FIRO

Firo · native · gru_s7

token id: #950
symbol: FIRO
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2023-11-23
predictions: 3,135

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

51.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3040

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0488

actual +0.0425

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.8476	0.780926	-7.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-20	oos	0.8371	0.777143	-7.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-19	oos	0.8963	0.827447	-7.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-18	oos	0.9173	0.845689	-7.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.8812	0.822154	-6.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-16	oos	0.922	0.856654	-7.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-15	oos	0.9549	0.884155	-7.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-14	oos	0.93775	0.875516	-6.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-13	oos	1.0017	0.925293	-7.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-12	oos	1.0128	0.940081	-7.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-11	oos	0.9873	0.918793	-6.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-10	oos	0.9798	0.916806	-6.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-09	oos	0.9222	0.869296	-5.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-08	oos	0.8936	0.844396	-5.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-07	oos	0.99505	0.92829	-6.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-06	oos	0.9847	0.908506	-7.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-10-05	oos	1.0559	0.971254	-8.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-04	oos	1.1169	1.024	-8.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-10-03	oos	1.0857	0.99435	-8.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-02	oos	1.0794	0.982308	-8.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-01	oos	1.0735	0.967425	-9.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-30	oos	1.0859	0.977151	-10.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-29	oos	1.0804	0.968419	-10.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-28	oos	1.2496	1.1454	-8.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-27	oos	1.2486	1.1454	-8.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-09-26	oos	1.2486	1.1477	-8.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-25	oos	1.3131	1.2167	-7.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.72
2026-09-24	oos	1.2151	1.1241	-7.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.73
2026-09-23	oos	1.2796	1.1888	-7.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.73
2026-09-22	oos	1.3302	1.2425	-6.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.71
2026-09-21	oos	1.2501	1.1713	-6.31%	0.8476	-32.20%	0.2890	✓	0.75
2026-09-20	oos	1.1219	1.0395	-7.35%	0.8371	-25.39%	0.2307	✓	0.65
2026-09-19	oos	1.217	1.1276	-7.35%	0.8963	-26.35%	0.2343	✓	0.64
2026-09-18	oos	1.199	1.1056	-7.79%	0.9173	-23.49%	0.1954	✓	0.62
2026-09-17	oos	0.9257	0.864365	-6.63%	0.8812	-4.81%	0.0035	✓	0.25
2026-09-16	oos	0.8081	0.762083	-5.69%	0.922	+14.09%	0.1743	✗	0.24
2026-09-15	oos	0.8086	0.765143	-5.37%	0.9549	+18.09%	0.1994	✗	0.27
2026-09-14	oos	0.7633	0.723862	-5.17%	0.93775	+22.85%	0.2438	✗	0.36
2026-09-13	oos	0.7143	0.679379	-4.89%	1.0017	+40.24%	0.3626	✗	0.33
2026-09-12	oos	0.7453	0.711859	-4.49%	1.0128	+35.88%	0.3346	✗	0.32
