PRL

Pearl · native · gru_s7

token id: #318
symbol: PRL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 609

Track record at +7d

assessed

196

of 203 predictions shown

direction hit

52.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1634

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0178

actual -0.0304

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.099715	0.097992	-1.73%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-21	oos	0.099215	0.097458	-1.77%	–	pending	–	–	-0.48
2026-10-20	oos	0.09595	0.094475	-1.54%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.086455	0.085685	-0.89%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.089395	0.088674	-0.81%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.09256	0.091777	-0.85%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.09638	0.095428	-0.99%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.098895	0.097805	-1.10%	0.099715	+0.83%	0.0321	✗	-0.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.10321	0.101952	-1.22%	0.099215	-3.87%	0.0123	✓	-0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.1071	0.10574	-1.27%	0.09595	-10.41%	0.0982	✓	-0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.10897	0.107294	-1.54%	0.086455	-20.66%	0.2154	✓	-0.52
2026-10-11	oos	0.11286	0.111199	-1.47%	0.089395	-20.79%	0.2275	✓	-0.46
2026-10-10	oos	0.11281	0.111092	-1.52%	0.09256	-17.95%	0.1905	✓	-0.43
2026-10-09	oos	0.112985	0.111289	-1.50%	0.09638	-14.70%	0.1493	✓	-0.43
2026-10-08	oos	0.112445	0.110662	-1.59%	0.098895	-12.05%	0.1102	✓	-0.43
2026-10-07	oos	0.112855	0.111137	-1.52%	0.10321	-8.55%	0.0827	✓	-0.42
2026-10-06	oos	0.114295	0.113063	-1.08%	0.1071	-6.30%	0.0668	✓	-0.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.1153	0.114073	-1.06%	0.10897	-5.49%	0.0640	✓	-0.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.115245	0.114274	-0.84%	0.11286	-2.07%	0.0251	✓	-0.38
2026-10-03	oos	0.11641	0.114968	-1.24%	0.11281	-3.09%	0.0271	✓	-0.37
2026-10-02	oos	0.1163	0.114736	-1.34%	0.112985	-2.85%	0.0243	✓	-0.38
2026-10-01	oos	0.117695	0.116092	-1.36%	0.112445	-4.46%	0.0461	✓	-0.38
2026-09-30	oos	0.11663	0.114633	-1.71%	0.112855	-3.24%	0.0168	✓	-0.35
2026-09-29	oos	0.116075	0.113995	-1.79%	0.114295	-1.53%	0.0102	✓	-0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.115385	0.113213	-1.88%	0.1153	-0.07%	0.0266	✗	-0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.12233	0.120202	-1.74%	0.115245	-5.79%	0.0348	✓	-0.31
2026-09-26	oos	0.12269	0.120441	-1.83%	0.11641	-5.12%	0.0329	✓	-0.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.12086	0.11856	-1.90%	0.1163	-3.77%	0.0178	✓	-0.30
2026-09-24	oos	0.11888	0.11668	-1.85%	0.117695	-1.00%	0.0103	✓	-0.30
2026-09-23	oos	0.11387	0.111795	-1.82%	0.11663	+2.42%	0.0394	✗	-0.30
2026-09-22	oos	0.12082	0.119194	-1.35%	0.116075	-3.93%	0.0375	✓	-0.36
2026-09-21	oos	0.118115	0.116631	-1.26%	0.115385	-2.31%	0.0231	✓	-0.33
2026-09-20	oos	0.11549	0.112904	-2.24%	0.12233	+5.92%	0.0972	✗	-0.43
2026-09-19	oos	0.11687	0.11411	-2.36%	0.12269	+4.98%	0.0891	✗	-0.43
2026-09-18	oos	0.11423	0.112145	-1.83%	0.12086	+5.80%	0.0913	✗	-0.42
2026-09-17	oos	0.1089	0.107128	-1.63%	0.11888	+9.16%	0.1587	✗	-0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.1093	0.107558	-1.59%	0.11387	+4.18%	0.1139	✗	-0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.107435	0.106236	-1.12%	0.12082	+12.46%	0.1965	✗	-0.52
2026-09-14	oos	0.113295	0.111721	-1.39%	0.118115	+4.25%	0.1128	✗	-0.56
2026-09-13	oos	0.110605	0.109464	-1.03%	0.11549	+4.42%	0.0832	✗	-0.54
