O

o1.exchange · Base · gru_s7

token id: #266
symbol: O
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x182fa643e5f29d5eca75e7b9cf9336a3fe4620b2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-17
predictions: 357

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

112

of 119 predictions shown

direction hit

67.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0806

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0196

actual -0.0298

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.43434	0.42314	-2.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-21	oos	0.43252	0.422553	-2.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.49
2026-10-20	oos	0.439245	0.428354	-2.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.407545	0.399422	-1.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.42721	0.417802	-2.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.445015	0.434171	-2.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.4589	0.447324	-2.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.455525	0.444187	-2.49%	0.43434	-4.65%	0.0357	✓	0.53
2026-10-14	oos	0.46111	0.449894	-2.43%	0.43252	-6.20%	0.0551	✓	0.53
2026-10-13	oos	0.47322	0.46233	-2.30%	0.439245	-7.18%	0.0501	✓	0.55
2026-10-12	oos	0.48416	0.471646	-2.58%	0.407545	-15.82%	0.1467	✓	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.480645	0.469657	-2.29%	0.42721	-11.12%	0.0824	✓	0.61
2026-10-10	oos	0.47832	0.465865	-2.60%	0.445015	-6.96%	0.0342	✓	0.62
2026-10-09	oos	0.449425	0.441494	-1.76%	0.4589	+2.11%	0.0466	✗	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.454605	0.445955	-1.90%	0.455525	+0.20%	0.0180	✓	0.62
2026-10-07	oos	0.47178	0.463303	-1.80%	0.46111	-2.26%	0.0076	✓	0.60
2026-10-06	oos	0.503025	0.495023	-1.59%	0.47322	-5.93%	0.0287	✓	0.57
2026-10-05	oos	0.50726	0.499151	-1.60%	0.48416	-4.55%	0.0036	✓	0.56
2026-10-04	oos	0.513105	0.505785	-1.43%	0.480645	-6.33%	0.0330	✓	0.54
2026-10-03	oos	0.51275	0.502883	-1.92%	0.47832	-6.71%	0.0383	✓	0.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.5204	0.510907	-1.82%	0.449425	-13.64%	0.1159	✓	0.53
2026-10-01	oos	0.539035	0.528946	-1.87%	0.454605	-15.66%	0.1310	✓	0.54
2026-09-30	oos	0.55308	0.540437	-2.29%	0.47178	-14.70%	0.1341	✓	0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.566075	0.552181	-2.45%	0.503025	-11.14%	0.1051	✓	0.53
2026-09-28	oos	0.52923	0.518485	-2.03%	0.50726	-4.15%	0.0376	✓	0.58
2026-09-27	oos	0.53924	0.528861	-1.92%	0.513105	-4.85%	0.0448	✓	0.61
2026-09-26	oos	0.543685	0.532686	-2.02%	0.51275	-5.69%	0.0405	✓	0.63
2026-09-25	oos	0.548345	0.537274	-2.02%	0.5204	-5.10%	0.0348	✓	0.58
2026-09-24	oos	0.55141	0.541016	-1.89%	0.539035	-2.24%	0.0069	✓	0.59
2026-09-23	oos	0.54546	0.535522	-1.82%	0.55308	+1.40%	0.0380	✗	0.59
2026-09-22	oos	0.55875	0.550667	-1.45%	0.566075	+1.31%	0.0523	✗	0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.54479	0.538604	-1.14%	0.52923	-2.86%	0.0004	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.550025	0.536028	-2.54%	0.53924	-1.96%	0.0187	✓	0.62
2026-09-19	oos	0.566845	0.551595	-2.69%	0.543685	-4.09%	0.0374	✓	0.60
2026-09-18	oos	0.572975	0.556928	-2.80%	0.548345	-4.30%	0.0405	✓	0.64
2026-09-17	oos	0.55887	0.544175	-2.63%	0.55141	-1.33%	0.0502	✓	0.63
2026-09-16	oos	0.536045	0.525374	-1.99%	0.54546	+1.76%	0.0344	✓	0.70
2026-09-15	oos	0.52681	0.518891	-1.50%	0.55875	+6.06%	0.0313	✓	0.80
