DCR

Decred · native · gru_s7

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +30d

assessed

114

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

62.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1005

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0236

actual +0.0156

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	14.773	13.8734	-6.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	13.9838	-5.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	13.7602	-5.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	13.7364	-4.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	13.7208	-4.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	14.0661	-4.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	14.4413	-4.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	15.3497	-4.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	15.6021	-4.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	15.5236	-4.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	15.9305	-4.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	16.077	-4.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	16.602	-5.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	16.4826	-5.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	17.1126	-5.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	17.363	-5.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	17.5043	-5.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	17.3102	-5.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	17.3017	-5.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	17.2301	-5.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	17.1554	-5.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	17.4204	-5.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	17.1154	-5.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	16.8224	-5.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	17.4358	-5.85%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	17.1997	-5.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	16.6515	-5.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	17.2339	-5.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	17.3234	-5.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	17.7579	-5.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	17.07	-5.01%	14.773	-17.80%	0.1085	✓	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	16.4219	-5.09%	14.749	-14.76%	0.1252	✓	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	16.7037	-4.57%	14.512	-17.09%	0.1467	✓	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	16.9942	-4.20%	14.454	-18.52%	0.1734	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	16.1665	-4.07%	14.407	-14.51%	0.1683	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	15.0988	-3.74%	14.749	-5.97%	0.0799	✓	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.2304	-3.54%	15.122	+2.51%	0.0093	✓	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	16.1989	-2.95%	16.153	-3.23%	0.0346	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	15.8659	-2.85%	16.365	+0.21%	0.0283	✓	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	15.6636	-2.46%	16.3325	+1.71%	0.0006	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	15.5822	-1.83%	16.686	+5.12%	0.0066	✓	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.2968	-1.68%	16.8915	+8.57%	0.0378	✗	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.4417	-0.23%	17.4845	+6.10%	0.0225	✗	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	17.4543	+0.55%	17.3785	+0.12%	0.0340	✗	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	15.9128	+0.78%	18.089	+14.57%	0.0887	✓	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	16.8531	+1.53%	18.356	+10.58%	0.0383	✓	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	16.2476	+2.24%	18.533	+16.62%	0.0781	✓	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	15.8884	+2.13%	18.355	+17.98%	0.0847	✓	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.6206	+2.28%	18.2965	+28.00%	0.1913	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	14.0041	+0.41%	18.255	+30.88%	0.1874	✓	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.52	+0.94%	18.171	+26.32%	0.1429	✓	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.8856	+2.34%	18.434	+26.74%	0.1607	✓	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	14.3003	+1.66%	18.116	+28.78%	0.1734	✓	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.6088	+2.50%	17.8165	+25.01%	0.1438	✓	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.4831	+2.51%	18.519	+31.07%	0.1767	✓	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	14.4092	+3.43%	18.273	+31.16%	0.1933	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	14.2609	+2.96%	17.7	+27.79%	0.1612	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	14.09	+3.11%	18.268	+33.68%	0.1970	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	14.3814	+3.83%	18.275	+31.94%	0.1824	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	14.7943	+3.81%	18.729	+31.42%	0.1446	✓	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	14.523	+3.85%	17.971	+28.50%	0.1103	✓	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	13.5685	+4.33%	17.302	+33.04%	0.2105	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	12.0326	+0.65%	17.503	+46.41%	0.2827	✓	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.6927	-1.98%	17.739	+48.71%	0.2737	✗	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.2148	-4.25%	16.852	+43.88%	0.2356	✗	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.558	-4.30%	15.686	+29.88%	0.1323	✗	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.4163	-4.61%	14.752	+23.26%	0.0611	✗	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.4998	-4.46%	16.692	+38.67%	0.1448	✗	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.4407	-4.42%	16.3315	+36.44%	0.1462	✗	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	11.6257	-4.24%	16.0585	+32.28%	0.1147	✗	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	11.7267	-4.24%	15.873	+29.62%	0.0948	✗	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.4247	-4.31%	15.558	+19.82%	0.0281	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.2343	-4.30%	16.4795	+28.91%	0.0829	✗	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.3848	-4.38%	17.3585	+34.02%	0.1355	✗	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.2373	