2026-09-11	oos	0.7486	0.718471	-4.02%	0.9873	+31.89%	0.2926	✗	0.31
2026-09-10	oos	0.73085	0.703534	-3.74%	0.9798	+34.06%	0.3060	✗	0.32
2026-09-09	oos	0.77315	0.749883	-3.01%	0.9222	+19.28%	0.1923	✗	0.27
2026-09-08	oos	0.8507	0.825872	-2.92%	0.8936	+5.04%	0.0677	✗	0.27
2026-09-07	oos	0.8843	0.862207	-2.50%	0.99505	+12.52%	0.1296	✗	0.26
2026-09-06	oos	1.0139	0.974829	-3.85%	0.9847	-2.88%	0.0019	✓	0.19
2026-09-05	oos	0.88455	0.868595	-1.80%	1.0559	+19.38%	0.1831	✗	0.17
2026-09-04	oos	0.6999	0.697324	-0.37%	1.1169	+59.58%	0.4604	✗	0.13
2026-09-03	oos	0.6648	0.671827	+1.06%	1.0857	+63.31%	0.4730	✓	0.17
2026-09-02	oos	0.6575	0.662804	+0.81%	1.0794	+64.16%	0.4640	✓	0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.6566	0.664331	+1.18%	1.0735	+63.49%	0.4543	✓	0.28
2026-08-31	oos	0.6867	0.698561	+1.73%	1.0859	+58.14%	0.4262	✓	0.24
2026-08-30	oos	0.6726	0.68241	+1.46%	1.0804	+60.63%	0.4385	✓	0.28
2026-08-29	oos	0.6713	0.683457	+1.81%	1.2496	+86.15%	0.5868	✓	0.26
2026-08-28	oos	0.6639	0.67629	+1.87%	1.2486	+88.07%	0.5922	✓	0.26
2026-08-27	oos	0.6748	0.698309	+3.48%	1.2486	+85.03%	0.5686	✓	0.25
2026-08-26	oos	0.6745	0.692057	+2.60%	1.3131	+94.67%	0.6250	✓	0.25
2026-08-25	oos	0.6911	0.709584	+2.67%	1.2151	+75.82%	0.5202	✓	0.25
2026-08-24	oos	0.676	0.696643	+3.05%	1.2796	+89.29%	0.5905	✓	0.26
2026-08-23	oos	0.7136	0.728251	+2.05%	1.3302	+86.41%	0.5712	✓	0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.7006	0.715331	+2.10%	1.2501	+78.43%	0.5233	✓	0.30
2026-08-21	oos	0.6643	0.685323	+3.16%	1.1219	+68.88%	0.4810	✓	0.33
2026-08-20	oos	0.6627	0.660151	-0.38%	1.217	+83.64%	0.5730	✗	0.36
2026-08-19	oos	0.6468	0.629583	-2.66%	1.199	+85.37%	0.5898	✗	0.35
2026-08-18	oos	0.6224	0.593976	-4.57%	0.9257	+48.73%	0.3943	✗	0.30
2026-08-17	oos	0.6235	0.594726	-4.61%	0.8081	+29.61%	0.2516	✗	0.33
2026-08-16	oos	0.6239	0.593366	-4.89%	0.8086	+29.60%	0.2475	✗	0.34
2026-08-15	oos	0.6215	0.591266	-4.86%	0.7633	+22.82%	0.1837	✗	0.33
2026-08-14	oos	0.629	0.598318	-4.88%	0.7143	+13.56%	0.1062	✗	0.36
2026-08-13	oos	0.6267	0.595838	-4.92%	0.7453	+18.92%	0.1440	✗	0.40
2026-08-12	oos	0.6273	0.596674	-4.88%	0.7486	+19.34%	0.1413	✗	0.43
2026-08-11	oos	0.6415	0.609904	-4.93%	0.73085	+13.93%	0.0904	✗	0.49
2026-08-10	oos	0.6254	0.594406	-4.96%	0.77315	+23.62%	0.1514	✗	0.55
2026-08-09	oos	0.6305	0.60052	-4.75%	0.8507	+34.92%	0.2574	✗	0.48
2026-08-08	oos	0.6489	0.618391	-4.70%	0.8843	+36.28%	0.2633	✗	0.48
2026-08-07	oos	0.6318	0.601634	-4.77%	1.0139	+60.48%	0.4184	✗	0.48
2026-08-06	oos	0.6206	0.58984	-4.96%	0.88455	+42.53%	0.3017	✗	0.48
2026-08-05	oos	0.6237	0.592392	-5.02%	0.6999	+12.22%	0.0665	✗	0.48
2026-08-04	oos	0.6509	0.617235	-5.17%	0.6648	+2.14%	0.0412	✓	0.48
2026-08-03	oos	0.656	0.620883	-5.35%	0.6575	+0.23%	0.0482	✓	0.53
2026-08-02	oos	0.6586	0.623851	-5.28%	0.6566	-0.30%	0.0656	✓	0.59
2026-08-01	oos	0.6603	0.625504	-5.27%	0.6867	+4.00%	0.0404	✓	0.60
2026-07-31	oos	0.6649	0.631018	-5.10%	0.6726	+1.16%	0.0626	✓	0.60
2026-07-30	oos	0.6688	0.637131	-4.74%	0.6713	+0.37%	0.0650	✓	0.62
2026-07-29	oos	0.6391	0.608893	-4.73%	0.6639	+3.88%	0.0352	✓	0.62
2026-07-28	oos	0.6317	0.604992	-4.23%	0.6748	+6.82%	0.0322	✓	0.62
2026-07-27	oos	0.6857	0.659193	-3.87%	0.6745	-1.63%	0.1168	✓	0.65
2026-07-26	oos	0.666	0.64295	-3.46%	0.6911	+3.77%	0.0499	✓	0.66
2026-07-25	oos	0.6855	0.663894	-3.15%	0.676	-1.39%	0.1313	✓	0.73
2026-07-24	oos	0.75	0.726745	-3.10%	0.7136	-4.85%	0.1764	✓	0.82
2026-07-23	oos	0.6247	0.611378	-2.13%	0.7006	+12.15%	0.0188	✓	0.92
