FIRO

Firo · native · gru_s7

token id: #950
symbol: FIRO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,135

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

52.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1311

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0201

actual +0.0138

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.8476	0.823862	-2.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-20	oos	0.8371	0.817939	-2.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-19	oos	0.8963	0.873352	-2.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-18	oos	0.9173	0.893749	-2.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.8812	0.867901	-1.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-16	oos	0.922	0.905986	-1.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-15	oos	0.9549	0.936388	-1.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-14	oos	0.93775	0.927275	-1.12%	0.8476	-9.61%	0.1020	✓	0.88
2026-10-13	oos	1.0017	0.981464	-2.02%	0.8371	-16.43%	0.1574	✓	0.87
2026-10-12	oos	1.0128	0.997973	-1.46%	0.8963	-11.50%	0.1085	✓	0.88
2026-10-11	oos	0.9873	0.975415	-1.20%	0.9173	-7.09%	0.0435	✓	0.89
2026-10-10	oos	0.9798	0.973873	-0.60%	0.8812	-10.06%	0.0835	✓	0.89
2026-10-09	oos	0.9222	0.924382	+0.24%	0.922	-0.02%	0.0087	✓	0.88
2026-10-08	oos	0.8936	0.898574	+0.56%	0.9549	+6.86%	0.0562	✓	0.88
2026-10-07	oos	0.99505	0.985687	-0.94%	0.93775	-5.76%	0.0324	✓	0.84
2026-10-06	oos	0.9847	0.965075	-1.99%	1.0017	+1.73%	0.0620	✗	0.86
2026-10-05	oos	1.0559	1.0284	-2.61%	1.0128	-4.09%	0.0251	✓	0.84
2026-10-04	oos	1.1169	1.0817	-3.15%	0.9873	-11.60%	0.0638	✓	0.83
2026-10-03	oos	1.0857	1.0527	-3.04%	0.9798	-9.75%	0.0538	✓	0.82
2026-10-02	oos	1.0794	1.0423	-3.43%	0.9222	-14.56%	0.1032	✓	0.82
2026-10-01	oos	1.0735	1.0304	-4.02%	0.8936	-16.76%	0.1114	✓	0.82
2026-09-30	oos	1.0859	1.0412	-4.12%	0.99505	-8.37%	0.0426	✓	0.82
2026-09-29	oos	1.0804	1.033	-4.39%	0.9847	-8.86%	0.0658	✓	0.80
2026-09-28	oos	1.2496	1.2047	-3.60%	1.0559	-15.50%	0.1527	✓	0.77
2026-09-27	oos	1.2486	1.2034	-3.62%	1.1169	-10.55%	0.0922	✓	0.74
2026-09-26	oos	1.2486	1.2042	-3.55%	1.0857	-13.04%	0.1064	✓	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	1.3131	1.269	-3.35%	1.0794	-17.80%	0.1654	✓	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	1.2151	1.174	-3.38%	1.0735	-11.65%	0.0935	✓	0.73
2026-09-23	oos	1.2796	1.2373	-3.30%	1.0859	-15.13%	0.1234	✓	0.73
2026-09-22	oos	1.3302	1.2868	-3.27%	1.0804	-18.78%	0.1535	✓	0.71
2026-09-21	oos	1.2501	1.2103	-3.18%	1.2496	-0.04%	0.0596	✗	0.75
2026-09-20	oos	1.1219	1.0838	-3.40%	1.2486	+11.29%	0.1154	✗	0.65
2026-09-19	oos	1.217	1.1719	-3.71%	1.2486	+2.59%	0.0389	✗	0.64
2026-09-18	oos	1.199	1.1452	-4.49%	1.3131	+9.51%	0.1125	✗	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.9257	0.898305	-2.96%	1.2151	+31.26%	0.2773	✗	0.25
2026-09-16	oos	0.8081	0.791813	-2.02%	1.2796	+58.35%	0.4555	✗	0.24
2026-09-15	oos	0.8086	0.794162	-1.79%	1.3302	+64.51%	0.4807	✗	0.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.7633	0.751032	-1.61%	1.2501	+63.78%	0.4732	✗	0.36
2026-09-13	oos	0.7143	0.707215	-0.99%	1.1219	+57.06%	0.4435	✗	0.33
2026-09-12	oos	0.7453	0.737975	-0.98%	1.217	+63.29%	0.4843	✗	0.32
2026-09-11	oos	0.7486	0.742862	-0.77%	1.199	+60.17%	0.4642	✗	0.31
2026-09-10	oos	0.73085	0.72709	-0.51%	0.9257	+26.66%	0.2423	✗	0.32
2026-09-09	oos	0.77315	0.769305	-0.50%	0.8081	+4.52%	0.0568	✗	0.27
2026-09-08	oos	0.8507	0.843973	-0.79%	0.8086	-4.95%	0.0326	✓	0.27
2026-09-07	oos	0.8843	0.877349	-0.79%	0.7633	-13.68%	0.1362	✓	0.26
