DRV

Derive · Ethereum · gru_s7

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 414

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

137

of 138 predictions shown

direction hit

57.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0537

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0071

actual +0.0087

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.386075	0.384114	-0.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.396411	-0.59%	0.386075	-3.18%	0.0222	✓	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.396558	-0.57%	0.398745	-0.02%	0.0137	✓	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.380182	-0.44%	0.39882	+4.44%	0.0508	✗	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.400623	-0.59%	0.38187	-5.25%	0.0588	✓	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.385208	-0.52%	0.403015	+4.08%	0.0473	✗	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.408413	-0.69%	0.387205	-5.85%	0.0428	✓	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.413625	-0.66%	0.41127	-1.23%	0.0152	✓	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.446559	-0.95%	0.416385	-7.64%	0.0442	✓	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.436957	-0.87%	0.450845	+2.28%	0.0082	✓	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.491304	-1.01%	0.4408	-11.19%	0.0718	✓	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.531889	-1.25%	0.49633	-7.85%	0.0840	✓	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.506503	-1.80%	0.538615	+4.43%	0.0544	✗	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.429665	-1.62%	0.515775	+18.10%	0.1664	✗	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.37068	-0.77%	0.436745	+16.92%	0.1961	✗	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.403145	-1.09%	0.373545	-8.35%	0.0324	✓	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.407281	-1.16%	0.407595	-1.09%	0.0047	✓	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.411677	-1.26%	0.41208	-1.17%	0.0154	✗	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.380807	-0.97%	0.41695	+8.43%	0.0574	✗	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.39236	-1.03%	0.38453	-3.00%	0.0247	✓	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.390388	-1.21%	0.39644	+0.32%	0.0219	✗	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.385688	-1.06%	0.395175	+1.37%	0.0002	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.377477	-1.10%	0.38983	+2.13%	0.0338	✗	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.365902	-0.98%	0.381685	+3.29%	0.0389	✗	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.428581	-1.53%	0.36952	-15.10%	0.1317	✓	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.407903	-1.22%	0.43524	+5.40%	0.0641	✗	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.438539	-1.29%	0.412955	-7.04%	0.0653	✓	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.446651	-1.54%	0.44425	-2.07%	0.0008	✓	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.474339	-2.41%	0.45364	-6.67%	0.0447	✓	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.427345	-2.06%	0.48606	+11.40%	0.1585	✗	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.396348	-1.97%	0.436315	+7.92%	0.1026	✗	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.38311	-2.15%	0.4043	+3.27%	0.0463	✓	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.428948	-3.93%	0.391515	-12.32%	0.0899	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.287818	-2.50%	0.446505	+51.26%	0.4324	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.24943	-2.22%	0.29519	+15.72%	0.0851	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.23658	-3.27%	0.25509	+4.30%	0.0715	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.137212	+0.12%	0.24457	+78.45%	0.5679	✓	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.140982	-0.00%	0.13705	-2.79%	0.0182	✗	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.143612	+0.04%	0.140985	-1.79%	0.0433	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.150012	+0.06%	0.14356	-4.24%	0.0356	✗	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.148663	+0.11%	0.14992	+0.95%	0.0075	✓	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.147862	+0.11%	0.148505	+0.54%	0.0076	✗	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.154194	+0.06%	0.147705	-4.15%	0.0123	✗	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.163942	+0.01%	0.154095	-6.00%	0.0591	✗	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.157682	+0.12%	0.16393	+4.08%	0.0502	✓	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.165401	+0.16%	0.1575	-4.63%	0.0272	✗	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.171983	-0.15%	0.16514	-4.12%	0.0494	✓	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.14989	+0.17%	0.17224	+15.10%	0.1361	✓	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.15863	+0.04%	0.14964	-5.63%	0.0301	✗	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.143761	+0.04%	0.15856	+10.33%	0.0226	✓	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.142844	+0.00%	0.14371	+0.61%	0.0078	✓	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.153709	-0.03%	0.14284	-7.10%	0.0546	✓	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.156154	-0.11%	0.153755	-1.64%	0.0300	✓	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.171505	-0.23%	0.15632	-9.06%	0.0848	✓	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.168812	-0.37%	0.1719	+1.45%	0.0127	✗	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.175415	-0.61%	0.16944	-3.99%	0.0017	✓	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.165729	-0.71%	0.17649	+5.74%	0.0463	✗	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.147265	-0.52%	0.166915	+12.75%	0.1186	✗	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.161693	-1.30%	0.14804	-9.63%	0.0823	✓	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.130213	-0.67%	0.163815	+24.96%	0.2144	✗	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.112799	-0.48%	0.13109	+15.66%	0.1422	✗	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.117459	-1.20%	0.11334	-4.66%	0.0209	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.09799	-0.49%	0.11888	+20.72%	0.1469	✗	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.098031	-0.67%	0.098475	-0.22%	0.0333	✓	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.092946	-0.57%	0.09869	+5.58%	0.0102	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.095103	-0.69%	0.093475	-2.39%	0.0196	✓	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.101205	-2.23%	0.095765	-7.48%	0.0767	