CSPR

Casper Network · native · gru_s7

token id: #586
symbol: CSPR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-21
predictions: 252

Track record at +30d

assessed

54

of 84 predictions shown

direction hit

59.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1310

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0551

actual -0.0477

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.002257	0.002127	-5.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-20	oos	0.002253	0.002127	-5.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-19	oos	0.002189	0.002056	-6.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-18	oos	0.002275	0.002138	-6.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-17	oos	0.002348	0.002209	-5.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-16	oos	0.002345	0.002204	-6.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-15	oos	0.002311	0.002172	-6.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-14	oos	0.002449	0.002306	-5.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.57
2026-10-13	oos	0.00249	0.002356	-5.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-12	oos	0.002435	0.002287	-6.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.56
2026-10-11	oos	0.002483	0.002347	-5.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.002443	0.002295	-6.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-09	oos	0.002498	0.002347	-6.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.55
2026-10-08	oos	0.002343	0.00218	-6.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.002432	0.002278	-6.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-10-06	oos	0.002499	0.002363	-5.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-05	oos	0.002604	0.002464	-5.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-04	oos	0.00258	0.002447	-5.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-10-03	oos	0.002571	0.002413	-6.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-02	oos	0.002537	0.002372	-6.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-10-01	oos	0.002563	0.002402	-6.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-09-30	oos	0.002648	0.002472	-6.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-29	oos	0.002717	0.00254	-6.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-28	oos	0.002731	0.002546	-6.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-09-27	oos	0.00279	0.002611	-6.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-09-26	oos	0.002743	0.002565	-6.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-25	oos	0.002707	0.00253	-6.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-24	oos	0.002674	0.0025	-6.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.51
2026-09-23	oos	0.00273	0.002545	-6.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.50
2026-09-22	oos	0.002788	0.00261	-6.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.49
2026-09-21	oos	0.002786	0.002614	-6.16%	0.002257	-18.99%	0.1245	✓	0.49
2026-09-20	oos	0.002651	0.002457	-7.31%	0.002253	-15.02%	0.0970	✓	0.46
2026-09-19	oos	0.00285	0.002642	-7.29%	0.002189	-23.18%	0.1913	✓	0.45
2026-09-18	oos	0.002697	0.002512	-6.86%	0.002275	-15.64%	0.1052	✓	0.45
2026-09-17	oos	0.002583	0.002419	-6.37%	0.002348	-9.10%	0.0569	✓	0.43
2026-09-16	oos	0.002491	0.002346	-5.82%	0.002345	-5.87%	0.0296	✓	0.43
2026-09-15	oos	0.002579	0.002424	-6.01%	0.002311	-10.37%	0.0838	✓	0.44
2026-09-14	oos	0.00289	0.002697	-6.66%	0.002449	-15.25%	0.1077	✓	0.26
2026-09-13	oos	0.002902	0.002722	-6.18%	0.00249	-14.19%	0.1109	✓	0.27
2026-09-12	oos	0.003038	0.002852	-6.13%	0.002435	-19.85%	0.1723	✓	0.25
