PRL

Pearl · native · gru_s7

token id: #318
symbol: PRL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 606

Track record at +30d

assessed

172

of 202 predictions shown

direction hit

65.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3596

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0738

actual -0.1644

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.09683	0.091405	-5.60%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-20	oos	0.09595	0.090679	-5.49%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.086455	0.082181	-4.94%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.089395	0.084709	-5.24%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.09256	0.087381	-5.60%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.09638	0.090689	-5.90%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.098895	0.092904	-6.06%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.10321	0.096612	-6.39%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.1071	0.09997	-6.66%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.10897	0.101123	-7.20%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-11	oos	0.11286	0.104823	-7.12%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-10	oos	0.11281	0.104695	-7.19%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-09	oos	0.112985	0.10458	-7.44%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-08	oos	0.112445	0.103939	-7.56%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-07	oos	0.112855	0.104248	-7.63%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-10-06	oos	0.114295	0.106256	-7.03%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.1153	0.107098	-7.11%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.115245	0.107744	-6.51%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-03	oos	0.11641	0.107622	-7.55%	–	pending	–	–	-0.37
2026-10-02	oos	0.1163	0.107074	-7.93%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-01	oos	0.117695	0.10805	-8.20%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-09-30	oos	0.11663	0.105939	-9.17%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-09-29	oos	0.116075	0.105095	-9.46%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.115385	0.103971	-9.89%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.12233	0.111341	-8.98%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-26	oos	0.12269	0.111471	-9.14%	–	pending	–	–	-0.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.12086	0.109462	-9.43%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-24	oos	0.11888	0.107353	-9.70%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-23	oos	0.11387	0.102069	-10.36%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-22	oos	0.12082	0.110896	-8.21%	–	pending	–	–	-0.36
2026-09-21	oos	0.118115	0.10838	-8.24%	0.09683	-18.02%	0.1281	✓	-0.33
2026-09-20	oos	0.11549	0.103295	-10.56%	0.09595	-16.92%	0.0645	✓	-0.43
2026-09-19	oos	0.11687	0.104861	-10.28%	0.086455	-26.02%	0.1898	✓	-0.43
2026-09-18	oos	0.11423	0.104443	-8.57%	0.089395	-21.74%	0.1497	✓	-0.42
2026-09-17	oos	0.1089	0.100989	-7.26%	0.09256	-15.00%	0.0523	✓	-0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.1093	0.101897	-6.77%	0.09638	-11.82%	0.0180	✓	-0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.107435	0.101503	-5.52%	0.098895	-7.95%	0.0169	✓	-0.52
2026-09-14	oos	0.113295	0.106463	-6.03%	0.10321	-8.90%	0.0073	✓	-0.56
2026-09-13	oos	0.110605	0.105472	-4.64%	0.1071	-3.17%	0.0576	✗	-0.54
2026-09-12	oos	0.117375	0.111563	-4.95%	0.10897	-7.16%	0.0078	✓	-0.56
