CSPR

Casper Network · native · gru_s7

token id: #586
symbol: CSPR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-21
predictions: 252

Track record at +7d

assessed

77

of 84 predictions shown

direction hit

59.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0882

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0244

actual -0.0015

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002257	0.002197	-2.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.002253	0.002194	-2.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-19	oos	0.002189	0.00213	-2.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	0.002275	0.002214	-2.69%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-17	oos	0.002348	0.002286	-2.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-16	oos	0.002345	0.002283	-2.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-15	oos	0.002311	0.002249	-2.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-14	oos	0.002449	0.002386	-2.57%	0.002257	-7.85%	0.0636	✓	0.57
2026-10-13	oos	0.00249	0.002429	-2.43%	0.002253	-9.52%	0.0744	✓	0.56
2026-10-12	oos	0.002435	0.00237	-2.69%	0.002189	-10.10%	0.0798	✓	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.002483	0.002422	-2.45%	0.002275	-8.36%	0.0513	✓	0.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.002443	0.002379	-2.63%	0.002348	-3.87%	0.0026	✓	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.002498	0.002431	-2.67%	0.002345	-6.12%	0.0290	✓	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.002343	0.002275	-2.90%	0.002311	-1.36%	0.0129	✓	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.002432	0.002366	-2.69%	0.002449	+0.71%	0.0452	✗	0.52
2026-10-06	oos	0.002499	0.002438	-2.45%	0.00249	-0.37%	0.0356	✗	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.002604	0.002541	-2.40%	0.002435	-6.48%	0.0189	✓	0.50
2026-10-04	oos	0.00258	0.00252	-2.34%	0.002483	-3.79%	0.0016	✓	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.002571	0.002501	-2.70%	0.002443	-4.96%	0.0125	✓	0.51
2026-10-02	oos	0.002537	0.002465	-2.84%	0.002498	-1.56%	0.0249	✓	0.51
2026-10-01	oos	0.002563	0.002491	-2.79%	0.002343	-8.56%	0.0421	✓	0.50
2026-09-30	oos	0.002648	0.002569	-2.98%	0.002432	-8.16%	0.0531	✓	0.52
2026-09-29	oos	0.002717	0.002638	-2.93%	0.002499	-8.02%	0.0655	✓	0.52
2026-09-28	oos	0.002731	0.002645	-3.17%	0.002604	-4.67%	0.0295	✓	0.52
2026-09-27	oos	0.00279	0.002709	-2.92%	0.00258	-7.53%	0.0607	✓	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.002743	0.002662	-2.94%	0.002571	-6.28%	0.0370	✓	0.51
2026-09-25	oos	0.002707	0.002627	-2.96%	0.002537	-6.26%	0.0370	✓	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.002674	0.002594	-2.99%	0.002563	-4.18%	0.0151	✓	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.00273	0.002644	-3.15%	0.002648	-3.03%	0.0062	✓	0.50
2026-09-22	oos	0.002788	0.002704	-3.02%	0.002717	-2.55%	0.0196	✓	0.49
2026-09-21	oos	0.002786	0.002703	-2.96%	0.002731	-1.95%	0.0285	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.002651	0.002574	-2.92%	0.00279	+5.25%	0.0624	✗	0.46
2026-09-19	oos	0.00285	0.002758	-3.21%	0.002743	-3.76%	0.0230	✓	0.45
2026-09-18	oos	0.002697	0.002624	-2.69%	0.002707	+0.37%	0.0134	✓	0.45
2026-09-17	oos	0.002583	0.00255	-1.28%	0.002674	+3.52%	0.0046	✓	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.002491	0.002477	-0.57%	0.00273	+9.61%	0.0536	✗	0.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.002579	0.002553	-0.98%	0.002788	+8.13%	0.0306	✗	0.44
2026-09-14	oos	0.00289	0.002818	-2.49%	0.002786	-3.60%	0.0382	✓	0.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.002902	0.002841	-2.09%	0.002651	-8.63%	0.0844	✓	0.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.003038	0.00297	-2.27%	0.00285	-6.20%	0.0538	✓	0.25
2026-09-11	oos	0.002933	0.002883	-1.69%	0.002697	-8.05%	0.0787	✓	0.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.002973	0.002927	-1.55%	0.002583	-13.11%	0.1243	✓	0.26
