | 0.006565 | -5.45% | 0.004975 | -28.36% | 0.1708 | ✓ | 4.54 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.007509 | 0.007109 | -5.32% | 0.005437 | -27.59% | 0.0968 | ✓ | 4.52 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.008083 | 0.007637 | -5.51% | 0.005456 | -32.51% | 0.3208 | ✓ | 4.65 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.007228 | 0.006741 | -6.75% | 0.005941 | -17.80% | 0.2313 | ✓ | 4.68 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.00827 | 0.007784 | -5.88% | 0.005721 | -30.82% | 0.3350 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.00852 | 0.008045 | -5.57% | 0.005961 | -30.03% | 0.3237 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.00893 | 0.008466 | -5.20% | 0.005959 | -33.27% | 0.3550 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.010942 | 0.010465 | -4.36% | 0.006944 | -36.54% | 0.4151 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.01306 | 0.012436 | -4.78% | 0.007509 | -42.50% | 0.5100 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.011093 | 0.010614 | -4.32% | 0.008083 | -27.13% | 0.2626 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.010161 | 0.009784 | -3.71% | 0.007228 | -28.86% | 0.2726 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.010187 | 0.0098 | -3.80% | 0.00827 | -18.82% | 0.1328 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.008994 | 0.008502 | -5.47% | 0.00852 | -5.27% | 0.0377 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.008861 | 0.008371 | -5.53% | 0.00893 | +0.78% | 0.0263 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.00998 | 0.009361 | -6.19% | 0.010942 | +9.64% | 0.1170 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.008086 | 0.00768 | -5.02% | 0.01306 | +61.51% | 0.4308 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.007527 | 0.007208 | -4.24% | 0.011093 | +47.38% | 0.3284 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.00747 | 0.00718 | -3.89% | 0.010161 | +36.02% | 0.2159 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.009209 | 0.008647 | -6.11% | 0.010187 | +10.62% | 0.0616 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.007935 | 0.007553 | -4.82% | 0.008994 | +13.35% | 0.1194 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.008396 | 0.007933 | -5.52% | 0.008861 | +5.54% | 0.0605 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.008184 | 0.007694 | -5.99% | 0.00998 | +21.94% | 0.2137 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.00674 | 0.006374 | -5.43% | 0.008086 | +19.97% | 0.2403 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.007021 | 0.006559 | -6.59% | 0.007527 | +7.20% | 0.1654 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.009219 | 0.008706 | -5.56% | 0.00747 | -18.97% | 0.1159 | ✓ | 1.00 |