2026-09-06	oos	1.0139	0.993925	-1.97%	0.7143	-29.55%	0.3217	✓	0.19
2026-09-05	oos	0.88455	0.876075	-0.96%	0.7453	-15.74%	0.1561	✓	0.17
2026-09-04	oos	0.6999	0.707838	+1.13%	0.7486	+6.96%	0.0601	✓	0.13
2026-09-03	oos	0.6648	0.678149	+2.01%	0.73085	+9.94%	0.0848	✓	0.17
2026-09-02	oos	0.6575	0.667548	+1.53%	0.77315	+17.59%	0.1435	✓	0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.6566	0.666459	+1.50%	0.8507	+29.56%	0.2403	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.6867	0.696789	+1.47%	0.8843	+28.78%	0.2367	✓	0.24
2026-08-30	oos	0.6726	0.6805	+1.17%	1.0139	+50.74%	0.3892	✓	0.28
2026-08-29	oos	0.6713	0.678955	+1.14%	0.88455	+31.77%	0.2593	✓	0.26
2026-08-28	oos	0.6639	0.670103	+0.93%	0.6999	+5.42%	0.0375	✓	0.26
2026-08-27	oos	0.6748	0.683477	+1.29%	0.6648	-1.48%	0.0307	✗	0.25
2026-08-26	oos	0.6745	0.679544	+0.75%	0.6575	-2.52%	0.0275	✗	0.25
2026-08-25	oos	0.6911	0.694626	+0.51%	0.6566	-4.99%	0.0527	✗	0.25
2026-08-24	oos	0.676	0.679127	+0.46%	0.6867	+1.58%	0.0125	✓	0.26
2026-08-23	oos	0.7136	0.713529	-0.01%	0.6726	-5.75%	0.0588	✓	0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.7006	0.699427	-0.17%	0.6713	-4.18%	0.0456	✓	0.30
2026-08-21	oos	0.6643	0.664739	+0.07%	0.6639	-0.06%	0.0008	✓	0.33
2026-08-20	oos	0.6627	0.656791	-0.89%	0.6748	+1.83%	0.0073	✓	0.36
2026-08-19	oos	0.6468	0.636599	-1.58%	0.6745	+4.28%	0.0116	✓	0.35
2026-08-18	oos	0.6224	0.608944	-2.16%	0.6911	+11.04%	0.0688	✗	0.30
2026-08-17	oos	0.6235	0.609939	-2.18%	0.676	+8.42%	0.0357	✗	0.33
2026-08-16	oos	0.6239	0.610074	-2.22%	0.7136	+14.38%	0.0853	✗	0.34
2026-08-15	oos	0.6215	0.607877	-2.19%	0.7006	+12.73%	0.0751	✗	0.33
2026-08-14	oos	0.629	0.615159	-2.20%	0.6643	+5.61%	0.0012	✓	0.36
2026-08-13	oos	0.6267	0.612674	-2.24%	0.6627	+5.74%	0.0215	✓	0.40
2026-08-12	oos	0.6273	0.613362	-2.22%	0.6468	+3.11%	0.0145	✓	0.43
2026-08-11	oos	0.6415	0.627085	-2.25%	0.6224	-2.98%	0.0162	✓	0.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.6254	0.611284	-2.26%	0.6235	-0.30%	0.0149	✓	0.55
2026-08-09	oos	0.6305	0.616497	-2.22%	0.6239	-1.05%	0.0270	✗	0.48
2026-08-08	oos	0.6489	0.63458	-2.21%	0.6215	-4.22%	0.0067	✓	0.48
2026-08-07	oos	0.6318	0.617744	-2.22%	0.629	-0.44%	0.0326	✗	0.48
2026-08-06	oos	0.6206	0.606525	-2.27%	0.6267	+0.98%	0.0390	✗	0.48
2026-08-05	oos	0.6237	0.609277	-2.31%	0.6273	+0.58%	0.0380	✗	0.48
2026-08-04	oos	0.6509	0.635629	-2.35%	0.6415	-1.44%	0.0131	✓	0.48
2026-08-03	oos	0.656	0.640273	-2.40%	0.6254	-4.66%	0.0272	✓	0.53
2026-08-02	oos	0.6586	0.643062	-2.36%	0.6305	-4.27%	0.0321	✓	0.59
2026-08-01	oos	0.6603	0.644916	-2.33%	0.6489	-1.73%	0.0139	✓	0.60
2026-07-31	oos	0.6649	0.649589	-2.30%	0.6318	-4.98%	0.0470	✓	0.60
2026-07-30	oos	0.6688	0.65418	-2.19%	0.6206	-7.21%	0.0483	✓	0.62
2026-07-29	oos	0.6391	0.625232	-2.17%	0.6237	-2.41%	0.0092	✓	0.62
2026-07-28	oos	0.6317	0.619086	-2.00%	0.6509	+3.04%	0.0481	✗	0.62
2026-07-27	oos	0.6857	0.671966	-2.00%	0.656	-4.33%	0.0217	✓	0.65
2026-07-26	oos	0.666	0.654578	-1.72%	0.6586	-1.11%	0.0251	✗	0.66
2026-07-25	oos	0.6855	0.674399	-1.62%	0.6603	-3.68%	0.0036	✓	0.73
2026-07-24	oos	0.75	0.73554	-1.93%	0.6649	-11.35%	0.0847	✓	0.82
2026-07-23	oos	0.6247	0.616977	-1.24%	0.6688	+7.06%	0.0853	✗	0.92
2026-07-22	oos	0.6896	0.680571	-1.31%	0.6391	-7.32%	0.0328	✓	0.89
2026-07-21	oos	0.651	0.643429	-1.16%	0.6317	-2.96%	0.0184	✗	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.6351	0.627998	-1.12%	0.6857	+7.97%	0.1096	✗	0.92
2026-07-19	oos	0.6101	0.603884	-1.02%	0.666	+9.16%	0.0886	✗	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.6132	0.606964	-1.02%	0.6855	+11.79%	0.1287	✗	0.90
