KAIA

Kaia · native · gru_s7

token id: #105
symbol: KAIA
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2024-10-30
predictions: 2,139

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

68.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1619

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0378

actual -0.0578

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04027	0.037667	-6.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.041885	0.039216	-6.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-19	oos	0.040865	0.038219	-6.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-18	oos	0.041415	0.038971	-5.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.65
2026-10-17	oos	0.044045	0.041421	-5.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-16	oos	0.04206	0.039417	-6.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-15	oos	0.04226	0.039539	-6.44%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-14	oos	0.04303	0.040299	-6.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.66
2026-10-13	oos	0.046865	0.043703	-6.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-12	oos	0.0451	0.042286	-6.24%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-11	oos	0.05169	0.048348	-6.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.05665	0.052095	-8.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-09	oos	0.0605	0.054316	-10.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.49
2026-10-08	oos	0.03702	0.035096	-5.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.0382	0.03622	-5.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.03959	0.037694	-4.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-05	oos	0.040385	0.038647	-4.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-04	oos	0.03753	0.036251	-3.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.03741	0.03594	-3.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.03605	0.034759	-3.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-01	oos	0.036805	0.035491	-3.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-09-30	oos	0.034525	0.033295	-3.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-09-29	oos	0.033875	0.032717	-3.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-09-28	oos	0.032585	0.031544	-3.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.37
2026-09-27	oos	0.03336	0.032409	-2.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-26	oos	0.03517	0.034042	-3.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-25	oos	0.034845	0.033779	-3.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-24	oos	0.033055	0.032245	-2.45%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.031735	0.03086	-2.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-09-22	oos	0.031995	0.031281	-2.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-09-21	oos	0.032695	0.032097	-1.83%	0.04027	+23.17%	0.2905	✗	1.38
2026-09-20	oos	0.030345	0.029469	-2.89%	0.041885	+38.03%	0.3216	✗	1.38
2026-09-19	oos	0.0305	0.029589	-2.99%	0.040865	+33.98%	0.3126	✗	1.39
2026-09-18	oos	0.02997	0.029201	-2.57%	0.041415	+38.19%	0.3302	✗	1.38
2026-09-17	oos	0.0288	0.027483	-4.57%	0.044045	+52.93%	0.3800	✗	1.44
2026-09-16	oos	0.02783	0.026843	-3.55%	0.04206	+51.13%	0.3517	✗	1.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.027105	0.026304	-2.96%	0.04226	+55.91%	0.3561	✗	1.42
2026-09-14	oos	0.02897	0.028247	-2.50%	0.04303	+48.53%	0.3618	✗	1.39
2026-09-13	oos	0.029265	0.028372	-3.05%	0.046865	+60.14%	0.3915	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.0292	0.028357	-2.89%	0.0451	+54.45%	0.3850	✗	1.40
2026-09-11	oos	0.02925	0.028357	-3.05%	0.05169	+76.72%	0.4868	✗	1.41
