INIT

Initia · Initia · gru_s7

token id: #164
symbol: INIT
variant: –
chain: Initia
address: uinit
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2025-04-24
predictions: 1,611

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

53.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0365

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0037

actual -0.0008

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.12675	0.125926	-0.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-20	oos	0.1272	0.126486	-0.56%	0.12675	-0.35%	0.0039	✓	0.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.12365	0.12307	-0.47%	0.1272	+2.87%	0.0248	✗	0.61
2026-10-18	oos	0.12605	0.125453	-0.47%	0.12365	-1.90%	0.0132	✓	0.61
2026-10-17	oos	0.1242	0.123657	-0.44%	0.12605	+1.49%	0.0145	✗	0.61
2026-10-16	oos	0.1256	0.125082	-0.41%	0.1242	-1.11%	0.0062	✓	0.61
2026-10-15	oos	0.14145	0.140415	-0.73%	0.1256	-11.21%	0.1072	✓	0.57
2026-10-14	oos	0.12675	0.126217	-0.42%	0.14145	+11.60%	0.1101	✗	0.56
2026-10-13	oos	0.1239	0.123374	-0.42%	0.12675	+2.30%	0.0380	✗	0.59
2026-10-12	oos	0.12075	0.120176	-0.48%	0.1239	+2.61%	0.0208	✗	0.59
2026-10-11	oos	0.1177	0.117308	-0.33%	0.12075	+2.59%	0.0431	✗	0.60
2026-10-10	oos	0.1178	0.117301	-0.42%	0.1177	-0.08%	0.0024	✓	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.1097	0.109389	-0.28%	0.1178	+7.38%	0.0713	✗	0.63
2026-10-08	oos	0.11455	0.114084	-0.41%	0.1097	-4.23%	0.0458	✓	0.64
2026-10-07	oos	0.117	0.116532	-0.40%	0.11455	-2.09%	0.0050	✓	0.63
2026-10-06	oos	0.1128	0.112419	-0.34%	0.117	+3.72%	0.0580	✗	0.67
2026-10-05	oos	0.1187	0.118184	-0.44%	0.1128	-4.97%	0.0450	✓	0.66
2026-10-04	oos	0.11765	0.117129	-0.44%	0.1187	+0.89%	0.0193	✗	0.68
2026-10-03	oos	0.11285	0.112232	-0.55%	0.11765	+4.25%	0.0333	✗	0.67
2026-10-02	oos	0.11015	0.109475	-0.61%	0.11285	+2.45%	0.0285	✗	0.67
2026-10-01	oos	0.10505	0.104551	-0.48%	0.11015	+4.85%	0.0549	✗	0.68
2026-09-30	oos	0.1037	0.103084	-0.59%	0.10505	+1.30%	0.0085	✗	0.68
2026-09-29	oos	0.10295	0.101937	-0.98%	0.1037	+0.73%	0.0178	✗	0.66
2026-09-28	oos	0.0897	0.089127	-0.64%	0.10295	+14.77%	0.1426	✗	0.71
2026-09-27	oos	0.0897	0.089233	-0.52%	0.0897	+0.00%	0.0138	✗	0.72
2026-09-26	oos	0.0942	0.093719	-0.51%	0.0897	-4.78%	0.0442	✓	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	0.09985	0.099262	-0.59%	0.0942	-5.66%	0.0551	✓	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	0.0999	0.099162	-0.74%	0.09985	-0.05%	0.0094	✗	0.72
2026-09-23	oos	0.0887	0.088253	-0.50%	0.0999	+12.63%	0.1239	✗	0.74
2026-09-22	oos	0.0902	0.089668	-0.59%	0.0887	-1.66%	0.0051	✓	0.75
2026-09-21	oos	0.08265	0.082011	-0.77%	0.0902	+9.13%	0.0990	✗	0.83
2026-09-20	oos	0.0736	0.073368	-0.32%	0.08265	+12.30%	0.0733	✗	0.71
2026-09-19	oos	0.0758	0.075546	-0.33%	0.0736	-2.90%	0.0255	✓	0.71
2026-09-18	oos	0.0761	0.075844	-0.34%	0.0758	-0.39%	0.0038	✓	0.72
2026-09-17	oos	0.076	0.075603	-0.52%	0.0761	+0.13%	0.0386	✓	0.78
2026-09-16	oos	0.0683	0.068178	-0.18%	0.076	+11.27%	0.1065	✗	0.77
2026-09-15	oos	0.0672	0.067063	-0.20%	0.0683	+1.64%	0.0127	✗	0.76
2026-09-14	oos	0.0697	0.069517	-0.26%	0.0672	-3.59%	0.0089	✓	0.74
2026-09-13	oos	0.06475	0.064665	-0.13%	0.0697	+7.64%	0.0625	✗	0.70
2026-09-12	oos	0.07005	0.069879	-0.24%	0.06475	-7.57%	0.0722	✓	0.68
2026-09-11	oos	0.0702	0.070042	-0.23%	0.07005	-0.21%	0.0004	✓	0.68
2026-09-10	oos	0.0701	0.069839	-0.37%	0.0702	+0.14%	0.0007	✓	0.67
2026-09-09	oos	0.06605	0.065943	-0.16%	0.0701	+6.13%	0.0774	✗	0.72
2026-09-08	oos	0.0659	0.0658	-0.15%	0.06605	+0.23%	0.0054	✗	0.76
