FOLD

The Interfold · Ethereum · gru_s7

token id: #290
symbol: FOLD
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 147

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 49 predictions shown

direction hit

61.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1293

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0451

actual -0.0241

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04772	0.046589	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-20	oos	0.04858	0.047436	-2.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	0.04751	0.046522	-2.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-18	oos	0.04779	0.046746	-2.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05113	0.049904	-2.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-16	oos	0.05269	0.051317	-2.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.05285	0.051274	-2.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.05383	0.052142	-3.13%	0.04772	-11.35%	0.1005	✓	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.060215	0.058022	-3.64%	0.04858	-19.32%	0.1761	✓	0.78
2026-10-12	oos	0.059405	0.057208	-3.70%	0.04751	-20.02%	0.1866	✓	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	0.06681	0.063833	-4.46%	0.04779	-28.47%	0.2766	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.06538	0.062593	-4.26%	0.05113	-21.80%	0.1906	✓	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.064485	0.06175	-4.24%	0.05269	-18.29%	0.1507	✓	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.06178	0.059073	-4.38%	0.05285	-14.45%	0.1145	✓	0.60
2026-10-07	oos	0.064415	0.061392	-4.69%	0.05383	-16.43%	0.1195	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	0.06901	0.065714	-4.78%	0.060215	-12.74%	0.0730	✓	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.07369	0.070091	-4.88%	0.059405	-19.39%	0.1424	✓	0.48
2026-10-04	oos	0.0701	0.066519	-5.11%	0.06681	-4.69%	0.0219	✓	0.53
2026-10-03	oos	0.072825	0.068978	-5.28%	0.06538	-10.22%	0.0410	✓	0.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.06417	0.06062	-5.53%	0.064485	+0.49%	0.0751	✗	0.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.067655	0.063877	-5.58%	0.06178	-8.68%	0.0125	✓	0.55
2026-09-30	oos	0.069015	0.064836	-6.05%	0.064415	-6.67%	0.0046	✓	0.57
2026-09-29	oos	0.066025	0.061906	-6.24%	0.06901	+4.52%	0.0957	✗	0.58
2026-09-28	oos	0.061035	0.056947	-6.70%	0.07369	+20.73%	0.2422	✗	0.57
2026-09-27	oos	0.06903	0.064325	-6.82%	0.0701	+1.55%	0.0745	✗	0.48
2026-09-26	oos	0.066875	0.061874	-7.48%	0.072825	+8.90%	0.1611	✗	0.48
2026-09-25	oos	0.058715	0.05408	-7.89%	0.06417	+9.29%	0.1688	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.0597	0.054715	-8.35%	0.067655	+13.32%	0.2097	✗	0.47
2026-09-23	oos	0.05971	0.054456	-8.80%	0.069015	+15.58%	0.2467	✗	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.060325	0.05498	-8.86%	0.066025	+9.45%	0.2132	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.06106	0.055542	-9.04%	0.061035	-0.04%	0.1312	✗	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.062015	0.056513	-8.87%	0.06903	+11.31%	0.1602	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.07045	0.063805	-9.43%	0.066875	-5.07%	0.0086	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.066755	0.060516	-9.35%	0.058715	-12.04%	0.0692	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.0641	0.059071	-7.85%	0.0597	-6.86%	0.0895	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.05471	0.052318	-4.37%	0.05971	+9.14%	0.0295	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.043735	0.043948	+0.49%	0.060325	+37.93%	0.1853	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.049085	0.048432	-1.33%	0.06106	+24.40%	0.1294	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04818	0.048009	-0.36%	0.062015	+28.72%	0.2008	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.050545	0.050281	-0.52%	0.07045	+39.38%	0.2872	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.051095	0.051099	+0.01%	0.066755	+30.65%	0.2209	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.05233	0.052398	+0.13%	0.0641	+22.49%	0.2040	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.05138	0.051375	-0.01%	0.05471	+6.48%	0.0906	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05349	0.053399	-0.17%	0.043735	-18.24%	0.1624	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05533	0.055237	-0.17%	0.049085	-11.29%	0.1064	✓	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.05607	0.055956	-0.20%	0.04818	-14.07%	0.1046	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.055135	0.054739	-0.72%	0.050545	-8.33%	0.0470	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.05539	0.055099	-0.53%	0.051095	-7.75%	0.0440	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.059025	0.059055	+0.05%	0.05233	-11.34%	0.0610	✗	1.00