2026-09-12	oos	0.117375	0.115731	-1.40%	0.11687	-0.43%	0.0376	✗	-0.56
2026-09-11	oos	0.1145	0.113448	-0.92%	0.11423	-0.24%	0.0329	✗	-0.56
2026-09-10	oos	0.10966	0.109793	+0.12%	0.1089	-0.69%	0.0095	✗	-0.56
2026-09-09	oos	0.117875	0.117023	-0.72%	0.1093	-7.27%	0.0854	✓	-0.62
2026-09-08	oos	0.125695	0.124228	-1.17%	0.107435	-14.53%	0.1634	✓	-0.49
2026-09-07	oos	0.13255	0.129686	-2.16%	0.113295	-14.53%	0.1410	✓	-0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.12763	0.126737	-0.70%	0.110605	-13.34%	0.1560	✓	-0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.12613	0.126362	+0.18%	0.117375	-6.94%	0.0887	✗	-0.46
2026-09-04	oos	0.12391	0.125173	+1.02%	0.1145	-7.59%	0.1019	✗	-0.41
2026-09-03	oos	0.12911	0.130138	+0.80%	0.10966	-15.06%	0.1973	✗	-0.44
2026-09-02	oos	0.13655	0.138463	+1.40%	0.117875	-13.68%	0.1576	✗	-0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.14876	0.149862	+0.74%	0.125695	-15.50%	0.1724	✗	-0.26
2026-08-31	oos	0.15862	0.158951	+0.21%	0.13255	-16.44%	0.1793	✗	-0.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.17393	0.173182	-0.43%	0.12763	-26.62%	0.2962	✓	-0.27
2026-08-29	oos	0.18234	0.180828	-0.83%	0.12613	-30.83%	0.3552	✓	-0.25
2026-08-28	oos	0.187175	0.18493	-1.20%	0.12391	-33.80%	0.3947	✓	-0.25
2026-08-27	oos	0.20275	0.199926	-1.39%	0.12911	-36.32%	0.4336	✓	-0.30
2026-08-26	oos	0.20398	0.20003	-1.94%	0.13655	-33.06%	0.3884	✓	-0.30
2026-08-25	oos	0.21216	0.20719	-2.34%	0.14876	-29.88%	0.3362	✓	-0.34
2026-08-24	oos	0.219885	0.214015	-2.67%	0.15862	-27.86%	0.3012	✓	-0.32
2026-08-23	oos	0.2312	0.223614	-3.28%	0.17393	-24.77%	0.2515	✓	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.2294	0.220315	-3.96%	0.18234	-20.51%	0.1851	✓	-0.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.25231	0.243887	-3.34%	0.187175	-25.82%	0.2666	✓	-0.31
2026-08-20	oos	0.25681	0.245214	-4.52%	0.20275	-21.05%	0.1608	✓	-0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.31667	0.30691	-3.08%	0.20398	-35.59%	0.4148	✓	0.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.44811	0.436235	-2.65%	0.21216	-52.65%	0.9012	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.39028	0.381222	-2.32%	0.219885	-43.66%	0.7329	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.39762	0.388057	-2.41%	0.2312	-41.85%	0.7203	✓	0.95
2026-08-15	oos	0.354585	0.344691	-2.79%	0.2294	-35.30%	0.5981	✓	0.95
2026-08-14	oos	0.35075	0.341939	-2.51%	0.25231	-28.07%	0.5121	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.300195	0.294021	-2.06%	0.25681	-14.45%	0.2768	✓	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.323825	0.31737	-1.99%	0.31667	-2.21%	0.1002	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.330115	0.323062	-2.14%	0.44811	+35.74%	0.3081	✗	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.304755	0.298695	-1.99%	0.39028	+28.06%	0.2580	✗	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.2748	0.269443	-1.95%	0.39762	+44.69%	0.4251	✗	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.300765	0.295145	-1.87%	0.354585	+17.89%	0.2174	✗	1.15
2026-08-07	oos	0.284025	0.27836	-1.99%	0.35075	+23.49%	0.2634	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.279705	0.274667	-1.80%	0.300195	+7.33%	0.1031	✗	1.08
2026-08-05	oos	0.27185	0.266829	-1.85%	0.323825	+19.12%	0.2138	✗	1.09
2026-08-04	oos	0.257085	0.252179	-1.91%	0.330115	+28.41%	0.2778	✗	1.05
2026-08-03	oos	0.25844	0.253358	-1.97%	0.304755	+17.92%	0.1775	✗	1.03
2026-08-02	oos	0.2655	0.259864	-2.12%	0.2748	+3.50%	0.0336	✗	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.24187	0.237312	-1.88%	0.300765	+24.35%	0.2019	✗	1.04