2026-09-07	oos	0.0674	0.067288	-0.17%	0.0659	-2.23%	0.0146	✓	0.76
2026-09-06	oos	0.06755	0.067458	-0.14%	0.0674	-0.22%	0.0112	✗	0.77
2026-09-05	oos	0.0677	0.067552	-0.22%	0.06755	-0.22%	0.0048	✓	0.76
2026-09-04	oos	0.0634	0.063348	-0.08%	0.0677	+6.78%	0.0650	✗	0.74
2026-09-03	oos	0.06185	0.061847	-0.01%	0.0634	+2.51%	0.0402	✗	0.78
2026-09-02	oos	0.06125	0.061216	-0.06%	0.06185	+0.98%	0.0319	✓	0.84
2026-09-01	oos	0.05935	0.059327	-0.04%	0.06125	+3.20%	0.0329	✗	0.86
2026-08-31	oos	0.0588	0.058726	-0.13%	0.05935	+0.94%	0.0227	✗	0.81
2026-08-30	oos	0.0543	0.054299	-0.00%	0.0588	+8.29%	0.0693	✗	0.90
2026-08-29	oos	0.05705	0.056979	-0.12%	0.0543	-4.82%	0.0417	✓	0.89
2026-08-28	oos	0.0536	0.053568	-0.06%	0.05705	+6.44%	0.0585	✗	0.87
2026-08-27	oos	0.05465	0.054633	-0.03%	0.0536	-1.92%	0.0084	✗	0.89
2026-08-26	oos	0.0547	0.054661	-0.07%	0.05465	-0.09%	0.0143	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.0537	0.053664	-0.07%	0.0547	+1.86%	0.0134	✗	0.91
2026-08-24	oos	0.05445	0.054412	-0.07%	0.0537	-1.38%	0.0075	✓	0.97
2026-08-23	oos	0.0568	0.056657	-0.25%	0.05445	-4.14%	0.0558	✓	1.01
2026-08-22	oos	0.05545	0.055371	-0.14%	0.0568	+2.43%	0.0167	✗	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.05775	0.057548	-0.35%	0.05545	-3.98%	0.0209	✓	0.99
2026-08-20	oos	0.05485	0.054665	-0.34%	0.05775	+5.29%	0.0172	✓	1.03
2026-08-19	oos	0.05335	0.053088	-0.49%	0.05485	+2.81%	0.0239	✓	1.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.05115	0.050903	-0.48%	0.05335	+4.30%	0.0328	✓	1.16
2026-08-17	oos	0.05135	0.05111	-0.47%	0.05115	-0.39%	0.0029	✓	1.16
2026-08-16	oos	0.0509	0.050639	-0.51%	0.05135	+0.88%	0.0165	✓	1.18
2026-08-15	oos	0.0515	0.051269	-0.45%	0.0509	-1.17%	0.0038	✓	1.18
2026-08-14	oos	0.0512	0.050918	-0.55%	0.0515	+0.59%	0.0105	✗	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.0516	0.051297	-0.59%	0.0512	-0.78%	0.0066	✗	1.19
2026-08-12	oos	0.0512	0.05094	-0.51%	0.0516	+0.78%	0.0126	✗	1.21
2026-08-11	oos	0.0524	0.052097	-0.58%	0.0512	-2.29%	0.0152	✓	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.05255	0.052288	-0.50%	0.0524	-0.29%	0.0092	✗	1.19
2026-08-09	oos	0.0537	0.053372	-0.61%	0.05255	-2.14%	0.0015	✓	1.17
2026-08-08	oos	0.0531	0.05262	-0.90%	0.0537	+1.13%	0.0214	✗	1.17
2026-08-07	oos	0.0511	0.05081	-0.57%	0.0531	+3.91%	0.0438	✗	1.12
2026-08-06	oos	0.05085	0.05052	-0.65%	0.0511	+0.49%	0.0004	✓	1.14
2026-08-05	oos	0.05065	0.050353	-0.59%	0.05085	+0.39%	0.0157	✗	1.13
2026-08-04	oos	0.0494	0.049017	-0.77%	0.05065	+2.53%	0.0237	✗	1.06
2026-08-03	oos	0.0498	0.049518	-0.57%	0.0494	-0.80%	0.0124	✓	1.10
2026-08-02	oos	0.0501	0.049828	-0.54%	0.0498	-0.60%	0.0000	✓	1.09
2026-08-01	oos	0.0514	0.051137	-0.51%	0.0501	-2.53%	0.0334	✓	1.11
2026-07-31	oos	0.04935	0.049101	-0.50%	0.0514	+4.15%	0.0468	✗	1.11
2026-07-30	oos	0.0484	0.048161	-0.49%	0.04935	+1.96%	0.0587	✗	1.15
2026-07-29	oos	0.0481	0.047879	-0.46%	0.0484	+0.62%	0.0037	✓	1.13
2026-07-28	oos	0.04935	0.0491	-0.51%	0.0481	-2.53%	0.0214	✓	1.13
2026-07-27	oos	0.0509	0.050679	-0.43%	0.04935	-3.05%	0.0293	✓	1.14
2026-07-26	oos	0.0544	0.054185	-0.40%	0.0509	-6.43%	0.0348	✓	1.09
2026-07-25	oos	0.0554	0.055202	-0.36%	0.0544	-1.81%	0.0324	✓	1.10
2026-07-24	oos	0.0551	0.054939	-0.29%	0.0554	+0.54%	0.0047	✗	1.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.0558	0.055616	-0.33%	0.0551	-1.25%	0.0071	✗	1.10
2026-07-22	oos	0.0556	0.055414	-0.33%	0.0558	+0.36%	0.0240	✗	1.08
2026-07-21	oos	0.05515	0.054974	-0.32%	0.0556	+0.82%	0.0183	✗	1.08
2026-07-20	oos	0.054	0.053689	-0.58%	0.05515	+2.13%	0.0062	✗	1.04