2026-09-10	oos	0.02735	0.02651	-3.07%	0.05665	+107.13%	0.6477	✗	1.40
2026-09-09	oos	0.03007	0.029342	-2.42%	0.0605	+101.20%	0.6520	✗	1.35
2026-09-08	oos	0.03181	0.030859	-2.99%	0.03702	+16.38%	0.1266	✗	1.37
2026-09-07	oos	0.031045	0.030136	-2.93%	0.0382	+23.05%	0.1657	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.03147	0.030874	-1.89%	0.03959	+25.80%	0.1600	✗	1.41
2026-09-05	oos	0.03087	0.030423	-1.45%	0.040385	+30.82%	0.1829	✗	1.40
2026-09-04	oos	0.03047	0.030019	-1.48%	0.03753	+23.17%	0.1126	✗	1.35
2026-09-03	oos	0.030325	0.03033	+0.02%	0.03741	+23.36%	0.1522	✓	1.37
2026-09-02	oos	0.028055	0.027938	-0.42%	0.03605	+28.50%	0.1344	✗	1.35
2026-09-01	oos	0.02888	0.028739	-0.49%	0.036805	+27.44%	0.1221	✗	1.36
2026-08-31	oos	0.029425	0.029259	-0.56%	0.034525	+17.33%	0.0844	✗	1.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.02756	0.027138	-1.53%	0.033875	+22.91%	0.1271	✗	1.28
2026-08-29	oos	0.02883	0.028581	-0.86%	0.032585	+13.02%	0.0532	✗	1.21
2026-08-28	oos	0.028945	0.028897	-0.17%	0.03336	+15.25%	0.0449	✗	1.21
2026-08-27	oos	0.03171	0.031907	+0.62%	0.03517	+10.91%	0.0385	✓	1.17
2026-08-26	oos	0.032735	0.032633	-0.31%	0.034845	+6.45%	0.0082	✓	1.19
2026-08-25	oos	0.03205	0.032024	-0.08%	0.033055	+3.14%	0.0526	✓	1.17
2026-08-24	oos	0.030985	0.031212	+0.73%	0.031735	+2.42%	0.0612	✗	1.18
2026-08-23	oos	0.03155	0.031511	-0.12%	0.031995	+1.41%	0.1079	✓	1.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.031965	0.031787	-0.56%	0.032695	+2.28%	0.1111	✓	1.19
2026-08-21	oos	0.03001	0.03037	+1.20%	0.030345	+1.12%	0.0444	✗	1.23
2026-08-20	oos	0.02631	0.026004	-1.16%	0.0305	+15.93%	0.0402	✗	1.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.023895	0.023221	-2.82%	0.02997	+25.42%	0.0951	✗	1.04
2026-08-18	oos	0.021505	0.020608	-4.17%	0.0288	+33.92%	0.1792	✗	0.94
2026-08-17	oos	0.022885	0.021908	-4.27%	0.02783	+21.61%	0.0795	✗	0.96
2026-08-16	oos	0.022865	0.021712	-5.04%	0.027105	+18.54%	0.0413	✓	0.98
2026-08-15	oos	0.02387	0.022544	-5.55%	0.02897	+21.37%	0.0405	✓	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.02463	0.023139	-6.05%	0.029265	+18.82%	0.0465	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.025825	0.024243	-6.13%	0.0292	+13.07%	0.0004	✓	0.94
2026-08-12	oos	0.02619	0.024463	-6.59%	0.02925	+11.68%	0.0072	✓	0.94
2026-08-11	oos	0.02685	0.025107	-6.49%	0.02735	+1.86%	0.0893	✓	0.94
2026-08-10	oos	0.02669	0.024867	-6.83%	0.03007	+12.66%	0.0007	✓	0.93
2026-08-09	oos	0.02702	0.025157	-6.89%	0.03181	+17.73%	0.0560	✓	0.94
2026-08-08	oos	0.02723	0.025434	-6.60%	0.031045	+14.01%	0.0137	✓	0.94
2026-08-07	oos	0.02709	0.025385	-6.29%	0.03147	+16.17%	0.0115	✓	0.95
2026-08-06	oos	0.0267	0.024876	-6.83%	0.03087	+15.62%	0.0116	✓	0.94
2026-08-05	oos	0.02689	0.025091	-6.69%	0.03047	+13.31%	0.0046	✓	0.95
2026-08-04	oos	0.026835	0.025112	-6.42%	0.030325	+13.01%	0.0346	✓	0.94
2026-08-03	oos	0.02633	0.024578	-6.65%	0.028055	+6.55%	0.0513	✓	0.93
2026-08-02	oos	0.0263	0.024649	-6.28%	0.02888	+9.81%	0.0269	✓	0.94
2026-08-01	oos	0.02558	0.024054	-5.97%	0.029425	+15.03%	0.0069	✓	0.93
2026-07-31	oos	0.025195	0.023693	-5.96%	0.02756	+9.39%	0.0455	✓	0.93
2026-07-30	oos	0.026255	0.024734	-5.79%	0.02883	+9.81%	0.0211	✓	0.92
2026-07-29	oos	0.02592	0.024365	-6.00%	0.028945	+11.67%	0.0056	✓	0.90
2026-07-28	oos	0.02609	0.024364	-6.62%	0.03171	+21.54%	0.0580	✓	0.90
2026-07-27	oos	0.025815	0.024109	-6.61%	0.032735	+26.81%	0.1121	✗	0.90
2026-07-26	oos	0.030265	0.028348	-6.33%	0.03205	+5.90%	0.0228	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.02982	0.028039	-5.97%	0.030985	+3.91%	0.0619	✓	0.79
2026-07-24	oos	0.03133	0.029522	-5.77%	0.03155	+0.70%	0.0857	✓	0.79
2026-07-23	oos	0.031295	0.029703	-5.09%	0.031965	+2.14%	0.0615	✓	0.80