2026-09-11	oos	0.1145	0.110078	-3.86%	0.11286	-1.43%	0.0702	✗	-0.56
2026-09-10	oos	0.10966	0.106711	-2.69%	0.11281	+2.87%	0.1004	✗	-0.56
2026-09-09	oos	0.117875	0.113976	-3.31%	0.112985	-4.15%	0.0241	✓	-0.62
2026-09-08	oos	0.125695	0.120218	-4.36%	0.112445	-10.54%	0.0470	✓	-0.49
2026-09-07	oos	0.13255	0.125517	-5.31%	0.112855	-14.86%	0.0805	✓	-0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.12763	0.121465	-4.83%	0.114295	-10.45%	0.0331	✓	-0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.12613	0.120891	-4.15%	0.1153	-8.59%	0.0148	✓	-0.46
2026-09-04	oos	0.12391	0.117927	-4.83%	0.115245	-6.99%	0.0103	✓	-0.41
2026-09-03	oos	0.12911	0.122197	-5.35%	0.11641	-9.84%	0.0303	✓	-0.44
2026-09-02	oos	0.13655	0.128918	-5.59%	0.1163	-14.83%	0.0793	✓	-0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.14876	0.138945	-6.60%	0.117695	-20.88%	0.1423	✓	-0.26
2026-08-31	oos	0.15862	0.146164	-7.85%	0.11663	-26.47%	0.2039	✓	-0.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.17393	0.158775	-8.71%	0.116075	-33.26%	0.2935	✓	-0.27
2026-08-29	oos	0.18234	0.164581	-9.74%	0.115385	-36.72%	0.3390	✓	-0.25
2026-08-28	oos	0.187175	0.167693	-10.41%	0.12233	-34.64%	0.2953	✓	-0.25
2026-08-27	oos	0.20275	0.181272	-10.59%	0.12269	-39.49%	0.3751	✓	-0.30
2026-08-26	oos	0.20398	0.180558	-11.48%	0.12086	-40.75%	0.3826	✓	-0.30
2026-08-25	oos	0.21216	0.187843	-11.46%	0.11888	-43.97%	0.4331	✓	-0.34
2026-08-24	oos	0.219885	0.194619	-11.49%	0.11387	-48.21%	0.5149	✓	-0.32
2026-08-23	oos	0.2312	0.20456	-11.52%	0.12082	-47.74%	0.4996	✓	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.2294	0.201464	-12.18%	0.118115	-48.51%	0.5029	✓	-0.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.25231	0.230729	-8.55%	0.11549	-54.23%	0.6809	✓	-0.31
2026-08-20	oos	0.25681	0.228972	-10.84%	0.11687	-54.49%	0.6395	✓	-0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.31667	0.291539	-7.94%	0.11423	-63.93%	0.9443	✓	0.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.44811	0.411062	-8.27%	0.1089	-75.70%	1.4825	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.39028	0.362042	-7.24%	0.1093	-71.99%	1.3474	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.39762	0.368504	-7.32%	0.107435	-72.98%	1.4083	✓	0.95
2026-08-15	oos	0.354585	0.327744	-7.57%	0.113295	-68.05%	1.2669	✓	0.95
2026-08-14	oos	0.35075	0.325657	-7.15%	0.110605	-68.47%	1.2692	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.300195	0.279474	-6.90%	0.117375	-60.90%	1.0660	✓	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.323825	0.302216	-6.67%	0.1145	-64.64%	1.1878	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.330115	0.307455	-6.86%	0.10966	-66.78%	1.2292	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.304755	0.284061	-6.79%	0.117875	-61.32%	1.0965	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.2748	0.255164	-7.15%	0.125695	-54.26%	0.9255	✓	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.300765	0.280128	-6.86%	0.13255	-55.93%	0.9748	✓	1.15
2026-08-07	oos	0.284025	0.263204	-7.33%	0.12763	-55.06%	0.9534	✓	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.279705	0.259859	-7.10%	0.12613	-54.91%	0.9566	✓	1.08
2026-08-05	oos	0.27185	0.252525	-7.11%	0.12391	-54.42%	0.9396	✓	1.09
2026-08-04	oos	0.257085	0.238287	-7.31%	0.12911	-49.78%	0.8621	✓	1.05
2026-08-03	oos	0.25844	0.239144	-7.47%	0.13655	-47.16%	0.7642	✓	1.03
2026-08-02	oos	0.2655	0.245283	-7.61%	0.14876	-43.97%	0.7102	✓	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.24187	0.224539	-7.17%	0.15862	-34.42%	0.5820	✓	1.04
