INIT

Initia · Initia · gru_s7

token id: #164
symbol: INIT
variant: –
chain: Initia
address: uinit
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-24
predictions: 1,614

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

67.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2023

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0241

actual -0.0121

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.12835	0.120931	-5.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-21	oos	0.1274	0.120543	-5.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-20	oos	0.1272	0.120078	-5.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.12365	0.116851	-5.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-18	oos	0.12605	0.11916	-5.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-17	oos	0.1242	0.117408	-5.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.1256	0.118761	-5.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.14145	0.132785	-6.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-14	oos	0.12675	0.11982	-5.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-13	oos	0.1239	0.117329	-5.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-10-12	oos	0.12075	0.114181	-5.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.59
2026-10-11	oos	0.1177	0.11182	-5.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-10-10	oos	0.1178	0.11163	-5.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.1097	0.104112	-5.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-08	oos	0.11455	0.108377	-5.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-07	oos	0.117	0.110907	-5.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-10-06	oos	0.1128	0.107652	-4.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.1187	0.113024	-4.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-04	oos	0.11765	0.112233	-4.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.11285	0.107212	-5.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-02	oos	0.11015	0.10459	-5.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-01	oos	0.10505	0.099656	-5.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-09-30	oos	0.1037	0.097966	-5.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-09-29	oos	0.10295	0.096537	-6.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-09-28	oos	0.0897	0.084847	-5.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-09-27	oos	0.0897	0.085216	-5.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-26	oos	0.0942	0.089566	-4.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	0.09985	0.094801	-5.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	0.0999	0.094687	-5.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-23	oos	0.0887	0.084934	-4.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-09-22	oos	0.0902	0.086818	-3.75%	0.12835	+42.29%	0.4083	✗	0.75
2026-09-21	oos	0.08265	0.080548	-2.54%	0.1274	+54.14%	0.4836	✗	0.83
2026-09-20	oos	0.0736	0.071388	-3.00%	0.1272	+72.83%	0.5623	✗	0.71
2026-09-19	oos	0.0758	0.073328	-3.26%	0.12365	+63.13%	0.5172	✗	0.71
2026-09-18	oos	0.0761	0.073686	-3.17%	0.12605	+65.64%	0.5268	✗	0.72
2026-09-17	oos	0.076	0.072177	-5.03%	0.1242	+63.42%	0.4927	✗	0.78
2026-09-16	oos	0.0683	0.065877	-3.55%	0.1256	+83.89%	0.5927	✗	0.77
2026-09-15	oos	0.0672	0.064941	-3.36%	0.14145	+110.49%	0.7155	✗	0.76
2026-09-14	oos	0.0697	0.067597	-3.02%	0.12675	+81.85%	0.5971	✗	0.74
2026-09-13	oos	0.06475	0.063458	-2.00%	0.1239	+91.35%	0.6138	✗	0.70
2026-09-12	oos	0.07005	0.068013	-2.91%	0.12075	+72.38%	0.5358	✗	0.68
2026-09-11	oos	0.0702	0.06846	-2.48%	0.1177	+67.66%	0.4873	✗	0.68
2026-09-10	oos	0.0701	0.068183	-2.73%	0.1178	+68.05%	0.4934	✗	0.67
2026-09-09	oos	0.06605	0.065424	-0.95%	0.1097	+66.09%	0.4786	✗	0.72