2026-07-22	oos	0.6896	0.676811	-1.85%	0.6643	-3.67%	0.1701	✓	0.89
2026-07-21	oos	0.651	0.64116	-1.51%	0.6627	+1.80%	0.0507	✓	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.6351	0.625002	-1.59%	0.6468	+1.84%	0.0218	✓	0.92
2026-07-19	oos	0.6101	0.600872	-1.51%	0.6224	+2.02%	0.0352	✗	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.6132	0.604132	-1.48%	0.6235	+1.68%	0.0360	✗	0.90
2026-07-17	oos	0.6091	0.600465	-1.42%	0.6239	+2.43%	0.0532	✗	0.89
2026-07-16	oos	0.6314	0.623279	-1.29%	0.6215	-1.57%	0.0077	✓	0.89
2026-07-15	oos	0.6589	0.650963	-1.20%	0.629	-4.54%	0.0089	✓	0.93
2026-07-14	oos	0.6501	0.642734	-1.13%	0.6267	-3.60%	0.0028	✓	0.92
2026-07-13	oos	0.636	0.629622	-1.00%	0.6273	-1.37%	0.0208	✓	0.93
2026-07-12	oos	0.6463	0.638838	-1.15%	0.6415	-0.74%	0.0072	✓	0.94
2026-07-11	oos	0.6453	0.638193	-1.10%	0.6254	-3.08%	0.0222	✓	0.91
2026-07-10	oos	0.6517	0.643709	-1.23%	0.6305	-3.25%	0.0309	✓	0.91
2026-07-09	oos	0.6119	0.604837	-1.15%	0.6489	+6.05%	0.0460	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	0.6209	0.613409	-1.21%	0.6318	+1.76%	0.0095	✓	0.93
2026-07-07	oos	0.6265	0.617458	-1.44%	0.6206	-0.94%	0.0088	✓	0.94
2026-07-06	oos	0.63	0.620474	-1.51%	0.6237	-1.00%	0.0036	✓	0.94
2026-07-05	oos	0.6357	0.62634	-1.47%	0.6509	+2.39%	0.0315	✗	0.95
2026-07-04	oos	0.6459	0.637426	-1.31%	0.656	+1.56%	0.0230	✗	0.95
2026-07-03	oos	0.6386	0.631098	-1.17%	0.6586	+3.13%	0.0285	✗	0.91
2026-07-02	oos	0.6473	0.640889	-0.99%	0.6603	+2.01%	0.0108	✗	0.92
2026-07-01	oos	0.6503	0.64473	-0.86%	0.6649	+2.25%	0.0132	✓	0.94
2026-06-30	oos	0.6606	0.655496	-0.77%	0.6688	+1.24%	0.0767	✓	0.96
2026-06-29	oos	0.642	0.63617	-0.91%	0.6391	-0.45%	0.0558	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.6702	0.6632	-1.04%	0.6317	-5.74%	0.1201	✓	1.01
2026-06-27	oos	0.6664	0.659644	-1.01%	0.6857	+2.90%	0.0217	✓	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.6523	0.646205	-0.93%	0.666	+2.10%	0.0544	✓	0.99
2026-06-25	oos	0.6487	0.643253	-0.84%	0.6855	+5.67%	0.0100	✓	0.99
2026-06-24	oos	0.653	0.646032	-1.07%	0.75	+14.85%	0.1002	✗	0.99
2026-06-23	oos	0.6854	0.67381	-1.69%	0.6247	-8.86%	0.1150	✓	1.04
2026-06-22	oos	0.6992	0.683657	-2.22%	0.6896	-1.37%	0.0262	✓	1.06
2026-06-21	oos	0.7204	0.704384	-2.22%	0.651	-9.63%	0.1333	✓	1.08
2026-06-20	oos	0.7058	0.688365	-2.47%	0.6351	-10.02%	0.0971	✓	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.7008	0.684871	-2.27%	0.6101	-12.94%	0.1365	✓	1.11
2026-06-18	oos	0.7193	0.702924	-2.28%	0.6132	-14.75%	0.1696	✓	1.10
2026-06-17	oos	0.7489	0.726977	-2.93%	0.6091	-18.67%	0.1675	✓	1.09
2026-06-16	oos	0.7709	0.744753	-3.39%	0.6314	-18.10%	0.1339	✓	1.09
2026-06-15	oos	0.7762	0.747801	-3.66%	0.6589	-15.11%	0.1016	✓	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.7691	0.74182	-3.55%	0.6501	-15.47%	0.1204	✓	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.7705	0.745529	-3.24%	0.636	-17.46%	0.1219	✓	1.08
2026-06-12	oos	0.756	0.734335	-2.87%	0.6463	-14.51%	0.1311	✓	1.08
2026-06-11	oos	0.732	0.712892	-2.61%	0.6453	-11.84%	0.1032	✓	1.08
2026-06-10	oos	0.7157	0.703813	-1.66%	0.6517	-8.94%	0.1234	✓	1.09
2026-06-09	oos	0.7293	0.716797	-1.71%	0.6119	-16.10%	0.1843	✓	1.09
2026-06-08	oos	0.7329	0.71763	-2.08%	0.6209	-15.28%	0.1303	✓	1.10
2026-06-07	oos	0.7127	0.699604	-1.84%	0.6265	-12.09%	0.1107	✓	1.04
2026-06-06	oos	0.7402	0.729851	-1.40%	0.63	-14.89%	0.2054	✓	1.15
2026-06-05	oos	0.7405	0.729831	-1.44%	0.6357	-14.15%	0.1851	✓	1.15
2026-06-04	oos	0.8074	0.783687	-2.94%	0.6459	-20.00%	0.1806	✓	1.12
