GRVT
GRVT Token · Ethereum · gru_s7
- token id
- #373
- symbol
- GRVT
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0xad29f2723fcdbcf665f210f25e06f97477e417cf
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-07-30
- predictions
- 225
Track record at +1d
assessed
74
of 75 predictions shown
direction hit
50.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0366
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0063
actual -0.0039
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.2669 | 0.265409 | -0.56% | – | pending | – | – | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.25965 | 0.257016 | -1.01% | 0.2669 | +2.79% | 0.0381 | ✗ | 0.13 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.23295 | 0.231149 | -0.77% | 0.25965 | +11.46% | 0.1149 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.21595 | 0.214858 | -0.51% | 0.23295 | +7.87% | 0.0811 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.21555 | 0.214524 | -0.48% | 0.21595 | +0.19% | 0.0058 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.2179 | 0.216949 | -0.44% | 0.21555 | -1.08% | 0.0063 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.2297 | 0.228708 | -0.43% | 0.2179 | -5.14% | 0.0477 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.2142 | 0.21337 | -0.39% | 0.2297 | +7.24% | 0.0732 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.20665 | 0.205833 | -0.40% | 0.2142 | +3.65% | 0.0420 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.2119 | 0.211084 | -0.39% | 0.20665 | -2.48% | 0.0233 | ✓ | 0.12 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.2314 | 0.230393 | -0.43% | 0.2119 | -8.43% | 0.0824 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.234 | 0.23295 | -0.45% | 0.2314 | -1.11% | 0.0072 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.22515 | 0.22408 | -0.48% | 0.234 | +3.93% | 0.0431 | ✗ | 0.05 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.2283 | 0.226968 | -0.58% | 0.22515 | -1.38% | 0.0086 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.223 | 0.22182 | -0.53% | 0.2283 | +2.38% | 0.0302 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.2265 | 0.225129 | -0.61% | 0.223 | -1.55% | 0.0078 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.22355 | 0.222261 | -0.58% | 0.2265 | +1.32% | 0.0191 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.22175 | 0.220444 | -0.59% | 0.22355 | +0.81% | 0.0146 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.2159 | 0.214548 | -0.63% | 0.22175 | +2.71% | 0.0319 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.2158 | 0.214215 | -0.73% | 0.2159 | +0.05% | 0.0077 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.20775 | 0.206389 | -0.66% | 0.2158 | +3.87% | 0.0449 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.2074 | 0.206046 | -0.65% | 0.20775 | +0.17% | 0.0072 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.2034 | 0.2021 | -0.64% | 0.2074 | +1.97% | 0.0260 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.2057 | 0.203975 | -0.84% | 0.2034 | -1.12% | 0.0030 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.2017 | 0.200257 | -0.72% | 0.2057 | +1.98% | 0.0278 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.20385 | 0.202329 | -0.75% | 0.2017 | -1.05% | 0.0032 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.20935 | 0.207717 | -0.78% | 0.20385 | -2.63% | 0.0191 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.2047 | 0.203138 | -0.76% | 0.20935 | +2.27% | 0.0304 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.1944 | 0.192954 | -0.74% | 0.2047 | +5.30% | 0.0591 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.19575 | 0.194294 | -0.74% | 0.1944 | -0.69% | 0.0026 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.19225 | 0.190813 | -0.75% | 0.19575 | +1.82% | 0.0260 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.1913 | 0.189376 | -1.01% | 0.19225 | +0.50% | 0.0087 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.1938 | 0.191641 | -1.11% | 0.1913 | -1.29% | 0.0017 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1894 | 0.186999 | -1.27% | 0.1938 | +2.32% | 0.0353 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.1787 | 0.176464 | -1.25% | 0.1894 | +5.99% | 0.0735 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.1675 | 0.165726 | -1.06% | 0.1787 | +6.69% | 