O

o1.exchange · Base · gru_s7

token id: #266
symbol: O
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x182fa643e5f29d5eca75e7b9cf9336a3fe4620b2
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-17
predictions: 357

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

118

of 119 predictions shown

direction hit

58.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0332

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0037

actual -0.0030

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.43434	0.432236	-0.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-21	oos	0.43252	0.430769	-0.40%	0.43434	+0.42%	0.0071	✗	0.49
2026-10-20	oos	0.439245	0.4374	-0.42%	0.43252	-1.53%	0.0182	✓	0.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.407545	0.406262	-0.31%	0.439245	+7.78%	0.0711	✗	0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.42721	0.42569	-0.36%	0.407545	-4.60%	0.0425	✓	0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.445015	0.443393	-0.36%	0.42721	-4.00%	0.0412	✓	0.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.4589	0.457276	-0.35%	0.445015	-3.03%	0.0264	✓	0.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.455525	0.453742	-0.39%	0.4589	+0.74%	0.0153	✗	0.53
2026-10-14	oos	0.46111	0.459476	-0.35%	0.455525	-1.21%	0.0122	✓	0.53
2026-10-13	oos	0.47322	0.471604	-0.34%	0.46111	-2.56%	0.0123	✓	0.55
2026-10-12	oos	0.48416	0.482353	-0.37%	0.47322	-2.26%	0.0283	✓	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.480645	0.478846	-0.37%	0.48416	+0.73%	0.0254	✗	0.61
2026-10-10	oos	0.47832	0.475795	-0.53%	0.480645	+0.49%	0.0044	✓	0.62
2026-10-09	oos	0.449425	0.448088	-0.30%	0.47832	+6.43%	0.0625	✗	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.454605	0.453229	-0.30%	0.449425	-1.14%	0.0149	✓	0.62
2026-10-07	oos	0.47178	0.469985	-0.38%	0.454605	-3.64%	0.0218	✓	0.60
2026-10-06	oos	0.503025	0.500654	-0.47%	0.47178	-6.21%	0.0442	✓	0.57
2026-10-05	oos	0.50726	0.504844	-0.48%	0.503025	-0.83%	0.0022	✓	0.56
2026-10-04	oos	0.513105	0.510708	-0.47%	0.50726	-1.14%	0.0020	✓	0.54
2026-10-03	oos	0.51275	0.510392	-0.46%	0.513105	+0.07%	0.0058	✓	0.54
2026-10-02	oos	0.5204	0.518328	-0.40%	0.51275	-1.47%	0.0123	✓	0.53
2026-10-01	oos	0.539035	0.536904	-0.40%	0.5204	-3.46%	0.0290	✓	0.54
2026-09-30	oos	0.55308	0.550463	-0.47%	0.539035	-2.54%	0.0292	✓	0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.566075	0.563037	-0.54%	0.55308	-2.30%	0.0173	✓	0.53
2026-09-28	oos	0.52923	0.526718	-0.47%	0.566075	+6.96%	0.0708	✗	0.58
2026-09-27	oos	0.53924	0.536645	-0.48%	0.52923	-1.86%	0.0066	✓	0.61
2026-09-26	oos	0.543685	0.541134	-0.47%	0.53924	-0.82%	0.0038	✓	0.63
2026-09-25	oos	0.548345	0.545874	-0.45%	0.543685	-0.85%	0.0063	✓	0.58
2026-09-24	oos	0.55141	0.548872	-0.46%	0.548345	-0.56%	0.0011	✓	0.59
2026-09-23	oos	0.54546	0.543025	-0.45%	0.55141	+1.09%	0.0153	✗	0.59
2026-09-22	oos	0.55875	0.556186	-0.46%	0.54546	-2.38%	0.0020	✓	0.82
2026-09-21	oos	0.54479	0.542508	-0.42%	0.55875	+2.56%	0.0317	✗	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.550025	0.54741	-0.48%	0.54479	-0.95%	0.0449	✓	0.62
2026-09-19	oos	0.566845	0.564019	-0.50%	0.550025	-2.97%	0.0246	✓	0.60
2026-09-18	oos	0.572975	0.570131	-0.50%	0.566845	-1.07%	0.0086	✓	0.64
2026-09-17	oos	0.55887	0.556762	-0.38%	0.572975	+2.52%	0.0078	✓	0.63
