DRV

Derive · Ethereum · gru_s7

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 414

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

131

of 138 predictions shown

direction hit

54.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1619

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0246

actual +0.0604

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.386075	0.376482	-2.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.387985	-2.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.388493	-2.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.372659	-2.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.391717	-2.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.37618	-2.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.396912	-3.49%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.402019	-3.45%	0.386075	-7.28%	0.0596	✓	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.431919	-4.20%	0.398745	-11.56%	0.0772	✓	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.422412	-4.17%	0.39882	-9.52%	0.0591	✓	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.474562	-4.39%	0.38187	-23.06%	0.1857	✓	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.514005	-4.57%	0.403015	-25.18%	0.2134	✓	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.488971	-5.20%	0.387205	-24.93%	0.2129	✓	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.415952	-4.76%	0.41127	-5.83%	0.0196	✓	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.360987	-3.36%	0.416385	+11.47%	0.1774	✗	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.390251	-4.26%	0.450845	+10.61%	0.1916	✗	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.394069	-4.37%	0.4408	+6.97%	0.1899	✗	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.39817	-4.50%	0.49633	+19.04%	0.2746	✗	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.368776	-4.10%	0.538615	+40.07%	0.4141	✗	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.379824	-4.19%	0.515775	+30.10%	0.3439	✗	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.377732	-4.41%	0.436745	+10.52%	0.2061	✗	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.373523	-4.18%	0.373545	-4.18%	0.0054	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.365416	-4.26%	0.407595	+6.79%	0.0734	✗	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.354254	-4.13%	0.41208	+11.52%	0.1095	✗	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.414813	-4.69%	0.41695	-4.20%	0.0279	✓	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.395267	-4.28%	0.38453	-6.88%	0.0329	✓	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.425025	-4.33%	0.39644	-10.76%	0.0762	✓	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.432632	-4.63%	0.395175	-12.89%	0.0979	✓	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.458185	-5.73%	0.38983	-19.80%	0.1486	✓	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.413643	-5.20%	0.381685	-12.52%	0.0384	✓	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.383815	-5.07%	0.36952	-8.60%	0.0145	✓	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.370047	-5.48%	0.43524	+11.17%	0.1006	✗	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.411263	-7.89%	0.412955	-7.51%	0.0541	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.278144	-5.77%	0.44425	+50.50%	0.4086	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.241779	-5.22%	0.45364	+77.84%	0.4844	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.228903	-6.41%	0.48606	+98.74%	0.6047	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.136716	-0.24%	0.436315	+218.36%	0.9818	✗	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.139934	-0.75%	0.4043	+186.77%	0.9200	✗	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.142736	-0.57%	0.391515	+172.72%	0.9317	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.14942	-0.33%	0.446505	+197.83%	1.0249	✗	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.148389	-0.08%	0.29519	+98.77%	0.6239	✗	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.147648	-0.04%	0.25509	+72.70%	0.5501	✗	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.154403	+0.20%	0.24457	+58.71%	0.4976	✓	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.164426	+0.30%	0.13705	-16.40%	0.1316	✗	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.158356	+0.54%	0.140985	-10.49%	0.1000	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.166877	+1.05%	0.14356	-13.07%	0.0877	✗	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.173339	+0.64%	0.14992	-12.96%	0.0999	✗	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.151186	+1.03%	0.148505	-0.76%	0.0280	✓	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.160544	+1.25%	0.147705	-6.85%	0.0023	✓	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.143974	+0.18%	0.154095	+7.23%	0.0490	✓	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.142894	+0.04%	0.16393	+14.76%	0.1170	✓	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.154117	+0.24%	0.1575	+2.44%	0.0133	✓	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.156115	-0.13%	0.16514	+5.64%	0.0135	✗	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.171694	-0.12%	0.17224	+0.20%	0.0187	✓	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.16865	-0.47%	0.14964	-11.69%	0.1448	✓	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.175389	-0.62%	0.15856	-10.16%	0.1140	✓	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.165269	-0.99%	0.14371	-13.90%	0.1165	✓	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.146351	-1.14%	0.14284	-3.51%	0.0092	✓	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.159948	-2.36%	0.153755	-6.14%	0.0340	✓	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.128857	-1.70%	0.15632	+19.25%	0.1940	✗	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.111443	-1.67%	0.1719	+51.67%	0.4194	✗	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.116103	-2.34%	0.16944	+42.53%	0.3837	✗	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.096075	-2.44%	0.17649	+79.22%	0.5456	✗	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.0957	-3.03%	0.166915	+69.13%	0.4610	✗	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.090684	-2.99%	0.14804	+58.37%	0.3501	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.09279	-3.11%	0.163815	+71.06%	0.4209	✗	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.098391	-4.95%	0.13109	+26.64%	0.1097	✗	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.090482	-2.68%	0.11334	