2026-07-19	oos	0.05235	0.052213	-0.26%	0.054	+3.15%	0.0253	✗	1.02
2026-07-18	oos	0.0527	0.052561	-0.26%	0.05235	-0.66%	0.0021	✓	1.06
2026-07-17	oos	0.05255	0.052412	-0.26%	0.0527	+0.29%	0.0098	✓	1.09
2026-07-16	oos	0.053	0.052862	-0.26%	0.05255	-0.85%	0.0080	✓	1.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.0545	0.054366	-0.25%	0.053	-2.75%	0.0097	✓	1.07
2026-07-14	oos	0.05485	0.054733	-0.21%	0.0545	-0.64%	0.0002	✓	1.08
2026-07-13	oos	0.0534	0.053282	-0.22%	0.05485	+2.72%	0.0186	✓	1.11
2026-07-12	oos	0.0552	0.055088	-0.20%	0.0534	-3.26%	0.0052	✓	1.11
2026-07-11	oos	0.05625	0.056149	-0.18%	0.0552	-1.87%	0.0165	✓	1.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.05695	0.056848	-0.18%	0.05625	-1.23%	0.0043	✓	1.12
2026-07-09	oos	0.0555	0.055407	-0.17%	0.05695	+2.61%	0.0107	✗	1.12
2026-07-08	oos	0.0547	0.054621	-0.14%	0.0555	+1.46%	0.0010	✓	1.13
2026-07-07	oos	0.055	0.054926	-0.13%	0.0547	-0.55%	0.0154	✗	1.13
2026-07-06	oos	0.05735	0.057267	-0.14%	0.055	-4.10%	0.0285	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.058	0.057905	-0.16%	0.05735	-1.12%	0.0163	✓	1.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.0584	0.05829	-0.19%	0.058	-0.68%	0.0129	✓	1.01
2026-07-03	oos	0.0583	0.058183	-0.20%	0.0584	+0.17%	0.0051	✓	0.98
2026-07-02	oos	0.0571	0.056974	-0.22%	0.0583	+2.10%	0.0068	✗	0.97
2026-07-01	oos	0.0574	0.057236	-0.29%	0.0571	-0.52%	0.0273	✓	0.99
2026-06-30	oos	0.0524	0.052287	-0.22%	0.0574	+9.54%	0.0710	✗	0.92
2026-06-29	oos	0.05355	0.053426	-0.23%	0.0524	-2.15%	0.0061	✗	0.92
2026-06-28	oos	0.05205	0.051951	-0.19%	0.05355	+2.88%	0.0201	✗	0.89
2026-06-27	oos	0.0525	0.052402	-0.19%	0.05205	-0.86%	0.0001	✓	0.88
2026-06-26	oos	0.05515	0.055034	-0.21%	0.0525	-4.81%	0.0461	✓	0.88
2026-06-25	oos	0.05175	0.051673	-0.15%	0.05515	+6.57%	0.0608	✗	0.87
2026-06-24	oos	0.0534	0.053309	-0.17%	0.05175	-3.09%	0.0103	✓	0.91
2026-06-23	oos	0.0592	0.059044	-0.26%	0.0534	-9.80%	0.0788	✓	0.80
2026-06-22	oos	0.0585	0.058322	-0.30%	0.0592	+1.20%	0.0316	✗	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	0.0557	0.055577	-0.22%	0.0585	+5.03%	0.0424	✗	0.79
2026-06-20	oos	0.05695	0.0568	-0.26%	0.0557	-2.19%	0.0070	✓	0.81
2026-06-19	oos	0.05785	0.057709	-0.24%	0.05695	-1.56%	0.0227	✓	0.81
2026-06-18	oos	0.05965	0.059488	-0.27%	0.05785	-3.02%	0.0357	✓	0.83
2026-06-17	oos	0.0598	0.059615	-0.31%	0.05965	-0.25%	0.0211	✗	0.83
2026-06-16	oos	0.0603	0.060079	-0.37%	0.0598	-0.83%	0.0107	✗	0.85
2026-06-15	oos	0.0587	0.058496	-0.35%	0.0603	+2.73%	0.0395	✗	0.91
2026-06-14	oos	0.0597	0.059468	-0.39%	0.0587	-1.68%	0.0208	✓	0.90
2026-06-13	oos	0.05885	0.058695	-0.26%	0.0597	+1.44%	0.0000	✓	0.86
2026-06-12	oos	0.06025	0.059935	-0.52%	0.05885	-2.32%	0.0304	✓	0.87
2026-06-11	oos	0.058	0.057875	-0.22%	0.06025	+3.88%	0.0406	✗	0.88
2026-06-10	oos	0.0545	0.054493	-0.01%	0.058	+6.42%	0.0341	✗	0.84
2026-06-09	oos	0.05695	0.056824	-0.22%	0.0545	-4.30%	0.0385	✓	0.83
2026-06-08	oos	0.0581	0.057983	-0.20%	0.05695	-1.98%	0.0006	✓	0.84
2026-06-07	oos	0.0542	0.054267	+0.12%	0.0581	+7.20%	0.0715	✓	0.86
2026-06-06	oos	0.0532	0.053373	+0.33%	0.0542	+1.88%	0.0182	✗	0.85
2026-06-05	oos	0.0554	0.055597	+0.36%	0.0532	-3.97%	0.0415	✗	0.86
2026-06-04	oos	0.0586	0.058782	+0.31%	0.0554	-5.46%	0.0217	✗	0.84
2026-06-03	oos	0.065	0.065152	+0.23%	0.0586	-9.85%	0.1033	✗	0.72
2026-06-02	oos	0.0639	0.06407	+0.27%	0.065	+1.72%	0.0442	✓	0.74
2026-06-01	oos	0.072	0.071715	-0.40%	0.0639	-11.25%	0.0859	✓	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.074	0.073472	-0.71%	0.072	-2.70%	0.0073	✓	0.41
