META2

META2 · · gru_s7

token id: #464
symbol: META2
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-29
predictions: 231

Track record at +7d

assessed

70

of 77 predictions shown

direction hit

48.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4980

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0790

actual -0.0593

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	16.221	16.1412	-0.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-21	oos	17.9865	17.7981	-1.05%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-20	oos	17.747	17.5508	-1.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-19	oos	17.6365	17.4322	-1.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-18	oos	17.677	17.4609	-1.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-17	oos	17.826	17.5806	-1.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-16	oos	17.685	17.4245	-1.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	17.746	17.4387	-1.73%	16.221	-8.59%	0.1017	✓	1.17
2026-10-14	oos	17.73	17.2558	-2.67%	17.9865	+1.45%	0.0070	✓	1.16
2026-10-13	oos	17.87	17.351	-2.90%	17.747	-0.69%	0.0249	✓	1.21
2026-10-12	oos	17.954	17.3422	-3.41%	17.6365	-1.77%	0.0154	✓	1.19
2026-10-11	oos	18.108	17.8261	-1.56%	17.677	-2.38%	0.0170	✗	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	18.116	17.8079	-1.70%	17.826	-1.60%	0.0243	✗	1.25
2026-10-09	oos	17.887	17.5638	-1.81%	17.685	-1.13%	0.0228	✗	1.25
2026-10-08	oos	17.869	17.5163	-1.97%	17.746	-0.69%	0.0065	✓	1.24
2026-10-07	oos	18.1195	17.7146	-2.23%	17.73	-2.15%	0.0276	✗	1.29
2026-10-06	oos	18.1155	17.5988	-2.85%	17.87	-1.36%	0.0555	✗	1.39
2026-10-05	oos	18.184	17.5727	-3.36%	17.954	-1.26%	0.0887	✗	1.41
2026-10-04	oos	19.5035	19.0834	-2.15%	18.108	-7.16%	0.0056	✓	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	19.3245	18.879	-2.31%	18.116	-6.25%	0.0110	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	19.312	18.8285	-2.50%	17.887	-7.38%	0.0187	✓	1.39
2026-10-01	oos	19.4135	18.8964	-2.66%	17.869	-7.96%	0.0026	✓	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	19.34	18.7644	-2.98%	18.1195	-6.31%	0.0303	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	18.7595	18.1389	-3.31%	18.1155	-3.43%	0.0329	✓	1.41
2026-09-28	oos	18.4555	17.4684	-5.35%	18.184	-1.47%	0.0019	✓	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	17.0955	16.5883	-2.97%	19.5035	+14.09%	0.1259	✗	1.51
2026-09-26	oos	16.5905	16.064	-3.17%	19.3245	+16.48%	0.1789	✗	1.52
2026-09-25	oos	16.8735	16.2947	-3.43%	19.312	+14.45%	0.1625	✗	1.52
2026-09-24	oos	17.1355	16.4994	-3.71%	19.4135	+13.29%	0.1542	✗	1.54
2026-09-23	oos	16.6685	15.9735	-4.17%	19.34	+16.03%	0.2065	✗	1.56
2026-09-22	oos	16.7035	15.9194	-4.69%	18.7595	+12.31%	0.2143	✗	1.66
2026-09-21	oos	16.2785	15.3847	-5.49%	18.4555	+13.37%	0.2450	✗	1.71
2026-09-20	oos	14.9885	14.0686	-6.14%	17.0955	+14.06%	0.1324	✗	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	13.4385	12.3562	-8.05%	16.5905	+23.45%	0.2328	✗	1.61
2026-09-18	oos	19.2555	18.2101	-5.43%	16.8735	-12.37%	0.1390	✓	1.61
2026-09-17	oos	19.2205	18.1782	-5.42%	17.1355	-10.85%	0.2214	✓	1.62
2026-09-16	oos	19.2405	18.0969	-5.94%	16.6685	-13.37%	0.2491	✓	1.63
2026-09-15	oos	19.2305	17.9968	-6.42%	16.7035	-13.14%	0.2864	✓	1.61
2026-09-14	oos	19.2555	17.7939	-7.59%	16.2785	-15.46%	0.2807	✓	1.87
