CTR

Citrea · Base · gru_s7

token id: #590
symbol: CTR
variant: –
chain: Base
address: 0x11030f79109269d796fd0fb956d6244e502757f7
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-26
predictions: 423

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

111

of 141 predictions shown

direction hit

63.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2042

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0459

actual -0.0605

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.015367	0.014339	-6.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-21	oos	0.0152	0.014267	-6.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.15
2026-10-20	oos	0.017857	0.016261	-8.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-19	oos	0.017291	0.015383	-11.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-18	oos	0.013308	0.012614	-5.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-17	oos	0.013303	0.012583	-5.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-16	oos	0.013935	0.0131	-5.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-15	oos	0.013058	0.012337	-5.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.013763	0.012924	-6.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.014573	0.013588	-6.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.013765	0.012771	-7.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.012887	0.01219	-5.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-10	oos	0.012848	0.012128	-5.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2026-10-09	oos	0.012519	0.011828	-5.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-08	oos	0.012738	0.011997	-5.81%	–	pending	–	–	0.36
2026-10-07	oos	0.012589	0.011896	-5.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.40
2026-10-06	oos	0.012659	0.012017	-5.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.39
2026-10-05	oos	0.012707	0.012063	-5.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-10-04	oos	0.012899	0.012267	-4.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-03	oos	0.012956	0.012205	-5.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.011884	0.011286	-5.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-10-01	oos	0.012313	0.011656	-5.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-30	oos	0.012909	0.012103	-6.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-09-29	oos	0.012601	0.011817	-6.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-09-28	oos	0.012023	0.011301	-6.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-27	oos	0.012241	0.011535	-5.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-26	oos	0.012434	0.011679	-6.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-09-25	oos	0.011831	0.011164	-5.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.47
2026-09-24	oos	0.012256	0.011572	-5.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-23	oos	0.01249	0.011732	-6.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.45
2026-09-22	oos	0.01223	0.011629	-4.91%	0.015367	+25.66%	0.2892	✗	0.45
2026-09-21	oos	0.011974	0.011422	-4.61%	0.0152	+26.94%	0.3015	✗	0.52
2026-09-20	oos	0.011331	0.010692	-5.65%	0.017857	+57.59%	0.5027	✗	0.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.011508	0.010864	-5.60%	0.017291	+50.24%	0.4612	✗	0.48
2026-09-18	oos	0.011775	0.011083	-5.88%	0.013308	+13.02%	0.1760	✗	0.50
2026-09-17	oos	0.011548	0.010814	-6.35%	0.013303	+15.20%	0.1732	✗	0.53
2026-09-16	oos	0.011539	0.010804	-6.37%	0.013935	+20.76%	0.2181	✗	0.54
2026-09-15	oos	0.012138	0.011124	-8.35%	0.013058	+7.58%	0.1080	✗	0.63
2026-09-14	oos	0.010906	0.010317	-5.40%	0.013763	+26.20%	0.2564	✗	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	0.010455	0.009839	-5.88%	0.014573	+39.39%	0.3338	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	0.00994	0.009535	-4.07%	0.013765	+38.49%	0.3247	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	0.009771	0.009421	-3.58%	0.012887	+31.89%	0.2528	✗	0.75
