META2

META2 · · gru_s7

token id: #464
symbol: META2
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-29
predictions: 231

Track record at +1d

assessed

76

of 77 predictions shown

direction hit

51.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1967

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0156

actual -0.0128

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	16.221	16.1675	-0.33%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-21	oos	17.9865	17.9114	-0.42%	16.221	-9.82%	0.1018	✓	1.16
2026-10-20	oos	17.747	17.6726	-0.42%	17.9865	+1.35%	0.0027	✓	1.15
2026-10-19	oos	17.6365	17.5604	-0.43%	17.747	+0.63%	0.0046	✓	1.13
2026-10-18	oos	17.677	17.5985	-0.44%	17.6365	-0.23%	0.0045	✗	1.14
2026-10-17	oos	17.826	17.746	-0.45%	17.677	-0.84%	0.0126	✓	1.14
2026-10-16	oos	17.685	17.6086	-0.43%	17.826	+0.80%	0.0139	✗	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	17.746	17.669	-0.43%	17.685	-0.34%	0.0098	✗	1.17
2026-10-14	oos	17.73	17.5945	-0.76%	17.746	+0.09%	0.0007	✓	1.16
2026-10-13	oos	17.87	17.7108	-0.89%	17.73	-0.78%	0.0236	✗	1.21
2026-10-12	oos	17.954	17.732	-1.24%	17.87	-0.47%	0.0120	✓	1.19
2026-10-11	oos	18.108	18.0209	-0.48%	17.954	-0.85%	0.0258	✗	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	18.116	18.0257	-0.50%	18.108	-0.04%	0.0070	✓	1.25
2026-10-09	oos	17.887	17.7973	-0.50%	18.116	+1.28%	0.0122	✗	1.25
2026-10-08	oos	17.869	17.7824	-0.48%	17.887	+0.10%	0.0070	✓	1.24
2026-10-07	oos	18.1195	18.0311	-0.49%	17.869	-1.38%	0.0157	✗	1.29
2026-10-06	oos	18.1155	17.9813	-0.74%	18.1195	+0.02%	0.0450	✗	1.39
2026-10-05	oos	18.184	17.9564	-1.25%	18.1155	-0.38%	0.0123	✓	1.41
2026-10-04	oos	19.5035	19.3807	-0.63%	18.184	-6.77%	0.0513	✓	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	19.3245	19.2012	-0.64%	19.5035	+0.93%	0.0129	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	19.312	19.182	-0.67%	19.3245	+0.06%	0.0035	✓	1.39
2026-10-01	oos	19.4135	19.2749	-0.71%	19.312	-0.52%	0.0076	✗	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	19.34	19.1992	-0.73%	19.4135	+0.38%	0.0102	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	18.7595	18.6169	-0.76%	19.34	+3.09%	0.0395	✗	1.41
2026-09-28	oos	18.4555	18.0995	-1.93%	18.7595	+1.65%	0.0327	✗	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	17.0955	16.9613	-0.78%	18.4555	+7.96%	0.1025	✗	1.51
2026-09-26	oos	16.5905	16.4554	-0.81%	17.0955	+3.04%	0.0373	✗	1.52
2026-09-25	oos	16.8735	16.7208	-0.91%	16.5905	-1.68%	0.0137	✓	1.52
2026-09-24	oos	17.1355	16.9644	-1.00%	16.8735	-1.53%	0.0000	✓	1.54
2026-09-23	oos	16.6685	16.4927	-1.05%	17.1355	+2.80%	0.0381	✗	1.56
2026-09-22	oos	16.7035	16.5084	-1.17%	16.6685	-0.21%	0.0452	✗	1.66
2026-09-21	oos	16.2785	16.0696	-1.28%	16.7035	+2.61%	0.0465	✗	1.71
2026-09-20	oos	14.9885	14.7964	-1.28%	16.2785	+8.61%	0.0060	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	13.4385	13.264	-1.30%	14.9885	+11.53%	0.1237	✗	1.61
2026-09-18	oos	19.2555	18.9654	-1.51%	13.4385	-30.21%	0.3516	✓	1.61
2026-09-17	oos	19.2205	18.9068	-1.63%	19.2555	+0.18%	0.0751	✓	1.62
2026-09-16	oos	19.2405	18.8914	-1.81%	19.2205	-0.10%	0.0129	✓	1.63
2026-09-15	oos	19.2305	18.8541	-1.96%	19.2405	+0.05%	0.0084	✓	1.61
2026-09-14	oos	19.2555	18.8202	-2.26%	19.2305	-0.13%	0.0847	✗	1.87