2026-09-13	oos	19.2505	17.6781	-8.17%	14.9885	-22.14%	0.2663	✓	1.83
2026-09-12	oos	19.2555	17.4842	-9.20%	13.4385	-30.21%	0.3577	✓	1.89
2026-09-11	oos	18.5185	16.6167	-10.27%	19.2555	+3.98%	0.0588	✓	1.91
2026-09-10	oos	18.4135	16.2743	-11.62%	19.2205	+4.38%	0.1710	✗	1.89
2026-09-09	oos	18.4385	15.4862	-16.01%	19.2405	+4.35%	0.2750	✗	2.09
2026-09-08	oos	18.5135	16.0398	-13.36%	19.2305	+3.87%	0.2606	✗	2.13
2026-09-07	oos	3.5085	3.0032	-14.40%	19.2555	+448.82%	1.8976	✗	3.39
2026-09-06	oos	3.5235	2.9897	-15.15%	19.2505	+446.35%	2.0257	✗	3.63
2026-09-05	oos	18.3785	15.9747	-13.08%	19.2555	+4.77%	0.3067	✗	3.67
2026-09-04	oos	4.0185	3.3858	-15.74%	18.5185	+360.83%	1.8254	✗	4.02
2026-09-03	oos	4.016	3.3311	-17.06%	18.4135	+358.50%	1.9726	✗	4.39
2026-09-02	oos	4.023	3.2791	-18.49%	18.4385	+358.33%	1.6705	✗	4.49
2026-09-01	oos	4.02	3.2433	-19.32%	18.5135	+360.53%	1.6804	✗	4.57
2026-08-31	oos	6.1035	5.0338	-17.53%	3.5085	-42.52%	0.3902	✓	4.35
2026-08-30	oos	40.783	39.0438	-4.26%	3.5235	-91.36%	2.5732	✓	4.96
2026-08-29	oos	41.1425	39.1705	-4.79%	18.3785	-55.33%	0.8599	✓	5.10
2026-08-28	oos	41.2285	38.9332	-5.57%	4.0185	-90.25%	2.3902	✓	5.11
2026-08-27	oos	40.7005	38.4843	-5.45%	4.016	-90.13%	2.2722	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	27.5005	25.5354	-7.15%	4.023	-85.37%	1.8260	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	40.6705	37.6695	-7.38%	4.02	-90.12%	2.2231	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	38.8775	36.6969	-5.61%	6.1035	-84.30%	1.7885	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	40.5615	37.9667	-6.40%	40.783	+0.55%	0.0724	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	52.426	47.1183	-10.12%	41.1425	-21.52%	0.1508	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	30.6335	28.8969	-5.67%	41.2285	+34.59%	0.3616	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	30.768	28.7742	-6.48%	40.7005	+32.28%	0.2519	✗	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	30.7125	28.5914	-6.91%	27.5005	-10.46%	0.1702	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	30.549	28.331	-7.26%	40.6705	+33.13%	0.1676	✗	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	30.6105	27.5249	-10.08%	38.8775	+27.01%	0.1424	✗	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	30.5515	28.128	-7.93%	40.5615	+32.76%	0.1534	✗	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	30.5745	27.7334	-9.29%	52.426	+71.47%	0.4357	✗	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	30.638	26.7521	-12.68%	30.6335	-0.01%	0.0827	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	5.164	4.1685	-19.28%	30.768	+495.82%	1.8582	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	30.695	28.4477	-7.32%	30.7125	+0.06%	0.0122	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	30.7365	27.9624	-9.03%	30.549	-0.61%	0.0705	✓	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	30.9075	27.8654	-9.84%	30.6105	-0.96%	0.0851	✓	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	30.797	27.3435	-11.21%	30.5515	-0.80%	0.1425	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	30.87	26.967	-12.64%	30.5745	-0.96%	0.1551	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	30.896	27.5929	-10.69%	30.638	-0.84%	0.1347	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.