2026-07-22	oos	0.032075	0.030535	-4.80%	0.03001	-6.44%	0.1516	✓	0.79
2026-07-21	oos	0.03283	0.031198	-4.97%	0.02631	-19.86%	0.2440	✓	0.79
2026-07-20	oos	0.032295	0.030543	-5.42%	0.023895	-26.01%	0.2918	✓	0.76
2026-07-19	oos	0.03226	0.0304	-5.77%	0.021505	-33.34%	0.3461	✓	0.76
2026-07-18	oos	0.03293	0.031056	-5.69%	0.022885	-30.50%	0.3015	✓	0.77
2026-07-17	oos	0.033005	0.031043	-5.95%	0.022865	-30.72%	0.2925	✓	0.80
2026-07-16	oos	0.03388	0.031903	-5.83%	0.02387	-29.55%	0.2804	✓	0.81
2026-07-15	oos	0.033825	0.031927	-5.61%	0.02463	-27.18%	0.2360	✓	0.86
2026-07-14	oos	0.0341	0.032199	-5.58%	0.025825	-24.27%	0.1996	✓	0.86
2026-07-13	oos	0.033925	0.031973	-5.75%	0.02619	-22.80%	0.2161	✓	0.91
2026-07-12	oos	0.035005	0.03284	-6.18%	0.02685	-23.30%	0.1984	✓	0.90
2026-07-11	oos	0.034775	0.032637	-6.15%	0.02669	-23.25%	0.2031	✓	0.88
2026-07-10	oos	0.0349	0.032719	-6.25%	0.02702	-22.58%	0.2011	✓	0.87
2026-07-09	oos	0.03361	0.031445	-6.44%	0.02723	-18.98%	0.1672	✓	0.86
2026-07-08	oos	0.033225	0.031138	-6.28%	0.02709	-18.47%	0.1750	✓	0.86
2026-07-07	oos	0.03386	0.031579	-6.74%	0.0267	-21.15%	0.1805	✓	0.86
2026-07-06	oos	0.03386	0.031513	-6.93%	0.02689	-20.58%	0.1667	✓	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.03527	0.032969	-6.52%	0.026835	-23.92%	0.2121	✓	0.85
2026-07-04	oos	0.03527	0.033173	-5.95%	0.02633	-25.35%	0.2362	✓	0.86
2026-07-03	oos	0.03542	0.033117	-6.50%	0.0263	-25.75%	0.2435	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.03445	0.032409	-5.93%	0.02558	-25.75%	0.2535	✓	0.82
2026-07-01	oos	0.03365	0.031553	-6.23%	0.025195	-25.13%	0.2631	✓	0.82
2026-06-30	oos	0.03491	0.032759	-6.16%	0.026255	-24.79%	0.3055	✓	0.84
2026-06-29	oos	0.034985	0.032791	-6.27%	0.02592	-25.91%	0.2866	✓	0.85
2026-06-28	oos	0.034205	0.032226	-5.79%	0.02609	-23.72%	0.2726	✓	0.87
2026-06-27	oos	0.03374	0.031919	-5.40%	0.025815	-23.49%	0.2649	✓	0.87
2026-06-26	oos	0.034035	0.032178	-5.45%	0.030265	-11.08%	0.1350	✓	0.86
2026-06-25	oos	0.03287	0.031181	-5.14%	0.02982	-9.28%	0.1082	✓	0.86
2026-06-24	oos	0.033615	0.031944	-4.97%	0.03133	-6.80%	0.0632	✓	0.88
2026-06-23	oos	0.036615	0.034515	-5.74%	0.031295	-14.53%	0.1296	✓	0.84
2026-06-22	oos	0.037115	0.034855	-6.09%	0.032075	-13.58%	0.1105	✓	0.83
2026-06-21	oos	0.035715	0.033757	-5.48%	0.03283	-8.08%	0.0694	✓	0.82
2026-06-20	oos	0.03611	0.034282	-5.06%	0.032295	-10.56%	0.0719	✓	0.80
2026-06-19	oos	0.03627	0.034526	-4.81%	0.03226	-11.06%	0.0830	✓	0.80
2026-06-18	oos	0.036305	0.034889	-3.90%	0.03293	-9.30%	0.0818	✓	0.80
2026-06-17	oos	0.03752	0.035806	-4.57%	0.033005	-12.03%	0.0746	✓	0.79
2026-06-16	oos	0.03773	0.035907	-4.83%	0.03388	-10.20%	0.0350	✓	0.81
2026-06-15	oos	0.03768	0.035703	-5.25%	0.033825	-10.23%	0.0347	✓	0.81
2026-06-14	oos	0.037605	0.035434	-5.77%	0.0341	-9.32%	0.0294	✓	0.81
2026-06-13	oos	0.03622	0.034472	-4.83%	0.033925	-6.34%	0.0114	✓	0.80
2026-06-12	oos	0.035945	0.034384	-4.34%	0.035005	-2.62%	0.0154	✓	0.80
2026-06-11	oos	0.0362	0.034782	-3.92%	0.034775	-3.94%	0.0028	✓	0.80
2026-06-10	oos	0.03395	0.033121	-2.44%	0.0349	+2.80%	0.0200	✓	0.76
2026-06-09	oos	0.0353	0.034478	-2.33%	0.03361	-4.79%	0.0435	✓	0.75
2026-06-08	oos	0.03753	0.036575	-2.55%	0.033225	-11.47%	0.0864	✓	0.73
2026-06-07	oos	0.03645	0.035659	-2.17%	0.03386	-7.11%	0.0520	✓	0.78
2026-06-06	oos	0.03665	0.036023	-1.71%	0.03386	-7.61%	0.1028	✓	0.81
2026-06-05	oos	0.03783	0.037088	-1.96%	0.03527	-6.77%	0.0845	✓	0.83
2026-06-04	oos	0.04057	0.039211	-3.35%	0.03527	-13.06%	0.0969	✓	0.79
2026-06-03	oos	0.04371	0.04191	-4.12%	0.03542	-18.97%	0.1497	✓	0.77
2026-06-02	oos	0.04449	0.04236	-4.79%	0.03445	-22.57%	0.1432	✓	0.79
2026-06-01	oos	0.04831	0.045741	-5.32%	0.03365	-30.35%	0.1881	✓	0.69