2026-07-17	oos	0.6091	0.603294	-0.95%	0.75	+23.13%	0.2150	✗	0.89
2026-07-16	oos	0.6314	0.625435	-0.94%	0.6247	-1.06%	0.0189	✓	0.89
2026-07-15	oos	0.6589	0.652566	-0.96%	0.6896	+4.66%	0.0356	✗	0.93
2026-07-14	oos	0.6501	0.643876	-0.96%	0.651	+0.14%	0.0104	✓	0.92
2026-07-13	oos	0.636	0.630853	-0.81%	0.6351	-0.14%	0.0365	✓	0.93
2026-07-12	oos	0.6463	0.640209	-0.94%	0.6101	-5.60%	0.0620	✓	0.94
2026-07-11	oos	0.6453	0.639214	-0.94%	0.6132	-4.97%	0.0560	✓	0.91
2026-07-10	oos	0.6517	0.644968	-1.03%	0.6091	-6.54%	0.0539	✓	0.91
2026-07-09	oos	0.6119	0.606218	-0.93%	0.6314	+3.19%	0.0323	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	0.6209	0.615238	-0.91%	0.6589	+6.12%	0.0321	✗	0.93
2026-07-07	oos	0.6265	0.619975	-1.04%	0.6501	+3.77%	0.0232	✗	0.94
2026-07-06	oos	0.63	0.623025	-1.11%	0.636	+0.95%	0.0464	✗	0.94
2026-07-05	oos	0.6357	0.628779	-1.09%	0.6463	+1.67%	0.0252	✗	0.95
2026-07-04	oos	0.6459	0.63919	-1.04%	0.6453	-0.09%	0.0008	✓	0.95
2026-07-03	oos	0.6386	0.63253	-0.95%	0.6517	+2.05%	0.0068	✓	0.91
2026-07-02	oos	0.6473	0.641768	-0.85%	0.6119	-5.47%	0.0727	✓	0.92
2026-07-01	oos	0.6503	0.645712	-0.71%	0.6209	-4.52%	0.0743	✓	0.94
2026-06-30	oos	0.6606	0.656589	-0.61%	0.6265	-5.16%	0.1227	✓	0.96
2026-06-29	oos	0.642	0.637657	-0.68%	0.63	-1.87%	0.0742	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.6702	0.665388	-0.72%	0.6357	-5.15%	0.1129	✓	1.01
2026-06-27	oos	0.6664	0.661692	-0.71%	0.6459	-3.08%	0.0751	✓	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.6523	0.648249	-0.62%	0.6386	-2.10%	0.0558	✓	0.99
2026-06-25	oos	0.6487	0.645155	-0.55%	0.6473	-0.22%	0.0259	✓	0.99
2026-06-24	oos	0.653	0.648517	-0.69%	0.6503	-0.41%	0.0194	✗	0.99
2026-06-23	oos	0.6854	0.678362	-1.03%	0.6606	-3.62%	0.0444	✗	1.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.6992	0.690411	-1.26%	0.642	-8.18%	0.0080	✓	1.06
2026-06-21	oos	0.7204	0.71138	-1.25%	0.6702	-6.97%	0.0064	✓	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.7058	0.696271	-1.35%	0.6664	-5.58%	0.0310	✗	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.7008	0.692195	-1.23%	0.6523	-6.92%	0.0031	✓	1.11
2026-06-18	oos	0.7193	0.710621	-1.21%	0.6487	-9.82%	0.0341	✓	1.10
2026-06-17	oos	0.7489	0.737353	-1.54%	0.653	-12.81%	0.0611	✓	1.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.7709	0.757032	-1.80%	0.6854	-11.09%	0.0487	✓	1.09
2026-06-15	oos	0.7762	0.760844	-1.98%	0.6992	-9.92%	0.0471	✓	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.7691	0.755293	-1.80%	0.7204	-6.33%	0.0070	✓	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.7705	0.758234	-1.59%	0.7058	-8.40%	0.0682	✓	1.08
2026-06-12	oos	0.756	0.746047	-1.32%	0.7008	-7.30%	0.0615	✓	1.08
2026-06-11	oos	0.732	0.72448	-1.03%	0.7193	-1.73%	0.0045	✓	1.08
2026-06-10	oos	0.7157	0.713464	-0.31%	0.7489	+4.64%	0.0033	✓	1.09
2026-06-09	oos	0.7293	0.727615	-0.23%	0.7709	+5.70%	0.0099	✓	1.09
2026-06-08	oos	0.7329	0.730786	-0.29%	0.7762	+5.91%	0.0058	✗	1.10
2026-06-07	oos	0.7127	0.71361	+0.13%	0.7691	+7.91%	0.0359	✓	1.04
2026-06-06	oos	0.7402	0.744882	+0.63%	0.7705	+4.09%	0.0321	✗	1.15
2026-06-05	oos	0.7405	0.746792	+0.85%	0.756	+2.09%	0.0339	✗	1.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.8074	0.806847	-0.07%	0.732	-9.34%	0.0931	✓	1.12
2026-06-03	oos	0.875	0.870477	-0.52%	0.7157	-18.21%	0.1488	✓	1.14
2026-06-02	oos	0.874	0.86714	-0.78%	0.7293	-16.56%	0.0853	✓	1.13
2026-06-01	oos	0.9156	0.897906	-1.93%	0.7329	-19.95%	0.0755	✓	1.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.895	0.877237	-1.98%	0.7127	-20.37%	0.0418	✓	1.10