2026-09-13	oos	19.2505	18.7784	-2.45%	19.2555	+0.03%	0.0075	✓	1.83
2026-09-12	oos	19.2555	18.732	-2.72%	19.2505	-0.03%	0.0386	✗	1.89
2026-09-11	oos	18.5185	17.973	-2.95%	19.2555	+3.98%	0.0676	✗	1.91
2026-09-10	oos	18.4135	17.8046	-3.31%	18.5185	+0.57%	0.0228	✓	1.89
2026-09-09	oos	18.4385	17.5084	-5.04%	18.4135	-0.14%	0.0976	✗	2.09
2026-09-08	oos	18.5135	17.8589	-3.54%	18.4385	-0.41%	0.0364	✗	2.13
2026-09-07	oos	3.5085	3.4686	-1.14%	18.5135	+427.68%	1.7024	✗	3.39
2026-09-06	oos	3.5235	3.4805	-1.22%	3.5085	-0.43%	0.0648	✗	3.63
2026-09-05	oos	18.3785	17.7563	-3.39%	3.5235	-80.83%	1.6405	✓	3.67
2026-09-04	oos	4.0185	3.9585	-1.49%	18.3785	+357.35%	1.5274	✗	4.02
2026-09-03	oos	4.016	3.9529	-1.57%	4.0185	+0.06%	0.1031	✗	4.39
2026-09-02	oos	4.023	3.9582	-1.61%	4.016	-0.17%	0.2096	✓	4.49
2026-09-01	oos	4.02	3.9549	-1.62%	4.023	+0.07%	0.0225	✗	4.57
2026-08-31	oos	6.1035	6.0102	-1.53%	4.02	-34.14%	0.3372	✓	4.35
2026-08-30	oos	40.783	40.3159	-1.15%	6.1035	-85.03%	1.9449	✓	4.96
2026-08-29	oos	41.1425	40.6585	-1.18%	40.783	-0.87%	0.0403	✗	5.10
2026-08-28	oos	41.2285	40.687	-1.31%	41.1425	-0.21%	0.0147	✓	5.11
2026-08-27	oos	40.7005	40.1697	-1.30%	41.2285	+1.30%	0.0568	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	27.5005	27.2228	-1.01%	40.7005	+48.00%	0.3865	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	40.6705	39.5639	-2.72%	27.5005	-32.38%	0.3701	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	38.8775	38.2916	-1.51%	40.6705	+4.61%	0.0660	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	40.5615	39.8049	-1.87%	38.8775	-4.15%	0.0396	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	52.426	50.5173	-3.64%	40.5615	-22.63%	0.2282	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	30.6335	30.2463	-1.26%	52.426	+71.14%	0.5664	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	30.768	30.3106	-1.49%	30.6335	-0.44%	0.0597	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	30.7125	30.2003	-1.67%	30.768	+0.18%	0.0336	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	30.549	30.0257	-1.71%	30.7125	+0.54%	0.0464	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	30.6105	29.5746	-3.38%	30.549	-0.20%	0.0293	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	30.5515	29.8264	-2.37%	30.6105	+0.19%	0.0002	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	30.5745	29.7659	-2.64%	30.5515	-0.08%	0.0289	✗	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	30.638	29.4768	-3.79%	30.5745	-0.21%	0.0359	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	5.164	5.0926	-1.38%	30.638	+493.30%	1.8016	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	30.695	30.2704	-1.38%	5.164	-83.18%	1.7687	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	30.7365	30.1041	-2.06%	30.695	-0.14%	0.0213	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	30.9075	30.2335	-2.18%	30.7365	-0.55%	0.0225	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	30.797	29.9833	-2.64%	30.9075	+0.36%	0.0449	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	30.87	29.8552	-3.29%	30.797	-0.24%	0.0320	✓	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	30.896	30.3328	-1.82%	30.87	-0.08%	0.0173	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.