GRVT
GRVT Token · Ethereum · gru_s7
- token id
- #373
- symbol
- GRVT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xad29f2723fcdbcf665f210f25e06f97477e417cf
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-30
- predictions
- 228
Track record at +7d
assessed
69
of 76 predictions shown
direction hit
40.6%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1519
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0406
actual -0.0505
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.24835 | 0.241363 | -2.81% | – | pending | – | – | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.24485 | 0.236975 | -3.22% | – | pending | – | – | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.25965 | 0.249381 | -3.95% | – | pending | – | – | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.23295 | 0.225519 | -3.19% | – | pending | – | – | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.21595 | 0.21072 | -2.42% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.21555 | 0.210328 | -2.42% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.2179 | 0.212404 | -2.52% | – | pending | – | – | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.2297 | 0.22337 | -2.76% | 0.24835 | +8.12% | 0.1036 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.2142 | 0.208675 | -2.58% | 0.24485 | +14.31% | 0.1573 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.20665 | 0.201079 | -2.70% | 0.25965 | +25.65% | 0.2559 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2119 | 0.206107 | -2.73% | 0.23295 | +9.93% | 0.1223 | ✗ | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.2314 | 0.224118 | -3.15% | 0.21595 | -6.68% | 0.0361 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.234 | 0.226485 | -3.21% | 0.21555 | -7.88% | 0.0485 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.22515 | 0.217845 | -3.24% | 0.2179 | -3.22% | 0.0009 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.2283 | 0.220498 | -3.42% | 0.2297 | +0.61% | 0.0406 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.223 | 0.215699 | -3.27% | 0.2142 | -3.95% | 0.0054 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.2265 | 0.219108 | -3.26% | 0.20665 | -8.76% | 0.0567 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.22355 | 0.216436 | -3.18% | 0.2119 | -5.21% | 0.0180 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.22175 | 0.214813 | -3.13% | 0.2314 | +4.35% | 0.0767 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2159 | 0.208758 | -3.31% | 0.234 | +8.38% | 0.1154 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2158 | 0.208349 | -3.45% | 0.22515 | +4.33% | 0.0789 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.20775 | 0.200982 | -3.26% | 0.2283 | +9.89% | 0.1300 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.2074 | 0.200401 | -3.37% | 0.223 | +7.52% | 0.1071 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.2034 | 0.196895 | -3.20% | 0.2265 | +11.36% | 0.1385 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.2057 | 0.198749 | -3.38% | 0.22355 | +8.68% | 0.1157 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2017 | 0.19562 | -3.01% | 0.22175 | +9.94% | 0.1234 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.20385 | 0.197339 | -3.19% | 0.2159 | +5.91% | 0.0896 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.20935 | 0.202163 | -3.43% | 0.2158 | +3.08% | 0.0649 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2047 | 0.197869 | -3.34% | 0.20775 | +1.49% | 0.0482 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.1944 | 0.188115 | -3.23% | 0.2074 | +6.69% | 0.0985 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.19575 | 0.190307 | -2.78% | 0.2034 | +3.91% | 0.0694 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.19225 | 0.187191 | -2.63% | 0.2057 | +7.00% | 0.0982 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.1913 | 0.183251 | -4.21% | 0.2017 | +5.44% | 0.0920 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.1938 | 0.185467 | -4.30% | 0.20385 | +5.19% | 0.0908 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1894 | 0.180847 | -4.52% | 0.20935 | +10.53% | 0.1426 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.1787 | 0.168177 | -5.89% | 0.2047 | +14.55% | 0.2013 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.1675 | 0.157104 | -6.21% | 0.1944 | +16.06% | 0.2177 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.16815 | 0.157408 | -6.39% | 0.19575 | +16.41% | 0.2241 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.1705 | 0.160209 | -6.04% | 0.19225 | +12.76% | 0.1886 | ✗ | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.17025 | 0.159182 | -6.50% | 0.1913 | +12.36% | 0.1875 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.16065 | -6.44% | 0.1938 | +12.87% | 0.1910 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.17495 | 0.16363 | -6.47% | 0.1894 | +8.26% | 0.1495 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.16865 | 0.157001 | -6.91% | 0.1787 | +5.96% | 0.1293 | ✗ | -0.08 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.16025 | 0.14998 | -6.41% | 0.1675 | +4.52% | 0.1105 | ✗ | -0.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.1672 | 0.156865 | -6.18% | 0.16815 | +0.57% | 0.0690 | ✗ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.1687 | 0.158334 | -6.14% | 0.1705 | +1.07% | 0.0739 | ✗ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.1635 | 0.154708 | -5.38% | 0.17025 | +4.13% | 0.0973 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.1627 | 0.153659 | -5.56% | 0.1717 | +5.53% | 0.1121 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.1619 | 0.153088 | -5.44% | 0.17495 | +8.06% | 0.1346 | ✗ | 0.04 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.1622 | 0.154533 | -4.73% | 0.16865 | +3.98% | 0.0905 | ✗ | 0.05 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.1587 | 0.150235 | -5.33% | 0.16025 | +0.98% | 0.0650 | ✗ | -0.03 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.1504 | 0.143396 | -4.66% | 0.1672 | +11.17% | 0.1537 | ✗ | -0.01 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.1633 | 0.155917 | -4.52% | 0.1687 | +3.31% | 0.0795 | ✗ | -0.10 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.1744 | 0.166596 | -4.47% | 0.1635 | -6.25% | 0.0161 | ✓ | -0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.1704 | 0.162788 | -4.47% | 0.1627 | -4.52% | 0.0005 | ✓ | -0.05 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.1649 | 0.157069 | -4.75% | 0.1619 | -1.82% | 0.0070 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.165241 | -3.76% | 0.1622 | -5.53% | 0.0308 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.1827 | 0.176367 | -3.47% | 0.1587 | -13.14% | 0.0836 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.1968 | 0.191193 | -2.85% | 0.1504 | -23.58% | 0.2255 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.2039 | 0.19929 | -2.26% | 0.1633 | -19.91% | 0.1939 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.2315 | 0.228468 | -1.31% | 0.1744 | -24.67% | 0.2692 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.2462 | 0.243605 | -1.05% | 0.1704 | -30.79% | 0.3726 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.2856 | 0.284692 | -0.32% | 0.1649 | -42.26% | 0.5398 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.2785 | 0.273193 | -1.91% | 0.1717 | -38.35% | 0.5593 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.3042 | 0.295138 | -2.98% | 0.1827 | -39.94% | 0.6109 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.2932 | 0.282654 | -3.60% | 0.1968 | -32.88% | 0.5560 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.2813 | 0.270994 | -3.66% | 0.2039 | -27.52% | 0.4874 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.2828 | 0.272353 | -3.69% | 0.2315 | -18.14% | 0.3752 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.2924 | 0.281459 | -3.74% | 0.2462 | -15.80% | 0.3349 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.3029 | 0.291444 | -3.78% | 0.2856 | -5.71% | 0.2384 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.3229 | 0.310208 | -3.93% | 0.2785 | -13.75% | 0.2486 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.3174 | 0.304904 | -3.94% | 0.3042 | -4.16% | 0.0911 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.3169 | 0.303736 | -4.15% | 0.2932 | -7.48% | 0.0532 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.3277 | 0.310764 | -5.17% | 0.2813 | -14.16% | 0.1084 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.3111 | 0.298619 | -4.01% | 0.2828 | -9.10% | 0.0229 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.2961 | 0.284658 | -3.86% | 0.2924 | -1.25% | 0.0564 | ✗ | 1.00 |