2026-09-16	oos	0.536045	0.534937	-0.21%	0.55887	+4.26%	0.0419	✗	0.70
2026-09-15	oos	0.52681	0.526193	-0.12%	0.536045	+1.75%	0.0126	✗	0.80
2026-09-14	oos	0.54605	0.544676	-0.25%	0.52681	-3.52%	0.0065	✓	0.80
2026-09-13	oos	0.506	0.505935	-0.01%	0.54605	+7.92%	0.0628	✗	0.76
2026-09-12	oos	0.541645	0.541057	-0.11%	0.506	-6.58%	0.0625	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.54789	0.547611	-0.05%	0.541645	-1.14%	0.0115	✓	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.53246	0.532724	+0.05%	0.54789	+2.90%	0.0216	✓	0.74
2026-09-09	oos	0.525035	0.525518	+0.09%	0.53246	+1.41%	0.0305	✓	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.53373	0.534134	+0.08%	0.525035	-1.63%	0.0156	✗	0.77
2026-09-07	oos	0.54462	0.544842	+0.04%	0.53373	-2.00%	0.0143	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	0.53535	0.535887	+0.10%	0.54462	+1.73%	0.0285	✓	0.79
2026-09-05	oos	0.53493	0.535498	+0.11%	0.53535	+0.08%	0.0053	✗	0.79
2026-09-04	oos	0.55411	0.554612	+0.09%	0.53493	-3.46%	0.0377	✗	0.79
2026-09-03	oos	0.56077	0.561403	+0.11%	0.55411	-1.19%	0.0025	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	0.549935	0.550094	+0.03%	0.56077	+1.97%	0.0216	✗	0.82
2026-09-01	oos	0.55791	0.557961	+0.01%	0.549935	-1.43%	0.0135	✗	0.82
2026-08-31	oos	0.55311	0.553201	+0.02%	0.55791	+0.87%	0.0209	✓	0.83
2026-08-30	oos	0.53392	0.533614	-0.06%	0.55311	+3.59%	0.0264	✗	0.82
2026-08-29	oos	0.5311	0.530153	-0.18%	0.53392	+0.53%	0.0131	✗	0.83
2026-08-28	oos	0.452265	0.452565	+0.07%	0.5311	+17.43%	0.1559	✓	0.81
2026-08-27	oos	0.4366	0.43713	+0.12%	0.452265	+3.59%	0.0618	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.44712	0.447499	+0.08%	0.4366	-2.35%	0.0390	✗	0.92
2026-08-25	oos	0.446145	0.446408	+0.06%	0.44712	+0.22%	0.0042	✗	0.92
2026-08-24	oos	0.43008	0.430402	+0.07%	0.446145	+3.74%	0.0413	✓	0.93
2026-08-23	oos	0.44159	0.441714	+0.03%	0.43008	-2.61%	0.0419	✗	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.4364	0.436452	+0.01%	0.44159	+1.19%	0.0035	✓	0.95
2026-08-21	oos	0.51216	0.511519	-0.13%	0.4364	-14.79%	0.1450	✓	0.84
2026-08-20	oos	0.48057	0.479799	-0.16%	0.51216	+6.57%	0.0086	✗	0.81
2026-08-19	oos	0.48616	0.484788	-0.28%	0.48057	-1.15%	0.0577	✓	0.94
2026-08-18	oos	0.484325	0.482203	-0.44%	0.48616	+0.38%	0.0758	✓	1.22
2026-08-17	oos	0.45821	0.455949	-0.49%	0.484325	+5.70%	0.0566	✗	1.20
2026-08-16	oos	0.449445	0.447091	-0.52%	0.45821	+1.95%	0.0068	✓	1.22
2026-08-15	oos	0.455485	0.453351	-0.47%	0.449445	-1.33%	0.0051	✓	1.22
2026-08-14	oos	0.4421	0.440193	-0.43%	0.455485	+3.03%	0.0333	✗	1.21
2026-08-13	oos	0.44526	0.443322	-0.44%	0.4421	-0.71%	0.0059	✗	1.22
2026-08-12	oos	0.439325	0.437437	-0.43%	0.44526	+1.35%	0.0175	✗	1.22
2026-08-11	oos	0.445895	0.443917	-0.44%	0.439325	-1.47%	0.0081	✓	1.22
2026-08-10	oos	0.45317	0.451026	-0.47%	0.445895	-1.61%	0.0042	✓	1.21
2026-08-09	oos	0.47207	0.46956	-0.53%	0.45317	-4.00%	0.0181	✓	1.20
2026-08-08	oos	0.467935	0.465456	-0.53%	0.47207	+0.88%	0.0152	✗	1.20
2026-08-07	oos	0.47738	0.474838	-0.53%	0.467935	-1.98%	0.0150	✓	1.20
2026-08-06	oos	0.4807	0.478202	-0.52%	0.47738	-0.69%	0.0134	✓	1.21
2026-08-05	oos	0.489915	0.48733	-0.53%	0.4807	-1.88%	0.0074	✓	1.20