2026-05-30	oos	0.0687	0.068398	-0.44%	0.074	+7.71%	0.0800	✗	0.48
2026-05-29	oos	0.0628	0.063057	+0.41%	0.0687	+9.39%	0.0830	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.0632	0.06351	+0.49%	0.0628	-0.63%	0.0103	✗	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.06715	0.06734	+0.28%	0.0632	-5.88%	0.0585	✗	0.46
2026-05-26	oos	0.07775	0.077593	-0.20%	0.06715	-13.63%	0.1369	✓	0.38
2026-05-25	oos	0.0817	0.081355	-0.42%	0.07775	-4.83%	0.0393	✓	0.33
2026-05-24	oos	0.0813	0.080992	-0.38%	0.0817	+0.49%	0.0075	✗	0.34
2026-05-23	oos	0.083	0.082643	-0.43%	0.0813	-2.05%	0.0180	✓	0.37
2026-05-22	oos	0.0809	0.080675	-0.28%	0.083	+2.60%	0.0225	✗	0.37
2026-05-21	oos	0.086	0.085532	-0.54%	0.0809	-5.93%	0.0463	✓	0.34
2026-05-20	oos	0.085	0.084539	-0.54%	0.086	+1.18%	0.0168	✗	0.34
2026-05-19	oos	0.08305	0.082703	-0.42%	0.085	+2.35%	0.0243	✗	0.33
2026-05-18	oos	0.0843	0.08398	-0.38%	0.08305	-1.48%	0.0103	✓	0.37
2026-05-17	oos	0.08425	0.083936	-0.37%	0.0843	+0.06%	0.0069	✗	0.43
2026-05-16	oos	0.08525	0.084949	-0.35%	0.08425	-1.17%	0.0044	✓	0.43
2026-05-15	oos	0.08845	0.08816	-0.33%	0.08525	-3.62%	0.0305	✓	0.25
2026-05-14	oos	0.09495	0.094638	-0.33%	0.08845	-6.85%	0.0623	✓	0.21
2026-05-13	oos	0.0977	0.097393	-0.31%	0.09495	-2.81%	0.0298	✓	0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.1042	0.10382	-0.36%	0.0977	-6.24%	0.0582	✓	0.17
2026-05-11	oos	0.102	0.101694	-0.30%	0.1042	+2.16%	0.0263	✗	0.13
2026-05-10	oos	0.1052	0.104899	-0.29%	0.102	-3.04%	0.0273	✓	0.13
2026-05-09	oos	0.1108	0.110326	-0.43%	0.1052	-5.05%	0.0506	✓	0.16
2026-05-08	oos	0.1024	0.102069	-0.32%	0.1108	+8.20%	0.0813	✗	0.13
2026-05-07	oos	0.10995	0.109014	-0.85%	0.1024	-6.87%	0.0629	✓	0.13
2026-05-06	oos	0.09985	0.099424	-0.43%	0.10995	+10.12%	0.1074	✗	0.38
2026-05-05	oos	0.0906	0.090333	-0.30%	0.09985	+10.21%	0.0963	✗	0.59
2026-05-04	oos	0.09	0.089714	-0.32%	0.0906	+0.67%	0.0017	✓	0.62
2026-05-03	oos	0.089	0.088697	-0.34%	0.09	+1.12%	0.0044	✗	0.62
2026-05-02	oos	0.0891	0.088821	-0.31%	0.089	-0.11%	0.0030	✓	0.62
2026-05-01	oos	0.0905	0.090264	-0.26%	0.0891	-1.55%	0.0166	✓	0.63
2026-04-30	oos	0.0909	0.090651	-0.27%	0.0905	-0.44%	0.0207	✓	0.76
2026-04-29	oos	0.0909	0.090648	-0.28%	0.0909	+0.00%	0.0027	✓	0.75
2026-04-28	oos	0.09465	0.094336	-0.33%	0.0909	-3.96%	0.0313	✓	0.78
2026-04-27	oos	0.09035	0.090101	-0.28%	0.09465	+4.76%	0.0601	✗	0.79
2026-04-26	oos	0.0907	0.090469	-0.25%	0.09035	-0.39%	0.0121	✗	0.80
2026-04-25	oos	0.08925	0.088986	-0.30%	0.0907	+1.62%	0.0087	✗	0.79
2026-04-24	oos	0.09285	0.092495	-0.38%	0.08925	-3.88%	0.0376	✓	0.78
2026-04-23	oos	0.0851	0.084854	-0.29%	0.09285	+9.11%	0.0984	✗	0.79
2026-04-22	oos	0.0885	0.08822	-0.32%	0.0851	-3.84%	0.0367	✓	0.79
2026-04-21	oos	0.0899	0.08958	-0.36%	0.0885	-1.56%	0.0314	✓	0.80
2026-04-20	oos	0.09465	0.094272	-0.40%	0.0899	-5.02%	0.0526	✓	0.81
2026-04-19	oos	0.0884	0.088049	-0.40%	0.09465	+7.07%	0.0501	✗	0.81
2026-04-18	oos	0.0941	0.093415	-0.73%	0.0884	-6.06%	0.0344	✓	0.81
2026-04-17	oos	0.0904	0.09003	-0.41%	0.0941	+4.09%	0.0588	✗	0.82
2026-04-16	oos	0.0869	0.08649	-0.47%	0.0904	+4.03%	0.0236	✗	0.81
2026-04-15	oos	0.08345	0.083037	-0.50%	0.0869	+4.13%	0.0419	✗	0.81
2026-04-14	oos	0.0801	0.079715	-0.48%	0.08345	+4.18%	0.0387	✗	0.80
2026-04-13	oos	0.0797	0.079318	-0.48%	0.0801	+0.50%	0.0127	✗	0.80
2026-04-12	oos	0.0765	0.076116	-0.50%	0.0797	+4.18%	0.0035	✓	0.84
2026-04-11	oos	0.0826	0.082144	-0.55%	0.0765	-7.38%	0.0448	✓	0.81
2026-04-10	oos	0.0837	0.08323	-0.56%	0.0826	-1.31%	0.0086	✓	0.81
