CAP
Cap · Ethereum · gru_s7
- token id
- #71
- symbol
- CAP
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x99991c6aabba5a096f24f250b73580f5179b9999
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-06-26
- predictions
- 327
Track record at +7d
assessed
102
of 109 predictions shown
direction hit
40.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2550
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0248
actual +0.1246
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.066581 | 0.0655 | -1.62% | – | pending | – | – | -0.52 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.068735 | 0.067513 | -1.78% | – | pending | – | – | -0.57 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.066889 | 0.065745 | -1.71% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.070477 | 0.069 | -2.10% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.073935 | 0.072289 | -2.23% | – | pending | – | – | -0.60 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.072748 | 0.070963 | -2.45% | – | pending | – | – | -0.59 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.07849 | 0.076482 | -2.56% | – | pending | – | – | -0.62 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.073752 | 0.071731 | -2.74% | 0.066581 | -9.72% | 0.0659 | ✓ | -0.63 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.088248 | 0.086092 | -2.44% | 0.068735 | -22.11% | 0.2266 | ✓ | -0.74 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.097059 | 0.09399 | -3.16% | 0.066889 | -31.08% | 0.3393 | ✓ | -0.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.092361 | 0.090181 | -2.36% | 0.070477 | -23.69% | 0.2639 | ✓ | -0.86 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.092402 | 0.089742 | -2.88% | 0.073935 | -19.99% | 0.2108 | ✓ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.086635 | 0.084621 | -2.32% | 0.072748 | -16.03% | 0.1629 | ✓ | -0.92 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.073139 | 0.071474 | -2.28% | 0.07849 | +7.31% | 0.0984 | ✗ | -0.90 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.07128 | 0.069718 | -2.19% | 0.073752 | +3.47% | 0.0367 | ✗ | -0.94 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.087975 | 0.08502 | -3.36% | 0.088248 | +0.31% | 0.0035 | ✓ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.073941 | 0.072537 | -1.90% | 0.097059 | +31.27% | 0.2355 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.065278 | 0.064086 | -1.83% | 0.092361 | +41.49% | 0.3284 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.069035 | 0.06776 | -1.85% | 0.092402 | +33.85% | 0.2861 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.074028 | 0.072359 | -2.25% | 0.086635 | +17.03% | 0.1543 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.069846 | 0.068244 | -2.29% | 0.073139 | +4.72% | 0.0285 | ✗ | -1.08 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.069306 | 0.067666 | -2.36% | 0.07128 | +2.85% | 0.0483 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.059839 | 0.058209 | -2.73% | 0.087975 | +47.02% | 0.4382 | ✗ | -1.12 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.056407 | 0.054632 | -3.15% | 0.073941 | +31.08% | 0.3351 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.053595 | 0.051917 | -3.13% | 0.065278 | +21.80% | 0.2580 | ✗ | -1.21 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.051578 | 0.049803 | -3.44% | 0.069035 | +33.85% | 0.3312 | ✗ | -1.20 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.052128 | 0.050272 | -3.56% | 0.074028 | +42.01% | 0.3927 | ✗ | -1.17 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.049949 | 0.047984 | -3.93% | 0.069846 | +39.83% | 0.3817 | ✗ | -1.15 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.053106 | 0.050847 | -4.25% | 0.069306 | +30.50% | 0.2983 | ✗ | -1.16 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.046809 | 0.044762 | -4.37% | 0.059839 | +27.84% | 0.2572 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.045872 | 0.043824 | -4.46% | 0.056407 | +22.97% | 0.2119 | ✗ | -1.10 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.044741 | 0.043123 | -3.62% | 0.053595 | +19.79% | 0.2675 | ✗ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.047769 | 0.04577 | -4.19% | 0.051578 | +7.97% | 0.1682 | ✗ | -1.27 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.05581 | 0.0538 | -3.60% | 0.052128 | -6.60% | 0.0177 | ✓ | -1.26 