2026-09-08	oos	0.0659	0.06551	-0.59%	0.11455	+73.82%	0.5281	✗	0.76
2026-09-07	oos	0.0674	0.067042	-0.53%	0.117	+73.59%	0.5177	✗	0.76
2026-09-06	oos	0.06755	0.06786	+0.46%	0.1128	+66.99%	0.4600	✓	0.77
2026-09-05	oos	0.0677	0.068519	+1.21%	0.1187	+75.33%	0.4955	✓	0.76
2026-09-04	oos	0.0634	0.064794	+2.20%	0.11765	+85.57%	0.5352	✓	0.74
2026-09-03	oos	0.06185	0.06426	+3.90%	0.11285	+82.46%	0.5305	✓	0.78
2026-09-02	oos	0.06125	0.063101	+3.02%	0.11015	+79.84%	0.4819	✓	0.84
2026-09-01	oos	0.05935	0.062276	+4.93%	0.10505	+77.00%	0.4434	✓	0.86
2026-08-31	oos	0.0588	0.063082	+7.28%	0.1037	+76.36%	0.4470	✓	0.81
2026-08-30	oos	0.0543	0.058463	+7.67%	0.10295	+89.59%	0.4992	✓	0.90
2026-08-29	oos	0.05705	0.061417	+7.65%	0.0897	+57.23%	0.3214	✓	0.89
2026-08-28	oos	0.0536	0.057914	+8.05%	0.0897	+67.35%	0.3661	✓	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.05465	0.059786	+9.40%	0.0942	+72.37%	0.4097	✓	0.89
2026-08-26	oos	0.0547	0.059328	+8.46%	0.09985	+82.54%	0.4648	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.0537	0.058837	+9.57%	0.0999	+86.03%	0.4639	✓	0.91
2026-08-24	oos	0.05445	0.060217	+10.59%	0.0887	+62.90%	0.3230	✓	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.0568	0.062145	+9.41%	0.0902	+58.80%	0.2685	✓	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.05545	0.060178	+8.53%	0.08265	+49.05%	0.2003	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.05775	0.063729	+10.35%	0.0736	+27.45%	0.1087	✓	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.05485	0.057192	+4.27%	0.0758	+38.20%	0.1722	✓	1.03
2026-08-19	oos	0.05335	0.053628	+0.52%	0.0761	+42.64%	0.1826	✓	1.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.05115	0.049841	-2.56%	0.076	+48.58%	0.2301	✗	1.16
2026-08-17	oos	0.05135	0.049907	-2.81%	0.0683	+33.01%	0.1203	✗	1.16
2026-08-16	oos	0.0509	0.048993	-3.75%	0.0672	+32.02%	0.0978	✗	1.18
2026-08-15	oos	0.0515	0.049529	-3.83%	0.0697	+35.34%	0.0874	✗	1.18
2026-08-14	oos	0.0512	0.049134	-4.04%	0.06475	+26.46%	0.0421	✗	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.0516	0.04948	-4.11%	0.07005	+35.76%	0.1136	✗	1.19
2026-08-12	oos	0.0512	0.049122	-4.06%	0.0702	+37.11%	0.1179	✗	1.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.0524	0.050175	-4.25%	0.0701	+33.78%	0.1164	✗	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.05255	0.050458	-3.98%	0.06605	+25.69%	0.0279	✓	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.0537	0.051653	-3.81%	0.0659	+22.72%	0.0207	✓	1.17
2026-08-08	oos	0.0531	0.050842	-4.25%	0.0674	+26.93%	0.0503	✗	1.17
2026-08-07	oos	0.0511	0.049359	-3.41%	0.06755	+32.19%	0.0750	✗	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.05085	0.048864	-3.91%	0.0677	+33.14%	0.0788	✗	1.14
2026-08-05	oos	0.05065	0.048902	-3.45%	0.0634	+25.17%	0.0226	✓	1.13
2026-08-04	oos	0.0494	0.047516	-3.81%	0.06185	+25.20%	0.0112	✓	1.06
2026-08-03	oos	0.0498	0.047828	-3.96%	0.06125	+22.99%	0.0313	✓	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.0501	0.048214	-3.76%	0.05935	+18.46%	0.0086	✓	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	0.0514	0.04916	-4.36%	0.0588	+14.40%	0.0696	✓	1.11
2026-07-31	oos	0.04935	0.047418	-3.92%	0.0543	+10.03%	0.0989	✓	1.11
2026-07-30	oos	0.0484	0.047222	-2.43%	0.05705	+17.87%	0.0296	✓	1.15
2026-07-29	oos	0.0481	0.046549	-3.23%	0.0536	+11.43%	0.0819	✓	1.13
2026-07-28	oos	0.04935	0.047643	-3.46%	0.05465	+10.74%	0.1216	✓	1.13
2026-07-27	oos	0.0509	0.049188	-3.36%	0.0547	+7.47%	0.1396	✓	1.14
2026-07-26	oos	0.0544	0.053049	-2.48%	0.0537	-1.29%	0.1876	✓	1.09