+21.90%	0.0569	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.090313	-2.62%	0.11888	+28.19%	0.0922	✗	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.092444	-2.67%	0.098475	+3.68%	0.0540	✓	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.095878	-2.80%	0.09869	+0.05%	0.0454	✓	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.094797	-2.91%	0.093475	-4.26%	0.0290	✓	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.090897	-2.64%	0.095765	+2.57%	0.0447	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.094263	-2.89%	0.10351	+6.63%	0.1197	✗	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.094588	-2.85%	0.092975	-4.50%	0.0073	✓	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.09426	-2.71%	0.09274	-4.28%	0.0086	✓	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.095294	-2.57%	0.09498	-2.89%	0.0078	✓	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.098258	-2.59%	0.09864	-2.22%	0.0194	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.099161	-2.47%	0.097635	-3.97%	0.0087	✓	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.09555	-1.66%	0.093365	-3.91%	0.0289	✓	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.098108	-1.60%	0.09707	-2.64%	0.0281	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.103981	-1.68%	0.09736	-7.94%	0.0951	✓	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.112398	-3.67%	0.096885	-16.97%	0.1769	✓	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.093589	-1.04%	0.097805	+3.42%	0.0521	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.095661	-1.05%	0.100875	+4.34%	0.0403	✗	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.101529	-1.58%	0.10167	-1.44%	0.0023	✓	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.10397	-1.76%	0.09716	-8.20%	0.0635	✓	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.111835	-2.39%	0.0997	-12.98%	0.0828	✓	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.111175	-2.20%	0.105755	-6.97%	0.0226	✓	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.112576	-2.09%	0.116685	+1.48%	0.0585	✗	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.11638	-2.30%	0.094575	-20.60%	0.2017	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.118715	-2.37%	0.09668	-20.49%	0.1676	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.117053	-2.41%	0.10316	-13.99%	0.0804	✓	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.120942	-2.24%	0.105835	-14.45%	0.1056	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.120409	-2.16%	0.114575	-6.90%	0.0617	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.123492	-2.07%	0.113675	-9.85%	0.0736	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.127406	-1.94%	0.11498	-11.50%	0.1063	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.132811	-1.83%	0.119115	-11.95%	0.1337	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.142753	-2.12%	0.121595	-16.63%	0.1857	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.149817	-3.47%	0.11994	-22.72%	0.2504	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.114896	-1.71%	0.123715	+5.83%	0.0416	✗	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.121057	-1.84%	0.12307	-0.21%	0.0070	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.121794	-1.80%	0.1261	+1.68%	0.0244	✗	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.115189	-2.15%	0.129925	+10.37%	0.1228	✗	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.112293	-1.82%	0.135285	+18.29%	0.1802	✗	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.107154	-1.74%	0.145845	+33.74%	0.2840	✗	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.108498	-1.85%	0.1552	+40.40%	0.3421	✗	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.111499	-1.89%	0.116895	+2.86%	0.0638	✗	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.110196	-1.77%	0.12333	+9.94%	0.1111	✗	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.105729	-1.80%	0.12402	+15.19%	0.1532	✗	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.108083	-2.02%	0.11772	+6.72%	0.0698	✗	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.110047	-1.84%	0.11437	+2.02%	0.0206	✗	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.104801	-2.35%	0.10905	+1.61%	0.0161	✓	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.110473	-2.76%	0.11054	-2.70%	0.0627	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.103508	-2.06%	0.11365	+7.54%	0.0370	✗	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.098992	-2.63%	0.11218	+10.34%	0.0652	✗	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.086169	-1.32%	0.10767	+23.31%	0.1764	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.082012	-1.14%	0.11031	+32.97%	0.2553	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.082117	-1.11%	0.112105	+35.00%	0.2819	✗	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.08166	-1.35%	0.10732	+29.65%	0.2901	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.084667	-1.73%	0.11361	+31.86%	0.3621	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.085562	-1.96%	0.10568	+21.09%	0.2722	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.088958	-2.02%	0.10167	+11.98%	0.1949	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.096327	-2.24%	0.08732	-11.38%	0.0291	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.093021	-2.22%	0.08296	-12.79%	0.0582	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.091985	-2.22%	0.08304	-11.73%	0.0505	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.095566	-2.40%	0.082775	-15.47%	0.0885	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.097766	-2.65%	0.08616	-14.21%	0.0800	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.099329	-2.62%	0.087275	-14.44%	0.0936	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.098157	-2.69%	0.090795	-9.99%	0.0396	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.098149	-2.60%	0.098535	-2.22%	0.0071	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.099593	-2.52%	0.09513	-6.89%	0.0449	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.101655	-2.57%	0.09407	-9.84%	0.0667	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.096421	-2.21%	0.09792	-0.69%	0.0322	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.102601	-2.34%	0.10043	-4.41%	0.0832	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.107737	-3.28%	0.102	-8.43%	0.1044	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.101159	-2.40%	0.10087	-2.68%	0.0401	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.090235	-1.42%	0.10077	+10.10%	0.0533	✗	1.00