2026-09-14	oos	0.54605	0.53542	-1.95%	0.54479	-0.23%	0.0641	✓	0.80
2026-09-13	oos	0.506	0.502378	-0.72%	0.550025	+8.70%	0.0485	✗	0.76
2026-09-12	oos	0.541645	0.536522	-0.95%	0.566845	+4.65%	0.0175	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.54789	0.545199	-0.49%	0.572975	+4.58%	0.0150	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.53246	0.534132	+0.31%	0.55887	+4.96%	0.0471	✓	0.74
2026-09-09	oos	0.525035	0.529484	+0.85%	0.536045	+2.10%	0.0337	✓	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.53373	0.541301	+1.42%	0.52681	-1.30%	0.0015	✓	0.77
2026-09-07	oos	0.54462	0.553647	+1.66%	0.54605	+0.26%	0.0049	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	0.53535	0.549311	+2.61%	0.506	-5.48%	0.0467	✗	0.79
2026-09-05	oos	0.53493	0.552489	+3.28%	0.541645	+1.26%	0.0059	✓	0.79
2026-09-04	oos	0.55411	0.575077	+3.78%	0.54789	-1.12%	0.0237	✓	0.79
2026-09-03	oos	0.56077	0.587604	+4.79%	0.53246	-5.05%	0.0511	✗	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	0.549935	0.571845	+3.98%	0.525035	-4.53%	0.0957	✗	0.82
2026-09-01	oos	0.55791	0.581359	+4.20%	0.53373	-4.33%	0.0965	✗	0.82
2026-08-31	oos	0.55311	0.579111	+4.70%	0.54462	-1.53%	0.0670	✗	0.83
2026-08-30	oos	0.53392	0.557088	+4.34%	0.53535	+0.27%	0.0676	✗	0.82
2026-08-29	oos	0.5311	0.551946	+3.92%	0.53493	+0.72%	0.0481	✗	0.83
2026-08-28	oos	0.452265	0.471009	+4.14%	0.55411	+22.52%	0.1435	✓	0.81
2026-08-27	oos	0.4366	0.454648	+4.13%	0.56077	+28.44%	0.1988	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.44712	0.463028	+3.56%	0.549935	+22.99%	0.1922	✓	0.92
2026-08-25	oos	0.446145	0.459297	+2.95%	0.55791	+25.05%	0.2077	✓	0.92
2026-08-24	oos	0.43008	0.441435	+2.64%	0.55311	+28.61%	0.2305	✓	0.93
2026-08-23	oos	0.44159	0.450611	+2.04%	0.53392	+20.91%	0.1704	✓	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.4364	0.443954	+1.73%	0.5311	+21.70%	0.1649	✓	0.95
2026-08-21	oos	0.51216	0.51755	+1.05%	0.452265	-11.69%	0.1296	✗	0.84
2026-08-20	oos	0.48057	0.482379	+0.38%	0.4366	-9.15%	0.1762	✗	0.81
2026-08-19	oos	0.48616	0.48294	-0.66%	0.44712	-8.03%	0.2003	✓	0.94
2026-08-18	oos	0.484325	0.474665	-1.99%	0.446145	-7.88%	0.2982	✓	1.22
2026-08-17	oos	0.45821	0.449432	-1.92%	0.43008	-6.14%	0.2885	✓	1.20
2026-08-16	oos	0.449445	0.439513	-2.21%	0.44159	-1.75%	0.2540	✓	1.22
2026-08-15	oos	0.455485	0.446111	-2.06%	0.4364	-4.19%	0.2664	✓	1.22
2026-08-14	oos	0.4421	0.433565	-1.93%	0.51216	+15.85%	0.0979	✓	1.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.44526	0.436851	-1.89%	0.48057	+7.93%	0.0759	✓	1.22
2026-08-12	oos	0.439325	0.431275	-1.83%	0.48616	+10.66%	0.0118	✓	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.445895	0.437452	-1.89%	0.484325	+8.62%	0.0800	✗	1.22
2026-08-10	oos	0.45317	0.444228	-1.97%	0.45821	+1.11%	0.0203	✗	1.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.47207	0.461914	-2.15%	0.449445	-4.79%	0.0103	✓	1.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.467935	0.457498	-2.23%	0.455485	-2.66%	0.0310	✗	1.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.47738	0.465814	-2.42%	0.4421	-7.39%	0.0164	✓	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.4807	0.468327	-2.57%	0.44526	-7.37%	0.0346	✓	1.21
2026-08-05	oos	0.489915	0.476393	-2.76%	0.439325	-10.33%	0.0586	✓	1.20
2026-08-04	oos	0.50446	0.489504	-2.96%	0.445895	-11.61%	0.0833	✓	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.49863	0.483484	-3.04%	0.45317	-9.12%	0.0733	✓	1.22