2026-05-31	oos	0.046525	0.044258	-4.87%	0.03491	-24.97%	0.0665	✓	0.75
2026-05-30	oos	0.048565	0.046285	-4.69%	0.034985	-27.96%	0.1336	✓	0.72
2026-05-29	oos	0.0488	0.046458	-4.80%	0.034205	-29.91%	0.1553	✓	0.72
2026-05-28	oos	0.048795	0.046692	-4.31%	0.03374	-30.85%	0.1790	✓	0.71
2026-05-27	oos	0.04745	0.045546	-4.01%	0.034035	-28.27%	0.1363	✓	0.72
2026-05-26	oos	0.048745	0.047143	-3.29%	0.03287	-32.57%	0.1887	✓	0.72
2026-05-25	oos	0.05025	0.049027	-2.43%	0.033615	-33.10%	0.1980	✓	0.76
2026-05-24	oos	0.05121	0.049782	-2.79%	0.036615	-28.50%	0.1509	✓	0.76
2026-05-23	oos	0.05229	0.050929	-2.60%	0.037115	-29.02%	0.1784	✓	0.76
2026-05-22	oos	0.05241	0.050844	-2.99%	0.035715	-31.85%	0.2174	✓	0.77
2026-05-21	oos	0.05381	0.052502	-2.43%	0.03611	-32.89%	0.2298	✓	0.77
2026-05-20	oos	0.05157	0.050448	-2.18%	0.03627	-29.67%	0.1770	✓	0.77
2026-05-19	oos	0.0499	0.048754	-2.30%	0.036305	-27.24%	0.1433	✓	0.76
2026-05-18	oos	0.051035	0.049814	-2.39%	0.03752	-26.48%	0.1490	✓	0.76
2026-05-17	oos	0.05121	0.04988	-2.60%	0.03773	-26.32%	0.1542	✓	0.76
2026-05-16	oos	0.04589	0.045153	-1.61%	0.03768	-17.89%	0.0520	✓	0.79
2026-05-15	oos	0.04633	0.046117	-0.46%	0.037605	-18.83%	0.0553	✓	0.80
2026-05-14	oos	0.04779	0.047993	+0.43%	0.03622	-24.21%	0.0943	✗	0.81
2026-05-13	oos	0.047315	0.04704	-0.58%	0.035945	-24.03%	0.0905	✓	0.81
2026-05-12	oos	0.04733	0.047337	+0.01%	0.0362	-23.52%	0.0792	✗	0.80
2026-05-11	oos	0.048525	0.048903	+0.78%	0.03395	-30.04%	0.1462	✗	0.77
2026-05-10	oos	0.049455	0.049927	+0.95%	0.0353	-28.62%	0.1270	✗	0.77
2026-05-09	oos	0.04786	0.047986	+0.26%	0.03753	-21.58%	0.0596	✗	0.76
2026-05-08	oos	0.04894	0.048913	-0.06%	0.03645	-25.52%	0.1148	✓	0.76
2026-05-07	oos	0.0471	0.046983	-0.25%	0.03665	-22.19%	0.0392	✓	0.76
2026-05-06	oos	0.04704	0.047806	+1.63%	0.03783	-19.58%	0.0165	✓	0.87
2026-05-05	oos	0.04714	0.047814	+1.43%	0.04057	-13.94%	0.0514	✓	0.91
2026-05-04	oos	0.04624	0.046437	+0.43%	0.04371	-5.47%	0.1377	✓	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.04557	0.04565	+0.18%	0.04449	-2.37%	0.1242	✓	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.04565	0.04574	+0.20%	0.04831	+5.83%	0.1482	✓	0.95
2026-05-01	oos	0.04549	0.045495	+0.01%	0.046525	+2.28%	0.0808	✓	0.95
2026-04-30	oos	0.04543	0.044821	-1.34%	0.048565	+6.90%	0.1119	✗	0.94
2026-04-29	oos	0.04595	0.045269	-1.48%	0.0488	+6.20%	0.1052	✗	0.94
2026-04-28	oos	0.047225	0.046478	-1.58%	0.048795	+3.32%	0.0855	✗	0.98
2026-04-27	oos	0.047815	0.047433	-0.80%	0.04745	-0.76%	0.0398	✗	0.98
2026-04-26	oos	0.048465	0.048591	+0.26%	0.048745	+0.58%	0.0395	✓	0.98
2026-04-25	oos	0.048825	0.048615	-0.43%	0.05025	+2.92%	0.0381	✗	0.97
2026-04-24	oos	0.048445	0.04804	-0.84%	0.05121	+5.71%	0.0703	✗	1.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.048575	0.048269	-0.63%	0.05229	+7.65%	0.1013	✗	1.01
2026-04-22	oos	0.047775	0.04772	-0.12%	0.05241	+9.70%	0.1303	✗	1.02
2026-04-21	oos	0.04836	0.047796	-1.17%	0.05381	+11.27%	0.1025	✗	1.03
2026-04-20	oos	0.04868	0.047828	-1.75%	0.05157	+5.94%	0.0537	✗	1.03
2026-04-19	oos	0.04712	0.046327	-1.68%	0.0499	+5.90%	0.0335	✗	1.04
2026-04-18	oos	0.049175	0.048717	-0.93%	0.051035	+3.78%	0.0300	✗	1.04
2026-04-17	oos	0.051505	0.051236	-0.52%	0.05121	-0.57%	0.0047	✓	1.04
2026-04-16	oos	0.04826	0.047676	-1.21%	0.04589	-4.91%	0.0778	✓	1.03
2026-04-15	oos	0.047365	0.046671	-1.47%	0.04633	-2.19%	0.0638	✓	1.03
2026-04-14	oos	0.047	0.046186	-1.73%	0.04779	+1.68%	0.0579	✓	1.03
2026-04-13	oos	0.048025	0.047047	-2.04%	0.047315	-1.48%	0.0590	✓	1.03
2026-04-12	oos	0.046555	0.045041	-3.25%	0.04733	+1.66%	0.0855	✓	1.05
2026-04-11	oos	0.04747	0.046127	-2.83%	0.048525	+2.22%	0.0666	✓	1.05
2026-04-10	oos	0.04756	0.046052	-3.17%	0.049455	+3.98%	0.0533	✓	1.05