2026-07-31	oos	0.24613	0.227661	-7.50%	0.17393	-29.33%	0.4905	✓	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.24718	0.228168	-7.69%	0.18234	-26.23%	0.4281	✓	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.2118	0.197617	-6.70%	0.187175	-11.63%	0.2294	✓	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.18124	0.171117	-5.59%	0.20275	+11.87%	0.0221	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.180795	0.170738	-5.56%	0.20398	+12.82%	0.0069	✓	0.86
2026-07-26	oos	0.19156	0.178493	-6.82%	0.21216	+10.75%	0.0273	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.180655	0.170647	-5.54%	0.219885	+21.72%	0.1382	✗	0.56
2026-07-24	oos	0.17977	0.169206	-5.88%	0.2312	+28.61%	0.1988	✗	0.59
2026-07-23	oos	0.17194	0.16224	-5.64%	0.2294	+33.42%	0.2427	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	0.170375	0.161099	-5.44%	0.25231	+48.09%	0.3442	✗	0.61
2026-07-21	oos	0.176875	0.167173	-5.49%	0.25681	+45.19%	0.3738	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	0.17387	0.164822	-5.20%	0.31667	+82.13%	0.6160	✗	0.61
2026-07-19	oos	0.17227	0.164021	-4.79%	0.44811	+160.12%	1.0050	✗	0.61
2026-07-18	oos	0.1727	0.164382	-4.82%	0.39028	+125.99%	0.8683	✗	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.17012	0.162823	-4.29%	0.39762	+133.73%	0.9042	✗	0.68
2026-07-16	oos	0.168865	0.162485	-3.78%	0.354585	+109.98%	0.7903	✗	0.84
2026-07-15	oos	0.16945	0.163019	-3.80%	0.35075	+106.99%	0.7845	✗	0.67
2026-07-14	oos	0.175085	0.168683	-3.66%	0.300195	+71.46%	0.5950	✗	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.165275	0.159427	-3.54%	0.323825	+95.93%	0.6954	✗	0.73
2026-07-12	oos	0.170995	0.164528	-3.78%	0.330115	+93.06%	0.6987	✗	0.71
2026-07-11	oos	0.16921	0.163296	-3.50%	0.304755	+80.10%	0.6227	✗	0.57
2026-07-10	oos	0.173995	0.167668	-3.64%	0.2748	+57.94%	0.4887	✗	0.48
2026-07-09	oos	0.16962	0.163572	-3.57%	0.300765	+77.32%	0.5963	✗	0.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.172195	0.166618	-3.24%	0.284025	+64.94%	0.5143	✗	0.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.18963	0.182673	-3.67%	0.279705	+47.50%	0.4201	✗	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.19	0.182917	-3.73%	0.27185	+43.08%	0.3925	✗	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.172495	0.166655	-3.39%	0.257085	+49.04%	0.4309	✗	0.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.184115	0.176792	-3.98%	0.25844	+40.37%	0.3774	✗	0.37
2026-07-03	oos	0.17919	0.172967	-3.47%	0.2655	+48.17%	0.4212	✗	0.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.167965	0.162416	-3.30%	0.24187	+44.00%	0.3886	✗	0.47
2026-07-01	oos	0.16593	0.160413	-3.33%	0.24613	+48.33%	0.4062	✗	0.47
2026-06-30	oos	0.15907	0.154012	-3.18%	0.24718	+55.39%	0.4262	✗	0.47
2026-06-29	oos	0.16325	0.157169	-3.72%	0.2118	+29.74%	0.2710	✗	0.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.154175	0.149105	-3.29%	0.18124	+17.55%	0.1725	✗	0.32
2026-06-27	oos	0.150835	0.14572	-3.39%	0.180795	+19.86%	0.2010	✗	0.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.14411	0.139431	-3.25%	0.19156	+32.93%	0.2978	✗	0.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.14418	0.139177	-3.47%	0.180655	+25.30%	0.2435	✗	0.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1387	0.13342	-3.81%	0.17977	+29.61%	0.2742	✗	0.48
2026-06-23	oos	0.14184	0.134822	-4.95%	0.17194	+21.22%	0.2333	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.13865	0.130906	-5.59%	0.170375	+22.88%	0.2544	✗	0.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.14252	0.134737	-5.46%	0.176875	+24.11%	0.2575	✗	0.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.14479	0.136072	-6.02%	0.17387	+20.08%	0.2408	✗	0.29