2026-04-09	oos	0.0802	0.079779	-0.53%	0.0837	+4.36%	0.0346	✗	0.80
2026-04-08	oos	0.08205	0.081618	-0.53%	0.0802	-2.25%	0.0256	✓	0.81
2026-04-07	oos	0.0819	0.081489	-0.50%	0.08205	+0.18%	0.0162	✗	0.81
2026-04-06	oos	0.08505	0.084421	-0.74%	0.0819	-3.70%	0.0675	✓	0.86
2026-04-05	oos	0.0797	0.079259	-0.55%	0.08505	+6.71%	0.0724	✗	0.85
2026-04-04	oos	0.0819	0.081496	-0.49%	0.0797	-2.69%	0.0440	✓	0.86
2026-04-03	oos	0.0825	0.082078	-0.51%	0.0819	-0.73%	0.0064	✓	0.86
2026-04-02	oos	0.08035	0.07984	-0.64%	0.0825	+2.68%	0.0319	✗	0.87
2026-04-01	oos	0.07855	0.078145	-0.52%	0.08035	+2.29%	0.0437	✗	0.88
2026-03-31	oos	0.0754	0.075011	-0.52%	0.07855	+4.18%	0.0475	✗	0.88
2026-03-30	oos	0.077	0.076669	-0.43%	0.0754	-2.08%	0.0364	✓	0.89
2026-03-29	oos	0.0781	0.077777	-0.41%	0.077	-1.41%	0.0206	✓	0.90
2026-03-28	oos	0.0795	0.079171	-0.41%	0.0781	-1.76%	0.0087	✓	0.89
2026-03-27	oos	0.0769	0.076625	-0.36%	0.0795	+3.38%	0.0373	✗	0.89
2026-03-26	oos	0.0834	0.082979	-0.51%	0.0769	-7.79%	0.0453	✓	0.86
2026-03-25	oos	0.082	0.081565	-0.53%	0.0834	+1.71%	0.0542	✗	0.88
2026-03-24	oos	0.0848	0.083948	-1.01%	0.082	-3.30%	0.0331	✓	0.89
2026-03-23	oos	0.0807	0.080222	-0.59%	0.0848	+5.08%	0.0598	✗	0.89
2026-03-22	oos	0.0767	0.076272	-0.56%	0.0807	+5.22%	0.0178	✗	0.88
2026-03-21	oos	0.077	0.076564	-0.57%	0.0767	-0.39%	0.0156	✗	0.89
2026-03-20	oos	0.0796	0.07916	-0.55%	0.077	-3.27%	0.0077	✓	0.88
2026-03-19	oos	0.0815	0.081145	-0.44%	0.0796	-2.33%	0.0265	✓	0.89
2026-03-18	oos	0.0855	0.085178	-0.38%	0.0815	-4.68%	0.0271	✓	0.90
2026-03-17	oos	0.0928	0.092375	-0.46%	0.0855	-7.87%	0.0445	✓	0.89
2026-03-16	oos	0.0899	0.089592	-0.34%	0.0928	+3.23%	0.0467	✗	0.90
2026-03-15	oos	0.092	0.091625	-0.41%	0.0899	-2.28%	0.0447	✓	0.92
2026-03-14	oos	0.0915	0.091077	-0.46%	0.092	+0.55%	0.0106	✓	0.93
2026-03-13	oos	0.0845	0.084201	-0.35%	0.0915	+8.28%	0.0794	✗	0.93
2026-03-12	oos	0.0896	0.088995	-0.67%	0.0845	-5.69%	0.0573	✓	0.94
2026-03-11	oos	0.0895	0.089011	-0.55%	0.0896	+0.11%	0.0022	✓	0.95
2026-03-10	oos	0.0844	0.084005	-0.47%	0.0895	+6.04%	0.0600	✗	0.94
2026-03-09	oos	0.0813	0.080953	-0.43%	0.0844	+3.81%	0.0210	✗	0.94
2026-03-08	oos	0.0811	0.080788	-0.39%	0.0813	+0.25%	0.0289	✓	0.96
2026-03-07	oos	0.0846	0.084196	-0.48%	0.0811	-4.14%	0.0189	✓	0.96
2026-03-06	oos	0.0871	0.08608	-1.17%	0.0846	-2.87%	0.0056	✓	0.94
2026-03-05	oos	0.081	0.080662	-0.42%	0.0871	+7.53%	0.1163	✗	0.99
2026-03-04	oos	0.0789	0.0786	-0.38%	0.081	+2.66%	0.0551	✗	1.00
2026-03-03	oos	0.0837	0.083313	-0.46%	0.0789	-5.73%	0.1224	✓	1.10
2026-03-02	oos	0.0803	0.079929	-0.46%	0.0837	+4.23%	0.0540	✗	1.09
2026-03-01	oos	0.0754	0.075147	-0.34%	0.0803	+6.50%	0.0185	✗	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.07965	0.079326	-0.41%	0.0754	-5.34%	0.0311	✓	1.09
2026-02-27	oos	0.081	0.08066	-0.42%	0.07965	-1.67%	0.0309	✓	1.10
2026-02-26	oos	0.0817	0.081327	-0.46%	0.081	-0.86%	0.0229	✗	1.10
2026-02-25	oos	0.08175	0.081363	-0.47%	0.0817	-0.06%	0.0123	✗	1.10
2026-02-24	oos	0.0819	0.081585	-0.38%	0.08175	-0.18%	0.0679	✓	1.18
2026-02-23	oos	0.0855	0.085156	-0.40%	0.0819	-4.21%	0.0289	✓	1.17
2026-02-22	oos	0.08975	0.089316	-0.48%	0.0855	-4.74%	0.0091	✗	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.09425	0.093763	-0.52%	0.08975	-4.77%	0.0380	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.10055	0.099863	-0.68%	0.09425	-6.27%	0.0574	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.10105	0.100463	-0.58%	0.10055	-0.49%	0.0166	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.1018	0.101016	-0.77%	0.10105	-0.74%	0.0096	✓	1.20