2026-07-25	oos	0.0554	0.053743	-2.99%	0.05445	-1.71%	0.2129	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.0551	0.053779	-2.40%	0.0568	+3.09%	0.1577	✓	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.0558	0.055245	-0.99%	0.05545	-0.63%	0.1821	✓	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.0556	0.055759	+0.29%	0.05775	+3.87%	0.1482	✗	1.08
2026-07-21	oos	0.05515	0.055622	+0.86%	0.05485	-0.54%	0.1144	✗	1.08
2026-07-20	oos	0.054	0.05383	-0.32%	0.05335	-1.20%	0.0723	✓	1.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.05235	0.052115	-0.45%	0.05115	-2.29%	0.0187	✓	1.02
2026-07-18	oos	0.0527	0.052404	-0.56%	0.05135	-2.56%	0.0151	✓	1.06
2026-07-17	oos	0.05255	0.05205	-0.95%	0.0509	-3.14%	0.0042	✓	1.09
2026-07-16	oos	0.053	0.052471	-1.00%	0.0515	-2.83%	0.0061	✓	1.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.0545	0.0543	-0.37%	0.0512	-6.06%	0.0296	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.05485	0.054994	+0.26%	0.0516	-5.93%	0.0375	✗	1.08
2026-07-13	oos	0.0534	0.052677	-1.35%	0.0512	-4.12%	0.0487	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.0552	0.054925	-0.50%	0.0524	-5.07%	0.0434	✓	1.11
2026-07-11	oos	0.05625	0.055942	-0.55%	0.05255	-6.58%	0.0649	✓	1.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.05695	0.056599	-0.62%	0.0537	-5.71%	0.0651	✓	1.12
2026-07-09	oos	0.0555	0.055049	-0.81%	0.0531	-4.32%	0.0663	✓	1.12
2026-07-08	oos	0.0547	0.054223	-0.87%	0.0511	-6.58%	0.1066	✓	1.13
2026-07-07	oos	0.055	0.054817	-0.33%	0.05085	-7.55%	0.0918	✓	1.13
2026-07-06	oos	0.05735	0.057163	-0.33%	0.05065	-11.68%	0.1314	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.058	0.057531	-0.81%	0.0494	-14.83%	0.1598	✓	1.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.0584	0.057593	-1.38%	0.0498	-14.73%	0.1515	✓	1.01
2026-07-03	oos	0.0583	0.057482	-1.40%	0.0501	-14.07%	0.1526	✓	0.98
2026-07-02	oos	0.0571	0.056159	-1.65%	0.0514	-9.98%	0.1086	✓	0.97
2026-07-01	oos	0.0574	0.055861	-2.68%	0.04935	-14.02%	0.1703	✓	0.99
2026-06-30	oos	0.0524	0.051251	-2.19%	0.0484	-7.63%	0.1497	✓	0.92
2026-06-29	oos	0.05355	0.052628	-1.72%	0.0481	-10.18%	0.1456	✓	0.92
2026-06-28	oos	0.05205	0.051262	-1.51%	0.04935	-5.19%	0.1011	✓	0.89
2026-06-27	oos	0.0525	0.051724	-1.48%	0.0509	-3.05%	0.0696	✓	0.88
2026-06-26	oos	0.05515	0.054073	-1.95%	0.0544	-1.36%	0.0692	✓	0.88
2026-06-25	oos	0.05175	0.051007	-1.43%	0.0554	+7.05%	0.0180	✗	0.87
2026-06-24	oos	0.0534	0.052585	-1.53%	0.0551	+3.18%	0.0015	✓	0.91
2026-06-23	oos	0.0592	0.057753	-2.44%	0.0558	-5.74%	0.0647	✓	0.80
2026-06-22	oos	0.0585	0.057247	-2.14%	0.0556	-4.96%	0.0558	✓	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	0.0557	0.054633	-1.92%	0.05515	-0.99%	0.0304	✓	0.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.05695	0.05582	-1.98%	0.054	-5.18%	0.0455	✓	0.81
2026-06-19	oos	0.05785	0.056482	-2.37%	0.05235	-9.51%	0.0912	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.05965	0.057985	-2.79%	0.0527	-11.65%	0.1205	✓	0.83
2026-06-17	oos	0.0598	0.05816	-2.74%	0.05255	-12.12%	0.0942	✓	0.83
2026-06-16	oos	0.0603	0.058588	-2.84%	0.053	-12.11%	0.0759	✓	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	0.0587	0.05721	-2.54%	0.0545	-7.16%	0.0269	✓	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.0597	0.057904	-3.01%	0.05485	-8.12%	0.0443	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	0.05885	0.057078	-3.01%	0.0534	-9.26%	0.0371	✓	0.86
2026-06-12	oos	0.06025	0.057889	-3.92%	0.0552	-8.38%	0.0503	✓	0.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.058	0.05618	-3.14%	0.05625	-3.02%	0.0016	✓	0.88
2026-06-10	oos	0.0545	0.053228	-2.33%	0.05695	+4.50%	0.0319	✗	0.84
2026-06-09	oos	0.05695	0.054994	-3.43%	0.0555	-2.55%	0.0107	✓	0.83
2026-06-08	oos	0.0581	0.055803	-3.95%	0.0547	-5.85%	0.0089	✓	0.84
2026-06-07	oos	0.0542	0.052602	-2.95%	0.055	+1.48%	0.0443	✗	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0532	0.051669	-2.88%	0.05735	+7.80%	0.0615	✗	0.85