2026-04-09	oos	0.047155	0.045454	-3.61%	0.04786	+1.50%	0.0706	✓	1.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.046845	0.045269	-3.37%	0.04894	+4.47%	0.0487	✓	1.05
2026-04-07	oos	0.047935	0.046301	-3.41%	0.0471	-1.74%	0.0949	✓	1.05
2026-04-06	oos	0.046955	0.044828	-4.53%	0.04704	+0.18%	0.1310	✓	1.07
2026-04-05	oos	0.047035	0.044729	-4.90%	0.04714	+0.22%	0.1175	✓	1.07
2026-04-04	oos	0.04762	0.045118	-5.25%	0.04624	-2.90%	0.1632	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.049055	0.046455	-5.30%	0.04557	-7.10%	0.1961	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.049145	0.046233	-5.93%	0.04565	-7.11%	0.1924	✓	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.04795	0.045415	-5.29%	0.04549	-5.13%	0.1533	✓	1.12
2026-03-31	oos	0.046625	0.044162	-5.28%	0.04543	-2.56%	0.0970	✓	1.12
2026-03-30	oos	0.04476	0.042504	-5.04%	0.04595	+2.66%	0.0633	✓	1.11
2026-03-29	oos	0.044945	0.042957	-4.42%	0.047225	+5.07%	0.0681	✓	1.12
2026-03-28	oos	0.04481	0.042966	-4.11%	0.047815	+6.71%	0.0651	✓	1.12
2026-03-27	oos	0.04618	0.044399	-3.86%	0.048465	+4.95%	0.1026	✓	1.12
2026-03-26	oos	0.04903	0.047187	-3.76%	0.048825	-0.42%	0.1009	✓	1.11
2026-03-25	oos	0.05073	0.048817	-3.77%	0.048445	-4.50%	0.0999	✓	1.11
2026-03-24	oos	0.051635	0.04941	-4.31%	0.048575	-5.93%	0.1337	✓	1.12
2026-03-23	oos	0.051015	0.048947	-4.05%	0.047775	-6.35%	0.1344	✓	1.12
2026-03-22	oos	0.050285	0.048172	-4.20%	0.04836	-3.83%	0.1308	✓	1.14
2026-03-21	oos	0.050655	0.048611	-4.04%	0.04868	-3.90%	0.1084	✓	1.14
2026-03-20	oos	0.051575	0.049631	-3.77%	0.04712	-8.64%	0.1046	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.05155	0.049941	-3.12%	0.049175	-4.61%	0.1069	✓	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.053645	0.052205	-2.69%	0.051505	-3.99%	0.1050	✓	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.05554	0.054296	-2.24%	0.04826	-13.11%	0.1372	✓	1.17
2026-03-16	oos	0.056025	0.055191	-1.49%	0.047365	-15.46%	0.1521	✓	1.19
2026-03-15	oos	0.054755	0.053834	-1.68%	0.047	-14.16%	0.1576	✓	1.19
2026-03-14	oos	0.05436	0.053241	-2.06%	0.048025	-11.65%	0.1561	✓	1.20
2026-03-13	oos	0.05408	0.052868	-2.24%	0.046555	-13.91%	0.1240	✓	1.20
2026-03-12	oos	0.054775	0.053508	-2.31%	0.04747	-13.34%	0.1625	✓	1.20
2026-03-11	oos	0.0551	0.053997	-2.00%	0.04756	-13.68%	0.1738	✓	1.20
2026-03-10	oos	0.055055	0.054021	-1.88%	0.047155	-14.35%	0.1671	✓	1.20
2026-03-09	oos	0.05061	0.049683	-1.83%	0.046845	-7.44%	0.1039	✓	1.19
2026-03-08	oos	0.049545	0.048514	-2.08%	0.047935	-3.25%	0.1148	✓	1.19
2026-03-07	oos	0.05329	0.052069	-2.29%	0.046955	-11.89%	0.1311	✓	1.18
2026-03-06	oos	0.052835	0.051767	-2.02%	0.047035	-10.98%	0.1113	✓	1.18
2026-03-05	oos	0.0539	0.052979	-1.71%	0.04762	-11.65%	0.0444	✓	1.20
2026-03-04	oos	0.05495	0.053929	-1.86%	0.049055	-10.73%	0.0038	✓	1.20
2026-03-03	oos	0.0539	0.052633	-2.35%	0.049145	-8.82%	0.0420	✓	1.25
2026-03-02	oos	0.055295	0.054067	-2.22%	0.04795	-13.28%	0.1070	✓	1.24
2026-03-01	oos	0.05467	0.053506	-2.13%	0.046625	-14.72%	0.1836	✓	1.26
2026-02-28	oos	0.05555	0.054363	-2.14%	0.04476	-19.42%	0.1901	✓	1.24
2026-02-27	oos	0.055635	0.054201	-2.58%	0.044945	-19.21%	0.1891	✓	1.25
2026-02-26	oos	0.056585	0.055117	-2.59%	0.04481	-20.81%	0.1851	✓	1.25
2026-02-25	oos	0.05706	0.055518	-2.70%	0.04618	-19.07%	0.1535	✓	1.25
2026-02-24	oos	0.053045	0.051439	-3.03%	0.04903	-7.57%	0.1366	✓	1.25
2026-02-23	oos	0.05339	0.051677	-3.21%	0.05073	-4.98%	0.1395	✓	1.23
2026-02-22	oos	0.055435	0.053611	-3.29%	0.051635	-6.85%	0.0899	✓	1.24
2026-02-21	oos	0.05691	0.054949	-3.45%	0.051015	-10.36%	0.1264	✓	1.24
2026-02-20	oos	0.05648	0.054546	-3.42%	0.050285	-10.97%	0.0788	✓	1.24
2026-02-19	oos	0.055895	0.053997	-3.40%	0.050655	-9.37%	0.0993	✓	1.24