2026-05-30	oos	0.912	0.894703	-1.90%	0.7402	-18.84%	0.0096	✓	0.93
2026-05-29	oos	0.9561	0.937377	-1.96%	0.7405	-22.55%	0.0688	✓	0.91
2026-05-28	oos	0.9597	0.943096	-1.73%	0.8074	-15.87%	0.0291	✓	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.9509	0.93656	-1.51%	0.875	-7.98%	0.0524	✗	0.81
2026-05-26	oos	0.9861	0.966461	-1.99%	0.874	-11.37%	0.0031	✓	0.80
2026-05-25	oos	1.0307	1.0049	-2.51%	0.9156	-11.17%	0.0231	✓	0.87
2026-05-24	oos	1.0175	0.995627	-2.15%	0.895	-12.04%	0.0669	✓	0.88
2026-05-23	oos	0.927	0.91667	-1.11%	0.912	-1.62%	0.0286	✗	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	0.9386	0.93096	-0.81%	0.9561	+1.86%	0.0517	✗	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.9575	0.9424	-1.58%	0.9597	+0.23%	0.0663	✗	0.90
2026-05-20	oos	1.0566	1.0346	-2.08%	0.9509	-10.00%	0.0472	✓	0.89
2026-05-19	oos	0.9715	0.953585	-1.84%	0.9861	+1.50%	0.0443	✗	0.87
2026-05-18	oos	0.9539	0.932482	-2.25%	1.0307	+8.05%	0.0967	✗	0.88
2026-05-17	oos	0.9369	0.912255	-2.63%	1.0175	+8.60%	0.1142	✗	0.90
2026-05-16	oos	1.0445	1.013	-3.01%	0.927	-11.25%	0.0723	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	1.201	1.1659	-2.92%	0.9386	-21.85%	0.1777	✓	0.84
2026-05-14	oos	1.2687	1.2327	-2.84%	0.9575	-24.53%	0.2166	✓	0.81
2026-05-13	oos	1.1912	1.1584	-2.75%	1.0566	-11.30%	0.0723	✓	0.85
2026-05-12	oos	1.3903	1.3443	-3.31%	0.9715	-30.12%	0.2870	✓	0.80
2026-05-11	oos	1.1881	1.1581	-2.53%	0.9539	-19.71%	0.1402	✓	0.89
2026-05-10	oos	1.1859	1.158	-2.35%	0.9369	-21.00%	0.1574	✓	0.91
2026-05-09	oos	1.1651	1.1371	-2.40%	1.0445	-10.35%	0.0557	✓	0.91
2026-05-08	oos	1.168	1.1394	-2.44%	1.201	+2.83%	0.0651	✗	0.88
2026-05-07	oos	1.1705	1.1422	-2.42%	1.2687	+8.39%	0.0930	✗	0.90
2026-05-06	oos	1.1673	1.138	-2.51%	1.1912	+2.05%	0.0753	✗	1.11
2026-05-05	oos	1.0047	0.986327	-1.83%	1.3903	+38.38%	0.3495	✗	1.18
2026-05-04	oos	0.9014	0.887199	-1.58%	1.1881	+31.81%	0.2654	✗	1.15
2026-05-03	oos	0.891	0.876082	-1.67%	1.1859	+33.10%	0.2508	✗	1.15
2026-05-02	oos	0.8907	0.876005	-1.65%	1.1651	+30.81%	0.2569	✗	1.14
2026-05-01	oos	0.8571	0.843209	-1.62%	1.168	+36.27%	0.2978	✗	1.14
2026-04-30	oos	0.829	0.81451	-1.75%	1.1705	+41.19%	0.3102	✗	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.821	0.807252	-1.67%	1.1673	+42.18%	0.2887	✗	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.9136	0.897166	-1.80%	1.0047	+9.97%	0.0474	✗	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.8744	0.861357	-1.49%	0.9014	+3.09%	0.0095	✓	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.9573	0.941906	-1.61%	0.891	-6.93%	0.0539	✓	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.8181	0.807963	-1.24%	0.8907	+8.87%	0.0829	✗	1.11
2026-04-24	oos	0.7601	0.750729	-1.23%	0.8571	+12.76%	0.1213	✗	1.13
2026-04-23	oos	0.8087	0.799744	-1.11%	0.829	+2.51%	0.0647	✗	1.12
2026-04-22	oos	0.8333	0.823009	-1.24%	0.821	-1.48%	0.0334	✗	1.12
2026-04-21	oos	0.7887	0.776923	-1.49%	0.9136	+15.84%	0.1625	✗	1.11
2026-04-20	oos	0.7759	0.76347	-1.60%	0.8744	+12.69%	0.1140	✗	1.11
2026-04-19	oos	0.7667	0.751929	-1.93%	0.9573	+24.86%	0.1727	✗	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.7735	0.760867	-1.63%	0.8181	+5.77%	0.0457	✗	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.7731	0.762339	-1.39%	0.7601	-1.68%	0.0081	✓	1.09
2026-04-16	oos	0.7084	0.696601	-1.67%	0.8087	+14.16%	0.1059	✗	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.7505	0.737036	-1.79%	0.8333	+11.03%	0.0755	✗	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.7751	0.759683	-1.99%	0.7887	+1.75%	0.0064	✓	1.08
2026-04-13	oos	0.8106	0.7941	-2.04%	0.7759	-4.28%	0.0446	✓	1.13