2026-06-19	oos	0.144445	0.13632	-5.63%	0.17227	+19.26%	0.2287	✗	0.29
2026-06-18	oos	0.151155	0.14306	-5.36%	0.1727	+14.25%	0.1793	✗	0.30
2026-06-17	oos	0.15744	0.147662	-6.21%	0.17012	+8.05%	0.1440	✗	0.28
2026-06-16	oos	0.16476	0.153582	-6.78%	0.168865	+2.49%	0.1022	✗	0.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.18421	0.17218	-6.53%	0.16945	-8.01%	0.0106	✓	0.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.19015	0.177489	-6.66%	0.175085	-7.92%	0.0110	✓	0.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.195935	0.182703	-6.75%	0.165275	-15.65%	0.0913	✓	0.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.191665	0.178305	-6.97%	0.170995	-10.78%	0.0427	✓	0.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.1988	0.183108	-7.89%	0.16921	-14.88%	0.0798	✓	0.25
2026-06-10	oos	0.17579	0.164894	-6.20%	0.173995	-1.02%	0.0484	✓	0.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.179975	0.168255	-6.51%	0.16962	-5.75%	0.0051	✓	0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.18887	0.175218	-7.23%	0.172195	-8.83%	0.0162	✓	0.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.178	0.165193	-7.20%	0.18963	+6.53%	0.1379	✗	0.10
2026-06-06	oos	0.17343	0.162906	-6.07%	0.19	+9.55%	0.1505	✗	0.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.17492	0.164275	-6.09%	0.172495	-1.39%	0.0461	✓	0.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.18829	0.174164	-7.50%	0.184115	-2.22%	0.0550	✓	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.20735	0.190559	-8.10%	0.17919	-13.58%	0.0629	✓	-0.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.19479	0.176695	-9.29%	0.167965	-13.77%	0.0481	✓	0.03
2026-06-01	oos	0.19786	0.176021	-11.04%	0.16593	-16.14%	0.0625	✓	-0.02
2026-05-31	oos	0.20331	0.177328	-12.78%	0.15907	-21.76%	0.1242	✓	-0.07
2026-05-30	oos	0.20295	0.17665	-12.96%	0.16325	-19.56%	0.0928	✓	-0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.181715	0.162314	-10.68%	0.154175	-15.16%	0.0715	✓	-0.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.17852	0.158465	-11.23%	0.150835	-15.51%	0.0685	✓	-0.09
2026-05-27	oos	0.15387	0.142096	-7.65%	0.14411	-6.34%	0.0123	✓	-0.01
2026-05-26	oos	0.16026	0.147195	-8.15%	0.14418	-10.03%	0.0331	✓	-0.05
2026-05-25	oos	0.17268	0.156946	-9.11%	0.1387	-19.68%	0.1545	✓	-0.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.17963	0.16311	-9.20%	0.14184	-21.04%	0.1657	✓	-0.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.191655	0.173518	-9.46%	0.13865	-27.66%	0.2452	✓	-0.12
2026-05-22	oos	0.18882	0.172457	-8.67%	0.14252	-24.52%	0.2130	✓	-0.13
2026-05-21	oos	0.19739	0.179037	-9.30%	0.14479	-26.65%	0.2515	✓	-0.21
2026-05-20	oos	0.200525	0.182603	-8.94%	0.144445	-27.97%	0.2760	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.200605	0.184504	-8.03%	0.151155	-24.65%	0.2408	✓	-0.21
2026-05-18	oos	0.206865	0.191238	-7.55%	0.15744	-23.89%	0.2325	✓	-0.21
2026-05-17	oos	0.19963	0.186064	-6.80%	0.16476	-17.47%	0.1550	✓	-0.20
2026-05-16	oos	0.20361	0.190322	-6.53%	0.18421	-9.53%	0.0684	✓	-0.22
2026-05-15	oos	0.219995	0.203903	-7.31%	0.19015	-13.57%	0.1227	✓	-0.29
2026-05-14	oos	0.2512	0.231192	-7.96%	0.195935	-22.00%	0.2870	✓	-0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.25513	0.234657	-8.02%	0.191665	-24.88%	0.3157	✓	-0.51
2026-05-12	oos	0.25496	0.234557	-8.00%	0.1988	-22.03%	0.2906	✓	-0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.27403	0.252366	-7.91%	0.17579	-35.85%	0.5429	✓	-0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.27135	0.250375	-7.73%	0.179975	-33.67%	0.5137	✓	-0.64
