CTR

Citrea · Base · gru_s7

token id: #590
symbol: CTR
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x11030f79109269d796fd0fb956d6244e502757f7
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-26
predictions: 420

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

133

of 140 predictions shown

direction hit

52.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0997

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0158

actual -0.0145

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.018489	0.017974	-2.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-10-20	oos	0.017857	0.017265	-3.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-19	oos	0.017291	0.016542	-4.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-18	oos	0.013308	0.013059	-1.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-17	oos	0.013303	0.013053	-1.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-16	oos	0.013935	0.013645	-2.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-15	oos	0.013058	0.012794	-2.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.013763	0.013472	-2.12%	0.018489	+34.34%	0.3123	✗	0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.014573	0.01422	-2.42%	0.017857	+22.54%	0.2283	✗	0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.013765	0.013398	-2.67%	0.017291	+25.61%	0.2548	✗	0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.012887	0.012613	-2.13%	0.013308	+3.27%	0.0605	✗	0.34
2026-10-10	oos	0.012848	0.012575	-2.13%	0.013303	+3.55%	0.0626	✗	0.33
2026-10-09	oos	0.012519	0.012246	-2.18%	0.013935	+11.31%	0.1335	✗	0.34
2026-10-08	oos	0.012738	0.012472	-2.08%	0.013058	+2.52%	0.0440	✗	0.36
2026-10-07	oos	0.012589	0.012303	-2.27%	0.013763	+9.33%	0.1204	✗	0.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.012659	0.012352	-2.42%	0.014573	+15.12%	0.1765	✗	0.39
2026-10-05	oos	0.012707	0.012394	-2.46%	0.013765	+8.33%	0.1251	✗	0.42
2026-10-04	oos	0.012899	0.012589	-2.40%	0.012887	-0.09%	0.0388	✗	0.47
2026-10-03	oos	0.012956	0.012629	-2.52%	0.012848	-0.83%	0.0274	✗	0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.011884	0.011575	-2.61%	0.012519	+5.34%	0.0894	✗	0.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.012313	0.011989	-2.63%	0.012738	+3.45%	0.0782	✗	0.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.012909	0.012562	-2.69%	0.012589	-2.48%	0.0037	✓	0.47
2026-09-29	oos	0.012601	0.012251	-2.77%	0.012659	+0.46%	0.0234	✓	0.42
2026-09-28	oos	0.012023	0.011683	-2.83%	0.012707	+5.69%	0.0718	✗	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.012241	0.011909	-2.71%	0.012899	+5.38%	0.0690	✗	0.45
2026-09-26	oos	0.012434	0.012086	-2.81%	0.012956	+4.19%	0.0677	✗	0.47
2026-09-25	oos	0.011831	0.011496	-2.83%	0.011884	+0.45%	0.0310	✗	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.012256	0.011941	-2.57%	0.012313	+0.46%	0.0281	✗	0.45
2026-09-23	oos	0.01249	0.012153	-2.70%	0.012909	+3.35%	0.0647	✗	0.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.01223	0.011924	-2.50%	0.012601	+3.03%	0.0688	✗	0.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.011974	0.011672	-2.52%	0.012023	+0.41%	0.0489	✗	0.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.011331	0.011048	-2.50%	0.012241	+8.03%	0.0838	✗	0.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.011508	0.011246	-2.28%	0.012434	+8.05%	0.0821	✗	0.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.011775	0.011516	-2.20%	0.011831	+0.48%	0.0073	✓	0.50
2026-09-17	oos	0.011548	0.011307	-2.09%	0.012256	+6.13%	0.0273	✗	0.53
2026-09-16	oos	0.011539	0.011316	-1.93%	0.01249	+8.24%	0.0437	✗	0.54
2026-09-15	oos	0.012138	0.011811	-2.69%	0.01223	+0.75%	0.0481	✓	0.63
2026-09-14	oos	0.010906	0.010759	-1.35%	0.011974	+9.79%	0.0305	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.010455	0.01031	-1.38%	0.011331	+8.39%	0.0532	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	0.00994	0.009878	-0.62%	0.011508	+15.79%	0.1151	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.009771	0.00974	-0.32%	0.011775	+20.51%	0.1549	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.009272	0.009283	+0.12%	0.011548	+24.55%	0.2201	✓	0.73
2026-09-09	oos	0.01026	0.010231	-0.28%	0.011539	+12.47%	0.1388	✗	0.67