2026-06-03	oos	0.875	0.843331	-3.62%	0.6386	-27.02%	0.2508	✓	1.14
2026-06-02	oos	0.874	0.836264	-4.32%	0.6473	-25.94%	0.1646	✓	1.13
2026-06-01	oos	0.9156	0.859696	-6.11%	0.6503	-28.98%	0.0993	✓	1.04
2026-05-31	oos	0.895	0.838103	-6.36%	0.6606	-26.19%	0.0145	✓	1.10
2026-05-30	oos	0.912	0.853551	-6.41%	0.642	-29.61%	0.0942	✓	0.93
2026-05-29	oos	0.9561	0.893555	-6.54%	0.6702	-29.90%	0.0972	✓	0.91
2026-05-28	oos	0.9597	0.898285	-6.40%	0.6664	-30.56%	0.1166	✓	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.9509	0.891096	-6.29%	0.6523	-31.40%	0.1389	✓	0.81
2026-05-26	oos	0.9861	0.919222	-6.78%	0.6487	-34.22%	0.1563	✓	0.80
2026-05-25	oos	1.0307	0.955403	-7.31%	0.653	-36.64%	0.1737	✓	0.87
2026-05-24	oos	1.0175	0.946719	-6.96%	0.6854	-32.64%	0.1422	✓	0.88
2026-05-23	oos	0.927	0.86994	-6.16%	0.6992	-24.57%	0.0590	✓	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	0.9386	0.884	-5.82%	0.7204	-23.25%	0.0465	✓	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.9575	0.895281	-6.50%	0.7058	-26.29%	0.0681	✓	0.90
2026-05-20	oos	1.0566	0.98562	-6.72%	0.7008	-33.67%	0.1635	✓	0.89
2026-05-19	oos	0.9715	0.904367	-6.91%	0.7193	-25.96%	0.0545	✓	0.87
2026-05-18	oos	0.9539	0.882271	-7.51%	0.7489	-21.49%	0.0086	✓	0.88
2026-05-17	oos	0.9369	0.86268	-7.92%	0.7709	-17.72%	0.0363	✓	0.90
2026-05-16	oos	1.0445	0.961931	-7.91%	0.7762	-25.69%	0.0706	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	1.201	1.1164	-7.04%	0.7691	-35.96%	0.2176	✓	0.84
2026-05-14	oos	1.2687	1.1856	-6.55%	0.7705	-39.27%	0.2448	✓	0.81
2026-05-13	oos	1.1912	1.1144	-6.45%	0.756	-36.53%	0.1989	✓	0.85
2026-05-12	oos	1.3903	1.296	-6.78%	0.732	-47.35%	0.3827	✓	0.80
2026-05-11	oos	1.1881	1.1206	-5.69%	0.7157	-39.76%	0.1940	✓	0.89
2026-05-10	oos	1.1859	1.1231	-5.29%	0.7293	-38.50%	0.1714	✓	0.91
2026-05-09	oos	1.1651	1.102	-5.41%	0.7329	-37.10%	0.1840	✓	0.91
2026-05-08	oos	1.168	1.1059	-5.32%	0.7127	-38.98%	0.2309	✓	0.88
2026-05-07	oos	1.1705	1.1094	-5.22%	0.7402	-36.76%	0.1579	✓	0.90
2026-05-06	oos	1.1673	1.1134	-4.62%	0.7405	-36.56%	0.0888	✓	1.11
2026-05-05	oos	1.0047	0.967573	-3.70%	0.8074	-19.64%	0.0998	✗	1.18
2026-05-04	oos	0.9014	0.867634	-3.75%	0.875	-2.93%	0.2615	✗	1.15
2026-05-03	oos	0.891	0.853967	-4.16%	0.874	-1.91%	0.2116	✗	1.15
2026-05-02	oos	0.8907	0.85448	-4.07%	0.9156	+2.80%	0.1814	✗	1.14
2026-05-01	oos	0.8571	0.821772	-4.12%	0.895	+4.42%	0.1552	✗	1.14
2026-04-30	oos	0.829	0.790938	-4.59%	0.912	+10.01%	0.1798	✗	1.11
2026-04-29	oos	0.821	0.785235	-4.36%	0.9561	+16.46%	0.2323	✗	1.11
2026-04-28	oos	0.9136	0.874534	-4.28%	0.9597	+5.05%	0.1351	✗	1.13
2026-04-27	oos	0.8744	0.843582	-3.52%	0.9509	+8.75%	0.1654	✗	1.14
2026-04-26	oos	0.9573	0.929017	-2.95%	0.9861	+3.01%	0.1007	✗	1.12
2026-04-25	oos	0.8181	0.794505	-2.88%	1.0307	+25.99%	0.2660	✗	1.11
2026-04-24	oos	0.7601	0.737858	-2.93%	1.0175	+33.86%	0.3284	✗	1.13
2026-04-23	oos	0.8087	0.790419	-2.26%	0.927	+14.63%	0.1831	✗	1.12
2026-04-22	oos	0.8333	0.813436	-2.38%	0.9386	+12.64%	0.1836	✗	1.12
2026-04-21	oos	0.7887	0.764676	-3.05%	0.9575	+21.40%	0.2075	✗	1.11
2026-04-20	oos	0.7759	0.749433	-3.41%	1.0566	+36.18%	0.3202	✗	1.11
2026-04-19	oos	0.7667	0.734337	-4.22%	0.9715	+26.71%	0.2376	✗	1.08
2026-04-18	oos	0.7735	0.747795	-3.32%	0.9539	+23.32%	0.2264	✗	1.08
2026-04-17	oos	0.7731	0.754422	-2.42%	0.9369	+21.19%	0.2123	✗	1.09
2026-04-16	oos	0.7084	0.684453	-3.38%	1.0445	+47.44%	0.3817	✗	1.07
2026-04-15	oos	0.7505	0.723433	-3.61%	1.201	+60.03%	0.4481	✗	1.07
2026-04-14	oos	0.7751	0.743946	-4.02%	1.2687	+63.68%	0.4380	✗	1.08
