FOLD

The Interfold · Ethereum · gru_s7

token id: #290
symbol: FOLD
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xe172e9b6cfbeeb5593bdce3f077356fdb33af904
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-25
predictions: 147

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 49 predictions shown

direction hit

54.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0483

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0091

actual -0.0051

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.04772	0.047494	-0.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-20	oos	0.04858	0.048355	-0.46%	0.04772	-1.77%	0.0107	✓	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	0.04751	0.047336	-0.37%	0.04858	+2.25%	0.0148	✗	0.83
2026-10-18	oos	0.04779	0.047614	-0.37%	0.04751	-0.59%	0.0005	✓	0.83
2026-10-17	oos	0.05113	0.050909	-0.43%	0.04779	-6.53%	0.0698	✓	0.86
2026-10-16	oos	0.05269	0.052443	-0.47%	0.05113	-2.96%	0.0241	✓	0.86
2026-10-15	oos	0.05285	0.052556	-0.56%	0.05269	-0.30%	0.0091	✗	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.05383	0.053522	-0.57%	0.05285	-1.82%	0.0185	✓	0.87
2026-10-13	oos	0.060215	0.059774	-0.73%	0.05383	-10.60%	0.0903	✓	0.78
2026-10-12	oos	0.059405	0.058962	-0.75%	0.060215	+1.36%	0.0084	✗	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	0.06681	0.066014	-1.19%	0.059405	-11.08%	0.0905	✓	0.64
2026-10-10	oos	0.06538	0.064752	-0.96%	0.06681	+2.19%	0.0255	✗	0.63
2026-10-09	oos	0.064485	0.06392	-0.88%	0.06538	+1.39%	0.0198	✗	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.06178	0.061255	-0.85%	0.064485	+4.38%	0.0452	✗	0.60
2026-10-07	oos	0.064415	0.063808	-0.94%	0.06178	-4.09%	0.0213	✓	0.57
2026-10-06	oos	0.06901	0.068319	-1.00%	0.064415	-6.66%	0.0455	✓	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.07369	0.072829	-1.17%	0.06901	-6.35%	0.0527	✓	0.48
2026-10-04	oos	0.0701	0.069308	-1.13%	0.07369	+5.12%	0.0659	✗	0.53
2026-10-03	oos	0.072825	0.071842	-1.35%	0.0701	-3.74%	0.0364	✓	0.57
2026-10-02	oos	0.06417	0.063422	-1.17%	0.072825	+13.49%	0.1367	✗	0.57
2026-10-01	oos	0.067655	0.066827	-1.22%	0.06417	-5.15%	0.0383	✓	0.55
2026-09-30	oos	0.069015	0.067955	-1.54%	0.067655	-1.97%	0.0131	✓	0.57
2026-09-29	oos	0.066025	0.065063	-1.46%	0.069015	+4.53%	0.0595	✗	0.58
2026-09-28	oos	0.061035	0.060157	-1.44%	0.066025	+8.18%	0.0918	✗	0.57
2026-09-27	oos	0.06903	0.067847	-1.71%	0.061035	-11.58%	0.1001	✓	0.48
2026-09-26	oos	0.066875	0.065542	-1.99%	0.06903	+3.22%	0.0516	✗	0.48
2026-09-25	oos	0.058715	0.05765	-1.81%	0.066875	+13.90%	0.1466	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.0597	0.058536	-1.95%	0.058715	-1.65%	0.0047	✓	0.47
2026-09-23	oos	0.05971	0.058473	-2.07%	0.0597	-0.02%	0.0207	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.060325	0.059132	-1.98%	0.05971	-1.02%	0.0311	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.06106	0.059856	-1.97%	0.060325	-1.20%	0.0124	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.062015	0.06085	-1.88%	0.06106	-1.54%	0.0614	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.07045	0.068714	-2.46%	0.062015	-11.97%	0.1017	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.066755	0.065149	-2.41%	0.07045	+5.54%	0.0738	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.0641	0.062696	-2.19%	0.066755	+4.14%	0.0051	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.05471	0.054118	-1.08%	0.0641	+17.16%	0.1666	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.043735	0.043886	+0.35%	0.05471	+25.09%	0.2130	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.049085	0.049048	-0.08%	0.043735	-10.90%	0.0809	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.04818	0.048249	+0.14%	0.049085	+1.88%	0.0006	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.050545	0.050595	+0.10%	0.04818	-4.68%	0.0429	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.051095	0.051201	+0.21%	0.050545	-1.08%	0.0136	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.05233	0.052436	+0.20%	0.051095	-2.36%	0.0347	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.05138	0.051461	+0.16%	0.05233	+1.85%	0.0393	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05349	0.053545	+0.10%	0.05138	-3.94%	0.0392	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05533	0.055371	+0.07%	0.05349	-3.33%	0.0264	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.05607	0.056089	+0.03%	0.05533	-1.32%	0.0020	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.055135	0.055102	-0.06%	0.05607	+1.70%	0.0111	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.05539	0.055375	-0.03%	0.055135	-0.46%	0.0063	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.059025	0.059037	+0.02%	0.05539	-6.16%	0.0440	✗	1.00