2026-08-04	oos	0.50446	0.501714	-0.54%	0.489915	-2.88%	0.0343	✓	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.49863	0.495969	-0.53%	0.50446	+1.17%	0.0058	✗	1.22
2026-08-02	oos	0.47985	0.477393	-0.51%	0.49863	+3.91%	0.0442	✗	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.51585	0.513184	-0.52%	0.47985	-6.98%	0.0823	✓	1.30
2026-07-31	oos	0.496455	0.494187	-0.46%	0.51585	+3.91%	0.0442	✗	1.31
2026-07-30	oos	0.5026	0.500114	-0.49%	0.496455	-1.22%	0.0340	✗	1.39
2026-07-29	oos	0.47888	0.476885	-0.42%	0.5026	+4.95%	0.0352	✗	1.35
2026-07-28	oos	0.487225	0.484899	-0.48%	0.47888	-1.71%	0.0135	✓	1.35
2026-07-27	oos	0.48183	0.479773	-0.43%	0.487225	+1.12%	0.0122	✗	1.34
2026-07-26	oos	0.4778	0.47594	-0.39%	0.48183	+0.84%	0.0498	✗	1.47
2026-07-25	oos	0.51004	0.50797	-0.41%	0.4778	-6.32%	0.0870	✓	1.60
2026-07-24	oos	0.48595	0.484302	-0.34%	0.51004	+4.96%	0.0466	✗	1.58
2026-07-23	oos	0.54517	0.541435	-0.69%	0.48595	-10.86%	0.0863	✓	1.45
2026-07-22	oos	0.59166	0.58886	-0.47%	0.54517	-7.86%	0.0556	✓	1.36
2026-07-21	oos	0.6201	0.616854	-0.52%	0.59166	-4.59%	0.0330	✓	1.34
2026-07-20	oos	0.6262	0.622259	-0.63%	0.6201	-0.97%	0.0313	✓	1.41
2026-07-19	oos	0.5895	0.586258	-0.55%	0.6262	+6.23%	0.0548	✗	1.36
2026-07-18	oos	0.57496	0.571798	-0.55%	0.5895	+2.53%	0.0329	✗	1.37
2026-07-17	oos	0.56643	0.562939	-0.62%	0.57496	+1.51%	0.0020	✓	1.37
2026-07-16	oos	0.521855	0.519354	-0.48%	0.56643	+8.54%	0.0848	✗	1.00
2026-07-15	oos	0.556	0.553156	-0.51%	0.521855	-6.14%	0.0435	✓	1.00
2026-07-14	oos	0.55588	0.552979	-0.52%	0.556	+0.02%	0.0096	✗	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.525275	0.52262	-0.51%	0.55588	+5.83%	0.0189	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.542635	0.539831	-0.52%	0.525275	-3.20%	0.0039	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.56335	0.560285	-0.54%	0.542635	-3.68%	0.0315	✓	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.55385	0.550913	-0.53%	0.56335	+1.72%	0.0279	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.57192	0.568515	-0.60%	0.55385	-3.16%	0.0411	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.55441	0.551148	-0.59%	0.57192	+3.16%	0.0220	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.558795	0.555401	-0.61%	0.55441	-0.78%	0.0155	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.53254	0.52967	-0.54%	0.558795	+4.93%	0.0642	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.55362	0.550471	-0.57%	0.53254	-3.81%	0.0397	✓	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.609515	0.604871	-0.76%	0.55362	-9.17%	0.0964	✓	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.54012	0.53687	-0.60%	0.609515	+12.85%	0.1179	✗	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.557835	0.554149	-0.66%	0.54012	-3.18%	0.0424	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.558	0.554342	-0.66%	0.557835	-0.03%	0.0188	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.505	0.502524	-0.49%	0.558	+10.50%	0.0804	✗	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.535035	0.532129	-0.54%	0.505	-5.61%	0.0247	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.488	0.485602	-0.49%	0.535035	+9.64%	0.0854	✗	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.427605	0.425579	-0.47%	0.488	+14.12%	0.1446	✗	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.457	0.454936	-0.45%	0.427605	-6.43%	0.0608	✓	1.00