2026-04-13	oos	0.8106	0.778737	-3.93%	1.1912	+46.95%	0.3537	✗	1.13
2026-04-12	oos	0.7887	0.749181	-5.01%	1.3903	+76.28%	0.4705	✗	1.15
2026-04-11	oos	0.8128	0.778082	-4.27%	1.1881	+46.17%	0.2940	✗	1.16
2026-04-10	oos	0.6947	0.671582	-3.33%	1.1859	+70.71%	0.4307	✗	1.16
2026-04-09	oos	0.6567	0.632811	-3.64%	1.1651	+77.42%	0.4763	✗	1.15
2026-04-08	oos	0.6537	0.630143	-3.60%	1.168	+78.68%	0.4781	✗	1.15
2026-04-07	oos	0.6643	0.643588	-3.12%	1.1705	+76.20%	0.4751	✗	1.15
2026-04-06	oos	0.6347	0.607714	-4.25%	1.1673	+83.91%	0.4580	✗	1.16
2026-04-05	oos	0.6043	0.57893	-4.20%	1.0047	+66.26%	0.3666	✗	1.16
2026-04-04	oos	0.6245	0.598126	-4.22%	0.9014	+44.34%	0.2093	✗	1.17
2026-04-03	oos	0.6235	0.598088	-4.08%	0.891	+42.90%	0.2110	✗	1.17
2026-04-02	oos	0.6293	0.603867	-4.04%	0.8907	+41.54%	0.1981	✗	1.17
2026-04-01	oos	0.6221	0.597406	-3.97%	0.8571	+37.78%	0.1992	✗	1.17
2026-03-31	oos	0.6198	0.595848	-3.86%	0.829	+33.75%	0.2003	✗	1.16
2026-03-30	oos	0.6208	0.599025	-3.51%	0.821	+32.25%	0.1675	✗	1.17
2026-03-29	oos	0.6376	0.617588	-3.14%	0.9136	+43.29%	0.2229	✗	1.16
2026-03-28	oos	0.6315	0.614649	-2.67%	0.8744	+38.46%	0.1761	✗	1.15
2026-03-27	oos	0.6051	0.592891	-2.02%	0.9573	+58.21%	0.2842	✗	1.14
2026-03-26	oos	0.6183	0.606248	-1.95%	0.8181	+32.31%	0.1595	✗	1.15
2026-03-25	oos	0.6875	0.676203	-1.64%	0.7601	+10.56%	0.0237	✗	1.13
2026-03-24	oos	0.6465	0.638384	-1.26%	0.8087	+25.09%	0.1203	✗	1.11
2026-03-23	oos	0.6555	0.649415	-0.93%	0.8333	+27.12%	0.1397	✗	1.11
2026-03-22	oos	0.6279	0.624178	-0.59%	0.7887	+25.61%	0.1025	✗	1.11
2026-03-21	oos	0.6771	0.672955	-0.61%	0.7759	+14.59%	0.0361	✗	1.11
2026-03-20	oos	0.669	0.666205	-0.42%	0.7667	+14.60%	0.0891	✗	1.11
2026-03-19	oos	0.6529	0.652123	-0.12%	0.7735	+18.47%	0.0819	✗	1.11
2026-03-18	oos	0.6722	0.670416	-0.27%	0.7731	+15.01%	0.0565	✗	1.09
2026-03-17	oos	0.6644	0.662884	-0.23%	0.7084	+6.62%	0.0479	✗	1.12
2026-03-16	oos	0.6809	0.679804	-0.16%	0.7505	+10.22%	0.0997	✗	1.11
2026-03-15	oos	0.6459	0.644292	-0.25%	0.7751	+20.00%	0.1648	✗	1.09
2026-03-14	oos	0.6292	0.62714	-0.33%	0.8106	+28.83%	0.2087	✗	1.09
2026-03-13	oos	0.642	0.639815	-0.34%	0.7887	+22.85%	0.2121	✗	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.6526	0.650377	-0.34%	0.8128	+24.55%	0.1840	✗	1.09
2026-03-11	oos	0.612	0.60677	-0.85%	0.6947	+13.51%	0.0921	✗	1.11
2026-03-10	oos	0.6458	0.641479	-0.67%	0.6567	+1.69%	0.0052	✓	1.10
2026-03-09	oos	0.6859	0.682234	-0.53%	0.6537	-4.69%	0.0857	✓	1.13
2026-03-08	oos	0.6458	0.644457	-0.21%	0.6643	+2.86%	0.0673	✓	1.13
2026-03-07	oos	0.6502	0.647483	-0.42%	0.6347	-2.38%	0.0465	✓	1.13
2026-03-06	oos	0.7077	0.703941	-0.53%	0.6043	-14.61%	0.1673	✓	1.13
2026-03-05	oos	0.7517	0.745729	-0.79%	0.6245	-16.92%	0.1191	✓	1.12
2026-03-04	oos	0.7127	0.705721	-0.98%	0.6235	-12.52%	0.0308	✓	1.14
2026-03-03	oos	0.721	0.719718	-0.18%	0.6293	-12.72%	0.1091	✓	1.18
2026-03-02	oos	0.7801	0.776759	-0.43%	0.6221	-20.25%	0.2095	✓	1.20
2026-03-01	oos	0.8504	0.843693	-0.79%	0.6198	-27.12%	0.3539	✓	1.24
2026-02-28	oos	0.81	0.806422	-0.44%	0.6208	-23.36%	0.2574	✓	1.22
2026-02-27	oos	0.8276	0.82348	-0.50%	0.6376	-22.96%	0.2576	✓	1.23
2026-02-26	oos	0.7424	0.743672	+0.17%	0.6315	-14.94%	0.1414	✗	1.27
2026-02-25	oos	0.7725	0.771354	-0.15%	0.6051	-21.67%	0.2118	✓	1.27
2026-02-24	oos	0.692	0.698861	+0.99%	0.6183	-10.65%	0.2087	✗	1.22
2026-02-23	oos	0.7031	0.709012	+0.84%	0.6875	-2.22%	0.1490	✗	1.20
2026-02-22	oos	0.7356	0.736518	+0.12%	0.6465	-12.11%	0.1820	✗	1.22
