DCR

Decred · native · gru_s7

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +7d

assessed

137

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

73.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0627

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0130

actual -0.0086

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	14.773	14.4267	-2.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	14.4678	-1.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	14.2781	-1.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	14.2542	-1.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	14.2533	-1.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	14.5936	-1.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	14.942	-1.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	15.895	-1.60%	14.773	-8.54%	0.0835	✓	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	16.0863	-1.70%	14.749	-9.87%	0.0853	✓	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	16.0651	-1.64%	14.512	-11.15%	0.1026	✓	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	16.3778	-1.85%	14.454	-13.38%	0.1084	✓	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	16.5669	-1.92%	14.407	-14.71%	0.1249	✓	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	17.1138	-2.12%	14.749	-15.65%	0.1387	✓	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	17.0089	-2.13%	15.122	-12.98%	0.1217	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	17.6553	-2.40%	16.153	-10.70%	0.0730	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	17.8951	-2.51%	16.365	-10.85%	0.0672	✓	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	18.0471	-2.62%	16.3325	-11.87%	0.0633	✓	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	17.8577	-2.71%	16.686	-9.09%	0.0422	✓	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	17.8238	-2.58%	16.8915	-7.68%	0.0367	✓	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	17.7707	-2.65%	17.4845	-4.22%	0.0020	✓	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	17.6869	-2.66%	17.3785	-4.36%	0.0117	✓	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	17.9511	-2.62%	18.089	-1.87%	0.0103	✓	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	17.636	-2.65%	18.356	+1.32%	0.0223	✓	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	17.3319	-2.72%	18.533	+4.02%	0.0456	✗	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	17.9853	-2.88%	18.355	-0.89%	0.0012	✓	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	17.7417	-2.91%	18.2965	+0.13%	0.0277	✓	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	17.1827	-2.92%	18.255	+3.14%	0.0566	✗	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	17.7538	-2.81%	18.171	-0.53%	0.0188	✓	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	17.7916	-2.65%	18.434	+0.87%	0.0433	✗	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	18.2144	-2.75%	18.116	-3.27%	0.0204	✓	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	17.4891	-2.68%	17.8165	-0.86%	0.0474	✗	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	16.889	-2.39%	18.519	+7.03%	0.0595	✗	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	17.1241	-2.16%	18.273	+4.40%	0.0336	✗	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	17.3851	-1.99%	17.7	-0.22%	0.0145	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	16.6211	-1.37%	18.268	+8.40%	0.0112	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	15.5567	-0.82%	18.275	+16.51%	0.0757	✗	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.7088	-0.29%	18.729	+26.96%	0.1306	✗	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	16.5913	-0.60%	17.971	+7.66%	0.0033	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	16.2991	-0.20%	17.302	+5.94%	0.0182	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	16.0907	+0.20%	17.503	+9.00%	0.0465	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	15.982	+0.69%	17.739	+11.76%	0.0687	✓	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.7111	+0.98%	16.852	+8.32%	0.0720	✓	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.738	+1.57%	15.686	-4.82%	0.0445	✗	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	17.6342	+1.59%	14.752	-15.02%	0.1513	✗	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	16.1014	+1.98%	16.692	+5.72%	0.0449	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	16.9295	+1.99%	16.3315	-1.61%	0.0021	✓	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	16.2334	+2.15%	16.0585	+1.05%	0.0136	✓	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	15.9183	+2.32%	15.873	+2.03%	0.0199	✓	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.6867	+2.75%	15.558	+8.84%	0.1048	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	14.1412	+1.39%	16.4795	+18.15%	0.1421	✓	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.5666	+1.26%	17.3585	+20.67%	0.1634	✓	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.7761	+1.59%	15.789	+8.56%	0.0605	✓	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	14.2473	+1.28%	16.599	+18.00%	0.1240	✓	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.4362	+1.29%	15.892	+11.50%	0.0790	✓	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.2598	+0.93%	15.5575	+10.11%	0.0674	✓	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	14.0913	+1.14%	14.294	+2.60%	0.0035	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	13.9447	+0.68%	13.9475	+0.70%	0.0196	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	13.7279	+0.46%	14.385	+5.27%	0.0594	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	13.9037	+0.38%	14.5445	+5.01%	0.0497	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	14.254	+0.02%	14.067	-1.29%	0.0125	✗	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	13.9363	-0.35%	14.2525	+1.91%	0.0091	✗	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	13.0217	+0.12%	14.129	+8.64%	0.0873	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	11.8856	-0.58%	13.932	+16.54%	0.0770	✗	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.7717	-1.31%	13.851	+16.12%	0.0410	✗	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.4752	-2.03%	13.665	+16.67%	0.0261	✓	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.8322	-2.03%	13.851	+14.68%	0.0536	✓	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.7219	-2.06%	14.251	+19.07%	0.0295	✓	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.793	-2.03%	13.985	+16.18%	0.0421	✓	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.7332	-1.98%	13.0055	+8.65%	0.1275	✓	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	11.9025	-1.96%	11.955	-1.52%	0.1442	✓	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	11.9984	-2.02%	11.9285	-2.59%	