2026-08-02	oos	0.47985	0.464934	-3.11%	0.47207	-1.62%	0.0105	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.51585	0.498864	-3.29%	0.467935	-9.29%	0.1078	✓	1.30
2026-07-31	oos	0.496455	0.480073	-3.30%	0.47738	-3.84%	0.0479	✓	1.31
2026-07-30	oos	0.5026	0.482676	-3.96%	0.4807	-4.36%	0.0057	✓	1.39
2026-07-29	oos	0.47888	0.459952	-3.95%	0.489915	+2.30%	0.0483	✗	1.35
2026-07-28	oos	0.487225	0.466037	-4.35%	0.50446	+3.54%	0.0749	✗	1.35
2026-07-27	oos	0.48183	0.460963	-4.33%	0.49863	+3.49%	0.0834	✗	1.34
2026-07-26	oos	0.4778	0.454373	-4.90%	0.47985	+0.43%	0.0966	✗	1.47
2026-07-25	oos	0.51004	0.486298	-4.65%	0.51585	+1.14%	0.0975	✗	1.60
2026-07-24	oos	0.48595	0.462752	-4.77%	0.496455	+2.16%	0.1016	✗	1.58
2026-07-23	oos	0.54517	0.517924	-5.00%	0.5026	-7.81%	0.0227	✓	1.45
2026-07-22	oos	0.59166	0.566602	-4.24%	0.47888	-19.06%	0.1223	✓	1.36
2026-07-21	oos	0.6201	0.594169	-4.18%	0.487225	-21.43%	0.1437	✓	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.6262	0.597779	-4.54%	0.48183	-23.05%	0.1825	✓	1.41
2026-07-19	oos	0.5895	0.563466	-4.42%	0.4778	-18.95%	0.1787	✓	1.36
2026-07-18	oos	0.57496	0.549496	-4.43%	0.51004	-11.29%	0.0639	✓	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.56643	0.540001	-4.67%	0.48595	-14.21%	0.1095	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.521855	0.498729	-4.43%	0.54517	+4.47%	0.0692	✗	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.556	0.532049	-4.31%	0.59166	+6.41%	0.0852	✗	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.55588	0.532166	-4.27%	0.6201	+11.55%	0.1297	✗	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.525275	0.501714	-4.49%	0.6262	+19.21%	0.1754	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.542635	0.518665	-4.42%	0.5895	+8.64%	0.1134	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.56335	0.538278	-4.45%	0.57496	+2.06%	0.0500	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.55385	0.52976	-4.35%	0.56643	+2.27%	0.0706	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.57192	0.545728	-4.58%	0.521855	-8.75%	0.0541	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.55441	0.528608	-4.65%	0.556	+0.29%	0.0115	✓	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.558795	0.533255	-4.57%	0.55588	-0.52%	0.0156	✓	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.53254	0.509691	-4.29%	0.525275	-1.36%	0.0576	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.55362	0.529585	-4.34%	0.542635	-1.98%	0.0219	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.609515	0.57898	-5.01%	0.56335	-7.57%	0.0382	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.54012	0.51558	-4.54%	0.55385	+2.54%	0.0462	✓	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.557835	0.53036	-4.93%	0.57192	+2.52%	0.0483	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.558	0.529104	-5.18%	0.55441	-0.64%	0.0095	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.505	0.480102	-4.93%	0.558795	+10.65%	0.0730	✗	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.535035	0.506769	-5.28%	0.53254	-0.47%	0.0123	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.488	0.461563	-5.42%	0.55362	+13.45%	0.1150	✗	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.427605	0.401815	-6.03%	0.609515	+42.54%	0.3654	✗	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.457	0.432059	-5.46%	0.54012	+18.19%	0.1821	✗	1.00