2026-02-21	oos	0.7696	0.76804	-0.20%	0.6555	-14.83%	0.2115	✓	1.26
2026-02-20	oos	0.7956	0.791951	-0.46%	0.6279	-21.08%	0.2294	✓	1.34
2026-02-19	oos	0.8029	0.800752	-0.27%	0.6771	-15.67%	0.2063	✓	1.35
2026-02-18	oos	0.8113	0.809937	-0.17%	0.669	-17.54%	0.2737	✓	1.39
2026-02-17	oos	0.822	0.819267	-0.33%	0.6529	-20.57%	0.2788	✓	1.45
2026-02-16	oos	0.8702	0.862163	-0.92%	0.6722	-22.75%	0.2981	✓	1.44
2026-02-15	oos	0.9231	0.910854	-1.33%	0.6644	-28.03%	0.4174	✓	1.41
2026-02-14	oos	0.9424	0.926631	-1.67%	0.6809	-27.75%	0.4067	✓	1.40
2026-02-13	oos	0.9471	0.933091	-1.48%	0.6459	-31.80%	0.4447	✓	1.35
2026-02-12	oos	0.8499	0.851355	+0.17%	0.6292	-25.97%	0.3997	✗	1.33
2026-02-11	oos	0.8637	0.864446	+0.09%	0.642	-25.67%	0.3711	✗	1.30
2026-02-10	oos	0.9149	0.910331	-0.50%	0.6526	-28.67%	0.3645	✓	1.28
2026-02-09	oos	0.9577	0.949091	-0.90%	0.612	-36.10%	0.4407	✓	1.28
2026-02-08	oos	0.9885	0.978767	-0.98%	0.6458	-34.67%	0.4101	✓	1.26
2026-02-07	oos	1.0725	1.0583	-1.32%	0.6859	-36.05%	0.4178	✓	1.35
2026-02-06	oos	1.1406	1.1178	-2.00%	0.6458	-43.38%	0.4549	✓	1.40
2026-02-05	oos	0.9324	0.941808	+1.01%	0.6502	-30.27%	0.4619	✗	1.33
2026-02-04	oos	1.1532	1.125	-2.45%	0.7077	-38.63%	0.3680	✓	1.38
2026-02-03	oos	1.1517	1.1186	-2.87%	0.7517	-34.73%	0.2985	✓	1.52
2026-02-02	oos	1.208	1.1627	-3.75%	0.7127	-41.00%	0.3707	✓	1.50
2026-02-01	oos	1.2018	1.1644	-3.11%	0.721	-40.01%	0.3306	✓	1.26
2026-01-31	oos	1.2276	1.1839	-3.56%	0.7801	-36.45%	0.2400	✓	1.33
2026-01-30	oos	1.2832	1.2119	-5.56%	0.8504	-33.73%	0.0036	✓	1.43
2026-01-29	oos	1.2912	1.2148	-5.92%	0.81	-37.27%	0.0677	✓	1.45
2026-01-28	oos	1.4375	1.3273	-7.66%	0.8276	-42.43%	0.0407	✓	1.43
2026-01-27	oos	1.4171	1.3038	-7.99%	0.7424	-47.61%	0.1528	✓	1.48
2026-01-26	oos	1.5084	1.3922	-7.71%	0.7725	-48.79%	0.2083	✓	1.46
2026-01-25	oos	1.3886	1.2775	-8.00%	0.692	-50.17%	0.1724	✓	1.46
2026-01-24	oos	1.5632	1.432	-8.40%	0.7031	-55.02%	0.2601	✓	1.41
2026-01-23	oos	1.6004	1.4634	-8.56%	0.7356	-54.04%	0.2854	✓	1.44
2026-01-22	oos	1.7155	1.5702	-8.47%	0.7696	-55.14%	0.3178	✓	1.44
2026-01-21	oos	1.705	1.5575	-8.65%	0.7956	-53.34%	0.2800	✓	1.43
2026-01-20	oos	1.7586	1.6088	-8.52%	0.8029	-54.34%	0.2751	✓	1.52
2026-01-19	oos	1.7548	1.5949	-9.11%	0.8113	-53.77%	0.1466	✓	1.60
2026-01-18	oos	1.6001	1.4472	-9.56%	0.822	-48.63%	0.0296	✓	1.64
2026-01-17	oos	1.7004	1.5463	-9.06%	0.8702	-48.82%	0.0379	✓	1.66
2026-01-16	oos	1.911	1.7385	-9.03%	0.9231	-51.70%	0.1005	✓	1.62
2026-01-15	oos	1.8505	1.6836	-9.02%	0.9424	-49.07%	0.0744	✓	1.61
2026-01-14	oos	1.8977	1.7139	-9.69%	0.9471	-50.09%	0.0305	✓	1.64
2026-01-13	oos	1.4442	1.2997	-10.00%	0.8499	-41.15%	0.1418	✗	1.55
2026-01-12	oos	1.3797	1.2334	-10.60%	0.8637	-37.40%	0.1188	✗	1.54
2026-01-11	oos	1.2505	1.1165	-10.71%	0.9149	-26.84%	0.2325	✗	1.55
2026-01-10	oos	1.1019	0.986946	-10.43%	0.9577	-13.09%	0.3604	✗	1.54
2026-01-09	oos	1.155	1.0297	-10.85%	0.9885	-14.42%	0.3118	✗	1.39
2026-01-08	oos	1.1722	1.0397	-11.30%	1.0725	-8.51%	0.3657	✗	1.22
2026-01-07	oos	1.2265	1.0829	-11.70%	1.1406	-7.00%	0.2655	✗	0.83
2026-01-06	oos	1.3002	1.1385	-12.44%	0.9324	-28.29%	0.1042	✓	0.76
2026-01-05	oos	1.2657	1.1056	-12.65%	1.1532	-8.89%	0.2309	✗	0.75
2026-01-04	oos	1.2551	1.1041	-12.03%	1.1517	-8.24%	0.1770	✗	0.71
2026-01-03	oos	1.2419	1.0971	-11.66%	1.208	-2.73%	0.1972	✗	0.71
2026-01-02	oos	1.2407	1.1006	-11.29%	1.2018	-3.14%	0.1996	✗	0.71
2026-01-01	oos	1.3103	1.1637	-11.19%	1.2276	-6.31%	0.1429	✗	0.74
2025-12-31	oos	1.3419	1.1975	-10.76%	1.2832	-4.37%	0.0985	✓	0.74