2026-05-09	oos	0.28986	0.266052	-8.21%	0.18887	-34.84%	0.4826	✓	-0.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.28383	0.260344	-8.27%	0.178	-37.29%	0.5153	✓	-0.57
2026-05-07	oos	0.27438	0.251875	-8.20%	0.17343	-36.79%	0.5293	✓	-0.57
2026-05-06	oos	0.26746	0.246701	-7.76%	0.17492	-34.60%	0.5076	✓	-0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.283635	0.260602	-8.12%	0.18829	-33.62%	0.4560	✓	-0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.26549	0.243878	-8.14%	0.20735	-21.90%	0.2930	✓	-0.59
2026-05-03	oos	0.25235	0.23056	-8.63%	0.19479	-22.81%	0.2732	✓	-0.64
2026-05-02	oos	0.26266	0.241066	-8.22%	0.19786	-24.67%	0.2616	✓	-0.65
2026-05-01	oos	0.25282	0.231452	-8.45%	0.20331	-19.58%	0.1701	✓	-0.66
2026-04-30	oos	0.28061	0.256627	-8.55%	0.20295	-27.68%	0.2513	✓	-0.49
2026-04-29	oos	0.31369	0.285183	-9.09%	0.181715	-42.07%	0.4649	✓	-0.44
2026-04-28	oos	0.35463	0.315938	-10.91%	0.17852	-49.66%	0.5911	✓	-0.54
2026-04-27	oos	0.3251	0.289514	-10.95%	0.15387	-52.67%	0.6512	✓	-0.48
2026-04-26	oos	0.22072	0.20536	-6.96%	0.16026	-27.39%	0.2459	✓	0.06
2026-04-25	oos	0.20786	0.192051	-7.61%	0.17268	-16.92%	0.1062	✓	0.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.205465	0.189429	-7.80%	0.17963	-12.57%	0.0530	✓	0.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.20197	0.187069	-7.38%	0.191655	-5.11%	0.0453	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.23358	0.21906	-6.22%	0.18882	-19.16%	0.1126	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.22605	0.209429	-7.35%	0.19739	-12.68%	0.0748	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.22024	0.203151	-7.76%	0.200525	-8.95%	0.0340	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.19005	0.173017	-8.96%	0.200605	+5.55%	0.1088	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.18005	0.16626	-7.66%	0.206865	+14.89%	0.2027	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.24832	0.22948	-7.59%	0.19963	-19.61%	0.1434	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.29724	0.258781	-12.94%	0.20361	-31.50%	0.2782	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.18078	0.168596	-6.74%	0.219995	+21.69%	0.2112	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.17941	0.166762	-7.05%	0.2512	+40.01%	0.3207	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.17572	0.16357	-6.91%	0.25513	+45.19%	0.3815	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.18519	0.167885	-9.34%	0.25496	+37.67%	0.2890	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.17241	0.158374	-8.14%	0.27403	+58.94%	0.4365	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.16176	0.148239	-8.36%	0.27135	+67.75%	0.4859	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.16878	0.154173	-8.65%	0.28986	+71.74%	0.5150	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.17473	0.159133	-8.93%	0.28383	+62.44%	0.4581	✗	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.17153	0.156978	-8.48%	0.27438	+59.96%	0.4517	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.17115	0.154987	-9.44%	0.26746	+56.27%	0.3778	✗	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.19287	0.172541	-10.54%	0.283635	+47.06%	0.3379	✗	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.16536	0.149331	-9.69%	0.26549	+60.55%	0.4043	✗	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.14425	0.130914	-9.25%	0.25235	+74.94%	0.4965	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.