2026-06-05	oos	0.0554	0.053511	-3.41%	0.058	+4.69%	0.0454	✗	0.86
2026-06-04	oos	0.0586	0.056162	-4.16%	0.0584	-0.34%	0.0487	✗	0.84
2026-06-03	oos	0.065	0.061558	-5.29%	0.0583	-10.31%	0.0370	✓	0.72
2026-06-02	oos	0.0639	0.060492	-5.33%	0.0571	-10.64%	0.0024	✓	0.74
2026-06-01	oos	0.072	0.066912	-7.07%	0.0574	-20.28%	0.0777	✓	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.074	0.0681	-7.97%	0.0524	-29.19%	0.1672	✓	0.41
2026-05-30	oos	0.0687	0.063696	-7.28%	0.05355	-22.05%	0.0761	✓	0.48
2026-05-29	oos	0.0628	0.059355	-5.49%	0.05205	-17.12%	0.0285	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.0632	0.059923	-5.19%	0.0525	-16.93%	0.0341	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.06715	0.06341	-5.57%	0.05515	-17.87%	0.0412	✓	0.46
2026-05-26	oos	0.07775	0.072838	-6.32%	0.05175	-33.44%	0.2507	✓	0.38
2026-05-25	oos	0.0817	0.07675	-6.06%	0.0534	-34.64%	0.2856	✓	0.33
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.076452	-5.96%	0.0592	-27.18%	0.1864	✓	0.34
2026-05-23	oos	0.083	0.077845	-6.21%	0.0585	-29.52%	0.2181	✓	0.37
2026-05-22	oos	0.0809	0.075751	-6.36%	0.0557	-31.15%	0.2417	✓	0.37
2026-05-21	oos	0.086	0.080976	-5.84%	0.05695	-33.78%	0.2877	✓	0.34
2026-05-20	oos	0.085	0.08031	-5.52%	0.05785	-31.94%	0.2605	✓	0.34
2026-05-19	oos	0.08305	0.078842	-5.07%	0.05965	-28.18%	0.2124	✓	0.33
2026-05-18	oos	0.0843	0.080767	-4.19%	0.0598	-29.06%	0.2344	✓	0.37
2026-05-17	oos	0.08425	0.081296	-3.51%	0.0603	-28.43%	0.2281	✓	0.43
2026-05-16	oos	0.08525	0.083059	-2.57%	0.0587	-31.14%	0.2772	✓	0.43
2026-05-15	oos	0.08845	0.086971	-1.67%	0.0597	-32.50%	0.3298	✓	0.25
2026-05-14	oos	0.09495	0.093876	-1.13%	0.05885	-38.02%	0.4181	✓	0.21
2026-05-13	oos	0.0977	0.095723	-2.02%	0.06025	-38.33%	0.4192	✓	0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.1042	0.101652	-2.45%	0.058	-44.34%	0.5210	✓	0.17
2026-05-11	oos	0.102	0.100801	-1.18%	0.0545	-46.57%	0.5778	✓	0.13
2026-05-10	oos	0.1052	0.104202	-0.95%	0.05695	-45.87%	0.5665	✓	0.13
2026-05-09	oos	0.1108	0.107564	-2.92%	0.0581	-47.56%	0.5772	✓	0.16
2026-05-08	oos	0.1024	0.100694	-1.67%	0.0542	-47.07%	0.5875	✓	0.13
2026-05-07	oos	0.10995	0.105683	-3.88%	0.0532	-51.61%	0.6512	✓	0.13
2026-05-06	oos	0.09985	0.098965	-0.89%	0.0554	-44.52%	0.4703	✓	0.38
2026-05-05	oos	0.0906	0.091285	+0.76%	0.0586	-35.32%	0.3037	✗	0.59
2026-05-04	oos	0.09	0.090436	+0.48%	0.065	-27.78%	0.1944	✗	0.62
2026-05-03	oos	0.089	0.088551	-0.50%	0.0639	-28.20%	0.2238	✓	0.62
2026-05-02	oos	0.0891	0.088835	-0.30%	0.072	-19.19%	0.1495	✓	0.62
2026-05-01	oos	0.0905	0.090269	-0.26%	0.074	-18.23%	0.1600	✓	0.63
2026-04-30	oos	0.0909	0.089714	-1.30%	0.0687	-24.42%	0.2412	✓	0.76
2026-04-29	oos	0.0909	0.08942	-1.63%	0.0628	-30.91%	0.3293	✓	0.75
2026-04-28	oos	0.09465	0.092748	-2.01%	0.0632	-33.23%	0.3542	✓	0.78
2026-04-27	oos	0.09035	0.089708	-0.71%	0.06715	-25.68%	0.2577	✓	0.79
2026-04-26	oos	0.0907	0.090878	+0.20%	0.07775	-14.28%	0.1266	✗	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.08925	0.089069	-0.20%	0.0817	-8.46%	0.0823	✓	0.79
2026-04-24	oos	0.09285	0.091732	-1.20%	0.0813	-12.44%	0.1158	✓	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	0.0851	0.085784	+0.80%	0.083	-2.47%	0.0164	✗	0.79
2026-04-22	oos	0.0885	0.088325	-0.20%	0.0809	-8.59%	0.0593	✓	0.79
2026-04-21	oos	0.0899	0.088484	-1.58%	0.086	-4.34%	0.0410	✓	0.80
2026-04-20	oos	0.09465	0.092295	-2.49%	0.085	-10.20%	0.0993	✓	0.81
2026-04-19	oos	0.0884	0.08608	-2.62%	0.08305	-6.05%	0.0677	✓	0.81
2026-04-18	oos	0.0941	0.091427	-2.84%	0.0843	-10.41%	0.0940	✓	0.81
2026-04-17	oos	0.0904	0.089131	-1.40%	0.08425	-6.80%	0.0596	✓	0.82
2026-04-16	oos	0.0869	0.084993	-2.19%	0.08525	-1.90%	0.0282	✓	0.81