2026-02-17	oos	0.1134	0.112154	-1.10%	0.1018	-10.23%	0.0799	✓	1.09
2026-02-16	oos	0.1273	0.123655	-2.86%	0.1134	-10.92%	0.0649	✓	1.06
2026-02-15	oos	0.1092	0.105979	-2.95%	0.1273	+16.58%	0.1823	✗	1.05
2026-02-14	oos	0.07075	0.070569	-0.26%	0.1092	+54.35%	0.4526	✗	1.11
2026-02-13	oos	0.06925	0.069145	-0.15%	0.07075	+2.17%	0.0073	✗	1.11
2026-02-12	oos	0.0711	0.070988	-0.16%	0.06925	-2.60%	0.0694	✓	1.16
2026-02-11	oos	0.0707	0.070485	-0.30%	0.0711	+0.57%	0.0226	✗	1.14
2026-02-10	oos	0.06575	0.065794	+0.07%	0.0707	+7.53%	0.1025	✓	1.17
2026-02-09	oos	0.06655	0.066584	+0.05%	0.06575	-1.20%	0.0092	✓	1.16
2026-02-08	oos	0.06785	0.067916	+0.10%	0.06655	-1.92%	0.0173	✗	1.18
2026-02-07	oos	0.0708	0.070865	+0.09%	0.06785	-4.17%	0.0611	✗	1.19
2026-02-06	oos	0.0695	0.069598	+0.14%	0.0708	+1.87%	0.0390	✓	1.19
2026-02-05	oos	0.06115	0.061537	+0.63%	0.0695	+13.65%	0.0184	✗	1.21
2026-02-04	oos	0.0721	0.072186	+0.12%	0.06115	-15.19%	0.0345	✓	1.33
2026-02-03	oos	0.0781	0.078066	-0.04%	0.0721	-7.68%	0.0329	✓	1.30
2026-02-02	oos	0.08125	0.081131	-0.15%	0.0781	-3.88%	0.0129	✗	1.31
2026-02-01	oos	0.0821	0.082072	-0.03%	0.08125	-1.04%	0.0402	✓	1.32
2026-01-31	oos	0.0874	0.087238	-0.19%	0.0821	-6.06%	0.0300	✓	1.36
2026-01-30	oos	0.1072	0.106023	-1.10%	0.0874	-18.47%	0.1140	✓	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.0885	0.088242	-0.29%	0.1072	+21.13%	0.2003	✗	1.19
2026-01-28	oos	0.0975	0.096754	-0.77%	0.0885	-9.23%	0.0285	✓	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.092	0.091589	-0.45%	0.0975	+5.98%	0.0620	✗	1.17
2026-01-26	oos	0.0896	0.089255	-0.39%	0.092	+2.68%	0.0190	✗	1.16
2026-01-25	oos	0.0903	0.089576	-0.80%	0.0896	-0.78%	0.0224	✓	1.17
2026-01-24	oos	0.0895	0.088847	-0.73%	0.0903	+0.89%	0.0509	✗	1.21
2026-01-23	oos	0.0814	0.081002	-0.49%	0.0895	+9.95%	0.1051	✗	1.21
2026-01-22	oos	0.0805	0.080095	-0.50%	0.0814	+1.12%	0.0160	✗	1.21
2026-01-21	oos	0.0808	0.080368	-0.53%	0.0805	-0.37%	0.0003	✓	1.21
2026-01-20	oos	0.0791	0.078704	-0.50%	0.0808	+2.15%	0.0118	✗	1.22
2026-01-19	oos	0.0852	0.084744	-0.53%	0.0791	-7.16%	0.0120	✓	1.21
2026-01-18	oos	0.0938	0.093119	-0.73%	0.0852	-9.17%	0.0749	✓	1.21
2026-01-17	oos	0.0925	0.091998	-0.54%	0.0938	+1.41%	0.0385	✗	1.22
2026-01-16	oos	0.0959	0.095477	-0.44%	0.0925	-3.55%	0.0266	✓	1.23
2026-01-15	oos	0.0951	0.094383	-0.75%	0.0959	+0.84%	0.0170	✗	1.23
2026-01-14	oos	0.0926	0.092042	-0.60%	0.0951	+2.70%	0.0504	✗	1.25
2026-01-13	oos	0.0902	0.08968	-0.58%	0.0926	+2.66%	0.0117	✗	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	0.0819	0.081429	-0.58%	0.0902	+10.13%	0.0485	✗	1.20
2026-01-11	oos	0.0867	0.085766	-1.08%	0.0819	-5.54%	0.0504	✓	1.22
2026-01-10	oos	0.089	0.088486	-0.58%	0.0867	-2.58%	0.0272	✓	1.24
2026-01-09	oos	0.0913	0.090782	-0.57%	0.089	-2.52%	0.0178	✓	1.31
2026-01-08	oos	0.092	0.091466	-0.58%	0.0913	-0.76%	0.0058	✓	1.35
2026-01-07	oos	0.0927	0.092201	-0.54%	0.092	-0.76%	0.0032	✓	1.95
2026-01-06	oos	0.0964	0.095877	-0.54%	0.0927	-3.84%	0.0181	✗	1.96
2026-01-05	oos	0.0978	0.097333	-0.48%	0.0964	-1.43%	0.0065	✓	1.96
2026-01-04	oos	0.0982	0.097572	-0.64%	0.0978	-0.41%	0.0492	✓	2.01
2026-01-03	oos	0.0966	0.096088	-0.53%	0.0982	+1.66%	0.0018	✓	2.02
2026-01-02	oos	0.0943	0.093859	-0.47%	0.0966	+2.44%	0.0145	✗	2.01
2026-01-01	oos	0.0901	0.089716	-0.43%	0.0943	+4.66%	0.0226	✗	2.00
2025-12-31	oos	0.0872	0.08688	-0.37%	0.0901	+3.33%	0.0086	✗	1.98
2025-12-30	oos	0.0892	0.088873	-0.37%	0.0872	-2.24%	0.0014	✓	1.99
2025-12-29	oos	0.0893	0.088887	-0.46%	0.0892	-0.11%	0.0254	✓	1.97