2026-04-12	oos	0.7887	0.769224	-2.47%	0.7667	-2.79%	0.0520	✓	1.15
2026-04-11	oos	0.8128	0.793378	-2.39%	0.7735	-4.84%	0.0666	✓	1.16
2026-04-10	oos	0.6947	0.681726	-1.87%	0.7731	+11.29%	0.0623	✗	1.16
2026-04-09	oos	0.6567	0.644071	-1.92%	0.7084	+7.87%	0.0424	✗	1.15
2026-04-08	oos	0.6537	0.641131	-1.92%	0.7505	+14.81%	0.0982	✗	1.15
2026-04-07	oos	0.6643	0.652411	-1.79%	0.7751	+16.68%	0.1365	✗	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	0.6347	0.621054	-2.15%	0.8106	+27.71%	0.1757	✗	1.16
2026-04-05	oos	0.6043	0.591846	-2.06%	0.7887	+30.51%	0.2581	✗	1.16
2026-04-04	oos	0.6245	0.611747	-2.04%	0.8128	+30.15%	0.1872	✗	1.17
2026-04-03	oos	0.6235	0.611391	-1.94%	0.6947	+11.42%	0.0264	✗	1.17
2026-04-02	oos	0.6293	0.61706	-1.94%	0.6567	+4.35%	0.0208	✓	1.17
2026-04-01	oos	0.6221	0.610136	-1.92%	0.6537	+5.08%	0.0191	✓	1.17
2026-03-31	oos	0.6198	0.608218	-1.87%	0.6643	+7.18%	0.0271	✗	1.16
2026-03-30	oos	0.6208	0.610468	-1.66%	0.6347	+2.24%	0.0025	✓	1.17
2026-03-29	oos	0.6376	0.628208	-1.47%	0.6043	-5.22%	0.0910	✓	1.16
2026-03-28	oos	0.6315	0.623341	-1.29%	0.6245	-1.11%	0.0148	✓	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.6051	0.599115	-0.99%	0.6235	+3.04%	0.0295	✗	1.14
2026-03-26	oos	0.6183	0.611575	-1.09%	0.6293	+1.78%	0.0605	✗	1.15
2026-03-25	oos	0.6875	0.679891	-1.11%	0.6221	-9.51%	0.0373	✓	1.13
2026-03-24	oos	0.6465	0.640791	-0.88%	0.6198	-4.13%	0.0038	✓	1.11
2026-03-23	oos	0.6555	0.650427	-0.77%	0.6208	-5.29%	0.0203	✗	1.11
2026-03-22	oos	0.6279	0.624699	-0.51%	0.6376	+1.54%	0.0519	✗	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.6771	0.672903	-0.62%	0.6315	-6.73%	0.0211	✓	1.11
2026-03-20	oos	0.669	0.664798	-0.63%	0.6051	-9.55%	0.0266	✓	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.6529	0.649357	-0.54%	0.6183	-5.30%	0.0306	✓	1.11
2026-03-18	oos	0.6722	0.667953	-0.63%	0.6875	+2.28%	0.0280	✗	1.09
2026-03-17	oos	0.6644	0.659547	-0.73%	0.6465	-2.69%	0.0329	✗	1.12
2026-03-16	oos	0.6809	0.675647	-0.77%	0.6555	-3.73%	0.0309	✗	1.11
2026-03-15	oos	0.6459	0.641102	-0.74%	0.6279	-2.79%	0.0567	✗	1.09
2026-03-14	oos	0.6292	0.624749	-0.71%	0.6771	+7.61%	0.1164	✗	1.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.642	0.637283	-0.73%	0.669	+4.21%	0.0555	✗	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.6526	0.647493	-0.78%	0.6529	+0.05%	0.0179	✗	1.09
2026-03-11	oos	0.612	0.607124	-0.80%	0.6722	+9.84%	0.0856	✗	1.11
2026-03-10	oos	0.6458	0.640914	-0.76%	0.6644	+2.88%	0.0250	✓	1.10
2026-03-09	oos	0.6859	0.681232	-0.68%	0.6809	-0.73%	0.1024	✓	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.6458	0.643452	-0.36%	0.6459	+0.02%	0.1082	✓	1.13
2026-03-07	oos	0.6502	0.647017	-0.49%	0.6292	-3.23%	0.0930	✓	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.7077	0.70327	-0.63%	0.642	-9.28%	0.1371	✓	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.7517	0.745168	-0.87%	0.6526	-13.18%	0.1270	✓	1.12
2026-03-04	oos	0.7127	0.705978	-0.94%	0.612	-14.13%	0.1035	✓	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.721	0.717217	-0.52%	0.6458	-10.43%	0.1327	✓	1.18
2026-03-02	oos	0.7801	0.774726	-0.69%	0.6859	-12.08%	0.1148	✓	1.20
2026-03-01	oos	0.8504	0.843296	-0.84%	0.6458	-24.06%	0.2706	✓	1.24
2026-02-28	oos	0.81	0.804377	-0.69%	0.6502	-19.73%	0.2181	✓	1.22
2026-02-27	oos	0.8276	0.82143	-0.75%	0.7077	-14.49%	0.1902	✓	1.23
2026-02-26	oos	0.7424	0.739794	-0.35%	0.7517	+1.25%	0.0462	✓	1.27
2026-02-25	oos	0.7725	0.768654	-0.50%	0.7127	-7.74%	0.1601	✓	1.27
2026-02-24	oos	0.692	0.694941	+0.42%	0.721	+4.19%	0.0417	✗	1.22