2026-09-10	oos	0.009272	0.009014	-2.77%	0.012848	+38.58%	0.2960	✗	0.73
2026-09-09	oos	0.01026	0.009884	-3.66%	0.012519	+22.02%	0.2009	✗	0.67
2026-09-08	oos	0.010186	0.009835	-3.44%	0.012738	+25.06%	0.2307	✗	0.69
2026-09-07	oos	0.010375	0.010037	-3.26%	0.012589	+21.34%	0.1894	✗	0.72
2026-09-06	oos	0.00945	0.009366	-0.89%	0.012659	+33.96%	0.2565	✗	0.71
2026-09-05	oos	0.009865	0.009728	-1.39%	0.012707	+28.81%	0.2155	✗	0.72
2026-09-04	oos	0.009869	0.009734	-1.37%	0.012899	+30.70%	0.2266	✗	0.67
2026-09-03	oos	0.010077	0.010036	-0.41%	0.012956	+28.57%	0.2282	✗	0.65
2026-09-02	oos	0.010039	0.009809	-2.29%	0.011884	+18.38%	0.1097	✗	0.92
2026-09-01	oos	0.00967	0.00953	-1.45%	0.012313	+27.33%	0.1705	✗	0.93
2026-08-31	oos	0.009508	0.00947	-0.41%	0.012909	+35.76%	0.2546	✗	0.90
2026-08-30	oos	0.009343	0.009308	-0.38%	0.012601	+34.87%	0.2366	✗	0.89
2026-08-29	oos	0.009572	0.009571	-0.02%	0.012023	+25.60%	0.1718	✗	0.87
2026-08-28	oos	0.009431	0.009451	+0.22%	0.012241	+29.80%	0.1885	✓	0.86
2026-08-27	oos	0.009239	0.009467	+2.47%	0.012434	+34.59%	0.2274	✓	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.009325	0.009584	+2.78%	0.011831	+26.87%	0.1544	✓	0.90
2026-08-25	oos	0.008563	0.008992	+5.02%	0.012256	+43.14%	0.2480	✓	0.86
2026-08-24	oos	0.008554	0.009011	+5.34%	0.01249	+46.01%	0.2628	✓	0.96
2026-08-23	oos	0.007924	0.008389	+5.87%	0.01223	+54.33%	0.2802	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.008046	0.008525	+5.96%	0.011974	+48.82%	0.2302	✓	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.00872	0.009152	+4.96%	0.011331	+29.95%	0.1811	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	0.008193	0.008231	+0.46%	0.011508	+40.47%	0.2392	✓	0.90
2026-08-19	oos	0.008446	0.008118	-3.88%	0.011775	+39.42%	0.2156	✗	1.01
2026-08-18	oos	0.008435	0.007893	-6.43%	0.011548	+36.91%	0.1870	✗	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.008381	0.007848	-6.36%	0.011539	+37.68%	0.1917	✗	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.008785	0.008161	-7.11%	0.012138	+38.17%	0.1682	✗	1.24
2026-08-15	oos	0.008704	0.008099	-6.95%	0.010906	+25.30%	0.0305	✓	1.24
2026-08-14	oos	0.008496	0.007922	-6.75%	0.010455	+23.05%	0.0321	✓	1.24
2026-08-13	oos	0.008806	0.008174	-7.17%	0.00994	+12.88%	0.0476	✓	1.23
2026-08-12	oos	0.00827	0.007725	-6.59%	0.009771	+18.15%	0.0063	✓	1.23
2026-08-11	oos	0.00837	0.007748	-7.43%	0.009272	+10.77%	0.0488	✓	1.23
2026-08-10	oos	0.00778	0.00736	-5.39%	0.01026	+31.88%	0.0810	✗	1.24
2026-08-09	oos	0.0081	0.007653	-5.52%	0.010186	+25.75%	0.0514	✓	1.23
2026-08-08	oos	0.00833	0.007833	-5.97%	0.010375	+24.54%	0.0375	✓	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.00791	0.007471	-5.55%	0.00945	+19.47%	0.0271	✓	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.00782	0.007367	-5.79%	0.009865	+26.15%	0.0268	✓	1.22
2026-08-05	oos	0.0077	0.007272	-5.56%	0.009869	+28.17%	0.0482	✓	1.23
2026-08-04	oos	0.007285	0.006913	-5.11%	0.010077	+38.33%	0.0905	✗	1.20
2026-08-03	oos	0.007235	0.006862	-5.15%	0.010039	+38.76%	0.1437	✗	1.20
2026-08-02	oos	0.00739	0.006982	-5.52%	0.00967	+30.85%	0.0881	✗	1.20
2026-08-01	oos	0.00733	0.006926	-5.51%	0.009508	+29.72%	0.0480	✓	1.20
2026-07-31	oos	0.00747	0.007068	-5.38%	0.009343	+25.07%	0.0250	✓	1.20
2026-07-30	oos	0.00749	0.007144	-4.62%	0.009572	+27.80%	0.0563	✗	1.25
2026-07-29	oos	0.00744	0.00709	-4.70%	0.009431	+26.76%	0.0396	✓	1.24
2026-07-28	oos	0.007265	0.006983	-3.88%	0.009239	+27.17%	0.0040	✓	1.24
2026-07-27	oos	0.007205	0.006945	-3.61%	0.009325	+29.42%	0.0281	✓	1.24
2026-07-26	oos	0.007935	0.007616	-4.02%	0.008563	+7.91%	0.1009	✓	1.19
2026-07-25	oos	0.00816	0.007799	-4.42%	0.008554	+4.83%	0.1573	✓	1.21
2026-07-24	oos	0.00766	0.007411	-3.25%	0.007924	+3.45%	0.1640	✓	1.20
2026-07-23	oos	0.007535	0.007367	-2.23%	0.008046	+6.78%	0.1185	✓	1.22
2026-07-22	oos	0.008285	0.008039	-2.97%	0.00872	+5.25%	0.1200	✓	1.18
2026-07-21	oos	0.008235	0.008033	-2.46%	0.008193	-0.51%	0.0910	✓	1.19
2026-07-20	oos	0.00835	0.008084	-3.19%	0.008446	+1.15%	0.0299	✓	1.21