2026-07-31	oos	0.24613	0.240843	-2.15%	0.284025	+15.40%	0.1311	✗	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.24718	0.240918	-2.53%	0.279705	+13.16%	0.1569	✗	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.2118	0.207591	-1.99%	0.27185	+28.35%	0.2599	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.18124	0.178469	-1.53%	0.257085	+41.85%	0.3623	✗	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.180795	0.177908	-1.60%	0.25844	+42.95%	0.3765	✗	0.86
2026-07-26	oos	0.19156	0.187575	-2.08%	0.2655	+38.60%	0.3701	✗	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.180655	0.178346	-1.28%	0.24187	+33.89%	0.3182	✗	0.56
2026-07-24	oos	0.17977	0.177477	-1.28%	0.24613	+36.91%	0.3387	✗	0.59
2026-07-23	oos	0.17194	0.170387	-0.90%	0.24718	+43.76%	0.3752	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	0.170375	0.169139	-0.73%	0.2118	+24.31%	0.2456	✗	0.61
2026-07-21	oos	0.176875	0.175498	-0.78%	0.18124	+2.47%	0.0566	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	0.17387	0.172411	-0.84%	0.180795	+3.98%	0.0618	✗	0.61
2026-07-19	oos	0.17227	0.170863	-0.82%	0.19156	+11.20%	0.1081	✗	0.61
2026-07-18	oos	0.1727	0.171275	-0.82%	0.180655	+4.61%	0.0590	✗	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.17012	0.168746	-0.81%	0.17977	+5.67%	0.0613	✗	0.68
2026-07-16	oos	0.168865	0.167583	-0.76%	0.17194	+1.82%	0.0090	✗	0.84
2026-07-15	oos	0.16945	0.168327	-0.66%	0.170375	+0.55%	0.0019	✓	0.67
2026-07-14	oos	0.175085	0.173773	-0.75%	0.176875	+1.02%	0.0000	✓	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.165275	0.16388	-0.84%	0.17387	+5.20%	0.0256	✗	0.73
2026-07-12	oos	0.170995	0.169573	-0.83%	0.17227	+0.75%	0.0054	✓	0.71
2026-07-11	oos	0.16921	0.167866	-0.79%	0.1727	+2.06%	0.0194	✗	0.57
2026-07-10	oos	0.173995	0.172544	-0.83%	0.17012	-2.23%	0.0124	✓	0.48
2026-07-09	oos	0.16962	0.168203	-0.84%	0.168865	-0.45%	0.0005	✓	0.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.172195	0.170635	-0.91%	0.16945	-1.59%	0.0248	✓	0.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.18963	0.187443	-1.15%	0.175085	-7.67%	0.0786	✓	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.19	0.187862	-1.13%	0.165275	-13.01%	0.1173	✓	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.172495	0.170879	-0.94%	0.170995	-0.87%	0.0002	✓	0.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.184115	0.181407	-1.47%	0.16921	-8.10%	0.0736	✓	0.37
2026-07-03	oos	0.17919	0.177034	-1.20%	0.173995	-2.90%	0.0293	✓	0.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.167965	0.166093	-1.11%	0.16962	+0.99%	0.0083	✓	0.47
2026-07-01	oos	0.16593	0.16379	-1.29%	0.172195	+3.78%	0.0326	✗	0.47
2026-06-30	oos	0.15907	0.157005	-1.30%	0.18963	+19.21%	0.1521	✗	0.47
2026-06-29	oos	0.16325	0.160592	-1.63%	0.19	+16.39%	0.1401	✗	0.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.154175	0.152204	-1.28%	0.172495	+11.88%	0.1038	✗	0.32
2026-06-27	oos	0.150835	0.148777	-1.36%	0.184115	+22.06%	0.2007	✗	0.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.14411	0.142392	-1.19%	0.17919	+24.34%	0.2203	✗	0.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.14418	0.142238	-1.35%	0.167965	+16.50%	0.1594	✗	0.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1387	0.137101	-1.15%	0.16593	+19.63%	0.1990	✗	0.48
2026-06-23	oos	0.14184	0.139905	-1.36%	0.15907	+12.15%	0.1462	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.13865	0.137236	-1.02%	0.16325	+17.74%	0.1906	✗	0.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.14252	0.140997	-1.07%	0.154175	+8.18%	0.1071	✗	0.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.14479	0.14312	-1.15%	0.150835	+4.18%	0.0722	✗	0.29