2026-04-15	oos	0.08345	0.08171	-2.08%	0.08845	+5.99%	0.0348	✗	0.81
2026-04-14	oos	0.0801	0.07844	-2.07%	0.09495	+18.54%	0.1199	✗	0.80
2026-04-13	oos	0.0797	0.078203	-1.88%	0.0977	+22.58%	0.1720	✗	0.80
2026-04-12	oos	0.0765	0.073756	-3.59%	0.1042	+36.21%	0.2379	✗	0.84
2026-04-11	oos	0.0826	0.079792	-3.40%	0.102	+23.49%	0.1546	✗	0.81
2026-04-10	oos	0.0837	0.080578	-3.73%	0.1052	+25.69%	0.1703	✗	0.81
2026-04-09	oos	0.0802	0.077127	-3.83%	0.1108	+38.15%	0.2686	✗	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	0.08205	0.078557	-4.26%	0.1024	+24.80%	0.1675	✗	0.81
2026-04-07	oos	0.0819	0.078626	-4.00%	0.10995	+34.25%	0.2488	✗	0.81
2026-04-06	oos	0.08505	0.080337	-5.54%	0.09985	+17.40%	0.0738	✗	0.86
2026-04-05	oos	0.0797	0.07592	-4.74%	0.0906	+13.68%	0.0408	✓	0.85
2026-04-04	oos	0.0819	0.077591	-5.26%	0.09	+9.89%	0.0009	✓	0.86
2026-04-03	oos	0.0825	0.077925	-5.55%	0.089	+7.88%	0.0052	✓	0.86
2026-04-02	oos	0.08035	0.075715	-5.77%	0.0891	+10.89%	0.0224	✓	0.87
2026-04-01	oos	0.07855	0.074523	-5.13%	0.0905	+15.21%	0.0726	✗	0.88
2026-03-31	oos	0.0754	0.071656	-4.97%	0.0909	+20.56%	0.1392	✗	0.88
2026-03-30	oos	0.077	0.072736	-5.54%	0.0909	+18.05%	0.1096	✗	0.89
2026-03-29	oos	0.0781	0.073509	-5.88%	0.09465	+21.19%	0.1221	✗	0.90
2026-03-28	oos	0.0795	0.074664	-6.08%	0.09035	+13.65%	0.0530	✓	0.89
2026-03-27	oos	0.0769	0.072371	-5.89%	0.0907	+17.95%	0.0741	✗	0.89
2026-03-26	oos	0.0834	0.078394	-6.00%	0.08925	+7.01%	0.0253	✓	0.86
2026-03-25	oos	0.082	0.077707	-5.24%	0.09285	+13.23%	0.1047	✗	0.88
2026-03-24	oos	0.0848	0.079068	-6.76%	0.0851	+0.35%	0.0191	✓	0.89
2026-03-23	oos	0.0807	0.076268	-5.49%	0.0885	+9.67%	0.0611	✗	0.89
2026-03-22	oos	0.0767	0.071986	-6.15%	0.0899	+17.21%	0.1177	✗	0.88
2026-03-21	oos	0.077	0.072493	-5.85%	0.09465	+22.92%	0.1815	✗	0.89
2026-03-20	oos	0.0796	0.075302	-5.40%	0.0884	+11.06%	0.1198	✗	0.88
2026-03-19	oos	0.0815	0.077252	-5.21%	0.0941	+15.46%	0.1265	✗	0.89
2026-03-18	oos	0.0855	0.081374	-4.83%	0.0904	+5.73%	0.0337	✓	0.90
2026-03-17	oos	0.0928	0.089317	-3.75%	0.0869	-6.36%	0.0421	✓	0.89
2026-03-16	oos	0.0899	0.087281	-2.91%	0.08345	-7.17%	0.0443	✓	0.90
2026-03-15	oos	0.092	0.088296	-4.03%	0.0801	-12.93%	0.1144	✓	0.92
2026-03-14	oos	0.0915	0.086938	-4.99%	0.0797	-12.90%	0.1280	✓	0.93
2026-03-13	oos	0.0845	0.080788	-4.39%	0.0765	-9.47%	0.0521	✓	0.93
2026-03-12	oos	0.0896	0.084742	-5.42%	0.0826	-7.81%	0.0591	✓	0.94
2026-03-11	oos	0.0895	0.084536	-5.55%	0.0837	-6.48%	0.0469	✓	0.95
2026-03-10	oos	0.0844	0.080227	-4.94%	0.0802	-4.98%	0.0247	✓	0.94
2026-03-09	oos	0.0813	0.077062	-5.21%	0.08205	+0.92%	0.0271	✓	0.94
2026-03-08	oos	0.0811	0.07624	-5.99%	0.0819	+0.99%	0.0113	✓	0.96
2026-03-07	oos	0.0846	0.079494	-6.04%	0.08505	+0.53%	0.0451	✓	0.96
2026-03-06	oos	0.0871	0.080699	-7.35%	0.0797	-8.50%	0.0247	✓	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.081	0.078104	-3.57%	0.0819	+1.11%	0.0988	✗	0.99
2026-03-04	oos	0.0789	0.077156	-2.21%	0.0825	+4.56%	0.1489	✗	1.00
2026-03-03	oos	0.0837	0.079628	-4.87%	0.08035	-4.00%	0.0325	✓	1.10
2026-03-02	oos	0.0803	0.077039	-4.06%	0.07855	-2.18%	0.0309	✓	1.09
2026-03-01	oos	0.0754	0.072023	-4.48%	0.0754	+0.00%	0.0074	✓	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.07965	0.076186	-4.35%	0.077	-3.33%	0.0144	✓	1.09
2026-02-27	oos	0.081	0.077086	-4.83%	0.0781	-3.58%	0.0115	✓	1.10
2026-02-26	oos	0.0817	0.078194	-4.29%	0.0795	-2.69%	0.0358	✓	1.10
2026-02-25	oos	0.08175	0.078436	-4.05%	0.0769	-5.93%	0.0071	✓	1.10
2026-02-24	oos	0.0819	0.077711	-5.11%	0.0834	+1.83%	0.0126	✓	1.18
2026-02-23	oos	0.0855	0.080965	-5.30%	0.082	-4.09%	0.1019	✓	1.17
