PROLOGUE

Prologue · Robinhood · gru_s7

token id: #747
symbol: PROLOGUE
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xb9972ca7188e511174947e3936a5315ac7073277
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-30
predictions: 132

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 44 predictions shown

direction hit

53.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1146

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0041

actual -0.0441

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.001409	0.001398	-0.83%	–	pending	–	–	3.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.001988	0.001984	-0.19%	0.001409	-29.10%	0.3318	✓	3.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.003266	0.003277	+0.35%	0.001988	-39.13%	0.5514	✗	3.86
2026-10-18	oos	0.003638	0.003647	+0.26%	0.003266	-10.21%	0.1024	✗	3.84
2026-10-17	oos	0.003952	0.00396	+0.21%	0.003638	-7.96%	0.1148	✗	3.88
2026-10-16	oos	0.004829	0.00482	-0.21%	0.003952	-18.17%	0.1928	✓	3.85
2026-10-15	oos	0.005071	0.005057	-0.27%	0.004829	-4.76%	0.0167	✓	3.85
2026-10-14	oos	0.004854	0.004854	+0.00%	0.005071	+4.47%	0.0176	✓	3.84
2026-10-13	oos	0.004327	0.004343	+0.36%	0.004854	+12.18%	0.1873	✓	4.08
2026-10-12	oos	0.004935	0.004944	+0.17%	0.004327	-12.32%	0.2033	✗	4.25
2026-10-11	oos	0.005705	0.005685	-0.36%	0.004935	-13.50%	0.0434	✓	4.19
2026-10-10	oos	0.004834	0.004852	+0.37%	0.005705	+18.04%	0.1241	✓	4.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.004975	0.004994	+0.39%	0.004834	-2.84%	0.0510	✗	4.13
2026-10-08	oos	0.005437	0.005451	+0.25%	0.004975	-8.51%	0.1349	✗	4.20
2026-10-07	oos	0.005456	0.005467	+0.22%	0.005437	-0.33%	0.0774	✓	4.32
2026-10-06	oos	0.005941	0.005933	-0.15%	0.005456	-8.18%	0.0345	✗	4.41
2026-10-05	oos	0.005721	0.00572	-0.03%	0.005941	+3.85%	0.0489	✗	4.43
2026-10-04	oos	0.005961	0.005948	-0.23%	0.005721	-4.03%	0.0002	✓	4.44
2026-10-03	oos	0.005959	0.005951	-0.14%	0.005961	+0.04%	0.0918	✓	4.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.006944	0.006907	-0.53%	0.005959	-14.18%	0.1604	✓	4.54
2026-10-01	oos	0.007509	0.007459	-0.66%	0.006944	-7.52%	0.0532	✓	4.52
2026-09-30	oos	0.008083	0.008025	-0.71%	0.007509	-7.10%	0.1378	✓	4.65
2026-09-29	oos	0.007228	0.007183	-0.63%	0.008083	+11.82%	0.1227	✗	4.68
2026-09-28	oos	0.00827	0.008211	-0.72%	0.007228	-12.59%	0.1296	✓	1.00
2026-09-27	oos	0.00852	0.008458	-0.72%	0.00827	-2.93%	0.0106	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.00893	0.008868	-0.70%	0.00852	-4.60%	0.0405	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.010942	0.010856	-0.79%	0.00893	-18.38%	0.1991	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.01306	0.012903	-1.20%	0.010942	-16.22%	0.1614	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.011093	0.010984	-0.99%	0.01306	+17.73%	0.1731	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.010161	0.010071	-0.88%	0.011093	+9.17%	0.1180	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.010187	0.010085	-1.00%	0.010161	-0.26%	0.0121	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.008994	0.008903	-1.01%	0.010187	+13.26%	0.0699	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.008861	0.008773	-0.99%	0.008994	+1.50%	0.0257	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.00998	0.009842	-1.38%	0.008861	-11.21%	0.1094	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.008086	0.008026	-0.74%	0.00998	+23.42%	0.1602	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.007527	0.007495	-0.43%	0.008086	+7.43%	0.0733	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.00747	0.007444	-0.35%	0.007527	+0.76%	0.0037	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.009209	0.009113	-1.04%	0.00747	-18.88%	0.1652	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.007935	0.007895	-0.50%	0.009209	+16.06%	0.1362	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008396	0.008342	-0.64%	0.007935	-5.49%	0.0440	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.008184	0.008133	-0.62%	0.008396	+2.59%	0.0311	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.00674	0.006716	-0.35%	0.008184	+21.42%	0.1889	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.007021	0.006995	-0.38%	0.00674	-4.01%	0.0145	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.009219	0.009169	-0.54%	0.007021	-23.84%	0.2648	✓	1.00