0.0996	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.7191	-2.05%	11.7125	-9.80%	0.1014	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.5255	-2.02%	12.0775	-5.52%	0.0458	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.6857	-2.06%	11.9685	-7.59%	0.0247	✓	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.5353	-2.05%	12.037	-5.95%	0.0092	✓	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.5058	-1.93%	11.97	-6.14%	0.0120	✓	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	12.2709	-1.91%	12.14	-2.96%	0.0032	✓	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.7171	-2.00%	12.246	-5.63%	0.0182	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	13.1128	-2.03%	12.985	-2.98%	0.0011	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	13.0022	-2.02%	12.7835	-3.67%	0.0244	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	12.9635	-2.02%	12.952	-2.10%	0.0233	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.8354	-2.04%	12.798	-2.32%	0.0388	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	12.861	-2.26%	12.7525	-3.08%	0.0431	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	13.2442	-2.66%	12.51	-8.06%	0.0495	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.4026	-2.12%	12.977	+11.40%	0.1185	✗	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	11.3212	-2.24%	13.3845	+15.57%	0.1643	✗	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	10.9558	-2.03%	13.2705	+18.67%	0.1952	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.4492	-2.02%	13.2305	+13.23%	0.1721	✗	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.3782	-1.75%	13.1025	+13.14%	0.1643	✗	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.4115	-1.57%	13.158	+13.49%	0.1615	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.8214	-1.43%	13.606	+13.44%	0.1454	✗	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.3031	-1.34%	11.6495	-6.58%	0.0228	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.4381	-1.27%	11.581	-8.08%	0.0328	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.5626	-1.31%	11.183	-12.15%	0.0935	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.5622	-1.24%	11.685	-8.14%	0.0822	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.5602	-1.23%	11.5805	-8.93%	0.0737	✓	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.4417	-1.13%	11.5935	-7.87%	0.0735	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	13.1805	-1.17%	11.9935	-10.07%	0.1139	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	13.32	-1.35%	12.47	-7.64%	0.0866	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.5609	-1.48%	12.5985	-8.47%	0.0965	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	12.3018	-1.69%	12.729	+1.73%	0.0058	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	12.0133	-1.51%	12.72	+4.28%	0.0438	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	11.1431	-0.98%	12.716	+13.00%	0.1177	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	11.0581	-0.91%	12.584	+12.76%	0.1326	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	10.9101	-0.93%	13.336	+21.10%	0.1924	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.8663	-0.95%	13.502	+23.07%	0.1820	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.8957	-1.06%	13.764	+24.99%	0.2100	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	11.0937	-1.09%	12.513	+11.56%	0.1454	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	11.0194	-1.13%	12.1975	+9.44%	0.0993	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	11.1563	-1.14%	11.253	-0.28%	0.0013	✓	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.3479	-1.18%	11.16	-2.82%	0.0403	✓	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	11.0522	-1.17%	11.012	-1.52%	0.0284	✓	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.8193	-1.10%	10.971	+0.28%	0.0198	✓	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.6241	-0.98%	11.012	+2.64%	0.0350	✓	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	11.1517	-1.15%	11.216	-0.58%	0.0482	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	10.9843	-1.10%	11.145	+0.35%	0.0430	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.3547	-1.16%	11.2845	-1.78%	0.0502	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	11.0643	-1.19%	11.4835	+2.56%	0.0023	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.8015	-1.45%	11.1825	+2.03%	0.0103	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	11.9379	-1.98%	10.94	-10.17%	0.0746	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	11.0124	-1.47%	10.729	-4.01%	0.0357	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	11.3218	-1.66%	11.281	-2.01%	0.0516	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	11.2504	-1.60%	11.106	-2.86%	0.0422	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.665	-1.75%	11.4885	-3.24%	0.0539	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	11.4171	-1.72%	11.197	-3.62%	0.0368	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	11.2834	-1.70%	10.96	-4.52%	0.0227	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.81	-1.91%	12.179	+1.15%	0.0860	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	12.1311	-2.09%	11.177	-9.79%	0.0356	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	12.3718	-2.35%	11.5125	-9.14%	0.0363	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.513	-2.33%	11.433	-10.76%	0.0519	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	11.9838	-2.11%	11.873	-3.01%	0.0061	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	11.8003	-1.93%	11.617	-3.45%	0.0147	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	11.9461	-1.86%	11.479	-5.69%	0.0291	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.6857	-1.24%	12.04	+1.76%	0.0178	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	11.8252	-1.14%	12.39	+3.58%	0.0151	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	12.1008	-1.39%	12.67	+3.25%	0.0037	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	12.2115	-1.38%	12.812	+3.47%	0.0107	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	12.2312	-0.48%	12.242	-0.39%	0.0563	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	12.0502	-0.43%	12.032	-0.58%	0.0418	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	12.9827	-1.29%	12.172	-7.45%	0.0607	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	14.2987	-1.43%	11.832	-18.43%	0.1480	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	14.4169	-2.23%	11.962	-18.88%	0.1091	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	15.1452	-3.00%	12.271	-21.41%	0.0875	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	15.4812	-3.25%	12.382	-22.62%	0.0730	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.