2026-02-22	oos	0.08975	0.085202	-5.07%	0.0848	-5.52%	0.0540	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.09425	0.089077	-5.49%	0.0807	-14.38%	0.1476	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.10055	0.094305	-6.21%	0.0767	-23.72%	0.2042	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.10105	0.094557	-6.43%	0.077	-23.80%	0.2387	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.1018	0.094618	-7.06%	0.0796	-21.81%	0.2441	✓	1.20
2026-02-17	oos	0.1134	0.103591	-8.65%	0.0815	-28.13%	0.2786	✓	1.09
2026-02-16	oos	0.1273	0.110372	-13.30%	0.0855	-32.84%	0.2915	✓	1.06
2026-02-15	oos	0.1092	0.094864	-13.13%	0.0928	-15.02%	0.0977	✓	1.05
2026-02-14	oos	0.07075	0.068379	-3.35%	0.0899	+27.07%	0.1952	✗	1.11
2026-02-13	oos	0.06925	0.067261	-2.87%	0.092	+32.85%	0.2500	✗	1.11
2026-02-12	oos	0.0711	0.068556	-3.58%	0.0915	+28.69%	0.2040	✗	1.16
2026-02-11	oos	0.0707	0.067991	-3.83%	0.0845	+19.52%	0.1527	✗	1.14
2026-02-10	oos	0.06575	0.064209	-2.34%	0.0896	+36.27%	0.3043	✗	1.17
2026-02-09	oos	0.06655	0.065113	-2.16%	0.0895	+34.49%	0.3163	✗	1.16
2026-02-08	oos	0.06785	0.066358	-2.20%	0.0844	+24.39%	0.2458	✗	1.18
2026-02-07	oos	0.0708	0.068692	-2.98%	0.0813	+14.83%	0.1825	✗	1.19
2026-02-06	oos	0.0695	0.067528	-2.84%	0.0811	+16.69%	0.2626	✗	1.19
2026-02-05	oos	0.06115	0.059744	-2.30%	0.0846	+38.35%	0.2650	✗	1.21
2026-02-04	oos	0.0721	0.069741	-3.27%	0.0871	+20.80%	0.3145	✗	1.33
2026-02-03	oos	0.0781	0.075188	-3.73%	0.081	+3.71%	0.1592	✗	1.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.08125	0.078014	-3.98%	0.0789	-2.89%	0.1148	✗	1.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.0821	0.07861	-4.25%	0.0837	+1.95%	0.2188	✗	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.0874	0.083441	-4.53%	0.0803	-8.12%	0.1431	✗	1.36
2026-01-30	oos	0.1072	0.099384	-7.29%	0.0754	-29.66%	0.0136	✓	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.0885	0.084902	-4.07%	0.07965	-10.00%	0.2128	✗	1.19
2026-01-28	oos	0.0975	0.092797	-4.82%	0.081	-16.92%	0.2074	✗	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.092	0.088479	-3.83%	0.0817	-11.20%	0.2445	✗	1.17
2026-01-26	oos	0.0896	0.086158	-3.84%	0.08175	-8.76%	0.2489	✗	1.16
2026-01-25	oos	0.0903	0.085535	-5.28%	0.0819	-9.30%	0.3097	✗	1.17
2026-01-24	oos	0.0895	0.085282	-4.71%	0.0855	-4.47%	0.3902	✗	1.21
2026-01-23	oos	0.0814	0.07864	-3.39%	0.08975	+10.26%	0.4709	✗	1.21
2026-01-22	oos	0.0805	0.077748	-3.42%	0.09425	+17.08%	0.5240	✗	1.21
2026-01-21	oos	0.0808	0.077848	-3.65%	0.10055	+24.44%	0.5879	✗	1.21
2026-01-20	oos	0.0791	0.076015	-3.90%	0.10105	+27.75%	0.6226	✗	1.22
2026-01-19	oos	0.0852	0.08287	-2.73%	0.1018	+19.48%	0.6080	✗	1.21
2026-01-18	oos	0.0938	0.090777	-3.22%	0.1134	+20.90%	0.6207	✗	1.21
2026-01-17	oos	0.0925	0.090427	-2.24%	0.1273	+37.62%	0.7364	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.0959	0.094466	-1.50%	0.1092	+13.87%	0.5477	✗	1.23
2026-01-15	oos	0.0951	0.093571	-1.61%	0.07075	-25.60%	0.1072	✗	1.23
2026-01-14	oos	0.0926	0.092101	-0.54%	0.06925	-25.22%	0.1422	✗	1.25
2026-01-13	oos	0.0902	0.088906	-1.44%	0.0711	-21.18%	0.2305	✗	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	0.0819	0.079461	-2.98%	0.0707	-13.68%	0.2512	✗	1.20
2026-01-11	oos	0.0867	0.083257	-3.97%	0.06575	-24.16%	0.1044	✗	1.22
2026-01-10	oos	0.089	0.085762	-3.64%	0.06655	-25.22%	0.0617	✗	1.24
2026-01-09	oos	0.0913	0.088015	-3.60%	0.06785	-25.68%	0.0715	✗	1.31
2026-01-08	oos	0.092	0.088855	-3.42%	0.0708	-23.04%	0.1416	✗	1.35
2026-01-07	oos	0.0927	0.089546	-3.40%	0.0695	-25.03%	0.2489	✗	1.95
2026-01-06	oos	0.0964	0.094205	-2.28%	0.06115	-36.57%	0.3534	✗	1.96
2026-01-05	oos	0.0978	0.095503	-2.35%	0.0721	-26.28%	0.2129	✗	1.96
2026-01-04	oos	0.0982	0.09508	-3.18%	0.0781	-20.47%	0.1850	✗	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0966	0.093461	-3.25%	0.08125	-15.89%	0.1455	✗	2.02
2026-01-02	oos	0.0943	0.091339	-3.14%	0.0821	-12.94%	0.2087	✗	2.01