2025-12-30	oos	1.3547	1.2046	-11.08%	1.2912	-4.69%	0.1051	✓	0.79
2025-12-29	oos	1.4501	1.2845	-11.42%	1.4375	-0.87%	0.0940	✓	0.80
2025-12-28	oos	1.2472	1.142	-8.43%	1.4171	+13.62%	0.2044	✗	0.82
2025-12-27	oos	1.2406	1.1432	-7.85%	1.5084	+21.59%	0.2729	✗	0.86
2025-12-26	oos	1.2271	1.144	-6.77%	1.3886	+13.16%	0.2008	✗	0.83
2025-12-25	oos	1.373	1.2648	-7.88%	1.5632	+13.85%	0.1937	✗	0.84
2025-12-24	oos	1.2847	1.2022	-6.42%	1.6004	+24.57%	0.2683	✗	0.85
2025-12-23	oos	1.3175	1.2339	-6.35%	1.7155	+30.21%	0.3100	✗	0.85
2025-12-22	oos	1.3396	1.2536	-6.42%	1.705	+27.28%	0.2999	✗	0.84
2025-12-21	oos	1.3321	1.2547	-5.81%	1.7586	+32.02%	0.3407	✗	0.84
2025-12-20	oos	1.352	1.2783	-5.45%	1.7548	+29.79%	0.2768	✗	0.85
2025-12-19	oos	1.3798	1.3068	-5.29%	1.6001	+15.97%	0.1502	✗	0.86
2025-12-18	oos	1.4117	1.3471	-4.58%	1.7004	+20.45%	0.1369	✗	0.90
2025-12-17	oos	1.5658	1.4762	-5.73%	1.911	+22.05%	0.1690	✗	0.87
2025-12-16	oos	1.5189	1.4381	-5.32%	1.8505	+21.83%	0.1792	✗	0.86
2025-12-15	oos	1.547	1.473	-4.78%	1.8977	+22.67%	0.1516	✗	0.88
2025-12-14	oos	1.5612	1.4866	-4.78%	1.4442	-7.49%	0.0959	✓	0.85
2025-12-13	oos	1.6587	1.5664	-5.57%	1.3797	-16.82%	0.1354	✓	0.83
2025-12-12	oos	1.6998	1.6042	-5.62%	1.2505	-26.43%	0.2545	✓	0.83
2025-12-11	oos	1.9007	1.7675	-7.01%	1.1019	-42.03%	0.4541	✓	0.78
2025-12-10	oos	2.0681	1.9155	-7.38%	1.155	-44.15%	0.4927	✓	0.79
2025-12-09	oos	2.2147	2.0401	-7.88%	1.1722	-47.07%	0.5400	✓	0.78
2025-12-08	oos	2.0749	1.9232	-7.31%	1.2265	-40.89%	0.4551	✓	0.76
2025-12-07	oos	2.1585	1.9988	-7.40%	1.3002	-39.76%	0.4578	✓	0.77
2025-12-06	oos	2.1753	2.0202	-7.13%	1.2657	-41.81%	0.5059	✓	0.76
2025-12-05	oos	2.3701	2.1864	-7.75%	1.2551	-47.04%	0.5733	✓	0.77
2025-12-04	oos	2.4001	2.1999	-8.34%	1.2419	-48.26%	0.5592	✓	0.77
2025-12-03	oos	2.2141	2.0256	-8.51%	1.2407	-43.96%	0.4600	✓	0.79
2025-12-02	oos	2.0663	1.906	-7.76%	1.3103	-36.59%	0.3527	✓	0.77
2025-12-01	oos	2.0424	1.9122	-6.37%	1.3419	-34.30%	0.3661	✓	0.85
2025-11-30	oos	2.0181	1.8596	-7.85%	1.3547	-32.87%	0.2968	✓	0.91
2025-11-29	oos	2.1995	2.0171	-8.29%	1.4501	-34.07%	0.2925	✓	0.90
2025-11-28	oos	2.2508	2.0552	-8.69%	1.2472	-44.59%	0.4688	✓	0.91
2025-11-27	oos	2.65	2.4177	-8.77%	1.2406	-53.18%	0.6323	✓	0.89
2025-11-26	oos	2.8145	2.5613	-9.00%	1.2271	-56.40%	0.7031	✓	0.92
2025-11-25	oos	2.8099	2.568	-8.61%	1.373	-51.14%	0.6245	✓	0.95
2025-11-24	oos	3.1104	2.8057	-9.80%	1.2847	-58.70%	0.7743	✓	0.92
2025-11-23	oos	2.6466	2.4227	-8.46%	1.3175	-50.22%	0.6150	✓	0.82
2025-11-22	oos	2.0862	1.9049	-8.69%	1.3396	-35.79%	0.3792	✓	0.61
2025-11-21	oos	2.3982	2.1824	-9.00%	1.3321	-44.45%	0.5186	✓	0.61
2025-11-20	oos	2.928	2.6535	-9.37%	1.352	-53.83%	0.6852	✓	0.53
2025-11-19	oos	3.509	3.1532	-10.14%	1.3798	-60.68%	0.8170	✓	0.25
2025-11-18	oos	3.5056	3.144	-10.31%	1.4117	-59.73%	0.7801	✓	0.25
2025-11-17	oos	4.2919	3.7667	-12.24%	1.5658	-63.52%	0.8583	✓	0.30
2025-11-16	oos	4.1796	3.6555	-12.54%	1.5189	-63.66%	0.8550	✓	0.33
2025-11-15	oos	3.103	2.792	-10.02%	1.547	-50.15%	0.5472	✓	0.43
2025-11-14	oos	2.8813	2.6022	-9.69%	1.5612	-45.82%	0.4823	✓	0.41
2025-11-13	oos	2.939	2.6565	-9.61%	1.6587	-43.56%	0.4329	✓	0.39
2025-11-12	oos	2.8393	2.5648	-9.67%	1.6998	-40.13%	0.3642	✓	0.40
2025-11-11	oos	3.1359	2.7934	-10.92%	1.9007	-39.39%	0.3467	✓	0.36
2025-11-10	oos	3.0174	2.6662	-11.64%	2.0681	-31.46%	0.2004	✓	0.38
2025-11-09	oos	2.1958	1.9992	-8.95%	2.2147	+0.86%	0.1339	✗	0.26
2025-11-08	oos	1.794	1.6482	-8.13%	2.0749	+15.66%	0.2446	✗	0.12
2025-11-07	oos	1.7824	1.6329	-8.39%	2.1585	+21.10%	0.2947	✗	0.12