2026-09-08	oos	0.010186	0.010166	-0.19%	0.012138	+19.17%	0.2028	✗	0.69
2026-09-07	oos	0.010375	0.010379	+0.04%	0.010906	+5.12%	0.0580	✓	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00945	0.0095	+0.52%	0.010455	+10.63%	0.1279	✓	0.71
2026-09-05	oos	0.009865	0.009917	+0.52%	0.00994	+0.76%	0.0259	✓	0.72
2026-09-04	oos	0.009869	0.009916	+0.48%	0.009771	-0.99%	0.0062	✓	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.010077	0.010156	+0.79%	0.009272	-7.99%	0.0523	✗	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.010039	0.010049	+0.09%	0.01026	+2.20%	0.0092	✓	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.00967	0.009681	+0.12%	0.010186	+5.33%	0.0382	✓	0.93
2026-08-31	oos	0.009508	0.009527	+0.20%	0.010375	+9.11%	0.0792	✓	0.90
2026-08-30	oos	0.009343	0.009342	-0.01%	0.00945	+1.15%	0.0188	✓	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.009572	0.009587	+0.16%	0.009865	+3.06%	0.0109	✓	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.009431	0.009431	+0.00%	0.009869	+4.64%	0.0254	✓	0.86
2026-08-27	oos	0.009239	0.009268	+0.31%	0.010077	+9.07%	0.0727	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.009325	0.009342	+0.18%	0.010039	+7.66%	0.0919	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.008563	0.008571	+0.09%	0.00967	+12.93%	0.1331	✓	0.86
2026-08-24	oos	0.008554	0.008554	-0.01%	0.009508	+11.15%	0.1109	✗	0.96
2026-08-23	oos	0.007924	0.007895	-0.37%	0.009343	+17.91%	0.1692	✗	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.008046	0.008015	-0.39%	0.009572	+18.97%	0.1633	✗	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.00872	0.00869	-0.35%	0.009431	+8.15%	0.0876	✗	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	0.008193	0.008079	-1.40%	0.009239	+12.77%	0.0489	✗	0.90
2026-08-19	oos	0.008446	0.00826	-2.20%	0.009325	+10.41%	0.0116	✓	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	0.008435	0.008214	-2.63%	0.008563	+1.51%	0.1848	✓	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.008381	0.008168	-2.54%	0.008554	+2.07%	0.1902	✓	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.008785	0.00856	-2.56%	0.007924	-9.80%	0.3406	✓	1.24
2026-08-15	oos	0.008704	0.008487	-2.49%	0.008046	-7.56%	0.3026	✓	1.24
2026-08-14	oos	0.008496	0.008296	-2.35%	0.00872	+2.64%	0.2198	✓	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	0.008806	0.008592	-2.43%	0.008193	-6.96%	0.2210	✓	1.23
2026-08-12	oos	0.00827	0.008085	-2.23%	0.008446	+2.13%	0.0652	✓	1.23
2026-08-11	oos	0.00837	0.008147	-2.67%	0.008435	+0.78%	0.0128	✓	1.23
2026-08-10	oos	0.00778	0.007628	-1.96%	0.008381	+7.72%	0.0833	✗	1.24
2026-08-09	oos	0.0081	0.007935	-2.04%	0.008785	+8.46%	0.1406	✗	1.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.00833	0.008151	-2.15%	0.008704	+4.49%	0.1021	✗	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.00791	0.007746	-2.07%	0.008496	+7.41%	0.1292	✗	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.00782	0.007656	-2.10%	0.008806	+12.60%	0.1560	✗	1.22
2026-08-05	oos	0.0077	0.00754	-2.08%	0.00827	+7.40%	0.1153	✗	1.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.007285	0.007143	-1.96%	0.00837	+14.89%	0.1684	✗	1.20
2026-08-03	oos	0.007235	0.007098	-1.90%	0.00778	+7.53%	0.0834	✗	1.20
2026-08-02	oos	0.00739	0.007241	-2.01%	0.0081	+9.61%	0.0868	✗	1.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.00733	0.00719	-1.91%	0.00833	+13.64%	0.1069	✗	1.20
2026-07-31	oos	0.00747	0.007334	-1.82%	0.00791	+5.89%	0.0369	✗	1.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.00749	0.007344	-1.95%	0.00782	+4.41%	0.0716	✗	1.25
2026-07-29	oos	0.00744	0.007299	-1.90%	0.0077	+3.49%	0.0398	✗	1.24
2026-07-28	oos	0.007265	0.007138	-1.74%	0.007285	+0.28%	0.0164	✓	1.24
2026-07-27	oos	0.007205	0.007081	-1.73%	0.007235	+0.42%	0.0260	✗	1.24
2026-07-26	oos	0.007935	0.007771	-2.07%	0.00739	-6.87%	0.0163	✓	1.19
2026-07-25	oos	0.00816	0.008007	-1.88%	0.00733	-10.17%	0.0591	✓	1.21
2026-07-24	oos	0.00766	0.007534	-1.65%	0.00747	-2.48%	0.0152	✓	1.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.007535	0.007418	-1.56%	0.00749	-0.60%	0.0159	✗	1.22
2026-07-22	oos	0.008285	0.008149	-1.64%	0.00744	-10.20%	0.0511	✓	1.18
2026-07-21	oos	0.008235	0.008111	-1.50%	0.007265	-11.78%	0.0615	✓	1.19