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.054984 | 0.053525 | -2.65% | 0.049949 | -9.16% | 0.0711 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.060022 | 0.058228 | -2.99% | 0.053106 | -11.52% | 0.0518 | ✗ | -1.40 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.057324 | 0.055783 | -2.69% | 0.046809 | -18.34% | 0.0097 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.064413 | 0.060879 | -5.49% | 0.045872 | -28.78% | 0.1157 | ✓ | -1.64 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.047068 | 0.047475 | +0.86% | 0.044741 | -4.94% | 0.0403 | ✓ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.044869 | 0.045686 | +1.82% | 0.047769 | +6.46% | 0.1346 | ✓ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.04448 | 0.045477 | +2.24% | 0.05581 | +25.47% | 0.2880 | ✓ | -1.80 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.045466 | 0.046506 | +2.29% | 0.054984 | +20.93% | 0.1631 | ✓ | -1.79 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.047448 | 0.048133 | +1.44% | 0.060022 | +26.50% | 0.1686 | ✓ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.046785 | 0.047535 | +1.60% | 0.057324 | +22.53% | 0.1173 | ✓ | -1.88 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.046622 | 0.047188 | +1.21% | 0.064413 | +38.16% | 0.2891 | ✓ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.042957 | 0.043323 | +0.85% | 0.047068 | +9.57% | 0.0011 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.044706 | 0.044679 | -0.06% | 0.044869 | +0.37% | 0.0566 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.045241 | 0.0451 | -0.31% | 0.04448 | -1.68% | 0.0724 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.04878 | 0.048163 | -1.27% | 0.045466 | -6.79% | 0.1761 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.072695 | 0.071516 | -1.62% | 0.047448 | -34.73% | 0.3930 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.070557 | 0.069344 | -1.72% | 0.046785 | -33.69% | 0.3750 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.068387 | 0.067135 | -1.83% | 0.046622 | -31.83% | 0.3553 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.068164 | 0.066834 | -1.95% | 0.042957 | -36.98% | 0.3952 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.069214 | 0.067796 | -2.05% | 0.044706 | -35.41% | 0.3880 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.069928 | 0.068447 | -2.12% | 0.045241 | -35.30% | 0.3813 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.066045 | 0.064662 | -2.09% | 0.04878 | -26.14% | 0.2645 | ✓ | -1.41 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.070614 | 0.06901 | -2.27% | 0.072695 | +2.95% | 0.0216 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.069435 | 0.06777 | -2.40% | 0.070557 | +1.62% | 0.0203 | ✓ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.068823 | 0.067225 | -2.32% | 0.068387 | -0.63% | 0.0097 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.069367 | 0.067644 | -2.49% | 0.068164 | -1.73% | 0.0065 | ✓ | -1.39 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.070097 | 0.068306 | -2.56% | 0.069214 | -1.26% | 0.0342 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.067073 | 0.065522 | -2.31% | 0.069928 | +4.26% | 0.0565 | ✗ | -1.38 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.064753 | 0.062939 | -2.80% | 0.066045 | +2.00% | 0.2196 | ✗ | -1.81 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.067798 | 0.065589 | -3.26% | 0.070614 | +4.15% | 0.3230 | ✗ | -1.90 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.068975 | 0.066793 | -3.16% | 0.069435 | +0.67% | 0.5219 | ✗ | -2.49 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.070634 | 0.068038 | -3.67% | 0.068823 | -2.56% | 0.5156 | ✗ | -2.48 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.067132 | 0.065026 | -3.14% | 0.069367 | +3.33% | 0.6431 | ✗ | -2.72 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.062121 | 0.060314 | -2.91% | 0.070097 | +12.84% | 0.6932 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.065324 | 0.062219 | -4.75% | 0.067073 | +2.68% | 0.6645 | ✗ | -2.70 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.056743 | 0.05507 | -2.95% | 0.064753 | +14.12% | 0.5302 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.055292 | 0.053636 | -2.99% | 0.067798 | +22.62% | 0.4665 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.054776 | 0.052604 | -3.97% | 0.068975 | +25.92% | 0.3179 | ✗ | -2.62 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.046134 | 0.044408 | -3.74% | 0.070634 | +53.11% | 0.4862 | ✗ | -2.52 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.039386 | 0.038412 | -2.47% | 0.067132 | +70.45% | 0.4848 | ✗ | -2.33 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.036911 | 0.035925 | -2.67% | 0.062121 | +68.30% | 0.4792 | ✗ | -2.32 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.035967 | 0.034932 | -2.88% | 0.065324 | +81.62% | 0.5566 | ✗ | -2.31 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.030811 | 0.029767 | -3.39% | 0.056743 | +84.16% | 0.6128 | ✗ | -2.45 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.02783 | 0.026891 | -3.37% | 0.055292 | +98.68% | 0.6763 | ✗ | -2.39 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.025369 | 0.024363 | -3.96% | 0.054776 | +115.92% | 0.7901 | ✗ | -2.47 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.027598 | 0.026615 | -3.56% | 0.046134 | +67.17% | 0.5670 | ✗ | -2.42 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.029535 | 0.028528 | -3.41% | 0.039386 | +33.36% | 0.3738 | ✗ | -2.44 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.027282 | 0.026341 | -3.45% | 0.036911 | +35.30% | 0.4232 | ✗ | -2.55 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.039226 | 0.037579 | -4.20% | 0.035967 | -8.31% | 0.0418 | ✓ | -2.65 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.034526 | 0.033049 | -4.28% | 0.030811 | -10.76% | 0.0878 | ✓ | -2.50 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.026065 | 0.025284 | -3.00% | 0.02783 | +6.77% | 0.1279 | ✗ | -2.91 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.027298 | 0.026406 | -3.27% | 0.025369 | -7.07% | 0.0308 | ✓ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.024081 | 0.023358 | -3.01% | 0.027598 | +14.60% | 0.1563 | ✗ | -2.92 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.022534 | 0.021888 | -2.86% | 0.029535 | +31.07% | 0.2152 | ✗ | -2.95 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.020987 | 0.020368 | -2.95% | 0.027282 | +29.99% | 0.3164 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.02708 | 0.026158 | -3.41% | 0.039226 | +44.85% | 0.4250 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.023588 | 0.022896 | -2.93% | 0.034526 | +46.37% | 0.4158 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.021176 | 0.020599 | -2.73% | 0.026065 | +23.09% | 0.2691 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.019997 | 0.01944 | -2.79% | 0.027298 | +36.51% | 0.3805 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.02103 | 0.020439 | -2.81% | 0.024081 | +14.51% | 0.1875 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.018488 | 0.01798 | -2.74% | 0.022534 | +21.89% | 0.2156 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.018888 | 0.018383 | -2.68% | 0.020987 | +11.12% | 0.1403 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.018668 | 0.018222 | -2.39% | 0.02708 | +45.06% | 0.3932 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.018416 | 0.018 | -2.26% | 0.023588 | +28.08% | 0.2505 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.018352 | 0.01793 | -2.30% | 0.021176 | +15.39% | 0.1454 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.016452 | 0.016074 | -2.30% | 0.019997 | +21.55% | 0.1952 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.019108 | 0.01873 | -1.98% | 0.02103 | +10.06% | 0.0695 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.017007 | 0.016587 | -2.47% | 0.018488 | +8.71% | 0.0938 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.015945 | 0.015445 | -3.14% | 0.018888 | +18.46% | 0.1853 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.019616 | 0.019198 | -2.13% | 0.018668 | -4.83% | 0.0243 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.021747 | 0.021391 | -1.64% | 0.018416 | -15.32% | 0.1591 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.022573 | 0.022212 | -1.60% | 0.018352 | -18.70% | 0.2300 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.020944 | 0.020582 | -1.73% | 0.016452 | -21.45% | 0.2499 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.02124 | 0.020886 | -1.67% | 0.019108 | -10.04% | 0.0615 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.023265 | 0.02285 | -1.78% | 0.017007 | -26.90% | 0.2978 | ✓ | 1.00 |