DRV

Derive · Ethereum · gru_s7

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 417

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

109

of 139 predictions shown

direction hit

32.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4484

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0573

actual +0.3186

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.40159	0.363124	-9.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-21	oos	0.402115	0.365957	-8.99%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.363147	-8.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.363122	-8.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.348238	-8.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.366395	-9.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.351168	-9.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.371139	-9.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.376832	-9.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.402142	-10.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.392145	-11.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.441851	-10.98%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.479286	-11.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.454289	-11.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.386653	-11.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.336152	-10.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.365561	-10.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.369178	-10.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.373053	-10.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.343905	-10.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.354595	-10.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.352272	-10.86%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.347918	-10.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.339121	-11.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.326037	-11.77%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.389282	-10.56%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.369692	-10.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.400125	-9.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.408847	-9.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.431743	-11.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.391154	-10.35%	0.40159	-7.96%	0.0587	✓	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.362783	-10.27%	0.402115	-0.54%	0.1457	✗	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.347346	-11.28%	0.398745	+1.85%	0.1045	✓	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.375231	-15.96%	0.39882	-10.68%	0.0498	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.258559	-12.41%	0.38187	+29.36%	0.3687	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.222727	-12.69%	0.403015	+57.99%	0.5006	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.205265	-16.07%	0.387205	+58.32%	0.5365	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.130436	-4.83%	0.41127	+200.09%	1.0356	✗	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.134177	-4.83%	0.416385	+195.34%	1.0739	✗	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.136457	-4.95%	0.450845	+214.05%	1.0846	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.14233	-5.06%	0.4408	+194.02%	1.0520	✗	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.14154	-4.69%	0.49633	+234.22%	1.1439	✗	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.140809	-4.67%	0.538615	+264.66%	1.2323	✗	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.146754	-4.76%	0.515775	+234.71%	1.1849	✗	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.155269	-5.28%	0.436745	+166.42%	0.9792	✗	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.15024	-4.61%	0.373545	+137.17%	0.8393	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.158194	-4.21%	0.407595	+146.82%	0.8591	✗	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.165017	-4.19%	0.41208	+139.25%	0.8162	✗	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.14597	-2.45%	0.41695	+178.64%	0.9295	✗	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.154968	-2.27%	0.38453	+142.51%	0.8489	✗	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.139851	-2.69%	0.39644	+175.86%	0.9076	✗	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.139455	-2.37%	0.395175	+176.66%	0.9027	✗	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.150098	-2.38%	0.38983	+153.54%	0.8770	✗	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.152483	-2.45%	0.381685	+144.17%	0.8240	✗	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.167574	-2.52%	0.36952	+114.96%	0.7208	✗	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.165836	-2.13%	0.43524	+156.87%	0.8765	✗	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.174792	-0.96%	0.412955	+133.98%	0.8060	✗	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.164972	-1.16%	0.44425	+166.15%	0.9249	✗	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.148166	+0.09%	0.45364	+206.43%	1.0439	✓	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.158951	-2.97%	0.48606	+196.71%	1.0499	✗	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.132062	+0.74%	0.436315	+232.84%	1.0969	✓	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.1173	+3.49%	0.4043	+256.71%	1.1298	✓	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.123052	+3.51%	0.391515	+229.34%	1.1252	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.099283	+0.82%	0.446505	+353.42%	1.4331	✓	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.095214	-3.52%	0.29519	+199.11%	1.0195	✗	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.087944	-5.92%	0.25509	+172.90%	0.9453	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.089411	-6.64%	0.24457	+155.39%	0.8854	✗	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.092683	-10.46%	0.13705	+32.40%	0.2373	✗	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.087445	-5.95%	0.140985	+51.64%	0.2972	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.087179	-6.00%	0.14356	+54.80%	0.3326	✗	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.089292	-5.99%	0.14992	+57.84%	0.3538	✗	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.0923	