2025-11-06	oos	1.4682	1.352	-7.91%	2.1753	+48.16%	0.4753	✗	-0.00
2025-11-05	oos	1.8578	1.7017	-8.40%	2.3701	+27.58%	0.3028	✗	-0.19
2025-11-04	oos	1.8728	1.7008	-9.18%	2.4001	+28.16%	0.3263	✗	-0.19
2025-11-03	oos	1.5803	1.4517	-8.14%	2.2141	+40.11%	0.4282	✗	0.05
2025-11-02	oos	1.8033	1.6419	-8.95%	2.0663	+14.58%	0.2035	✗	-0.14
2025-11-01	oos	1.5727	1.4333	-8.87%	2.0424	+29.87%	0.3165	✗	-0.15
2025-10-31	oos	1.3608	1.2418	-8.75%	2.0181	+48.30%	0.4500	✗	-0.18
2025-10-30	oos	1.2619	1.1506	-8.82%	2.1995	+74.30%	0.6121	✗	-0.20
2025-10-29	oos	1.4833	1.3513	-8.90%	2.2508	+51.74%	0.4551	✗	-0.29
2025-10-28	oos	1.4321	1.3018	-9.10%	2.65	+85.04%	0.6574	✗	-0.25
2025-10-27	oos	1.7264	1.5616	-9.55%	2.8145	+63.03%	0.5139	✗	-0.32
2025-10-26	oos	1.5906	1.4439	-9.22%	2.8099	+76.66%	0.5803	✗	-0.32
2025-10-25	oos	1.4643	1.3336	-8.93%	3.1104	+112.42%	0.7616	✗	-0.36
2025-10-24	oos	1.4757	1.341	-9.13%	2.6466	+79.35%	0.5824	✗	-0.40
2025-10-23	oos	1.4768	1.3397	-9.28%	2.0862	+41.26%	0.3392	✗	-0.39
2025-10-22	oos	1.2884	1.1814	-8.30%	2.3982	+86.14%	0.5867	✗	-0.52
2025-10-21	oos	1.2338	1.1331	-8.16%	2.928	+137.32%	0.8355	✗	-0.51
2025-10-20	oos	1.2969	1.1841	-8.70%	3.509	+170.57%	0.9843	✗	-0.54
2025-10-19	oos	1.1538	1.0561	-8.47%	3.5056	+203.83%	1.1049	✗	-0.61
2025-10-18	oos	1.2065	1.1051	-8.41%	4.2919	+255.73%	1.2690	✗	-0.58
2025-10-17	oos	1.2667	1.1604	-8.39%	4.1796	+229.96%	1.2125	✗	-0.56
2025-10-16	oos	1.4108	1.2871	-8.77%	3.103	+119.95%	0.8009	✗	-0.64
2025-10-15	oos	1.5306	1.391	-9.12%	2.8813	+88.25%	0.6135	✗	-0.72
2025-10-14	oos	1.447	1.3196	-8.80%	2.939	+103.11%	0.7120	✗	-0.70
2025-10-13	oos	1.5624	1.4136	-9.52%	2.8393	+81.73%	0.5993	✗	-0.78
2025-10-12	oos	1.4058	1.2789	-9.02%	3.1359	+123.07%	0.8115	✗	-0.77
2025-10-11	oos	1.5112	1.3424	-11.17%	3.0174	+99.67%	0.7797	✗	-0.68
2025-10-10	oos	1.0842	0.994996	-8.23%	2.1958	+102.53%	0.7572	✗	-0.45
2025-10-09	oos	0.9355	0.880881	-5.84%	1.794	+91.77%	0.7119	✗	0.00
2025-10-08	oos	0.7801	0.742897	-4.77%	1.7824	+128.48%	0.9064	✗	0.18
2025-10-07	oos	0.7782	0.738192	-5.14%	1.4682	+88.67%	0.7330	✗	0.25
2025-10-06	oos	0.717	0.68631	-4.28%	1.8578	+159.11%	1.0631	✗	0.37
2025-10-05	oos	0.6989	0.666623	-4.62%	1.8728	+167.96%	1.1025	✗	0.35
2025-10-04	oos	0.7039	0.671438	-4.61%	1.5803	+124.51%	0.9041	✗	0.35
2025-10-03	oos	0.701	0.669709	-4.46%	1.8033	+157.25%	1.0251	✗	0.34
2025-10-02	oos	0.7127	0.679066	-4.72%	1.5727	+120.67%	0.8725	✗	0.36
2025-10-01	oos	0.6238	0.591221	-5.22%	1.3608	+118.15%	0.8539	✗	0.25
2025-09-30	oos	0.6189	0.586294	-5.27%	1.2619	+103.89%	0.7796	✗	0.25
2025-09-29	oos	0.6369	0.603453	-5.25%	1.4833	+132.89%	0.9098	✗	0.27
2025-09-28	oos	0.5722	0.541333	-5.39%	1.4321	+150.28%	0.9718	✗	0.18
2025-09-27	oos	0.5832	0.553979	-5.01%	1.7264	+196.02%	1.1294	✗	0.18
2025-09-26	oos	0.6207	0.589367	-5.05%	1.5906	+156.26%	0.9855	✗	0.17
2025-09-25	oos	0.5954	0.565166	-5.08%	1.4643	+145.94%	0.9483	✗	0.15
2025-09-24	oos	0.6084	0.573861	-5.68%	1.4757	+142.55%	0.9469	✗	0.12
2025-09-23	oos	0.6103	0.575832	-5.65%	1.4768	+141.98%	0.9441	✗	0.13
2025-09-22	oos	0.5926	0.556291	-6.13%	1.2884	+117.41%	0.8455	✗	0.12
2025-09-21	oos	0.6157	0.5775	-6.20%	1.2338	+100.39%	0.7637	✗	0.07
2025-09-20	oos	0.6	0.560094	-6.65%	1.2969	+116.15%	0.8581	✗	0.40
2025-09-19	oos	0.6327	0.59301	-6.27%	1.1538	+82.36%	0.6946	✗	0.46
2025-09-18	oos	0.5919	0.549975	-7.08%	1.2065	+103.84%	0.8313	✗	0.52
2025-09-17	oos	0.641	0.600319	-6.35%	1.2667	+97.61%	0.7916	✗	0.50

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.