2026-07-19	oos	0.008165	0.007906	-3.17%	0.008435	+3.31%	0.0647	✗	1.20
2026-07-18	oos	0.00831	0.008024	-3.44%	0.008381	+0.85%	0.0494	✗	1.20
2026-07-17	oos	0.007805	0.007562	-3.11%	0.008785	+12.56%	0.1692	✗	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.00805	0.00776	-3.60%	0.008704	+8.12%	0.1286	✗	1.16
2026-07-15	oos	0.00832	0.008016	-3.65%	0.008496	+2.12%	0.0898	✗	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.008335	0.008032	-3.64%	0.008806	+5.64%	0.1202	✗	1.16
2026-07-13	oos	0.00812	0.007804	-3.89%	0.00827	+1.85%	0.0364	✓	1.18
2026-07-12	oos	0.00811	0.007811	-3.69%	0.00837	+3.21%	0.0731	✗	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.00844	0.008117	-3.83%	0.00778	-7.82%	0.0451	✓	1.23
2026-07-10	oos	0.00916	0.008766	-4.31%	0.0081	-11.57%	0.0926	✓	1.22
2026-07-09	oos	0.008405	0.008065	-4.04%	0.00833	-0.89%	0.0013	✓	1.15
2026-07-08	oos	0.008595	0.008241	-4.12%	0.00791	-7.97%	0.0899	✓	1.17
2026-07-07	oos	0.00918	0.008782	-4.34%	0.00782	-14.81%	0.1330	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.01039	0.009876	-4.95%	0.0077	-25.89%	0.2593	✓	1.12
2026-07-05	oos	0.01091	0.010322	-5.39%	0.007285	-33.23%	0.3568	✓	1.14
2026-07-04	oos	0.01107	0.01044	-5.69%	0.007235	-34.64%	0.3736	✓	1.15
2026-07-03	oos	0.01067	0.010081	-5.52%	0.00739	-30.74%	0.3280	✓	1.12
2026-07-02	oos	0.01102	0.010379	-5.82%	0.00733	-33.48%	0.3720	✓	1.18
2026-07-01	oos	0.01197	0.011093	-7.32%	0.00747	-37.59%	0.4594	✓	1.37
2026-06-30	oos	0.01117	0.010404	-6.86%	0.00749	-32.95%	0.4584	✓	1.29
2026-06-29	oos	0.01143	0.010614	-7.14%	0.00744	-34.91%	0.4345	✓	1.31
2026-06-28	oos	0.010725	0.009992	-6.84%	0.007265	-32.26%	0.4071	✓	1.25
2026-06-27	oos	0.01078	0.010027	-6.99%	0.007205	-33.16%	0.4063	✓	1.25
2026-06-26	oos	0.01009	0.009432	-6.52%	0.007935	-21.36%	0.2762	✓	1.21
2026-06-25	oos	0.01044	0.009702	-7.07%	0.00816	-21.84%	0.2648	✓	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.0103	0.009604	-6.76%	0.00766	-25.63%	0.2757	✓	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.011325	0.010481	-7.45%	0.007535	-33.47%	0.3677	✓	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.01124	0.01039	-7.56%	0.008285	-26.29%	0.2593	✓	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.01069	0.009916	-7.24%	0.008235	-22.97%	0.2364	✓	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.01125	0.010404	-7.52%	0.00835	-25.78%	0.2352	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.01065	0.009887	-7.16%	0.008165	-23.33%	0.2102	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.010465	0.009738	-6.95%	0.00831	-20.59%	0.1886	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.01182	0.010978	-7.12%	0.007805	-33.97%	0.3325	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.01149	0.010672	-7.12%	0.00805	-29.94%	0.2534	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.0121	0.011247	-7.05%	0.00832	-31.24%	0.2776	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.01255	0.011663	-7.07%	0.008335	-33.59%	0.3250	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.012475	0.011592	-7.08%	0.00812	-34.91%	0.3218	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.012795	0.011891	-7.07%	0.00811	-36.62%	0.3858	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.01296	0.012033	-7.16%	0.00844	-34.88%	0.3579	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0125	0.011634	-6.93%	0.00916	-26.72%	0.2818	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.01515	0.013864	-8.49%	0.008405	-44.52%	0.5243	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01411	0.013081	-7.29%	0.008595	-39.09%	0.4068	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.01453	0.013451	-7.42%	0.00918	-36.82%	0.3824	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.01496	0.013805	-7.72%	0.01039	-30.55%	0.3347	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.01366	0.012644	-7.44%	0.01091	-20.13%	0.1884	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.01688	0.015517	-8.07%	0.01107	-34.42%	0.3264	✓	1.00