2026-07-20	oos	0.00835	0.008246	-1.24%	0.007205	-13.71%	0.1064	✓	1.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.008165	0.008078	-1.06%	0.007935	-2.82%	0.0301	✓	1.20
2026-07-18	oos	0.00831	0.00822	-1.09%	0.00816	-1.81%	0.0021	✓	1.20
2026-07-17	oos	0.007805	0.007737	-0.87%	0.00766	-1.86%	0.0135	✓	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.00805	0.007974	-0.95%	0.007535	-6.40%	0.0797	✓	1.16
2026-07-15	oos	0.00832	0.008228	-1.11%	0.008285	-0.42%	0.0174	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.008335	0.008236	-1.19%	0.008235	-1.20%	0.0271	✓	1.16
2026-07-13	oos	0.00812	0.008057	-0.77%	0.00835	+2.83%	0.0191	✓	1.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.00811	0.008024	-1.06%	0.008165	+0.68%	0.0005	✓	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.00844	0.008346	-1.11%	0.00831	-1.54%	0.0240	✓	1.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.00916	0.009046	-1.25%	0.007805	-14.79%	0.1430	✓	1.22
2026-07-09	oos	0.008405	0.008309	-1.14%	0.00805	-4.22%	0.0424	✓	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008502	-1.08%	0.00832	-3.20%	0.0674	✓	1.17
2026-07-07	oos	0.00918	0.009055	-1.36%	0.008335	-9.20%	0.1127	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.01039	0.010223	-1.61%	0.00812	-21.85%	0.1996	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.01091	0.01073	-1.65%	0.00811	-25.66%	0.2828	✓	1.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.01107	0.010884	-1.68%	0.00844	-23.76%	0.2668	✓	1.15
2026-07-03	oos	0.01067	0.0105	-1.59%	0.00916	-14.15%	0.1651	✓	1.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.01102	0.010851	-1.53%	0.008405	-23.73%	0.2873	✓	1.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.01197	0.011744	-1.88%	0.008595	-28.20%	0.3633	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.01117	0.01101	-1.44%	0.00918	-17.82%	0.2834	✓	1.29
2026-06-29	oos	0.01143	0.011239	-1.67%	0.01039	-9.10%	0.1599	✓	1.31
2026-06-28	oos	0.010725	0.010582	-1.33%	0.01091	+1.72%	0.0527	✓	1.25
2026-06-27	oos	0.01078	0.010634	-1.36%	0.01107	+2.69%	0.0237	✓	1.25
2026-06-26	oos	0.01009	0.009992	-0.97%	0.01067	+5.75%	0.0157	✗	1.21
2026-06-25	oos	0.01044	0.010325	-1.11%	0.01102	+5.56%	0.0288	✗	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.0103	0.010186	-1.11%	0.01197	+16.21%	0.1783	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.011325	0.011123	-1.79%	0.01117	-1.37%	0.0723	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.01124	0.011015	-2.01%	0.01143	+1.69%	0.0981	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.01069	0.010521	-1.58%	0.010725	+0.33%	0.0806	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.01125	0.011023	-2.02%	0.01078	-4.18%	0.0468	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.01065	0.010486	-1.54%	0.01009	-5.26%	0.0178	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.010465	0.010333	-1.26%	0.01044	-0.24%	0.0621	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.01182	0.011572	-2.10%	0.0103	-12.86%	0.0612	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.01149	0.011223	-2.32%	0.011325	-1.44%	0.0554	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.0121	0.011787	-2.59%	0.01124	-7.11%	0.0118	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.01255	0.012235	-2.51%	0.01069	-14.82%	0.0966	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.012475	0.0122	-2.20%	0.01125	-9.82%	0.0779	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.012795	0.012548	-1.93%	0.01065	-16.76%	0.1630	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.01296	0.012716	-1.88%	0.010465	-19.25%	0.1840	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0125	0.012362	-1.11%	0.01182	-5.44%	0.0925	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.01515	0.014864	-1.89%	0.01149	-24.16%	0.3192	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01411	0.013894	-1.53%	0.0121	-14.25%	0.1879	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.01453	0.014305	-1.55%	0.01255	-13.63%	0.1682	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.01496	0.014814	-0.98%	0.012475	-16.61%	0.2290	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.01366	0.013551	-0.80%	0.012795	-6.33%	0.0977	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.01688	0.016603	-1.64%	0.01296	-23.22%	0.2439	✓	1.00