2026-02-18	oos	0.056555	0.054608	-3.44%	0.051575	-8.81%	0.1316	✓	1.25
2026-02-17	oos	0.05746	0.055396	-3.59%	0.05155	-10.29%	0.1159	✓	1.23
2026-02-16	oos	0.058155	0.056175	-3.41%	0.053645	-7.76%	0.0882	✓	1.24
2026-02-15	oos	0.057145	0.0553	-3.23%	0.05554	-2.81%	0.0847	✓	1.24
2026-02-14	oos	0.06086	0.058542	-3.81%	0.056025	-7.94%	0.1306	✓	1.23
2026-02-13	oos	0.05754	0.055567	-3.43%	0.054755	-4.84%	0.0839	✓	1.22
2026-02-12	oos	0.056635	0.054734	-3.36%	0.05436	-4.02%	0.0973	✓	1.24
2026-02-11	oos	0.05547	0.053692	-3.20%	0.05408	-2.51%	0.0636	✓	1.25
2026-02-10	oos	0.05428	0.052601	-3.09%	0.054775	+0.91%	0.0091	✓	1.27
2026-02-09	oos	0.055225	0.053379	-3.34%	0.0551	-0.23%	0.0298	✓	1.27
2026-02-08	oos	0.055525	0.053723	-3.25%	0.055055	-0.85%	0.0303	✓	1.27
2026-02-07	oos	0.055175	0.053618	-2.82%	0.05061	-8.27%	0.0426	✓	1.28
2026-02-06	oos	0.05691	0.055056	-3.26%	0.049545	-12.94%	0.0208	✓	1.27
2026-02-05	oos	0.049765	0.048961	-1.62%	0.05329	+7.08%	0.0038	✓	1.29
2026-02-04	oos	0.05809	0.056029	-3.55%	0.052835	-9.05%	0.0428	✗	1.46
2026-02-03	oos	0.05907	0.056741	-3.94%	0.0539	-8.75%	0.0450	✗	1.48
2026-02-02	oos	0.06336	0.060234	-4.93%	0.05495	-13.27%	0.0260	✓	1.49
2026-02-01	oos	0.05406	0.051954	-3.90%	0.0539	-0.30%	0.2050	✗	1.43
2026-01-31	oos	0.05533	0.052736	-4.69%	0.055295	-0.06%	0.2443	✗	1.48
2026-01-30	oos	0.057685	0.054219	-6.01%	0.05467	-5.23%	0.3946	✗	1.57
2026-01-29	oos	0.057685	0.054085	-6.24%	0.05555	-3.70%	0.3927	✗	1.57
2026-01-28	oos	0.06564	0.061487	-6.33%	0.055635	-15.24%	0.3582	✗	1.51
2026-01-27	oos	0.0742	0.069113	-6.86%	0.056585	-23.74%	0.2254	✗	1.53
2026-01-26	oos	0.072245	0.067165	-7.03%	0.05706	-21.02%	0.2302	✗	1.51
2026-01-25	oos	0.07789	0.071445	-8.28%	0.053045	-31.90%	0.1750	✗	1.57
2026-01-24	oos	0.09534	0.084626	-11.24%	0.05339	-44.00%	0.0077	✓	1.46
2026-01-23	oos	0.07218	0.065672	-9.02%	0.055435	-23.20%	0.2408	✗	1.46
2026-01-22	oos	0.05231	0.04939	-5.58%	0.05691	+8.79%	0.5376	✗	1.44
2026-01-21	oos	0.052375	0.049546	-5.40%	0.05648	+7.84%	0.5244	✗	1.44
2026-01-20	oos	0.0505	0.047761	-5.42%	0.055895	+10.68%	0.5538	✗	1.43
2026-01-19	oos	0.05454	0.051444	-5.68%	0.056555	+3.69%	0.5683	✗	1.43
2026-01-18	oos	0.05534	0.052238	-5.60%	0.05746	+3.83%	0.5606	✗	1.42
2026-01-17	oos	0.05924	0.056033	-5.41%	0.058155	-1.83%	0.4891	✗	1.40
2026-01-16	oos	0.05968	0.056359	-5.56%	0.057145	-4.25%	0.4751	✗	1.41
2026-01-15	oos	0.06045	0.056933	-5.82%	0.06086	+0.68%	0.5092	✗	1.41
2026-01-14	oos	0.06351	0.059958	-5.59%	0.05754	-9.40%	0.4398	✗	1.40
2026-01-13	oos	0.06458	0.060729	-5.96%	0.056635	-12.30%	0.4484	✗	1.42
2026-01-12	oos	0.060695	0.056493	-6.92%	0.05547	-8.61%	0.4175	✗	1.42
2026-01-11	oos	0.063625	0.059123	-7.08%	0.05428	-14.69%	0.3128	✗	1.43
2026-01-10	oos	0.06391	0.059325	-7.17%	0.055225	-13.59%	0.2948	✗	1.44
2026-01-09	oos	0.065735	0.061205	-6.89%	0.055525	-15.53%	0.2682	✗	1.44
2026-01-08	oos	0.066905	0.062529	-6.54%	0.055175	-17.53%	0.2634	✗	1.42
2026-01-07	oos	0.06723	0.063185	-6.02%	0.05691	-15.35%	0.3454	✗	1.74
2026-01-06	oos	0.07016	0.065638	-6.45%	0.049765	-29.07%	0.4235	✗	1.75
2026-01-05	oos	0.06713	0.063659	-5.17%	0.05809	-13.47%	0.3459	✗	1.74
2026-01-04	oos	0.06232	0.058878	-5.52%	0.05907	-5.22%	0.3304	✗	1.72
2026-01-03	oos	0.05887	0.056003	-4.87%	0.06336	+7.63%	0.3645	✗	1.71
2026-01-02	oos	0.05862	0.055581	-5.18%	0.05406	-7.78%	0.2393	✗	1.70
2026-01-01	oos	0.05654	0.053913	-4.65%	0.05533	-2.14%	0.2302	✗	1.69
2025-12-31	oos	0.055285	0.052918	-4.28%	0.057685	+4.34%	0.1526	✗	1.68
2025-12-30	oos	0.05597	0.05362	-4.20%	0.057685	+3.06%	0.1482	✗	1.67
2025-12-29	oos	0.05549	0.053049	-4.40%	0.06564	+18.29%	0.1747	✗	1.65
2025-12-28	oos	0.05652	0.053972	-4.51%	0.0742	+31.28%	0.2953	✗	1.65