2026-09-09	oos	0.003018	0.002972	-1.53%	0.002491	-17.47%	0.1699	✓	0.24
2026-09-08	oos	0.002894	0.002863	-1.07%	0.002579	-10.88%	0.0953	✓	0.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.002854	0.002829	-0.87%	0.00289	+1.25%	0.0240	✗	0.25
2026-09-06	oos	0.002809	0.00279	-0.65%	0.002902	+3.31%	0.0506	✗	0.26
2026-09-05	oos	0.002845	0.002826	-0.67%	0.003038	+6.79%	0.0808	✗	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.002662	0.002649	-0.47%	0.002933	+10.19%	0.1100	✗	0.26
2026-09-03	oos	0.002657	0.002647	-0.36%	0.002973	+11.91%	0.1317	✗	0.26
2026-09-02	oos	0.002679	0.002652	-1.01%	0.003018	+12.66%	0.1251	✗	0.34
2026-09-01	oos	0.002757	0.002731	-0.94%	0.002894	+4.95%	0.0533	✗	0.33
2026-08-31	oos	0.002768	0.002748	-0.74%	0.002854	+3.10%	0.0358	✗	0.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.002631	0.002595	-1.37%	0.002809	+6.75%	0.0688	✗	0.30
2026-08-29	oos	0.00288	0.002845	-1.23%	0.002845	-1.22%	0.0047	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.002962	0.002932	-1.01%	0.002662	-10.15%	0.1024	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.002917	0.002914	-0.14%	0.002657	-8.94%	0.0954	✓	0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.002761	0.002748	-0.44%	0.002679	-2.95%	0.0204	✓	0.23
2026-08-25	oos	0.003037	0.003006	-1.03%	0.002757	-9.23%	0.0829	✓	0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.002855	0.002832	-0.79%	0.002768	-3.04%	0.0214	✓	0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.00248	0.002452	-1.10%	0.002631	+6.10%	0.0704	✗	0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.002637	0.002603	-1.30%	0.00288	+9.21%	0.0980	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.002832	0.002802	-1.08%	0.002962	+4.60%	0.0564	✗	0.09
2026-08-20	oos	0.002643	0.002577	-2.49%	0.002917	+10.37%	0.1404	✗	-0.17
2026-08-19	oos	0.002541	0.002453	-3.50%	0.002761	+8.62%	0.0130	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.002767	0.002656	-4.01%	0.003037	+9.77%	0.0598	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.003116	0.002975	-4.52%	0.002855	-8.38%	0.2441	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.002687	0.002572	-4.27%	0.00248	-7.70%	0.2491	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.002798	0.00267	-4.59%	0.002637	-5.74%	0.2132	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.002543	0.002437	-4.17%	0.002832	+11.36%	0.0679	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.002369	0.002276	-3.91%	0.002643	+11.58%	0.0087	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.002229	0.002146	-3.75%	0.002541	+14.00%	0.0805	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.0022	0.002117	-3.78%	0.002767	+25.79%	0.2501	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.002055	0.00198	-3.64%	0.003116	+51.64%	0.4446	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.001954	0.00189	-3.26%	0.002687	+37.51%	0.3833	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.001931	0.001868	-3.24%	0.002798	+44.91%	0.4334	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.002011	0.001939	-3.62%	0.002543	+26.43%	0.3014	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.001839	0.00178	-3.19%	0.002369	+28.84%	0.2990	✗	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.00184	0.001783	-3.13%	0.002229	+21.14%	0.2422	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.001926	0.001863	-3.29%	0.0022	+14.21%	0.1744	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.001892	0.001832	-3.18%	0.002055	+8.63%	0.1081	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.001897	0.001837	-3.14%	0.001954	+2.98%	0.0403	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.00193	0.001866	-3.32%	0.001931	+0.06%	0.0008	✓	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.00186	0.001803	-3.06%	0.002011	+8.13%	0.0769	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.001836	0.001762	-4.03%	0.001839	+0.13%	0.0496	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.