✓	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.092444	-0.57%	0.10351	+11.33%	0.1155	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.092252	-0.53%	0.092975	+0.25%	0.0072	✗	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.094474	-0.53%	0.09274	-2.36%	0.0126	✓	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.098032	-0.62%	0.09498	-3.71%	0.0318	✓	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.096925	-0.73%	0.09864	+1.03%	0.0191	✗	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.092824	-0.58%	0.097635	+4.57%	0.0556	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.096465	-0.62%	0.093365	-3.82%	0.0206	✓	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.096788	-0.59%	0.09707	-0.30%	0.0037	✓	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.096382	-0.52%	0.09736	+0.49%	0.0099	✗	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.097359	-0.46%	0.096885	-0.94%	0.0130	✓	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.10041	-0.46%	0.097805	-3.04%	0.0219	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.101137	-0.52%	0.100875	-0.78%	0.0098	✓	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.096939	-0.23%	0.10167	+4.64%	0.0401	✗	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.099516	-0.18%	0.09716	-2.55%	0.0235	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.105458	-0.28%	0.0997	-5.73%	0.0663	✓	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.114907	-1.52%	0.105755	-9.37%	0.0821	✓	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.094489	-0.09%	0.116685	+23.38%	0.2448	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.096531	-0.15%	0.094575	-2.18%	0.0354	✓	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.102846	-0.30%	0.09668	-6.28%	0.0627	✓	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.105443	-0.37%	0.10316	-2.53%	0.0247	✓	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.11394	-0.55%	0.105835	-7.63%	0.0452	✓	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.113119	-0.49%	0.114575	+0.79%	0.0055	✓	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.114459	-0.45%	0.113675	-1.13%	0.0106	✓	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.118522	-0.50%	0.11498	-3.47%	0.0135	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.120986	-0.50%	0.119115	-2.04%	0.0021	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.119361	-0.48%	0.121595	+1.38%	0.0258	✗	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.123154	-0.45%	0.11994	-3.05%	0.0499	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.122574	-0.40%	0.123715	+0.52%	0.0005	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.125575	-0.42%	0.12307	-2.40%	0.0180	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.129428	-0.38%	0.1261	-2.94%	0.0434	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.134798	-0.36%	0.129925	-3.96%	0.0392	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.144873	-0.67%	0.135285	-7.24%	0.0507	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.152526	-1.72%	0.145845	-6.03%	0.0397	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.116498	-0.34%	0.1552	+32.77%	0.2569	✗	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.122752	-0.47%	0.116895	-5.22%	0.0337	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.123472	-0.44%	0.12333	-0.56%	0.0008	✓	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.116906	-0.69%	0.12402	+5.35%	0.0627	✗	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.113862	-0.44%	0.11772	+2.93%	0.0236	✗	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.108671	-0.35%	0.11437	+4.88%	0.0418	✗	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.110045	-0.45%	0.10905	-1.35%	0.0015	✓	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.113096	-0.49%	0.11054	-2.74%	0.0165	✓	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.111751	-0.38%	0.11365	+1.31%	0.0129	✗	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.107225	-0.41%	0.11218	+4.19%	0.0406	✗	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.109677	-0.57%	0.10767	-2.39%	0.0240	✓	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.111603	-0.45%	0.11031	-1.60%	0.0227	✓	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.106433	-0.83%	0.112105	+4.46%	0.0360	✗	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.112395	-1.07%	0.10732	-5.54%	0.0657	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.104974	-0.67%	0.11361	+7.50%	0.1043	✗	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.10054	-1.11%	0.10568	+3.94%	0.0395	✗	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.087015	-0.35%	0.10167	+16.43%	0.1626	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.082739	-0.27%	0.08732	+5.26%	0.0550	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.08283	-0.25%	0.08296	-0.10%	0.0034	✓	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.082527	-0.30%	0.08304	+0.32%	0.0274	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.08581	-0.41%	0.082775	-3.93%	0.0091	✓	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.086893	-0.44%	0.08616	-1.28%	0.0122	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.09035	-0.49%	0.087275	-3.88%	0.0459	✓	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.097979	-0.56%	0.090795	-7.86%	0.0607	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.094623	-0.53%	0.098535	+3.58%	0.0288	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.093591	-0.51%	0.09513	+1.13%	0.0069	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.09737	-0.56%	0.09407	-3.93%	0.0099	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.099697	-0.73%	0.09792	-2.50%	0.0000	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.101334	-0.65%	0.10043	-1.54%	0.0010	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.100182	-0.68%	0.102	+1.12%	0.0093	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.100142	-0.62%	0.10087	+0.10%	0.0124	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.101558	-0.60%	0.10077	-1.37%	0.0217	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.103678	-0.63%	0.10217	-2.08%	0.0143	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.098089	-0.52%	0.10434	+5.82%	0.0279	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.104433	-0.60%	0.0986	-6.15%	0.0536	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.110069	-1.19%	0.10506	-5.68%	0.0245	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.102947	-0.68%	0.11139	+7.47%	0.0826	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.091264	-0.29%	0.10365	+13.24%	0.0878	✗	1.00