2025-12-27	oos	0.05792	0.055354	-4.43%	0.072245	+24.73%	0.2581	✗	1.63
2025-12-26	oos	0.055645	0.0538	-3.32%	0.07789	+39.98%	0.3837	✗	1.62
2025-12-25	oos	0.05553	0.053911	-2.92%	0.09534	+71.69%	0.5351	✗	1.62
2025-12-24	oos	0.057815	0.05609	-2.98%	0.07218	+24.85%	0.2181	✗	1.62
2025-12-23	oos	0.058405	0.056805	-2.74%	0.05231	-10.44%	0.1186	✓	1.57
2025-12-22	oos	0.059805	0.058122	-2.81%	0.052375	-12.42%	0.1184	✓	1.57
2025-12-21	oos	0.05937	0.057967	-2.36%	0.0505	-14.94%	0.1321	✓	1.57
2025-12-20	oos	0.060085	0.058561	-2.54%	0.05454	-9.23%	0.1453	✓	1.58
2025-12-19	oos	0.060155	0.058951	-2.00%	0.05534	-8.00%	0.1597	✓	1.58
2025-12-18	oos	0.055325	0.054651	-1.22%	0.05924	+7.08%	0.0854	✓	1.55
2025-12-17	oos	0.06288	0.061664	-1.93%	0.05968	-5.09%	0.1901	✓	1.54
2025-12-16	oos	0.071135	0.069118	-2.84%	0.06045	-15.02%	0.2609	✓	1.50
2025-12-15	oos	0.07128	0.069234	-2.87%	0.06351	-10.90%	0.2606	✓	1.51
2025-12-14	oos	0.07386	0.071494	-3.20%	0.06458	-12.56%	0.2210	✓	1.52
2025-12-13	oos	0.07598	0.073516	-3.24%	0.060695	-20.12%	0.2073	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.07473	0.072637	-2.80%	0.063625	-14.86%	0.1424	✓	1.52
2025-12-11	oos	0.07647	0.074452	-2.64%	0.06391	-16.42%	0.1164	✓	1.53
2025-12-10	oos	0.07613	0.074438	-2.22%	0.065735	-13.65%	0.0988	✓	1.53
2025-12-09	oos	0.07899	0.077077	-2.42%	0.066905	-15.30%	0.1139	✓	1.52
2025-12-08	oos	0.07802	0.076328	-2.17%	0.06723	-13.83%	0.1374	✓	1.52
2025-12-07	oos	0.07829	0.076252	-2.60%	0.07016	-10.38%	0.1381	✓	1.52
2025-12-06	oos	0.078055	0.076082	-2.53%	0.06713	-14.00%	0.2022	✓	1.53
2025-12-05	oos	0.07697	0.075137	-2.38%	0.06232	-19.03%	0.2236	✓	1.54
2025-12-04	oos	0.080285	0.07775	-3.16%	0.05887	-26.67%	0.2529	✓	1.54
2025-12-03	oos	0.080975	0.078384	-3.20%	0.05862	-27.61%	0.2315	✓	1.55
2025-12-02	oos	0.07936	0.076978	-3.00%	0.05654	-28.76%	0.2641	✓	1.56
2025-12-01	oos	0.0755	0.073903	-2.11%	0.055285	-26.77%	0.3128	✓	1.61
2025-11-30	oos	0.07825	0.076246	-2.56%	0.05597	-28.47%	0.2727	✓	1.65
2025-11-29	oos	0.078775	0.076875	-2.41%	0.05549	-29.56%	0.2572	✓	1.65
2025-11-28	oos	0.07946	0.077695	-2.22%	0.05652	-28.87%	0.2624	✓	1.65
2025-11-27	oos	0.08123	0.079393	-2.26%	0.05792	-28.70%	0.2508	✓	1.65
2025-11-26	oos	0.08201	0.080284	-2.10%	0.055645	-32.15%	0.3076	✓	1.65
2025-11-25	oos	0.081745	0.080232	-1.85%	0.05553	-32.07%	0.3650	✓	1.71
2025-11-24	oos	0.08123	0.079801	-1.76%	0.057815	-28.83%	0.3095	✓	1.71
2025-11-23	oos	0.07965	0.078507	-1.43%	0.058405	-26.67%	0.3080	✓	1.71
2025-11-22	oos	0.07711	0.076347	-0.99%	0.059805	-22.44%	0.3211	✓	1.72
2025-11-21	oos	0.076	0.075312	-0.90%	0.05937	-21.88%	0.3084	✓	1.72
2025-11-20	oos	0.079975	0.07888	-1.37%	0.060085	-24.87%	0.3071	✓	1.71
2025-11-19	oos	0.083305	0.081432	-2.25%	0.060155	-27.79%	0.2359	✓	1.78
2025-11-18	oos	0.085825	0.083481	-2.73%	0.055325	-35.54%	0.2623	✓	1.78
2025-11-17	oos	0.084675	0.082479	-2.59%	0.06288	-25.74%	0.1531	✓	1.79
2025-11-16	oos	0.087205	0.084655	-2.92%	0.071135	-18.43%	0.0487	✓	1.80
2025-11-15	oos	0.087915	0.085352	-2.92%	0.07128	-18.92%	0.0013	✓	1.81
2025-11-14	oos	0.086695	0.084721	-2.28%	0.07386	-14.80%	0.0117	✓	1.81
2025-11-13	oos	0.093305	0.090749	-2.74%	0.07598	-18.57%	0.0045	✓	1.85
2025-11-12	oos	0.097945	0.095217	-2.78%	0.07473	-23.70%	0.0240	✓	1.84
2025-11-11	oos	0.098925	0.096229	-2.73%	0.07647	-22.70%	0.0399	✓	1.77
2025-11-10	oos	0.104335	0.101483	-2.73%	0.07613	-27.03%	0.0380	✓	1.77
2025-11-09	oos	0.10086	0.098221	-2.62%	0.07899	-21.68%	0.0020	✓	1.77
2025-11-08	oos	0.1009	0.098385	-2.49%	0.07802	-22.68%	0.0142	✓	1.80
2025-11-07	oos	0.0989	0.09666	-2.27%	0.07829	-20.84%	0.0247	✗	1.77
2025-11-06	oos	0.090015	0.088424	-1.77%	0.078055	-13.29%	0.0939	✗	1.73
