NIULAI

? · · gru_s7

token id: #227
symbol: NIULAI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-19
predictions: 168

Track record at +7d

assessed

49

of 56 predictions shown

direction hit

75.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1799

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0219

actual -0.0447

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.06274	0.06125	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-21	oos	0.062305	0.060969	-2.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-20	oos	0.0625	0.061308	-1.91%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-19	oos	0.05795	0.057349	-1.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-18	oos	0.058765	0.058236	-0.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-17	oos	0.059455	0.059125	-0.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.065015	0.064332	-1.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.06738	0.06659	-1.17%	0.06274	-6.89%	0.0975	✓	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.06963	0.068872	-1.09%	0.062305	-10.52%	0.1452	✓	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.07463	0.073277	-1.81%	0.0625	-16.25%	0.1562	✓	1.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.07206	0.071497	-0.78%	0.05795	-19.58%	0.2118	✓	1.47
2026-10-11	oos	0.07927	0.077756	-1.91%	0.058765	-25.87%	0.2518	✓	1.40
2026-10-10	oos	0.080075	0.078845	-1.54%	0.059455	-25.75%	0.2561	✓	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.07419	0.074167	-0.03%	0.065015	-12.37%	0.1138	✓	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.0731	0.073583	+0.66%	0.06738	-7.82%	0.0955	✗	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.071685	0.0724	+1.00%	0.06963	-2.87%	0.0091	✓	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.079075	0.078783	-0.37%	0.07463	-5.62%	0.0149	✓	1.36
2026-10-05	oos	0.0768	0.076917	+0.15%	0.07206	-6.17%	0.0000	✓	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.08235	0.081712	-0.77%	0.07927	-3.74%	0.0137	✗	1.32
2026-10-03	oos	0.08011	0.080131	+0.03%	0.080075	-0.04%	0.0284	✓	1.33
2026-10-02	oos	0.08755	0.086675	-1.00%	0.07419	-15.26%	0.1245	✓	1.32
2026-10-01	oos	0.09927	0.097173	-2.11%	0.0731	-26.36%	0.2364	✓	1.27
2026-09-30	oos	0.104825	0.102537	-2.18%	0.071685	-31.61%	0.3535	✓	1.32
2026-09-29	oos	0.10513	0.102806	-2.21%	0.079075	-24.78%	0.2919	✓	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.115845	0.113062	-2.40%	0.0768	-33.70%	0.4219	✓	1.30
2026-09-27	oos	0.10403	0.101598	-2.34%	0.08235	-20.84%	0.2430	✓	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.10584	0.103262	-2.44%	0.08011	-24.31%	0.2591	✓	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.104305	0.101682	-2.52%	0.08755	-16.06%	0.1563	✓	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.10064	0.097944	-2.68%	0.09927	-1.36%	0.0059	✓	1.38
2026-09-23	oos	0.10741	0.104525	-2.69%	0.104825	-2.41%	0.0162	✓	1.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.112325	0.109369	-2.63%	0.10513	-6.41%	0.0000	✓	1.31
2026-09-21	oos	0.10777	0.104743	-2.81%	0.115845	+7.49%	0.1496	✗	1.32
2026-09-20	oos	0.10109	0.097942	-3.11%	0.10403	+2.91%	0.0018	✓	1.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.107915	0.104636	-3.04%	0.10584	-1.92%	0.0438	✓	1.44
2026-09-18	oos	0.11962	0.116047	-2.99%	0.104305	-12.80%	0.1626	✓	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.10627	0.102915	-3.16%	0.10064	-5.30%	0.1224	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.10055	0.097196	-3.34%	0.10741	+6.82%	0.0028	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.11971	0.115787	-3.28%	0.112325	-6.17%	0.1618	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.12225	0.118318	-3.22%	0.10777	-11.84%	0.1957	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.11709	0.113287	-3.25%	0.10109	-13.66%	0.1691	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.134925	0.130134	-3.55%	0.107915	-20.02%	0.2373	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.125765	0.121286	-3.56%	0.11962	-4.89%	0.0602	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.12138	0.116275	-4.21%	0.10627	-12.45%	0.0875	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.078585	0.076323	-2.88%	0.10055	+27.95%	0.3034	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.102125	0.098925	-3.13%	0.11971	+17.22%	0.2279	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.08165	0.079434	-2.71%	0.12225	+49.72%	0.4428	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.09102	0.088704	-2.54%	0.11709	+28.64%	0.3227	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.12056	0.11585	-3.91%	0.134925	+11.92%	0.1851	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.08412	0.082274	-2.19%	0.125765	+49.51%	0.4558	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.09631	0.093922	-2.48%	0.12138	+26.03%	0.3164	✗	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.07782	0.076248	-2.02%	0.078585	+0.98%	0.0176	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.08336	0.081501	-2.23%	0.102125	+22.51%	0.2121	✗	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.10287	0.099097	-3.67%	0.08165	-20.63%	0.2004	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.10148	0.096032	-5.37%	0.09102	-10.31%	0.0874	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.05494	0.055	+0.11%	0.12056	+119.44%	0.7646	✓	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.05606	0.055989	-0.13%	0.08412	+50.05%	0.3838	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.