2025-12-28	oos	0.0881	0.087844	-0.29%	0.0893	+1.36%	0.0337	✗	1.98
2025-12-27	oos	0.0933	0.092969	-0.36%	0.0881	-5.57%	0.0553	✓	1.95
2025-12-26	oos	0.1036	0.102486	-1.08%	0.0933	-9.94%	0.1055	✓	1.97
2025-12-25	oos	0.0909	0.090229	-0.74%	0.1036	+13.97%	0.1354	✗	1.96
2025-12-24	oos	0.0837	0.083419	-0.34%	0.0909	+8.60%	0.0958	✗	1.98
2025-12-23	oos	0.0834	0.083217	-0.22%	0.0837	+0.36%	0.0017	✓	1.97
2025-12-22	oos	0.0843	0.084072	-0.27%	0.0834	-1.07%	0.0173	✗	1.98
2025-12-21	oos	0.0837	0.083527	-0.21%	0.0843	+0.72%	0.0111	✗	1.98
2025-12-20	oos	0.0871	0.086786	-0.36%	0.0837	-3.90%	0.0434	✓	2.01
2025-12-19	oos	0.0846	0.084116	-0.57%	0.0871	+2.96%	0.0296	✗	2.00
2025-12-18	oos	0.0769	0.07672	-0.23%	0.0846	+10.01%	0.0380	✗	1.97
2025-12-17	oos	0.0816	0.081423	-0.22%	0.0769	-5.76%	0.0399	✓	1.97
2025-12-16	oos	0.0862	0.085969	-0.27%	0.0816	-5.34%	0.0147	✓	1.98
2025-12-15	oos	0.0831	0.082941	-0.19%	0.0862	+3.73%	0.0060	✗	1.97
2025-12-14	oos	0.0849	0.084715	-0.22%	0.0831	-2.12%	0.0208	✗	1.99
2025-12-13	oos	0.0891	0.088833	-0.30%	0.0849	-4.71%	0.0013	✓	2.00
2025-12-12	oos	0.0865	0.086268	-0.27%	0.0891	+3.01%	0.0328	✗	1.99
2025-12-11	oos	0.0906	0.090363	-0.26%	0.0865	-4.53%	0.0059	✗	2.00
2025-12-10	oos	0.0937	0.093448	-0.27%	0.0906	-3.31%	0.0420	✓	2.01
2025-12-09	oos	0.0984	0.098089	-0.32%	0.0937	-4.78%	0.0315	✓	2.01
2025-12-08	oos	0.0939	0.093647	-0.27%	0.0984	+4.79%	0.0052	✗	1.99
2025-12-07	oos	0.0905	0.09019	-0.34%	0.0939	+3.76%	0.0348	✗	1.99
2025-12-06	oos	0.0992	0.09887	-0.33%	0.0905	-8.77%	0.1142	✓	2.04
2025-12-05	oos	0.1004	0.100071	-0.33%	0.0992	-1.20%	0.0070	✓	2.05
2025-12-04	oos	0.1028	0.102366	-0.42%	0.1004	-2.33%	0.0436	✗	2.08
2025-12-03	oos	0.1024	0.101943	-0.45%	0.1028	+0.39%	0.0391	✗	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.104	0.103558	-0.43%	0.1024	-1.54%	0.0607	✓	2.13
2025-12-01	oos	0.1018	0.101546	-0.25%	0.104	+2.16%	0.1047	✓	2.27
2025-11-30	oos	0.11615	0.115649	-0.43%	0.1018	-12.35%	0.0235	✓	2.25
2025-11-29	oos	0.1147	0.114227	-0.41%	0.11615	+1.26%	0.0280	✗	2.23
2025-11-28	oos	0.117	0.116473	-0.45%	0.1147	-1.97%	0.0135	✓	2.24
2025-11-27	oos	0.12195	0.121177	-0.63%	0.117	-4.06%	0.0249	✓	2.23
2025-11-26	oos	0.1107	0.110229	-0.43%	0.12195	+10.16%	0.0808	✗	2.17
2025-11-25	oos	0.10765	0.107429	-0.21%	0.1107	+2.83%	0.0485	✓	2.22
2025-11-24	oos	0.1077	0.10749	-0.19%	0.10765	-0.05%	0.0253	✗	2.23
2025-11-23	oos	0.1068	0.106673	-0.12%	0.1077	+0.84%	0.0280	✓	2.25
2025-11-22	oos	0.1046	0.104627	+0.03%	0.1068	+2.10%	0.0371	✗	2.33
2025-11-21	oos	0.11085	0.110799	-0.05%	0.1046	-5.64%	0.0471	✓	2.32
2025-11-20	oos	0.12875	0.127891	-0.67%	0.11085	-13.90%	0.1041	✓	2.27
2025-11-19	oos	0.1194	0.119195	-0.17%	0.12875	+7.83%	0.2212	✗	2.60
2025-11-18	oos	0.11875	0.118586	-0.14%	0.1194	+0.55%	0.0481	✗	2.62
2025-11-17	oos	0.1188	0.118712	-0.07%	0.11875	-0.04%	0.0228	✓	2.63
2025-11-16	oos	0.1203	0.120179	-0.10%	0.1188	-1.25%	0.0476	✗	2.65
2025-11-15	oos	0.12525	0.125055	-0.16%	0.1203	-3.95%	0.0007	✓	2.65
2025-11-14	oos	0.12055	0.120492	-0.05%	0.12525	+3.90%	0.0097	✗	2.65
2025-11-13	oos	0.12405	0.123814	-0.19%	0.12055	-2.82%	0.1220	✗	2.82
2025-11-12	oos	0.1265	0.126195	-0.24%	0.12405	-1.94%	0.0403	✗	2.85
2025-11-11	oos	0.12335	0.123038	-0.25%	0.1265	+2.55%	0.0663	✗	2.88
2025-11-10	oos	0.1325	0.132092	-0.31%	0.12335	-6.91%	0.0136	✗	2.89
2025-11-09	oos	0.1318	0.131044	-0.57%	0.1325	+0.53%	0.0245	✓	2.91
2025-11-08	oos	0.13105	0.130733	-0.24%	0.1318	+0.57%	0.0607	✓	2.96
2025-11-07	oos	0.13305	0.13268	-0.28%	0.13105	-1.50%	0.0159	✗	2.91
