NIULAI

? · · gru_s7

token id: #227
symbol: NIULAI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-19
predictions: 165

Track record at +1d

assessed

54

of 55 predictions shown

direction hit

61.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0926

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0053

actual +0.0006

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.06254	0.062325	-0.34%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.0625	0.062299	-0.32%	0.06254	+0.06%	0.0084	✗	1.55
2026-10-19	oos	0.05795	0.057911	-0.07%	0.0625	+7.85%	0.0558	✗	1.53
2026-10-18	oos	0.058765	0.058752	-0.02%	0.05795	-1.39%	0.0106	✓	1.53
2026-10-17	oos	0.059455	0.059493	+0.06%	0.058765	-1.16%	0.0241	✗	1.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.065015	0.064986	-0.04%	0.059455	-8.55%	0.0867	✓	1.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.06738	0.067343	-0.06%	0.065015	-3.51%	0.0237	✓	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.06963	0.069604	-0.04%	0.06738	-3.23%	0.0428	✓	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.07463	0.07445	-0.24%	0.06963	-6.70%	0.0394	✓	1.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.07206	0.072082	+0.03%	0.07463	+3.57%	0.0104	✓	1.47
2026-10-11	oos	0.07927	0.079042	-0.29%	0.07206	-9.10%	0.0597	✓	1.40
2026-10-10	oos	0.080075	0.079903	-0.21%	0.07927	-1.01%	0.0209	✓	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.07419	0.074345	+0.21%	0.080075	+7.93%	0.0680	✓	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.0731	0.073372	+0.37%	0.07419	+1.49%	0.0035	✓	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.071685	0.072013	+0.46%	0.0731	+1.97%	0.0427	✓	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.079075	0.079173	+0.12%	0.071685	-9.35%	0.0630	✗	1.36
2026-10-05	oos	0.0768	0.076994	+0.25%	0.079075	+2.96%	0.0300	✓	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.08235	0.082353	+0.00%	0.0768	-6.74%	0.0581	✗	1.32
2026-10-03	oos	0.08011	0.080267	+0.20%	0.08235	+2.80%	0.0018	✓	1.33
2026-10-02	oos	0.08755	0.087473	-0.09%	0.08011	-8.50%	0.0916	✓	1.32
2026-10-01	oos	0.09927	0.098825	-0.45%	0.08755	-11.81%	0.1160	✓	1.27
2026-09-30	oos	0.104825	0.104287	-0.51%	0.09927	-5.30%	0.0695	✓	1.32
2026-09-29	oos	0.10513	0.104583	-0.52%	0.104825	-0.29%	0.0036	✓	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.115845	0.115047	-0.69%	0.10513	-9.25%	0.0930	✓	1.30
2026-09-27	oos	0.10403	0.10344	-0.57%	0.115845	+11.36%	0.1297	✗	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.10584	0.105202	-0.60%	0.10403	-1.71%	0.0119	✓	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.104305	0.103676	-0.60%	0.10584	+1.47%	0.0154	✗	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.10064	0.100049	-0.59%	0.104305	+3.64%	0.0464	✗	1.38
2026-09-23	oos	0.10741	0.106727	-0.64%	0.10064	-6.30%	0.0588	✓	1.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.112325	0.111583	-0.66%	0.10741	-4.38%	0.0102	✓	1.31
2026-09-21	oos	0.10777	0.107059	-0.66%	0.112325	+4.23%	0.0541	✗	1.32
2026-09-20	oos	0.10109	0.100421	-0.66%	0.10777	+6.61%	0.0244	✓	1.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.107915	0.107171	-0.69%	0.10109	-6.32%	0.0571	✓	1.44
2026-09-18	oos	0.11962	0.118657	-0.81%	0.107915	-9.79%	0.1012	✓	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.10627	0.105486	-0.74%	0.11962	+12.56%	0.0681	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.10055	0.099852	-0.69%	0.10627	+5.69%	0.0596	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.11971	0.118703	-0.84%	0.10055	-16.01%	0.1734	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.12225	0.121199	-0.86%	0.11971	-2.08%	0.0213	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.11709	0.116136	-0.81%	0.12225	+4.41%	0.0336	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.134925	0.133483	-1.07%	0.11709	-13.22%	0.1250	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.125765	0.124349	-1.13%	0.134925	+7.28%	0.0809	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.12138	0.119414	-1.62%	0.125765	+3.61%	0.0431	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.078585	0.078128	-0.58%	0.12138	+54.46%	0.4632	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.102125	0.101102	-1.00%	0.078585	-23.05%	0.2499	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.08165	0.081132	-0.63%	0.102125	+25.08%	0.2383	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.09102	0.090402	-0.68%	0.08165	-10.29%	0.0862	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.12056	0.118708	-1.54%	0.09102	-24.50%	0.2719	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.08412	0.083593	-0.63%	0.12056	+43.32%	0.3642	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.09631	0.095459	-0.88%	0.08412	-12.66%	0.1067	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.07782	0.077382	-0.56%	0.09631	+23.76%	0.1689	✗	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.08336	0.082764	-0.71%	0.07782	-6.65%	0.0604	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.10287	0.10131	-1.52%	0.08336	-18.97%	0.1801	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.10148	0.09864	-2.80%	0.10287	+1.37%	0.0305	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.05494	0.054816	-0.23%	0.10148	+84.71%	0.6232	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.05606	0.055861	-0.35%	0.05494	-2.00%	0.0217	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.