2026-02-23	oos	0.7031	0.705729	+0.37%	0.7801	+10.95%	0.0244	✓	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.7356	0.734883	-0.10%	0.8504	+15.61%	0.1799	✗	1.22
2026-02-21	oos	0.7696	0.767812	-0.23%	0.81	+5.25%	0.0720	✗	1.26
2026-02-20	oos	0.7956	0.793144	-0.31%	0.8276	+4.02%	0.0851	✗	1.34
2026-02-19	oos	0.8029	0.801971	-0.12%	0.7424	-7.54%	0.0876	✓	1.35
2026-02-18	oos	0.8113	0.811662	+0.04%	0.7725	-4.78%	0.0819	✗	1.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.822	0.821976	-0.00%	0.692	-15.82%	0.0971	✓	1.45
2026-02-16	oos	0.8702	0.867378	-0.32%	0.7031	-19.20%	0.1185	✓	1.44
2026-02-15	oos	0.9231	0.918491	-0.50%	0.7356	-20.31%	0.1977	✓	1.41
2026-02-14	oos	0.9424	0.936451	-0.63%	0.7696	-18.34%	0.1591	✓	1.40
2026-02-13	oos	0.9471	0.944465	-0.28%	0.7956	-16.00%	0.1551	✓	1.35
2026-02-12	oos	0.8499	0.85924	+1.10%	0.8029	-5.53%	0.0831	✗	1.33
2026-02-11	oos	0.8637	0.87393	+1.18%	0.8113	-6.07%	0.0626	✗	1.30
2026-02-10	oos	0.9149	0.923079	+0.89%	0.822	-10.15%	0.0909	✗	1.28
2026-02-09	oos	0.9577	0.964907	+0.75%	0.8702	-9.14%	0.0803	✗	1.28
2026-02-08	oos	0.9885	0.997201	+0.88%	0.9231	-6.62%	0.0503	✗	1.26
2026-02-07	oos	1.0725	1.0814	+0.83%	0.9424	-12.13%	0.1481	✗	1.35
2026-02-06	oos	1.1406	1.1471	+0.57%	0.9471	-16.96%	0.1570	✗	1.40
2026-02-05	oos	0.9324	0.964928	+3.49%	0.8499	-8.85%	0.1974	✗	1.33
2026-02-04	oos	1.1532	1.1647	+1.00%	0.8637	-25.10%	0.1814	✗	1.38
2026-02-03	oos	1.1517	1.1631	+0.99%	0.9149	-20.56%	0.0957	✗	1.52
2026-02-02	oos	1.208	1.2121	+0.34%	0.9577	-20.72%	0.0625	✗	1.50
2026-02-01	oos	1.2018	1.2128	+0.92%	0.9885	-17.75%	0.0911	✗	1.26
2026-01-31	oos	1.2276	1.2342	+0.54%	1.0725	-12.63%	0.0288	✓	1.33
2026-01-30	oos	1.2832	1.2702	-1.02%	1.1406	-11.11%	0.1435	✗	1.43
2026-01-29	oos	1.2912	1.2743	-1.31%	0.9324	-27.79%	0.1187	✗	1.45
2026-01-28	oos	1.4375	1.3961	-2.88%	1.1532	-19.78%	0.0939	✗	1.43
2026-01-27	oos	1.4171	1.3744	-3.01%	1.1517	-18.73%	0.0649	✗	1.48
2026-01-26	oos	1.5084	1.4634	-2.98%	1.208	-19.92%	0.0240	✓	1.46
2026-01-25	oos	1.3886	1.3482	-2.91%	1.2018	-13.45%	0.0584	✗	1.46
2026-01-24	oos	1.5632	1.5094	-3.44%	1.2276	-21.47%	0.0315	✓	1.41
2026-01-23	oos	1.6004	1.543	-3.59%	1.2832	-19.82%	0.0955	✓	1.44
2026-01-22	oos	1.7155	1.6532	-3.63%	1.2912	-24.73%	0.1653	✓	1.44
2026-01-21	oos	1.705	1.642	-3.70%	1.4375	-15.69%	0.1298	✓	1.43
2026-01-20	oos	1.7586	1.6943	-3.66%	1.4171	-19.42%	0.1925	✓	1.52
2026-01-19	oos	1.7548	1.6815	-4.18%	1.5084	-14.04%	0.0326	✓	1.60
2026-01-18	oos	1.6001	1.532	-4.26%	1.3886	-13.22%	0.0302	✓	1.64
2026-01-17	oos	1.7004	1.6311	-4.08%	1.5632	-8.07%	0.0663	✗	1.66
2026-01-16	oos	1.911	1.8261	-4.44%	1.6004	-16.25%	0.0261	✓	1.62
2026-01-15	oos	1.8505	1.7701	-4.35%	1.7155	-7.30%	0.0752	✗	1.61
2026-01-14	oos	1.8977	1.7963	-5.34%	1.705	-10.15%	0.0816	✗	1.64
2026-01-13	oos	1.4442	1.3739	-4.87%	1.7586	+21.77%	0.3665	✗	1.55
2026-01-12	oos	1.3797	1.3091	-5.12%	1.7548	+27.19%	0.2700	✗	1.54
2026-01-11	oos	1.2505	1.1883	-4.97%	1.6001	+27.96%	0.2511	✗	1.55
2026-01-10	oos	1.1019	1.0508	-4.63%	1.7004	+54.32%	0.4028	✗	1.54
2026-01-09	oos	1.155	1.099	-4.85%	1.911	+65.45%	0.4785	✗	1.39
2026-01-08	oos	1.1722	1.1129	-5.06%	1.8505	+57.87%	0.4486	✗	1.22
2026-01-07	oos	1.2265	1.1618	-5.27%	1.8977	+54.72%	0.4407	✗	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	1.3002	1.225	-5.78%	1.4442	+11.08%	0.1513	✗	0.76
2026-01-05	oos	1.2657	1.1919	-5.83%	1.3797	+9.01%	0.1681	✗	0.75
2026-01-04	oos	1.2551	1.1873	-5.40%	1.2505	-0.37%	0.0567	✗	0.71
2026-01-03	oos	1.2419	1.1787	-5.09%	1.1019	-11.27%	0.0656	✓	0.71
2026-01-02	oos	1.2407	1.1819	-4.74%	1.155	-6.91%	0.0275	✓	0.71
2026-01-01	oos	1.3103	1.2491	-4.67%	1.1722	-10.54%	0.0824	✓	0.74