-4.38%	15.789	+23.37%	0.0451	✗	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.2381	-4.03%	16.599	+30.16%	0.0783	✗	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	12.0122	-3.98%	15.892	+27.03%	0.0509	✗	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.4584	-4.00%	15.5575	+19.89%	0.0014	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	12.8171	-4.24%	14.294	+6.80%	0.1452	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	12.6915	-4.36%	13.9475	+5.10%	0.1164	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	12.6569	-4.34%	14.385	+8.73%	0.0835	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.5312	-4.36%	14.5445	+11.01%	0.0911	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	12.567	-4.49%	14.067	+6.91%	0.1140	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	13.0006	-4.45%	14.2525	+4.75%	0.1106	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.1323	-4.44%	14.129	+21.28%	0.0444	✓	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	11.0392	-4.68%	13.932	+20.30%	0.0080	✓	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	10.6544	-4.73%	13.851	+23.86%	0.0522	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.1785	-4.33%	13.665	+16.94%	0.0244	✓	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.1441	-3.77%	13.851	+19.61%	0.0195	✓	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.2174	-3.24%	14.251	+22.92%	0.0535	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.6526	-2.84%	13.985	+16.60%	0.0209	✓	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.1611	-2.48%	13.0055	+4.29%	0.0930	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.328	-2.15%	11.955	-5.11%	0.1185	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.4276	-2.37%	11.9285	-6.29%	0.0998	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.4542	-2.09%	11.7125	-7.92%	0.0614	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.5008	-1.69%	12.0775	-5.02%	0.0297	✓	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.3822	-1.60%	11.9685	-4.89%	0.0178	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	13.1478	-1.41%	12.037	-9.74%	0.0766	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	13.3568	-1.08%	11.97	-11.35%	0.0828	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.6345	-0.94%	12.14	-11.80%	0.0922	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	12.3934	-0.96%	12.246	-2.13%	0.0277	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	12.111	-0.71%	12.985	+6.46%	0.0727	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	11.1717	-0.72%	12.7835	+13.60%	0.1328	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	11.0502	-0.98%	12.952	+16.06%	0.1488	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	10.9038	-0.98%	12.798	+16.22%	0.1359	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.8503	-1.10%	12.7525	+16.24%	0.1240	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.8693	-1.30%	12.51	+13.60%	0.1271	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	11.0411	-1.56%	12.977	+15.70%	0.1530	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	10.965	-1.62%	13.3845	+20.09%	0.1928	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	11.1076	-1.57%	13.2705	+17.60%	0.1724	✗	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.3002	-1.60%	13.2305	+15.21%	0.1433	✗	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	10.9839	-1.78%	13.1025	+17.17%	0.1576	✗	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.7357	-1.87%	13.158	+20.27%	0.1613	✗	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.5288	-1.87%	13.606	+26.82%	0.1659	✗	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	11.0531	-2.02%	11.6495	+3.27%	0.0000	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	10.8818	-2.02%	11.581	+4.28%	0.0012	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.2533	-2.05%	11.183	-2.66%	0.0585	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	10.9637	-2.08%	11.685	+4.36%	0.0085	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.7095	-2.29%	11.5805	+5.66%	0.0166	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	11.8436	-2.75%	11.5935	-4.81%	0.0587	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	10.8698	-2.75%	11.9935	+7.31%	0.0642	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	11.1604	-3.06%	12.47	+8.32%	0.0813	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	11.0715	-3.16%	12.5985	+10.19%	0.0837	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.4678	-3.41%	12.729	+7.21%	0.0890	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	11.2044	-3.55%	12.72	+9.49%	0.1080	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	11.0663	-3.60%	12.716	+10.78%	0.1089	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.57	-3.90%	12.584	+4.52%	0.0926	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	11.8738	-4.17%	13.336	+7.64%	0.1447	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	12.1025	-4.48%	13.502	+6.57%	0.1332	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.2145	-4.66%	13.764	+7.43%	0.1304	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	11.6655	-4.71%	12.513	+2.21%	0.1043	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	11.4867	-4.53%	12.1975	+1.38%	0.0569	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	11.6284	-4.47%	11.253	-7.55%	0.0361	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.3814	-3.81%	11.16	-5.68%	0.0624	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	11.5049	-3.82%	11.012	-7.94%	0.0676	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	11.7456	-4.28%	10.971	-10.59%	0.0550	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	11.8353	-4.42%	11.012	-11.06%	0.0724	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	11.863	-3.47%	11.216	-8.74%	0.1066	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	11.6557	-3.69%	11.145	-7.91%	0.0858	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	12.562	-4.49%	11.2845	-14.20%	0.0959	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	13.8693	-4.39%	11.4835	-20.84%	0.1647	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	13.9418	-5.45%	11.1825	-24.17%	0.1397	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	14.5641	-6.72%	10.94	-29.93%	0.1127	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	14.8556	-7.16%	10.729	-32.95%	0.0966	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.