2026-06-19	oos	0.144445	0.142762	-1.17%	0.14411	-0.23%	0.0255	✗	0.29
2026-06-18	oos	0.151155	0.149307	-1.22%	0.14418	-4.61%	0.0194	✓	0.30
2026-06-17	oos	0.15744	0.155198	-1.42%	0.1387	-11.90%	0.0971	✓	0.28
2026-06-16	oos	0.16476	0.162415	-1.42%	0.14184	-13.91%	0.1235	✓	0.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.18421	0.181781	-1.32%	0.13865	-24.73%	0.2628	✓	0.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.19015	0.187363	-1.47%	0.14252	-25.05%	0.2645	✓	0.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.195935	0.192763	-1.62%	0.14479	-26.10%	0.2853	✓	0.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.191665	0.188443	-1.68%	0.144445	-24.64%	0.2656	✓	0.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.1988	0.194393	-2.22%	0.151155	-23.97%	0.2488	✓	0.25
2026-06-10	oos	0.17579	0.173796	-1.13%	0.15744	-10.44%	0.1048	✓	0.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.179975	0.177797	-1.21%	0.16476	-8.45%	0.0838	✓	0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.18887	0.186171	-1.43%	0.18421	-2.47%	0.0152	✓	0.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.178	0.175765	-1.26%	0.19015	+6.83%	0.0751	✗	0.10
2026-06-06	oos	0.17343	0.172036	-0.80%	0.195935	+12.98%	0.1263	✗	0.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.17492	0.173613	-0.75%	0.191665	+9.57%	0.0963	✗	0.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.18829	0.18575	-1.35%	0.1988	+5.58%	0.0677	✗	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.20735	0.203746	-1.74%	0.17579	-15.22%	0.1499	✓	-0.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.19479	0.191081	-1.90%	0.179975	-7.61%	0.0574	✓	0.03
2026-06-01	oos	0.19786	0.193371	-2.27%	0.18887	-4.54%	0.0260	✓	-0.02
2026-05-31	oos	0.20331	0.197324	-2.94%	0.178	-12.45%	0.1133	✓	-0.07
2026-05-30	oos	0.20295	0.196461	-3.20%	0.17343	-14.55%	0.1378	✓	-0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.181715	0.177811	-2.15%	0.17492	-3.74%	0.0340	✓	-0.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.17852	0.173063	-3.06%	0.18829	+5.47%	0.0711	✗	-0.09
2026-05-27	oos	0.15387	0.152846	-0.67%	0.20735	+34.76%	0.3037	✗	-0.01
2026-05-26	oos	0.16026	0.15857	-1.05%	0.19479	+21.55%	0.1990	✗	-0.05
2026-05-25	oos	0.17268	0.169776	-1.68%	0.19786	+14.58%	0.1426	✗	-0.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.17963	0.176622	-1.67%	0.20331	+13.18%	0.1350	✗	-0.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.191655	0.188275	-1.76%	0.20295	+5.89%	0.0706	✗	-0.12
2026-05-22	oos	0.18882	0.186313	-1.33%	0.181715	-3.76%	0.0285	✓	-0.13
2026-05-21	oos	0.19739	0.193867	-1.78%	0.17852	-9.56%	0.0936	✓	-0.21
2026-05-20	oos	0.200525	0.197084	-1.72%	0.15387	-23.27%	0.2562	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.200605	0.19774	-1.43%	0.16026	-20.11%	0.2127	✓	-0.21
2026-05-18	oos	0.206865	0.203884	-1.44%	0.17268	-16.53%	0.1653	✓	-0.21
2026-05-17	oos	0.19963	0.197111	-1.26%	0.17963	-10.02%	0.0940	✓	-0.20
2026-05-16	oos	0.20361	0.20074	-1.41%	0.191655	-5.87%	0.0504	✓	-0.22
2026-05-15	oos	0.219995	0.21599	-1.82%	0.18882	-14.17%	0.1478	✓	-0.29
2026-05-14	oos	0.2512	0.245748	-2.17%	0.19739	-21.42%	0.2427	✓	-0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.25513	0.249563	-2.18%	0.200525	-21.40%	0.2306	✓	-0.51