2025-12-31	oos	1.3419	1.2838	-4.33%	1.2265	-8.60%	0.0772	✓	0.74
2025-12-30	oos	1.3547	1.2946	-4.44%	1.3002	-4.02%	0.0421	✓	0.79
2025-12-29	oos	1.4501	1.3809	-4.78%	1.2657	-12.72%	0.1467	✓	0.80
2025-12-28	oos	1.2472	1.2165	-2.46%	1.2551	+0.63%	0.0017	✓	0.82
2025-12-27	oos	1.2406	1.2165	-1.95%	1.2419	+0.10%	0.0061	✓	0.86
2025-12-26	oos	1.2271	1.213	-1.15%	1.2407	+1.11%	0.0024	✓	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	1.373	1.3443	-2.09%	1.3103	-4.57%	0.0406	✓	0.84
2025-12-24	oos	1.2847	1.2734	-0.88%	1.3419	+4.45%	0.0535	✗	0.85
2025-12-23	oos	1.3175	1.3072	-0.78%	1.3547	+2.82%	0.0264	✗	0.85
2025-12-22	oos	1.3396	1.3285	-0.83%	1.4501	+8.25%	0.1014	✗	0.84
2025-12-21	oos	1.3321	1.3283	-0.29%	1.2472	-6.37%	0.0557	✓	0.84
2025-12-20	oos	1.352	1.3522	+0.01%	1.2406	-8.24%	0.0811	✗	0.85
2025-12-19	oos	1.3798	1.3814	+0.12%	1.2271	-11.07%	0.1107	✗	0.86
2025-12-18	oos	1.4117	1.4214	+0.68%	1.373	-2.74%	0.0524	✗	0.90
2025-12-17	oos	1.5658	1.5575	-0.53%	1.2847	-17.95%	0.2066	✓	0.87
2025-12-16	oos	1.5189	1.5166	-0.15%	1.3175	-13.26%	0.1365	✓	0.86
2025-12-15	oos	1.547	1.5498	+0.18%	1.3396	-13.41%	0.1673	✗	0.88
2025-12-14	oos	1.5612	1.5607	-0.03%	1.3321	-14.67%	0.1629	✓	0.85
2025-12-13	oos	1.6587	1.6407	-1.09%	1.352	-18.49%	0.1757	✓	0.83
2025-12-12	oos	1.6998	1.6778	-1.29%	1.3798	-18.83%	0.1752	✓	0.83
2025-12-11	oos	1.9007	1.8488	-2.73%	1.4117	-25.73%	0.2079	✓	0.78
2025-12-10	oos	2.0681	2.0039	-3.10%	1.5658	-24.29%	0.1950	✓	0.79
2025-12-09	oos	2.2147	2.1372	-3.50%	1.5189	-31.42%	0.2997	✓	0.78
2025-12-08	oos	2.0749	2.0143	-2.92%	1.547	-25.44%	0.2275	✓	0.76
2025-12-07	oos	2.1585	2.093	-3.03%	1.5612	-27.67%	0.2739	✓	0.77
2025-12-06	oos	2.1753	2.1143	-2.81%	1.6587	-23.75%	0.2511	✓	0.76
2025-12-05	oos	2.3701	2.2901	-3.38%	1.6998	-28.28%	0.3061	✓	0.77
2025-12-04	oos	2.4001	2.3086	-3.81%	1.9007	-20.81%	0.1982	✓	0.77
2025-12-03	oos	2.2141	2.1318	-3.72%	2.0681	-6.59%	0.0182	✓	0.79
2025-12-02	oos	2.0663	2.0078	-2.83%	2.2147	+7.18%	0.0864	✗	0.77
2025-12-01	oos	2.0424	2.0105	-1.56%	2.0749	+1.59%	0.0104	✓	0.85
2025-11-30	oos	2.0181	1.963	-2.73%	2.1585	+6.96%	0.0946	✗	0.91
2025-11-29	oos	2.1995	2.1293	-3.19%	2.1753	-1.10%	0.0369	✗	0.90
2025-11-28	oos	2.2508	2.1743	-3.40%	2.3701	+5.30%	0.1019	✗	0.91
2025-11-27	oos	2.65	2.5506	-3.75%	2.4001	-9.43%	0.0684	✓	0.89
2025-11-26	oos	2.8145	2.705	-3.89%	2.2141	-21.33%	0.2300	✓	0.92
2025-11-25	oos	2.8099	2.7144	-3.40%	2.0663	-26.46%	0.3151	✓	0.95
2025-11-24	oos	3.1104	2.9694	-4.53%	2.0424	-34.34%	0.3533	✓	0.92
2025-11-23	oos	2.6466	2.5682	-2.96%	2.0181	-23.75%	0.2741	✓	0.82
2025-11-22	oos	2.0862	2.0347	-2.47%	2.1995	+5.43%	0.0354	✗	0.61
2025-11-21	oos	2.3982	2.329	-2.89%	2.2508	-6.15%	0.0744	✓	0.61
2025-11-20	oos	2.928	2.827	-3.45%	2.65	-9.49%	0.0933	✓	0.53
2025-11-19	oos	3.509	3.3566	-4.34%	2.8145	-19.79%	0.1734	✓	0.25
2025-11-18	oos	3.5056	3.3484	-4.48%	2.8099	-19.85%	0.1601	✓	0.25
2025-11-17	oos	4.2919	4.0171	-6.40%	3.1104	-27.53%	0.2433	✓	0.30
2025-11-16	oos	4.1796	3.8932	-6.85%	2.6466	-36.68%	0.3587	✓	0.33
2025-11-15	oos	3.103	2.9593	-4.63%	2.0862	-32.77%	0.2977	✓	0.43
2025-11-14	oos	2.8813	2.7573	-4.30%	2.3982	-16.77%	0.0961	✓	0.41
2025-11-13	oos	2.939	2.8096	-4.40%	2.928	-0.37%	0.0956	✗	0.39
2025-11-12	oos	2.8393	2.7105	-4.54%	3.509	+23.59%	0.3002	✗	0.40
2025-11-11	oos	3.1359	2.9574	-5.69%	3.5056	+11.79%	0.2069	✗	0.36
2025-11-10	oos	3.0174	2.8077	-6.95%	4.2919	+42.24%	0.4777	✗	0.38
2025-11-09	oos	2.1958	2.0975	-4.48%	4.1796	+90.35%	0.7168	✗	0.26
2025-11-08	oos	1.794	1.7295	-3.59%	3.103	+72.97%	0.5927	✗	0.12