2025-11-06	oos	0.11655	0.11664	+0.08%	0.13305	+14.16%	0.0759	✓	2.86
2025-11-05	oos	0.1192	0.119211	+0.01%	0.11655	-2.22%	0.0500	✓	2.89
2025-11-04	oos	0.1159	0.116077	+0.15%	0.1192	+2.85%	0.0409	✗	2.89
2025-11-03	oos	0.12235	0.122287	-0.05%	0.1159	-5.27%	0.0950	✗	3.04
2025-11-02	oos	0.1377	0.137472	-0.17%	0.12235	-11.15%	0.0049	✓	3.05
2025-11-01	oos	0.1366	0.136451	-0.11%	0.1377	+0.81%	0.0043	✓	3.06
2025-10-31	oos	0.13465	0.134497	-0.11%	0.1366	+1.45%	0.0015	✗	3.09
2025-10-30	oos	0.13705	0.13695	-0.07%	0.13465	-1.75%	0.0525	✓	3.11
2025-10-29	oos	0.15495	0.15477	-0.12%	0.13705	-11.55%	0.0728	✓	3.09
2025-10-28	oos	0.15895	0.158795	-0.10%	0.15495	-2.52%	0.0557	✗	3.11
2025-10-27	oos	0.1626	0.162401	-0.12%	0.15895	-2.24%	0.0109	✗	3.11
2025-10-26	oos	0.17405	0.173748	-0.17%	0.1626	-6.58%	0.0538	✓	3.11
2025-10-25	oos	0.1703	0.170039	-0.15%	0.17405	+2.20%	0.0573	✓	3.16
2025-10-24	oos	0.17225	0.172031	-0.13%	0.1703	-1.13%	0.0279	✓	3.17
2025-10-23	oos	0.16635	0.16621	-0.08%	0.17225	+3.55%	0.0092	✗	3.17
2025-10-22	oos	0.1597	0.159679	-0.01%	0.16635	+4.16%	0.0328	✓	3.17
2025-10-21	oos	0.16755	0.167489	-0.04%	0.1597	-4.69%	0.0248	✓	3.18
2025-10-20	oos	0.18075	0.180572	-0.10%	0.16755	-7.30%	0.0111	✓	3.16
2025-10-19	oos	0.18085	0.180795	-0.03%	0.18075	-0.06%	0.0541	✓	3.12
2025-10-18	oos	0.1752	0.175271	+0.04%	0.18085	+3.22%	0.0111	✗	3.12
2025-10-17	oos	0.17315	0.173319	+0.10%	0.1752	+1.18%	0.0108	✗	3.10
2025-10-16	oos	0.17735	0.177383	+0.02%	0.17315	-2.37%	0.0262	✓	3.12
2025-10-15	oos	0.18455	0.184466	-0.05%	0.17735	-3.90%	0.0359	✗	3.16
2025-10-14	oos	0.19615	0.195995	-0.08%	0.18455	-5.91%	0.0037	✗	3.16
2025-10-13	oos	0.21035	0.210036	-0.15%	0.19615	-6.75%	0.0076	✓	3.15
2025-10-12	oos	0.19355	0.193322	-0.12%	0.21035	+8.68%	0.0788	✗	3.12
2025-10-11	oos	0.1742	0.174216	+0.01%	0.19355	+11.11%	0.0134	✗	3.12
2025-10-10	oos	0.1943	0.193994	-0.16%	0.1742	-10.34%	0.0462	✓	3.10
2025-10-09	oos	0.30795	0.30673	-0.40%	0.1943	-36.91%	0.2847	✓	2.31
2025-10-08	oos	0.3221	0.32071	-0.43%	0.30795	-4.39%	0.0103	✓	2.28
2025-10-07	oos	0.3124	0.310927	-0.47%	0.3221	+3.10%	0.0077	✓	2.70
2025-10-06	oos	0.339	0.337299	-0.50%	0.3124	-7.85%	0.0040	✓	2.69
2025-10-05	oos	0.3204	0.318285	-0.66%	0.339	+5.81%	0.0373	✗	2.66
2025-10-04	oos	0.3254	0.324028	-0.42%	0.3204	-1.54%	0.0346	✓	2.70
2025-10-03	oos	0.33655	0.334934	-0.48%	0.3254	-3.31%	0.0320	✓	2.71
2025-10-02	oos	0.3421	0.337817	-1.25%	0.33655	-1.62%	0.0420	✓	2.74
2025-10-01	oos	0.3239	0.321279	-0.81%	0.3421	+5.62%	0.0177	✗	2.75
2025-09-30	oos	0.31095	0.309583	-0.44%	0.3239	+4.16%	0.0670	✓	2.84
2025-09-29	oos	0.3121	0.310648	-0.47%	0.31095	-0.37%	0.0087	✗	2.98
2025-09-28	oos	0.32005	0.318447	-0.50%	0.3121	-2.48%	0.0788	✓	3.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.30795	0.306693	-0.41%	0.32005	+3.93%	0.0274	✓	3.09
2025-09-26	oos	0.31265	0.311563	-0.35%	0.30795	-1.50%	0.0112	✓	3.09
2025-09-25	oos	0.29895	0.2981	-0.28%	0.31265	+4.58%	0.0290	✗	3.08
2025-09-24	oos	0.3246	0.323208	-0.43%	0.29895	-7.90%	0.0447	✗	3.16
2025-09-23	oos	0.3176	0.316365	-0.39%	0.3246	+2.20%	0.0118	✓	3.18
2025-09-22	oos	0.32575	0.324407	-0.41%	0.3176	-2.50%	0.0013	✓	3.11
2025-09-21	oos	0.3618	0.360111	-0.47%	0.32575	-9.96%	0.0315	✓	3.08
2025-09-20	oos	0.3687	0.367078	-0.44%	0.3618	-1.87%	0.0021	✓	3.05
2025-09-19	oos	0.37185	0.369859	-0.54%	0.3687	-0.85%	0.0048	✓	3.06
2025-09-18	oos	0.39645	0.393182	-0.82%	0.37185	-6.21%	0.0184	✓	3.05
2025-09-17	oos	0.3719	0.369791	-0.57%	0.39645	+6.60%	0.0530	✗	3.07

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.