2026-01-01	oos	0.0901	0.087425	-2.97%	0.0874	-3.00%	0.2407	✗	2.00
2025-12-31	oos	0.0872	0.084628	-2.95%	0.1072	+22.94%	0.3144	✗	1.98
2025-12-30	oos	0.0892	0.086641	-2.87%	0.0885	-0.78%	0.1107	✗	1.99
2025-12-29	oos	0.0893	0.08626	-3.40%	0.0975	+9.18%	0.0766	✗	1.97
2025-12-28	oos	0.0881	0.085582	-2.86%	0.092	+4.43%	0.0446	✗	1.98
2025-12-27	oos	0.0933	0.090486	-3.02%	0.0896	-3.97%	0.0196	✓	1.95
2025-12-26	oos	0.1036	0.098041	-5.37%	0.0903	-12.84%	0.0656	✓	1.97
2025-12-25	oos	0.0909	0.087369	-3.88%	0.0895	-1.54%	0.0184	✓	1.96
2025-12-24	oos	0.0837	0.081598	-2.51%	0.0814	-2.75%	0.0441	✓	1.98
2025-12-23	oos	0.0834	0.081464	-2.32%	0.0805	-3.48%	0.0573	✓	1.97
2025-12-22	oos	0.0843	0.082781	-1.80%	0.0808	-4.15%	0.0422	✓	1.98
2025-12-21	oos	0.0837	0.082321	-1.65%	0.0791	-5.50%	0.0326	✓	1.98
2025-12-20	oos	0.0871	0.085243	-2.13%	0.0852	-2.18%	0.0945	✓	2.01
2025-12-19	oos	0.0846	0.082769	-2.16%	0.0938	+10.87%	0.0030	✓	2.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.0769	0.075243	-2.15%	0.0925	+20.29%	0.0041	✓	1.97
2025-12-17	oos	0.0816	0.079544	-2.52%	0.0959	+17.52%	0.0147	✓	1.97
2025-12-16	oos	0.0862	0.083943	-2.62%	0.0951	+10.32%	0.0423	✓	1.98
2025-12-15	oos	0.0831	0.081072	-2.44%	0.0926	+11.43%	0.0942	✓	1.97
2025-12-14	oos	0.0849	0.083234	-1.96%	0.0902	+6.24%	0.0764	✓	1.99
2025-12-13	oos	0.0891	0.087465	-1.83%	0.0819	-8.08%	0.0863	✓	2.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.0865	0.085297	-1.39%	0.0867	+0.23%	0.0032	✓	1.99
2025-12-11	oos	0.0906	0.090316	-0.31%	0.089	-1.77%	0.0328	✗	2.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.0937	0.092907	-0.85%	0.0913	-2.56%	0.0161	✗	2.01
2025-12-09	oos	0.0984	0.097169	-1.25%	0.092	-6.50%	0.0182	✓	2.01
2025-12-08	oos	0.0939	0.092582	-1.40%	0.0927	-1.28%	0.0124	✓	1.99
2025-12-07	oos	0.0905	0.089508	-1.10%	0.0964	+6.52%	0.0025	✓	1.99
2025-12-06	oos	0.0992	0.096912	-2.31%	0.0978	-1.41%	0.0935	✓	2.04
2025-12-05	oos	0.1004	0.098253	-2.14%	0.0982	-2.19%	0.0492	✓	2.05
2025-12-04	oos	0.1028	0.101068	-1.69%	0.0966	-6.03%	0.0112	✓	2.08
2025-12-03	oos	0.1024	0.100691	-1.67%	0.0943	-7.91%	0.0142	✓	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.104	0.102487	-1.45%	0.0901	-13.37%	0.0680	✓	2.13
2025-12-01	oos	0.1018	0.099314	-2.44%	0.0872	-14.34%	0.1618	✓	2.27
2025-11-30	oos	0.11615	0.112747	-2.93%	0.0892	-23.20%	0.1847	✓	2.25
2025-11-29	oos	0.1147	0.111211	-3.04%	0.0893	-22.14%	0.1261	✓	2.23
2025-11-28	oos	0.117	0.113383	-3.09%	0.0881	-24.70%	0.1766	✓	2.24
2025-11-27	oos	0.12195	0.117571	-3.59%	0.0933	-23.49%	0.1438	✓	2.23
2025-11-26	oos	0.1107	0.107599	-2.80%	0.1036	-6.41%	0.0396	✗	2.17
2025-11-25	oos	0.10765	0.105483	-2.01%	0.0909	-15.56%	0.1449	✓	2.22
2025-11-24	oos	0.1077	0.105425	-2.11%	0.0837	-22.28%	0.2141	✓	2.23
2025-11-23	oos	0.1068	0.104484	-2.17%	0.0834	-21.91%	0.2415	✓	2.25
2025-11-22	oos	0.1046	0.102485	-2.02%	0.0843	-19.41%	0.2994	✓	2.33
2025-11-21	oos	0.11085	0.108064	-2.51%	0.0837	-24.49%	0.3509	✓	2.32
2025-11-20	oos	0.12875	0.122087	-5.18%	0.0871	-32.35%	0.3842	✓	2.27
2025-11-19	oos	0.1194	0.116166	-2.71%	0.0846	-29.15%	0.2194	✓	2.60
2025-11-18	oos	0.11875	0.115844	-2.45%	0.0769	-35.24%	0.1905	✓	2.62
2025-11-17	oos	0.1188	0.115838	-2.49%	0.0816	-31.31%	0.1763	✓	2.63
2025-11-16	oos	0.1203	0.117424	-2.39%	0.0862	-28.35%	0.1251	✓	2.65
2025-11-15	oos	0.12525	0.121829	-2.73%	0.0831	-33.65%	0.1163	✓	2.65
2025-11-14	oos	0.12055	0.1176	-2.45%	0.0849	-29.57%	0.1423	✓	2.65
2025-11-13	oos	0.12405	0.122169	-1.52%	0.0891	-28.17%	0.0370	✓	2.82
2025-11-12	oos	0.1265	0.124987	-1.20%	0.0865	-31.62%	0.0299	✓	2.85
2025-11-11	oos	0.12335	0.1227	-0.53%	0.0906	-26.55%	0.0052	✓	2.88
2025-11-10	oos	0.1325	0.131879	-0.47%	0.0937	-29.28%	0.0655	✗	2.89