2025-11-07	oos	1.7824	1.7149	-3.79%	2.8813	+61.65%	0.5293	✗	0.12
2025-11-06	oos	1.4682	1.4216	-3.17%	2.939	+100.18%	0.7262	✗	-0.00
2025-11-05	oos	1.8578	1.7877	-3.77%	2.8393	+52.83%	0.4585	✗	-0.19
2025-11-04	oos	1.8728	1.786	-4.63%	3.1359	+67.44%	0.5657	✗	-0.19
2025-11-03	oos	1.5803	1.5235	-3.59%	3.0174	+90.94%	0.6836	✗	0.05
2025-11-02	oos	1.8033	1.7234	-4.43%	2.1958	+21.77%	0.2348	✗	-0.14
2025-11-01	oos	1.5727	1.5057	-4.26%	1.794	+14.07%	0.1638	✗	-0.15
2025-10-31	oos	1.3608	1.3091	-3.80%	1.7824	+30.98%	0.2977	✗	-0.18
2025-10-30	oos	1.2619	1.2162	-3.62%	1.4682	+16.35%	0.1747	✗	-0.20
2025-10-29	oos	1.4833	1.4243	-3.98%	1.8578	+25.25%	0.2491	✗	-0.29
2025-10-28	oos	1.4321	1.3734	-4.10%	1.8728	+30.77%	0.2833	✗	-0.25
2025-10-27	oos	1.7264	1.644	-4.78%	1.5803	-8.46%	0.0616	✓	-0.32
2025-10-26	oos	1.5906	1.5201	-4.43%	1.8033	+13.37%	0.1596	✗	-0.32
2025-10-25	oos	1.4643	1.4046	-4.08%	1.5727	+7.40%	0.1077	✗	-0.36
2025-10-24	oos	1.4757	1.4137	-4.20%	1.3608	-7.79%	0.0435	✓	-0.40
2025-10-23	oos	1.4768	1.4116	-4.41%	1.2619	-14.55%	0.1187	✓	-0.39
2025-10-22	oos	1.2884	1.2439	-3.46%	1.4833	+15.13%	0.1876	✗	-0.52
2025-10-21	oos	1.2338	1.1942	-3.21%	1.4321	+16.07%	0.2025	✗	-0.51
2025-10-20	oos	1.2969	1.2486	-3.73%	1.7264	+33.12%	0.3409	✗	-0.54
2025-10-19	oos	1.1538	1.1165	-3.24%	1.5906	+37.86%	0.3858	✗	-0.61
2025-10-18	oos	1.2065	1.1672	-3.25%	1.4643	+21.37%	0.2503	✗	-0.58
2025-10-17	oos	1.2667	1.2248	-3.31%	1.4757	+16.50%	0.2101	✗	-0.56
2025-10-16	oos	1.4108	1.3577	-3.76%	1.4768	+4.68%	0.0952	✗	-0.64
2025-10-15	oos	1.5306	1.4674	-4.13%	1.2884	-15.82%	0.1513	✓	-0.72
2025-10-14	oos	1.447	1.39	-3.94%	1.2338	-14.73%	0.1490	✓	-0.70
2025-10-13	oos	1.5624	1.4875	-4.80%	1.2969	-16.99%	0.1696	✓	-0.78
2025-10-12	oos	1.4058	1.3432	-4.45%	1.1538	-17.93%	0.1961	✓	-0.77
2025-10-11	oos	1.5112	1.4163	-6.28%	1.2065	-20.16%	0.1827	✓	-0.68
2025-10-10	oos	1.0842	1.0342	-4.61%	1.2667	+16.83%	0.1759	✗	-0.45
2025-10-09	oos	0.9355	0.906212	-3.13%	1.4108	+50.81%	0.4431	✗	0.00
2025-10-08	oos	0.7801	0.761691	-2.36%	1.5306	+96.21%	0.7167	✗	0.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.7782	0.758294	-2.56%	1.447	+85.94%	0.6640	✗	0.25
2025-10-06	oos	0.717	0.701311	-2.19%	1.5624	+117.91%	0.8300	✗	0.37
2025-10-05	oos	0.6989	0.682946	-2.28%	1.4058	+101.14%	0.7470	✗	0.35
2025-10-04	oos	0.7039	0.687612	-2.31%	1.5112	+114.69%	0.8222	✗	0.35
2025-10-03	oos	0.701	0.684579	-2.34%	1.0842	+54.66%	0.4869	✗	0.34
2025-10-02	oos	0.7127	0.694131	-2.61%	0.9355	+31.26%	0.2952	✗	0.36
2025-10-01	oos	0.6238	0.607875	-2.55%	0.7801	+25.06%	0.2396	✗	0.25
2025-09-30	oos	0.6189	0.603901	-2.42%	0.7782	+25.74%	0.2379	✗	0.25
2025-09-29	oos	0.6369	0.620877	-2.52%	0.717	+12.58%	0.1206	✗	0.27
2025-09-28	oos	0.5722	0.559373	-2.24%	0.6989	+22.14%	0.2058	✗	0.18
2025-09-27	oos	0.5832	0.571709	-1.97%	0.7039	+20.70%	0.1877	✗	0.18
2025-09-26	oos	0.6207	0.607553	-2.12%	0.701	+12.94%	0.1247	✗	0.17
2025-09-25	oos	0.5954	0.583703	-1.96%	0.7127	+19.70%	0.1841	✗	0.15
2025-09-24	oos	0.6084	0.593586	-2.43%	0.6238	+2.53%	0.0443	✗	0.12
2025-09-23	oos	0.6103	0.595679	-2.40%	0.6189	+1.41%	0.0358	✗	0.13
2025-09-22	oos	0.5926	0.577287	-2.58%	0.6369	+7.48%	0.0965	✗	0.12
2025-09-21	oos	0.6157	0.598775	-2.75%	0.5722	-7.07%	0.0434	✓	0.07
2025-09-20	oos	0.6	0.582278	-2.95%	0.5832	-2.80%	0.0232	✓	0.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.6327	0.614799	-2.83%	0.6207	-1.90%	0.0342	✗	0.46
2025-09-18	oos	0.5919	0.572877	-3.21%	0.5954	+0.59%	0.0756	✗	0.52
2025-09-17	oos	0.641	0.622405	-2.90%	0.6084	-5.09%	0.0091	✓	0.50

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.