0.0755 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.16815 | 0.166466 | -1.00% | 0.1675 | -0.39% | 0.0065 | ✓ | -0.05 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.1705 | 0.168537 | -1.15% | 0.16815 | -1.38% | 0.0044 | ✓ | -0.06 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.17025 | 0.168489 | -1.03% | 0.1705 | +0.15% | 0.0131 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.169913 | -1.04% | 0.17025 | -0.84% | 0.0016 | ✓ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.17495 | 0.173003 | -1.11% | 0.1717 | -1.86% | 0.0075 | ✓ | -0.07 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.16865 | 0.167132 | -0.90% | 0.17495 | +3.74% | 0.0464 | ✗ | -0.08 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.16025 | 0.159207 | -0.65% | 0.16865 | +5.24% | 0.0576 | ✗ | -0.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.1672 | 0.165816 | -0.83% | 0.16025 | -4.16% | 0.0342 | ✓ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.1687 | 0.16704 | -0.98% | 0.1672 | -0.89% | 0.0009 | ✓ | -0.01 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.1635 | 0.162308 | -0.73% | 0.1687 | +3.18% | 0.0392 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.1627 | 0.161854 | -0.52% | 0.1635 | +0.49% | 0.0099 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.1619 | 0.161412 | -0.30% | 0.1627 | +0.49% | 0.0079 | ✗ | 0.04 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.1622 | 0.161661 | -0.33% | 0.1619 | -0.18% | 0.0025 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.1587 | 0.159011 | +0.20% | 0.1622 | +2.21% | 0.0216 | ✓ | -0.03 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.1504 | 0.150884 | +0.32% | 0.1587 | +5.52% | 0.0505 | ✓ | -0.01 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.1633 | 0.163482 | +0.11% | 0.1504 | -7.90% | 0.0849 | ✗ | -0.10 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.1744 | 0.174452 | +0.03% | 0.1633 | -6.36% | 0.0651 | ✗ | -0.08 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.1704 | 0.170354 | -0.03% | 0.1744 | +2.35% | 0.0231 | ✗ | -0.05 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.1649 | 0.164753 | -0.09% | 0.1704 | +3.34% | 0.0286 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.1717 | 0.171065 | -0.37% | 0.1649 | -3.96% | 0.0059 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.1827 | 0.181974 | -0.40% | 0.1717 | -6.02% | 0.0738 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.1968 | 0.195944 | -0.43% | 0.1827 | -7.16% | 0.0763 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.2039 | 0.203057 | -0.41% | 0.1968 | -3.48% | 0.0255 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.2315 | 0.230789 | -0.31% | 0.2039 | -11.92% | 0.1399 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.2462 | 0.24551 | -0.28% | 0.2315 | -5.97% | 0.0675 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.2856 | 0.284897 | -0.25% | 0.2462 | -13.80% | 0.1296 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.2785 | 0.277431 | -0.38% | 0.2856 | +2.55% | 0.0412 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.3042 | 0.302315 | -0.62% | 0.2785 | -8.45% | 0.1342 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.2932 | 0.290913 | -0.78% | 0.3042 | +3.75% | 0.0243 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.2813 | 0.279193 | -0.75% | 0.2932 | +4.23% | 0.0458 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.2828 | 0.2807 | -0.74% | 0.2813 | -0.53% | 0.0236 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.2924 | 0.290265 | -0.73% | 0.2828 | -3.28% | 0.0232 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.3029 | 0.300714 | -0.72% | 0.2924 | -3.47% | 0.0287 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.3229 | 0.320478 | -0.75% | 0.3029 | -6.19% | 0.0493 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.3174 | 0.315185 | -0.70% | 0.3229 | +1.73% | 0.0240 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.3169 | 0.314481 | -0.76% | 0.3174 | +0.16% | 0.0111 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.3277 | 0.323898 | -1.16% | 0.3169 | -3.30% | 0.0159 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.3111 | 0.308744 | -0.76% | 0.3277 | +5.34% | 0.0741 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.2961 | 0.294092 | -0.68% | 0.3111 | +5.07% | 0.0571 | ✗ | 1.00 |