2025-11-09	oos	0.1318	0.130174	-1.23%	0.0984	-25.34%	0.0750	✗	2.91
2025-11-08	oos	0.13105	0.128357	-2.06%	0.0939	-28.35%	0.0443	✗	2.96
2025-11-07	oos	0.13305	0.130494	-1.92%	0.0905	-31.98%	0.0217	✗	2.91
2025-11-06	oos	0.11655	0.115629	-0.79%	0.0992	-14.89%	0.2079	✗	2.86
2025-11-05	oos	0.1192	0.120274	+0.90%	0.1004	-15.77%	0.2542	✓	2.89
2025-11-04	oos	0.1159	0.116829	+0.80%	0.1028	-11.30%	0.1518	✓	2.89
2025-11-03	oos	0.12235	0.124924	+2.10%	0.1024	-16.31%	0.1996	✓	3.04
2025-11-02	oos	0.1377	0.141011	+2.40%	0.104	-24.47%	0.2776	✓	3.05
2025-11-01	oos	0.1366	0.141103	+3.30%	0.1018	-25.48%	0.4183	✓	3.06
2025-10-31	oos	0.13465	0.138733	+3.03%	0.11615	-13.74%	0.4172	✓	3.09
2025-10-30	oos	0.13705	0.141215	+3.04%	0.1147	-16.31%	0.3386	✓	3.11
2025-10-29	oos	0.15495	0.158589	+2.35%	0.117	-24.49%	0.2863	✓	3.09
2025-10-28	oos	0.15895	0.164558	+3.53%	0.12195	-23.28%	0.3601	✓	3.11
2025-10-27	oos	0.1626	0.167911	+3.27%	0.1107	-31.92%	0.3058	✓	3.11
2025-10-26	oos	0.17405	0.178075	+2.31%	0.10765	-38.15%	0.3403	✓	3.11
2025-10-25	oos	0.1703	0.172953	+1.56%	0.1077	-36.76%	0.2704	✓	3.16
2025-10-24	oos	0.17225	0.174922	+1.55%	0.1068	-38.00%	0.2877	✓	3.17
2025-10-23	oos	0.16635	0.169662	+1.99%	0.1046	-37.12%	0.3479	✓	3.17
2025-10-22	oos	0.1597	0.163522	+2.39%	0.11085	-30.59%	0.3556	✓	3.17
2025-10-21	oos	0.16755	0.170374	+1.69%	0.12875	-23.16%	0.4349	✓	3.18
2025-10-20	oos	0.18075	0.182755	+1.11%	0.1194	-33.94%	0.1745	✓	3.16
2025-10-19	oos	0.18085	0.182416	+0.87%	0.11875	-34.34%	0.0594	✓	3.12
2025-10-18	oos	0.1752	0.177406	+1.26%	0.1188	-32.19%	0.0727	✓	3.12
2025-10-17	oos	0.17315	0.175283	+1.23%	0.1203	-30.52%	0.0034	✓	3.10
2025-10-16	oos	0.17735	0.178902	+0.88%	0.12525	-29.38%	0.0311	✓	3.12
2025-10-15	oos	0.18455	0.185895	+0.73%	0.12055	-34.68%	0.0696	✓	3.16
2025-10-14	oos	0.19615	0.197847	+0.87%	0.12405	-36.76%	0.0666	✗	3.16
2025-10-13	oos	0.21035	0.211482	+0.54%	0.1265	-39.86%	0.1179	✗	3.15
2025-10-12	oos	0.19355	0.19482	+0.66%	0.12335	-36.27%	0.1114	✗	3.12
2025-10-11	oos	0.1742	0.173113	-0.62%	0.1325	-23.94%	0.1296	✓	3.12
2025-10-10	oos	0.1943	0.191018	-1.69%	0.1318	-32.17%	0.1350	✓	3.10
2025-10-09	oos	0.30795	0.303893	-1.32%	0.13105	-57.44%	0.4395	✓	2.31
2025-10-08	oos	0.3221	0.318361	-1.16%	0.13305	-58.69%	0.4676	✓	2.28
2025-10-07	oos	0.3124	0.306835	-1.78%	0.11655	-62.69%	0.4792	✓	2.70
2025-10-06	oos	0.339	0.333535	-1.61%	0.1192	-64.84%	0.5371	✓	2.69
2025-10-05	oos	0.3204	0.317002	-1.06%	0.1159	-63.83%	0.4830	✓	2.66
2025-10-04	oos	0.3254	0.320453	-1.52%	0.12235	-62.40%	0.5868	✓	2.70
2025-10-03	oos	0.33655	0.331558	-1.48%	0.1377	-59.08%	0.6044	✓	2.71
2025-10-02	oos	0.3421	0.329921	-3.56%	0.1366	-60.07%	0.6310	✓	2.74
2025-10-01	oos	0.3239	0.312987	-3.37%	0.13465	-58.43%	0.6241	✓	2.75
2025-09-30	oos	0.31095	0.299513	-3.68%	0.13705	-55.93%	0.6345	✓	2.84
2025-09-29	oos	0.3121	0.300865	-3.60%	0.15495	-50.35%	0.5486	✓	2.98
2025-09-28	oos	0.32005	0.305528	-4.54%	0.15895	-50.34%	0.6728	✓	3.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.30795	0.294574	-4.34%	0.1626	-47.20%	0.7158	✓	3.09
2025-09-26	oos	0.31265	0.300749	-3.81%	0.17405	-44.33%	0.6805	✓	3.09
2025-09-25	oos	0.29895	0.288383	-3.53%	0.1703	-43.03%	0.6002	✓	3.08
2025-09-24	oos	0.3246	0.312055	-3.86%	0.17225	-46.93%	0.5292	✓	3.16
2025-09-23	oos	0.3176	0.305459	-3.82%	0.16635	-47.62%	0.5533	✓	3.18
2025-09-22	oos	0.32575	0.312941	-3.93%	0.1597	-50.97%	0.5275	✓	3.11
2025-09-21	oos	0.3618	0.345668	-4.46%	0.16755	-53.69%	0.5334	✓	3.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.3687	0.351908	-4.55%	0.18075	-50.98%	0.5264	✓	3.05
2025-09-19	oos	0.37185	0.353565	-4.92%	0.18085	-51.36%	0.4792	✓	3.06
2025-09-18	oos	0.39645	0.373152	-5.88%	0.1752	-55.81%	0.4866	✓	3.05

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.