2026-09-11	oos	0.002933	0.002773	-5.44%	0.002483	-15.35%	0.1312	✓	0.26
2026-09-10	oos	0.002973	0.002818	-5.22%	0.002443	-17.83%	0.1638	✓	0.26
2026-09-09	oos	0.003018	0.002873	-4.82%	0.002498	-17.25%	0.1525	✓	0.24
2026-09-08	oos	0.002894	0.002769	-4.29%	0.002343	-19.02%	0.1770	✓	0.25
2026-09-07	oos	0.002854	0.002742	-3.93%	0.002432	-14.80%	0.1328	✓	0.25
2026-09-06	oos	0.002809	0.002712	-3.45%	0.002499	-11.02%	0.0976	✓	0.26
2026-09-05	oos	0.002845	0.002749	-3.38%	0.002604	-8.48%	0.0728	✓	0.26
2026-09-04	oos	0.002662	0.002574	-3.27%	0.00258	-3.05%	0.0194	✓	0.26
2026-09-03	oos	0.002657	0.002582	-2.81%	0.002571	-3.24%	0.0154	✓	0.26
2026-09-02	oos	0.002679	0.002573	-3.95%	0.002537	-5.29%	0.0445	✓	0.34
2026-09-01	oos	0.002757	0.00266	-3.51%	0.002563	-7.05%	0.0679	✓	0.33
2026-08-31	oos	0.002768	0.002688	-2.92%	0.002648	-4.36%	0.0347	✓	0.32
2026-08-30	oos	0.002631	0.002524	-4.08%	0.002717	+3.27%	0.0513	✗	0.30
2026-08-29	oos	0.00288	0.002779	-3.52%	0.002731	-5.17%	0.0327	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.002962	0.002881	-2.76%	0.00279	-5.80%	0.0515	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.002917	0.002908	-0.33%	0.002743	-5.98%	0.0714	✓	0.26
2026-08-26	oos	0.002761	0.002763	+0.10%	0.002707	-1.95%	0.0352	✗	0.23
2026-08-25	oos	0.003037	0.003039	+0.06%	0.002674	-11.95%	0.1455	✗	0.24
2026-08-24	oos	0.002855	0.00286	+0.18%	0.00273	-4.36%	0.0646	✗	0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.00248	0.00243	-2.01%	0.002788	+12.44%	0.1179	✗	0.19
2026-08-22	oos	0.002637	0.002581	-2.13%	0.002786	+5.62%	0.0518	✗	0.21
2026-08-21	oos	0.002832	0.002813	-0.67%	0.002651	-6.39%	0.0626	✓	0.09
2026-08-20	oos	0.002643	0.002515	-4.85%	0.00285	+7.81%	0.1435	✗	-0.17
2026-08-19	oos	0.002541	0.002353	-7.42%	0.002697	+6.10%	0.0181	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.002767	0.002528	-8.63%	0.002583	-6.64%	0.1443	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.003116	0.002842	-8.81%	0.002491	-20.06%	0.2980	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.002687	0.002451	-8.77%	0.002579	-4.02%	0.1339	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	0.002798	0.002548	-8.95%	0.00289	+3.28%	0.0896	✓	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	0.002543	0.002328	-8.45%	0.002902	+14.10%	0.0217	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	0.002369	0.002179	-8.03%	0.003038	+28.25%	0.1352	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.002229	0.002057	-7.75%	0.002933	+31.55%	0.1581	✗	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	0.0022	0.002031	-7.70%	0.002973	+35.15%	0.1951	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	0.002055	0.001903	-7.40%	0.003018	+46.88%	0.2585	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	0.001954	0.001819	-6.91%	0.002894	+48.11%	0.2740	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	0.001931	0.0018	-6.78%	0.002854	+47.82%	0.2634	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	0.002011	0.001869	-7.09%	0.002809	+39.63%	0.1938	✗	1.00
2026-08-06	oos	0.001839	0.001713	-6.83%	0.002845	+54.73%	0.2904	✗	1.00
2026-08-05	oos	0.00184	0.001717	-6.69%	0.002662	+44.63%	0.2286	✗	1.00
2026-08-04	oos	0.001926	0.001794	-6.86%	0.002657	+37.93%	0.1546	✗	1.00
2026-08-03	oos	0.001892	0.001763	-6.80%	0.002679	+41.63%	0.2212	✗	1.00
2026-08-02	oos	0.001897	0.001771	-6.66%	0.002757	+45.33%	0.2448	✗	1.00
2026-08-01	oos	0.00193	0.001797	-6.85%	0.002768	+43.46%	0.2074	✗	1.00
2026-07-31	oos	0.00186	0.001741	-6.41%	0.002631	+41.44%	0.2009	✗	1.00
2026-07-30	oos	0.001836	0.001721	-6.26%	0.00288	+56.85%	0.3252	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.