2025-11-05	oos	0.091255	0.089446	-1.98%	0.07697	-15.65%	0.1129	✗	1.75
2025-11-04	oos	0.085255	0.084316	-1.10%	0.080285	-5.83%	0.1184	✗	1.73
2025-11-03	oos	0.092745	0.091288	-1.57%	0.080975	-12.69%	0.1075	✗	1.73
2025-11-02	oos	0.104155	0.101984	-2.08%	0.07936	-23.81%	0.0701	✗	1.68
2025-11-01	oos	0.105	0.102613	-2.27%	0.0755	-28.10%	0.1053	✗	1.69
2025-10-31	oos	0.103525	0.101622	-1.84%	0.07825	-24.41%	0.0623	✗	1.68
2025-10-30	oos	0.101955	0.100153	-1.77%	0.078775	-22.74%	0.0565	✗	1.68
2025-10-29	oos	0.107075	0.104864	-2.07%	0.07946	-25.79%	0.0427	✗	1.68
2025-10-28	oos	0.108125	0.105949	-2.01%	0.08123	-24.87%	0.0987	✗	1.72
2025-10-27	oos	0.110265	0.107637	-2.38%	0.08201	-25.62%	0.1265	✗	1.72
2025-10-26	oos	0.111155	0.107884	-2.94%	0.081745	-26.46%	0.1887	✗	1.72
2025-10-25	oos	0.108175	0.104873	-3.05%	0.08123	-24.91%	0.1540	✗	1.74
2025-10-24	oos	0.108975	0.105302	-3.37%	0.07965	-26.91%	0.1501	✗	1.74
2025-10-23	oos	0.108495	0.104237	-3.92%	0.07711	-28.93%	0.1573	✗	1.75
2025-10-22	oos	0.104775	0.100293	-4.28%	0.076	-27.46%	0.1324	✗	1.74
2025-10-21	oos	0.105805	0.100805	-4.73%	0.079975	-24.41%	0.1613	✗	1.75
2025-10-20	oos	0.10745	0.101418	-5.61%	0.083305	-22.47%	0.1415	✗	1.78
2025-10-19	oos	0.106295	0.100336	-5.61%	0.085825	-19.26%	0.1234	✗	1.78
2025-10-18	oos	0.103095	0.097098	-5.82%	0.084675	-17.87%	0.1335	✗	1.78
2025-10-17	oos	0.102195	0.096239	-5.83%	0.087205	-14.67%	0.1185	✗	1.77
2025-10-16	oos	0.106325	0.099663	-6.27%	0.087915	-17.31%	0.0944	✗	1.77
2025-10-15	oos	0.110215	0.103033	-6.52%	0.086695	-21.34%	0.1072	✗	1.76
2025-10-14	oos	0.113465	0.106254	-6.36%	0.093305	-17.77%	0.0947	✗	1.77
2025-10-13	oos	0.118965	0.11167	-6.13%	0.097945	-17.67%	0.0912	✗	1.77
2025-10-12	oos	0.11111	0.102652	-7.61%	0.098925	-10.97%	0.1564	✗	1.75
2025-10-11	oos	0.105225	0.097505	-7.34%	0.104335	-0.85%	0.1453	✗	1.76
2025-10-10	oos	0.103165	0.094339	-8.56%	0.10086	-2.23%	0.2030	✗	1.79
2025-10-09	oos	0.139145	0.13267	-4.65%	0.1009	-27.49%	0.0638	✓	1.21
2025-10-08	oos	0.143215	0.137369	-4.08%	0.0989	-30.94%	0.1184	✓	1.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.142045	0.135563	-4.56%	0.090015	-36.63%	0.1963	✓	1.18
2025-10-06	oos	0.150835	0.145118	-3.79%	0.091255	-39.50%	0.2574	✓	1.13
2025-10-05	oos	0.149505	0.143434	-4.06%	0.085255	-42.98%	0.2988	✓	1.13
2025-10-04	oos	0.150845	0.143725	-4.72%	0.092745	-38.52%	0.2807	✓	1.13
2025-10-03	oos	0.154465	0.147071	-4.79%	0.104155	-32.57%	0.2304	✓	1.13
2025-10-02	oos	0.155515	0.147752	-4.99%	0.105	-32.48%	0.2367	✓	1.14
2025-10-01	oos	0.155355	0.146915	-5.43%	0.103525	-33.36%	0.2550	✓	1.19
2025-09-30	oos	0.151005	0.141781	-6.11%	0.101955	-32.48%	0.2664	✓	1.22
2025-09-29	oos	0.153365	0.143785	-6.25%	0.107075	-30.18%	0.2470	✓	1.24
2025-09-28	oos	0.154735	0.144892	-6.36%	0.108125	-30.12%	0.3007	✓	1.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.151745	0.142342	-6.20%	0.110265	-27.34%	0.3069	✓	1.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.153365	0.14375	-6.27%	0.111155	-27.52%	0.3138	✓	1.31
2025-09-25	oos	0.14934	0.139093	-6.86%	0.108175	-27.56%	0.2823	✓	1.30
2025-09-24	oos	0.151035	0.141651	-6.21%	0.108975	-27.85%	0.2338	✓	1.38
2025-09-23	oos	0.150805	0.141607	-6.10%	0.108495	-28.06%	0.2423	✓	1.40
2025-09-22	oos	0.151295	0.142041	-6.12%	0.104775	-30.75%	0.2410	✓	1.35
2025-09-21	oos	0.162385	0.15249	-6.09%	0.105805	-34.84%	0.2846	✓	1.31
2025-09-20	oos	0.156835	0.147307	-6.07%	0.10745	-31.49%	0.2495	✓	1.44
2025-09-19	oos	0.156755	0.147324	-6.02%	0.106295	-32.19%	0.2380	✓	1.41
2025-09-18	oos	0.15924	0.149941	-5.84%	0.103095	-35.26%	0.2477	✓	1.44
2025-09-17	oos	0.160025	0.150659	-5.85%	0.102195	-36.14%	0.2627	✓	1.39

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.