2026-05-12	oos	0.25496	0.24916	-2.27%	0.200605	-21.32%	0.2418	✓	-0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.27403	0.267418	-2.41%	0.206865	-24.51%	0.2951	✓	-0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.27135	0.26472	-2.44%	0.19963	-26.43%	0.3206	✓	-0.64
2026-05-09	oos	0.28986	0.282377	-2.58%	0.20361	-29.76%	0.3453	✓	-0.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.28383	0.276467	-2.59%	0.219995	-22.49%	0.2366	✓	-0.57
2026-05-07	oos	0.27438	0.267238	-2.60%	0.2512	-8.45%	0.0543	✓	-0.57
2026-05-06	oos	0.26746	0.260339	-2.66%	0.25513	-4.61%	0.0354	✓	-0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.283635	0.27378	-3.47%	0.25496	-10.11%	0.0741	✓	-0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.26549	0.258778	-2.53%	0.27403	+3.22%	0.0710	✗	-0.59
2026-05-03	oos	0.25235	0.246036	-2.50%	0.27135	+7.53%	0.1268	✗	-0.64
2026-05-02	oos	0.26266	0.255963	-2.55%	0.28986	+10.36%	0.1405	✗	-0.65
2026-05-01	oos	0.25282	0.246401	-2.54%	0.28383	+12.27%	0.1577	✗	-0.66
2026-04-30	oos	0.28061	0.273326	-2.60%	0.27438	-2.22%	0.0272	✗	-0.49
2026-04-29	oos	0.31369	0.304385	-2.97%	0.26746	-14.74%	0.0972	✓	-0.44
2026-04-28	oos	0.35463	0.337913	-4.71%	0.283635	-20.02%	0.1434	✓	-0.54
2026-04-27	oos	0.3251	0.30241	-6.98%	0.26549	-18.34%	0.1151	✓	-0.48
2026-04-26	oos	0.22072	0.217283	-1.56%	0.25235	+14.33%	0.1497	✗	0.06
2026-04-25	oos	0.20786	0.204644	-1.55%	0.26266	+26.36%	0.2494	✗	0.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.205465	0.202078	-1.65%	0.25282	+23.05%	0.2239	✗	0.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.20197	0.198669	-1.63%	0.28061	+38.94%	0.3709	✗	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.23358	0.229167	-1.89%	0.31369	+34.30%	0.3459	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.22605	0.221039	-2.22%	0.35463	+56.88%	0.4731	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.22024	0.214464	-2.62%	0.3251	+47.61%	0.3964	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.19005	0.184257	-3.05%	0.22072	+16.14%	0.1169	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.18005	0.174489	-3.09%	0.20786	+15.45%	0.1500	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.24832	0.23951	-3.55%	0.205465	-17.26%	0.1580	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.29724	0.272368	-8.37%	0.20197	-32.05%	0.3397	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.18078	0.176934	-2.13%	0.23358	+29.21%	0.2337	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.17941	0.175494	-2.18%	0.22605	+26.00%	0.2243	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.17572	0.172038	-2.10%	0.22024	+25.34%	0.2281	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.18519	0.180122	-2.74%	0.19005	+2.62%	0.0112	✓	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.17241	0.168457	-2.29%	0.18005	+4.43%	0.0309	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.16176	0.15794	-2.36%	0.24832	+53.51%	0.3979	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.16878	0.16461	-2.47%	0.29724	+76.11%	0.5452	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.17473	0.170145	-2.62%	0.18078	+3.46%	0.0092	✓	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.17153	0.167179	-2.54%	0.17941	+4.59%	0.0395	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.17115	0.166424	-2.76%	0.17572	+2.67%	0.0237	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.19287	0.185823	-3.65%	0.18519	-3.98%	0.0285	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.16536	0.160078	-3.19%	0.17241	+4.26%	0.0084	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.14425	0.140415	-2.66%	0.16176	+12.14%	0.0552	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.