-6.43%	0.148505	+50.55%	0.3109	✗	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.091268	-6.52%	0.147705	+51.28%	0.3257	✗	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.087898	-5.86%	0.154095	+65.05%	0.3903	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.091237	-6.01%	0.16393	+68.88%	0.4283	✗	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.091474	-6.05%	0.1575	+61.77%	0.3796	✗	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.091158	-5.91%	0.16514	+70.45%	0.4173	✗	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.091576	-6.37%	0.17224	+76.11%	0.4499	✗	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.094284	-6.53%	0.14964	+48.34%	0.2870	✗	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.094628	-6.93%	0.15856	+55.96%	0.3156	✗	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.09109	-6.25%	0.14371	+47.91%	0.2926	✗	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.093331	-6.39%	0.14284	+43.27%	0.2613	✗	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.097964	-7.37%	0.153755	+45.39%	0.2552	✗	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.103905	-10.95%	0.15632	+33.97%	0.2224	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.089486	-5.38%	0.1719	+81.76%	0.4375	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.091298	-5.57%	0.16944	+75.26%	0.3891	✗	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.097263	-5.72%	0.17649	+71.08%	0.3278	✗	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.099759	-5.74%	0.166915	+57.71%	0.2607	✗	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.108169	-5.59%	0.14804	+29.21%	0.1077	✗	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.107276	-5.63%	0.163815	+44.11%	0.1897	✗	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.1089	-5.29%	0.13109	+14.01%	0.0349	✓	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.112985	-5.15%	0.11334	-4.85%	0.1876	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.115749	-4.81%	0.11888	-2.23%	0.1635	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.114631	-4.43%	0.098475	-17.90%	0.2564	✓	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.1176	-4.94%	0.09869	-20.23%	0.2472	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.116965	-4.96%	0.093475	-24.05%	0.2242	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.11978	-5.01%	0.095765	-24.06%	0.2179	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.122996	-5.33%	0.10351	-20.33%	0.1519	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.127846	-5.50%	0.092975	-31.27%	0.3037	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.136852	-6.17%	0.09274	-36.41%	0.3561	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.14066	-9.37%	0.09498	-38.80%	0.3634	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.110989	-5.05%	0.09864	-15.62%	0.1307	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.116733	-5.35%	0.097635	-20.83%	0.1765	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.117213	-5.49%	0.093365	-24.72%	0.2289	✓	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.110927	-5.77%	0.09707	-17.54%	0.1408	✓	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.108241	-5.36%	0.09736	-14.87%	0.1235	✓	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.103437	-5.15%	0.096885	-11.16%	0.0914	✓	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.104837	-5.16%	0.097805	-11.52%	0.0785	✓	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.107657	-5.27%	0.100875	-11.24%	0.0707	✓	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.106444	-5.11%	0.10167	-9.37%	0.0503	✓	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.102184	-5.10%	0.09716	-9.76%	0.0539	✓	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.103832	-5.87%	0.0997	-9.62%	0.0502	✓	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.105218	-6.14%	0.105755	-5.66%	0.0086	✓	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.09952	-7.27%	0.116685	+8.73%	0.1295	✗	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.103488	-8.91%	0.094575	-16.75%	0.1710	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.09814	-7.14%	0.09668	-8.52%	0.0700	✓	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.093073	-8.46%	0.10316	+1.47%	0.0393	✓	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.082718	-5.27%	0.105835	+21.20%	0.1914	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.078937	-4.85%	0.114575	+38.11%	0.2873	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.078966	-4.91%	0.113675	+36.89%	0.2902	✗	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.078918	-4.66%	0.11498	+38.91%	0.3268	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.082285	-4.50%	0.119115	+38.25%	0.3322	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.083565	-4.25%	0.121595	+39.32%	0.3422	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.086601	-4.62%	0.11994	+32.10%	0.2751	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.093754	-4.85%	0.123715	+25.55%	0.2620	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.090466	-4.90%	0.12307	+29.37%	0.2889	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.089299	-5.07%	0.1261	+34.05%	0.3150	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.093072	-4.95%	0.129925	+32.68%	0.3422	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.095487	-4.92%	0.135285	+34.71%	0.3769	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.097065	-4.84%	0.145845	+42.99%	0.4310	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.095613	-5.21%	0.1552	+53.86%	0.4954	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.095156	-5.57%	0.116895	+16.00%	0.2399	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.096129	-5.91%	0.12333	+20.71%	0.2460	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.097785	-6.28%	0.12402	+18.86%	0.2344	✗	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.092343	-6.35%	0.11772	+19.39%	0.2001	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.09766	-7.04%	0.11437	+8.86%	0.1341	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.101532	-8.85%	0.10905	-2.10%	0.0846	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.095719	-7.65%	0.11054	+6.65%	0.1436	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.085331	-6.77%	0.11365	+24.17%	0.2361	✗	1.00